Usdt
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade plan by BFTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan
Overview of Current Market Structure:
Descending Trading Channel: The Bitcoin price is currently trading within a descending channel, marked by parallel lines of resistance and support. The price has respected both boundaries and continues to oscillate between them.
Support: The current support level within the descending channel is approximately 60,000 USDT, as shown by the lower green line.
Resistance: The resistance level is around 61,758 USDT, as indicated by the upper green line.
Potential Breakout: A potential breakout to the upside is indicated by the analysis. If the price breaks through the resistance zone, we may see a rally towards the 64,591 USDT mark, which is a key resistance level in the broader time frame.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI (Relative Strength Index, 14 periods): The RSI is currently around 39.25, which indicates that the market is in a slightly oversold condition. This suggests a potential buying opportunity if momentum shifts to the upside.
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 1): The stochastic oscillator shows a value of 27.09, signaling that the market is near the oversold region. A bullish crossover between the %K and %D lines could trigger an upward move.
VMC Cipher B Indicator (Divergences): The VMC Cipher B Divergences are currently showing bearish momentum, but the price appears to be bouncing off a significant support level. We are awaiting confirmation for a reversal.
HMA Histogram (40, 44): The HMA Histogram shows a value of 91.97 in the short term, indicating that bearish momentum is starting to slow, and a potential bullish reversal could occur soon.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: The key support level lies around 60,000 USDT. If the price drops below this level, further bearish movement towards 58,000 USDT could be expected.
Immediate Resistance: Resistance stands at 61,758 USDT, the upper boundary of the descending channel. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally.
Key Target Level: The next major target on a breakout would be the 64,591 USDT resistance, where the price is likely to face significant selling pressure.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the 61,758 USDT resistance level. Confirm the breakout with increasing volume and price closing above the channel.
First Target: 64,591 USDT, which is a major resistance zone in the upper range.
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly below the support level of 60,000 USDT to manage downside risk.
Second Target (Aggressive): If bullish momentum continues, a potential extension towards 65,500 USDT is possible, aligning with previous highs.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price fails to break above the 61,758 USDT resistance level and starts rejecting at this point, consider a short position with a breakdown below the 60,000 USDT support.
First Target: A drop towards 58,000 USDT could be expected if bearish momentum accelerates.
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above 62,000 USDT, just outside the resistance of the descending channel to account for volatility.
Neutral Scenario (Sideways Trading):
If the price consolidates between 60,000 and 61,758 USDT, wait for a clearer breakout or breakdown before entering any trades. The current channel suggests potential opportunities, but patience for confirmation is key.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Use proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your capital on any trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher to ensure the profitability of your trades.
WIF Stuck in a Wedge Pattern: Patience is Key For a BreakoutWIF is forming a very long but distinct WXYXZ wedge pattern, tightly confined within its channel. The structure is clear, with repeated ABC corrective waves confirming the pattern’s integrity. While the setup is clear, it suggests we may have to trade within the boundaries of the channel for now.
For those looking to trade short-term, focus on the key levels within the wedge, but be prepared to wait patiently for the eventual breakout—it could take time, but when it happens, it should be significant.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop from resistance level to $59100Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago price entered to wedge and at once rebounded fromresistane line and started to decline. In a short time, BTC fell lower then support level, which coincided with the support zone, but then it tried to back up and failed. Next, the price dropped to the trend line, which is the support line of the wedge also, and then started to grow. BTC quickly rose to the 57500 level, broke it, and later made a retest and continued to move up. Later, the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and some time traded near this level. Then BTC broke the 63600 level and later rose to the resistance line of the wedge, after which turned around and made an impulse down, thereby exiting from the wedge and breaking the resistance level as well. After this movement, BTC little declined more and not long time ago rose back to the 63600 level. So, now I expect that BTCUSDT will rebound from the resistance level and drop. Therefore I set my goal at 59100 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
FULL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR CRYPTO PAIR MATICUSDTHello my wonderful community !
I’m back again
I really appreciate you guys for reviewing my charts
Kindly like and comment on how you feel the market will go , I’m open to learn and communicate with other hardworking traders on here.
The colors for each line/zone
Monthly - Yellow
Weekly - Orange
Daily - Green
4H - Red
1H - Purple
My Monthly chart view:
Ever since 2022, price has been in a downtrend by making Lower highs and Lower lows.
Price breaks a major Support area and turns it to a dynamic resisitance areas.
