USDT.D (how to find local reversals? no alt season this cycle?) sorry I forgot to post it here a week ago after the crash
I had that shit marked (small green box for a powerful reversal), which hit in the first week of December, but I forgot to check it out—lol, was too busy with other things = can anyone at least remind me or everyone's a lazy ass like me, these days?
Anyway, it was a perfect local top indication (USDT.D along with other macro charts are the best possible indicators for local top/bottom. One must capture these beautiful reversals where you have at least 80% of confidence, to accumulate more and more of your favorite tokens)
Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was to busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
Good thing we still haven't reclaimed the macro trendline.
and look what happens after such long wicks into resistances ... (5th August one, 22nd Jan, and last year's)
and CT getting bearish? I get it that normie retails are fearful but good big CTs ???
This cycle really is different...
LOWER it now !!! (obviously there are many other confluences I've found but I'm too lazy to mention all that here)
PS. Yes, there will be an alt season and it will catch many off guard since most have lost hope and capitulated already.
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too, so we don't miss any market movements!!! I don't Trade full time, it's just 1/4 of my gigs
Usdtd
BTC.D Update = What happened to the ALT SEASON?I had this possibility on the back of my mind but didn't think it'd play out since things are much different this time
I obviously missed the last downward movement (even though I had it marked on USDT.D + some alts)
PS. Trust me, BS news you see is just an excuse. It's almost always in the chart (in this case, tariffs) = This is how I was able to predict 5th August bottom (in that case, it was the Japanese Yen news but in reality, it's all in the chart but I missed it this time and I'll accept it, I was too busy so never looked at it.. the reason I stopped posting after November)
It would be wonderful if you guys interact and keep things on your panel too!
Possible Bearish CypherStronger RSI shows us that USDT.D is stronger than the previous bottom.
Therefore, a rise towards point D would not be surprising.
For those expecting a bull market in altcoins, point D may be the real altcoin buying point.
First target to the D point %7.49
Bearish cypher target %1.59
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Called move after move for Bitcoin, what happens next?If you been lucky enough to work out my analysis and pull the trigger on the trade setups that played out over and over again, I commend you for your knowledge of how to read an analysis and then use it to make an informed decision.
If you caught the last analysis I mentioned about a bear trap spike below the blue line and as you can see it played out. You can see I have removed the green trendline on left chart as it is now done with and the green trendline on the right hand side chart is basically invalidated now.
We see on the left chart the orange trendline is respected with the candle closing above it. The white major trendline also held as major support. You can see the other trendlines still being used, especially on 4 hour timeframe.
So, what now?
We need to watch for the right hand side RSI to breakdown under the red trendline for BTC to get to 108k.
On the left chart the RSI needs to break back above trendline. In regards to the price action, we can see a massive buy up in the crash candle that was just made. Price could move up to 108k from here now there are trapped short traders below. This would put the right USDT.D chart at the blue trendline and as per previous analysis we know what happens if that then breaks below this line.
On the bearish side, if price loses the light green vwap line then expect another retest of the white trendline.
Smash the like button and good luck!
USDT.D: Roadmap for Crypto MarketHi Guys,
As I have mentioned many times, the crypto market is no longer in a bear market. One of the best indicators for analyzing this market is Tether dominance. According to the chart analysis, I can imagine lower prices for Bitcoin, maybe we will have a look at the $75,000 range in Bitcoin, and continue to follow my analysis of Bitcoin.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 3/FEB/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
USDTDOMINANCE CHART UPDATE !The chart highlights USDT dominance (USDT.D), which is used to measure market sentiment and money flow into or out of stablecoins such as USDT
The chart shows a completed “head and shoulders” pattern, which is often considered bearish in technical analysis.
The neckline has been broken, indicating the possibility of further declines.
The price appears to be testing a descending triangle, which could indicate a continuation of the decline.
The green area below (possibly around 2.5%-3%) could act as a crucial support if dominance continues to decline.