Take note as price is in a range and respecting the newly formed monthly resistance line (1.2300 ) and support line (0.3600) in yellow
My Weekly chart view:
Going into the weekly TimeFrame, it is truly clear that bears has been in full control of price from mid 2022 until last quarter of 2024,Price is currently not making lower lows and has been ranging
Last week price has reached a strong support area that has been respected for years after being in a downtrend for weeks
My Daily chart view:
Price is in a downtrend after breaking the daily dynamic S/R in green (0.7400) and has approached the Monthly resistance line in yellow.
Looking for buy setups as price has respected that monthly support zone for a stipulated period.
My 4H chart view:
As we move into the smaller timeframe of the 4H period, the market seems to be clearer as we can see another formation of a dynamic S/R zone in red (0.4350) which i will set as my target when we go down further
My 1H chart view:
So I’ll go down into a smaller 1H timeframe and look for buy Setups as bulls seems to be coming in slowing and the formation of an inverse heads and shoulders pattern
To play safe, for me to feel comfortable in capturing a buy setup ,I’m looking for the break of the neckline of the inverse heads and shoulders pattern , cross of the EMAs and volume of bulls coming into the market to put the odds in my favor.
Avoid entry of any trade during any major news that will affect price and this is not financial advise -
NEWSCHOOLTRADER
USDT.D Update - Oct 07 2024#USDT dominance got close to 5.99% level and had a slight drop to its current zone of 5.47% - 5.63% and initial signs for another rise are visible. If USDT.D manages to cross above the blue trendline and 5.63% level, it will continue to higher levels. The strength of the next move is crucial to the overall market's condition.
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago entered to upward channel, where it soon reached the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, but at once bounced and made a correction to the support line of the channel. Next, the price continued to move up and finally broke the 64900 level, and later reached the channel's resistance line again. But then BTC turned around and started to decline, so, soon, the price broke the resistance level one more time and exited from the upward channel. After this, the price continued to fall inside the downward pennant, where it first fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. When BTC fell to this level, it at once broke it, some time traded near the buyer zone, and then declined to support line of the pennant. Next, it turned around and rose higher than the 61200 level in a short time, breaking it again, and soon reaching the resistance line of the pennant. A not long time ago, BTC exited from pennant and now it continues to grow. For this case, I think that the price can make a small movement down and then continue to grow to the resistance level. That's why I set my TP at the 64900 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
SOLUSDT - Long Trade IdeaThis seems like a nice long opportunity on SOLUSDT perpetual contract pair.
The trade will be within the range of price moving from a weekly BISI to a weekly SIBI coupled with relative equal high liquidity.
I am anticipating a daily retracement lower, although it may not go as low as my entry. Either way, I am more interested in the trade idea panning out, and can always look for a refined entry if price is indicating that it is not coming to my entry.
SL below the last expansion low that reached into nested weekly PD Arrays.
- R2F
HelenP. I Bitcoin, after breaks support level, can continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few moments ago, the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and when it reached it, the price made a correction movement. Then BTC rose back and repeated movement down and then continued to grow next. In a short time, the price broke the resistance level and reached the trend line, which soon broke too, and tried to grow next. But BTC couldn't rise more, turned around, and started to decline. Soon, it broke the 64600 level, made a retest, and then fell to the trend line, after which continued to decline next near this line. Also, it tried to rise but failed and dropped more, until to my past goal (60K) in the past idea, breaking the trend line and even declining a little below the 60800 support level. Next, it rose back, breaking the trend line again, but a not long time ago fell back to the support level, and now trying to break it. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will break the support level, make a retest, and then continue to decline to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 58800 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN - Price can continue to move down to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCSDUT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to falling channel, where it declined to support line, breaking $63900 level.
BTC rose to resistance line and bounced down, breaking $57200 level, but then price started to grow in another channel.
In rising channel, BTC broke $57200 level and later rose to resistance line, which coincided with $63900 level.
Price made a little gap, and even later rose higher than $63900 level, but soon turned around and started to decline.
In a short time, BTC exited from rising channel, broke $63900 level, and continued to move down close resistance line.
I think that price can make small movement up and then continue to decline, between resistance line, to $57200 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Technical analysis and trading plan for the ONE/USDT by BFTechnical analysis and trading plan for the ONE/USDT 1-hour chart (on Binance) by Blaž Fabjan
Descending Trading Channel:
The price is currently moving within a descending trading channel, with lower highs and lower lows. This is a bearish pattern but can lead to a bullish breakout when the price breaks the upper boundary (resistance line).
The price is testing the upper boundary of the channel, which, if broken, could signal a potential upward movement.
Resistance Line:
A key resistance line is visible near 0.0120 USDT. The price has struggled to break above this level in previous attempts.
A breakout above this level with significant volume could signal a trend reversal and potential bullish momentum.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Indicator: Showing potential bullish momentum building up as the red momentum wave has bottomed out, signaling a possible trend reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 54.30, indicating that the market is neutral but leaning slightly bullish. It’s above the 50 line, which suggests a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Stochastic RSI: Near the overbought zone, sitting at 84.47. This could mean that there might be a small correction before the price pushes higher.
HMA+ Histogram: Shows neutral sentiment, suggesting no strong trend currently. But with a bullish setup on other indicators, this could shift positively.
Volume:
Volume is moderate at 1.879M, and increasing volume during the breakout would provide confirmation of upward movement.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Trade):
If the price breaks out above the resistance level of 0.0120 USDT with an increase in volume, this could signal a strong move upward.
Entry Point: Buy at the breakout above 0.0121 USDT with confirmation (strong bullish candle close above the resistance line and higher volume).
Target 1: 0.0140 USDT (short-term resistance).
Target 2: 0.0150 USDT (next major resistance).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below 0.0110 USDT (below the previous low and support of the descending channel).
Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance):
If the price fails to break above the 0.0120 USDT resistance level and reverses, it could move back into the descending channel.
Entry Point: Consider shorting if the price rejects the resistance and starts to move lower, below 0.0118 USDT.
Target 1: 0.0110 USDT (previous support level).
Stop Loss: Above 0.0122 USDT (in case of a sudden bullish breakout).
Consolidation Scenario:
If the price consolidates between 0.0115 - 0.0120 USDT, wait for a clear breakout either upwards or downwards before entering a trade.
Risk Management:
Consider using a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 for your trades.
Position sizing should be managed to avoid overexposure. Only risk a small percentage of your portfolio on each trade.
This plan provides both bullish and bearish scenarios, with specific entry, exit points, and risk management strategies. Always ensure you monitor the price action and volume to confirm breakouts or rejections.
PEPE/USDT pair on Binance (1-hour timeframe) TA+TRADE PLAN BY BFPEPE/USDT pair on Binance (1-hour timeframe) Technical Analysis + TRADE PLAN by Blaž Fabjan
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
The falling wedge pattern is identified, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. As the price converges downward, it indicates a potential breakout to the upside.
The pattern suggests that there might be a bullish move coming once the price breaks out of the wedge. The breakout has either happened or is about to happen as per the drawing.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$0.00000066: This is a key support level, likely the bottom of the falling wedge pattern.
$0.00000070 and $0.00000076: Potential areas of support if the price retraces after the breakout.
Resistance Levels:
$0.000000807, $0.000000886, and $0.000000986: These are key resistance levels. Once the price breaks out of the falling wedge, it will likely face resistance at these levels.
$0.000001084 and $0.000001235: The upper resistance targets if the price momentum continues.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 56, indicating that the market is in a neutral to bullish territory. If RSI increases above 70, it may indicate overbought conditions.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic Oscillator is around 85, indicating overbought conditions. However, during a breakout scenario, this might suggest strong momentum.
Volume:
There is a slight increase in volume, which is often seen during breakouts from chart patterns like falling wedges.
VMC Cipher B Indicator:
This indicator shows momentum and potential divergence. The convergence of the lines could indicate a bullish reversal.
Hull Moving Average (HMA) Histogram:
The HMA histogram shows a slight bullish divergence, supporting the case for a bullish breakout.
Trading Plan
Entry:
Enter the trade after a confirmed breakout from the falling wedge pattern, preferably on a candle close above $0.000000807 (the first key resistance level). Confirmation can also be supported by an increase in volume or further confirmation from RSI moving upward.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop-loss below the most recent support, around $0.00000070, to minimize risk in case the breakout fails or the price retraces back into the wedge.
Take Profit Levels:
First Target (TP1): $0.000000886 (next resistance level).
Second Target (TP2): $0.000000986 (another resistance level where the price may slow down).
Third Target (TP3): $0.000001084 (for more aggressive traders aiming for a larger move).
If you are highly confident in the bullish move, you can target $0.000001235, but ensure to trail your stop-loss once the price reaches the first target to lock in some profit.
Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio should ideally be 2:1 or better.
Use 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade to manage risk effectively.
Monitor RSI and Stochastic Oscillator closely, as both are nearing overbought zones. If these indicators show divergence (i.e., price rising but RSI declining), be cautious of a false breakout.
Watch for any sudden shifts in volume; if volume drops after the breakout, it could indicate weakening momentum.
In case the price drops back into the wedge pattern or below support, consider exiting the trade to avoid further losses.
This trading plan aims to capitalize on the bullish breakout of the falling wedge pattern, but always ensure to use proper risk management.
Bitcoin/USDT on 1-hour timeframe Binance. TA+Trade plan by B.F.Descending Channel Pattern:
The price is trading within a descending channel. The upper boundary (resistance) and lower boundary (support) are clearly defined.
Descending channels typically indicate a bearish trend, but if the price breaks out of the channel, it could signal a trend reversal.
Possible Breakout to the Upside:
The chart highlights the possibility of a breakout above the descending channel, supported by a bullish blue trendline.
The breakout area is noted around the 61,758.48 USDT level. If the price moves past this level, it could lead to further upside momentum.
Volume:
Volume appears moderate, indicating that the market has yet to show a strong momentum surge. A breakout on higher volume would confirm the upside move.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows multiple green dots, suggesting bullish divergence and potential reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is in neutral territory around 58.66, indicating no extreme overbought or oversold conditions. If it crosses above 60, it may confirm the bullish breakout.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic shows a bullish signal, with the %K line at 90.29 and the %D line at 88.42. However, it’s approaching overbought territory, suggesting caution as there could be short-term pullbacks.
HMA Histogram: Shows a slight downtrend in the short term (negative values). If it turns positive, it could confirm the breakout move.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1: 61,758.48 USDT (upper boundary of the channel and key breakout level).
Resistance 2: 64,591.15 USDT (previous high, and next major resistance zone if the breakout happens).
Support 1: 60,301.68 USDT (lower boundary of the channel).
Support 2: 59,000 USDT (psychological support and lower range of the broader consolidation).
Trading Plan:
Long Position:
Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks and closes above 61,758.48 USDT with a confirmation candle (preferably on higher volume).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the descending channel or at the 60,301.68 USDT support level to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: The initial target would be the next resistance at 64,591.15 USDT. Partial profits can be taken here, with further upside potential if momentum remains strong.
Short Position (in case of failure to break out):
Entry: If the price fails to break above 61,758.48 USDT and falls back into the channel, consider a short position targeting the support at 60,301.68 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly above 61,758.48 USDT to protect against an unexpected breakout.
Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the channel and potentially below, near 59,000 USDT.
Conclusion:
The overall structure indicates a potential breakout from a descending channel. A confirmed breakout above 61,758.48 USDT could signal a bullish reversal and upside toward 64,591.15 USDT. However, if the price fails to break out, it may continue to trade within the channel, offering short-term trading opportunities.
Monitoring volume and key levels (especially 61,758.48 USDT) will be crucial for confirming the next major move.
USDT.D Pulling back into Last Point of SupplyUSDT.D Update:
The markets pulling back as expected, this is as USDT.D pulls back into the range with some momentum, creating a bearish pullback in BTC and alts in conjunction with my prior BTC and USDT.D analysis
Nothing to be worried about, simply pulling back into the range forming a last point of supply in the distribution range on USDT.D and a last point of support on BTC in its range.
We still have some pain to come where i anticipate USDT.D to push higher into the areas marked up before seeing the reversal back bearish, what matters here is sticking to the plan and remaining patient.
If your not allocated in the market, this pullback will provide ample opportunity to get some exposure and risk on before the next bullish leg in the market as USDT.D breaks down out of this range. This will be one of the last chances you get to get in coins that are still priced in discounts relative to the HTF!
As price has pushed into this area im seeing an increase in volume from the latest 2 daily candles which is a good sign imo as we come into this key area and supply. However, theres no signs yet to suggest the trend on USDT.D is over and we remain bullish on the daily and 4h as we push into the range high.
As a result, im still expecting more pain in the market and red until USDT.D tops out and there is still room to the upside for it to push into as shown on the chart. I remain patient here and confident in my bias and idea still as nothing has changed at all.
There is a lot of resistance coming up on USDT.D and id be surprised to see it continue to the upside when theres a lot of levels to clear in this range as well as the prior resistance at 6.51% and the PSY at 5.90%. These areas key areas and im looking for USDT.D to reject from these areas, with high volume before breaking down from the 4h into the daily and then pro trend in line with the HTF picture as discussed here: free-analysis-channel.
Patience needed here and some confirmations from these areas over the coming week or so!
Never surprised, never worried and always composed 🫡
USDT.D Update - Oct 02 2024USDT dominance has followed previous analysis beautifully. The reaction to 5.3% zone was strong indeed and as a result the whole market dumped heavily.
The next important area ahead of USDT.D is 5.99% - 6.04% zone where a reaction can be expected but judging by the strength of the recent move, it's high possibility that USDT.D will push through the mentioned zone and will reach higher levels. So Sell strategy is advised for now.
Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure: Analysis Based on USDT.DAs of October 2024, Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of heightened bearish pressure, with USDT (Tether) market cap dominance signaling significant shifts in investor sentiment and risk management across the cryptocurrency markets. The USDT.D (USDT dominance) chart reflects market behavior that points towards reduced confidence in speculative assets such as Bitcoin, with the increase in USDT dominance indicating that traders are moving funds into stable assets. Let’s explore this in further detail, combining technical analysis with fundamental and geopolitical factors.
Sentiment Shift: USDT Dominance on the Rise
The chart indicates that USDT dominance is currently trending upward, hovering at around 5.7%. With a clear upward trajectory from its lows of 3.8%, this suggests that more market participants are parking their capital in USDT. This rising USDT dominance is often interpreted as a bearish signal for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as it implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, rather than taking on the risk of volatile crypto assets.
Notably, the price action of USDT dominance is testing key Bollinger Band levels. The red bands, indicating higher volatility zones, suggest that there is a heightened probability of a further spike in dominance. As USDT dominance pushes higher into the Bollinger Band range, Bitcoin and other speculative assets face selling pressure. The chart shows a growing preference for stability, which coincides with Bitcoin's decreasing speculative appeal in the current environment.
Rising ATR: Volatility Building in the Market
The Average True Range (ATR) percentage on the chart points towards increased volatility, sitting at 32.6%, and climbing to a peak of 46.9%. This heightened volatility, indicated by the widening ATR band, signals increasing uncertainty in the market. Historically, such volatility is often followed by bearish moves for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
As volatility grows, traders and institutions typically seek refuge in less volatile assets, pushing them towards USDT or other stablecoins. The increase in ATR% suggests a continued trend of traders reducing their exposure to Bitcoin in favor of more stable investments. The consistent rise in the ATR percentage alongside the growing USDT dominance strongly suggests that the market expects a period of heightened turbulence for Bitcoin.
Fundamental Analysis: Stubborn Inflation, Central Bank Tightening, and Institutional Pullback
Bitcoin’s bearish sentiment can be linked to broader macroeconomic factors, where persistent inflation and tight monetary policies continue to hamper speculative markets. Inflationary pressures remain a concern globally, especially in regions like the United States and Europe, where central banks have adopted a more aggressive stance to tighten monetary policies.
The Federal Reserve’s ongoing interest rate hikes, aimed at curbing inflation, have made riskier investments like Bitcoin less attractive. Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of speculative assets, as borrowing costs rise and liquidity contracts. The shift to USDT reflects the broader flight to safety as investors await a clearer signal from central banks regarding future economic stability.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has also tapered. Many firms that entered the space during the 2021 bull market are now pulling back, reducing their exposure to cryptocurrencies. Institutions are becoming more risk-averse as concerns about tightening financial conditions, higher bond yields, and slowing global growth take center stage. This reduced demand from major market players further adds downward pressure on Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Factors: Global Uncertainty
Geopolitical instability is another critical factor weighing down Bitcoin's outlook. Ongoing conflicts, notably in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, have led to considerable uncertainty in global markets. Investors are now factoring in geopolitical risk alongside economic risk, leading to a preference for safer assets.
Additionally, regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency markets, particularly stablecoins and decentralized finance, has escalated over the past year. US regulators, for example, are increasing oversight on Tether and other stablecoin providers, but ironically, this has not diminished the market's reliance on USDT as a safe haven. The market's trust in Tether amid rising scrutiny indicates a broader retreat from volatile assets like Bitcoin and a preference for liquid, USD-pegged stablecoins.
Moreover, China’s continued crackdown on cryptocurrency activities and Europe’s regulatory frameworks have dampened enthusiasm in the space. These geopolitical tensions contribute to the bearish outlook, as regional instability and regulatory pressures keep risk appetite low.
Bitcoin's Path Forward
Considering these factors, Bitcoin faces significant headwinds in the near term. The chart analysis, with rising USDT dominance and escalating volatility, presents a clear bearish picture. Coupled with the current macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop, Bitcoin is likely to experience downward pressure as market participants continue to seek safety in USDT.
The combination of central bank tightening, heightened global risk, and regulatory challenges makes it difficult for Bitcoin to regain the speculative momentum it enjoyed during previous bull markets. While Bitcoin has historically shown resilience, its ability to recover in the current environment looks increasingly uncertain.
In conclusion, the growing dominance of USDT in the crypto market reflects a broader shift away from risk assets like Bitcoin. With rising volatility and macroeconomic challenges, the bearish pressure on Bitcoin is likely to persist in the coming months, barring any major shifts in the global financial or regulatory landscape. Investors should remain cautious and consider hedging strategies as the cryptocurrency market enters a more uncertain phase.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will make retest and then continue to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see, how the price trades inside the resistance zone, but later turned around and dropped to the support level, breaking the 64000 level. After this, the price tired to grow, but failed and in a short time declined below a support level, which coincided with the support zone and fell until the trend line. Next, BTC turned around and started to grow, and later backed up to the 57500 level, broke it, and continued to move up next. But later it made a correction to the trend line, which coincided with the support level and then rebounded up to the resistance level. Price some time traded near this level and then broke it, after which rose even higher than the resistance zone. But a not long time ago BTC turned around and dropped to the trend line, which coincided with the 64000 level and recently broke it. Now, I expect that BTCUSDT will make a retest of the trend line and then continue to decline next, therefore I set my goal at 60K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin can decline a little and then start grow to 64500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to range, where it at once dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and then rebounded up. In a short time later, BTC reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then turned around, after which it started to decline. BTC declined to the 57000 support level, and broke it, thereby exiting from range, but soon turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel. Inside the channel, the price reached the 57000 level again, broke it, and continued to move up next. Some time later BTC reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, broke it, but quickly turned around and dropped, breaking the 64500 level and exiting from the channel also. Now, BTC continues to decline, so, I think that price can fall a little more and then start to grow to a resistance level. For this case, I set my TP at a 64500 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4h timeframe TA+Trade plan by BFDescending Broadening Wedge
Pattern Description: This is a bullish reversal pattern. As shown, the price of Bitcoin is testing the support line of the wedge, which typically suggests that a breakout to the upside might occur after the completion of the pattern.
Potential Breakout: The chart indicates a potential breakout above the upper boundary (resistance line) of the wedge, possibly signaling the beginning of an upward move.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
60,301.68 USDT: This is a near-term support zone where price could find buyers if it revisits these levels.
53,988.89 USDT: A deeper support level shown on the chart, which might come into play if Bitcoin faces a significant sell-off.
Resistance Levels:
64,591.15 USDT: A strong resistance zone that Bitcoin would need to surpass for a sustained upward move.
68,556.87 USDT: A higher resistance level that could become the target in the case of a breakout.
Indicators Analysis
VMC Cipher B Divergences: It appears to show divergence. A green dot below indicates potential bullish divergence, suggesting price may increase soon.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 31.48, which indicates oversold conditions. This level usually implies that the asset is undervalued, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic reading is at 23.61 (blue line) and 20.43 (red line), indicating oversold conditions as well. This adds further strength to the bullish argument, aligning with the RSI's signals.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): The HMA histogram shows green bars, suggesting a bullish trend might be forming or momentum is starting to shift to the upside.
Trading Plan
Long Position Setup
Entry:
A breakout above the resistance line of the descending broadening wedge would be the ideal entry signal. You may consider entering around 61,750–62,000 USDT.
Take Profit:
First take-profit target could be around 64,591 USDT (resistance zone).
If momentum is strong, a secondary target can be set around 68,556 USDT.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss just below the recent low at 60,000 USDT, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish wedge pattern and signal further downside.
Alternative (Cautious) Approach
Wait for confirmation of a breakout with a strong candle close above the wedge's resistance line, paired with bullish indicators on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart).
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on this trade, adjusting position size accordingly.
Final Considerations
Monitor for any false breakouts as Bitcoin could retest the wedge's resistance line before confirming the breakout.
Keep an eye on volume; a breakout with strong volume increases the likelihood of the wedge pattern playing out successfully.