The 50-day (red) and 200-day (green) moving averages are plotted.
Dominance is trading below both moving averages, which reinforces bearish momentum.
A breakdown of the current triangle could lead to further declines towards the marked support area.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Will the USDT Dominance Rebound?Hello, traders! Welcome to yet another update on USDT Dominance (USDT.D).
The USDT.D has been consistently holding support in the 3.78% to 4% range. If it continues to rebound from this range, it could establish a strong support level, which might not be favorable for the market. The RSI is gaining momentum and is nearing the middle line, indicating more room for the dominance to rebound.
For BTC to hit the $120k mark, USDT.D must break below this key support. On the other hand, if you’re concerned about a market dip, there’s a resistance level for USDT.D at 4.8%, which is likely to prevent the market from crashing further.
I hope this analysis helps! I’ll share more updates soon, but for now, stay cautious.
USDT Dominance (USDT.D)USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
The USDT Dominance chart reflects the percentage of the cryptocurrency market capitalization held in Tether (USDT), providing insights into market sentiment and risk appetite. Here's an analysis based on the chart structure:
Key Levels and Observations:
Supply Zone at 6.50%:
The 6.50% level acts as a critical resistance where the "Bull vs Bear Flip" is observed. This zone marks the upper limit of a supply area, where sellers are dominant.
A rejection here could signal an increase in market risk appetite as funds flow out of USDT and back into crypto assets.
Demand Zone at 3.63%:
The 3.63% level serves as a strong demand zone, historically supporting USDT.D during bearish periods in the broader market.
This is marked as the lower boundary of the "Bull vs Bear Flip," indicating increased caution if revisited.
Median Level at 4.48%:
The chart highlights the 4.48% level as the median point, balancing bullish and bearish sentiment. Current price action is hovering around this zone, signaling indecision and a potential breakout or breakdown.
Harmonic Pattern Formation:
A harmonic pattern is evident, with key retracement levels at 0.449 and 0.734 marking the price's journey from points X, A, B, C, and D.
Point D, near 3.63%, aligns with the demand zone, completing the pattern and triggering a potential bounce.
Rounded Bottom Formation:
A rounded bottom is visible on the left side of the chart, indicating a previous reversal from bearish to bullish sentiment. This reinforces the importance of the 3.63% level as a long-term support.
Bear Zone at 2.83%:
Below the demand zone lies the 2.83% "Bear Zone," signaling extreme bearish sentiment for USDT dominance and likely strong risk appetite in the crypto market.
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above the 4.48% median and sustained movement toward the supply zone at 6.50% would signal increased market caution as investors move to USDT.
If the 6.50% level is breached with volume, USDT.D could trend higher, indicating market-wide fear or profit-taking in crypto.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below the 4.48% median would confirm bearish momentum, with the next target being the demand zone at 3.63%.
A fall below 3.63% could lead to a retest of the 2.83% "Bear Zone," indicating renewed bullish sentiment for crypto assets.
Volume Analysis:
Recent volume spikes during the recovery indicate significant interest at current levels.
However, diminishing volume near resistance suggests hesitation among market participants, requiring confirmation of the next directional move.
Conclusion:
The USDT Dominance chart is currently in a state of equilibrium around the median level (4.48%), reflecting market indecision. The next significant move will likely depend on whether the supply zone (6.50%) or demand zone (3.63%) is tested first. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic catalysts for the next trend in risk sentiment.
USDT.D Retests Breakdown: Is a Strong Altcoin Rally Ahead?USDT Dominance (USDT.D) has broken below its rising trendline and is trading at a key support zone after a successful retest of the breakdown. A break below this support could trigger a sharp decline, signaling capital rotation into altcoins.
This setup aligns with the potential for a strong altcoin season and an active trading period ahead.
USDT.D at Key Support: Altcoin Bull Rally Ahead?USDT.D has repeatedly bounced off the marked red support zone, a strong Fibonacci level at 0.5. This support has been tested multiple times, and based on my experience, I anticipate USDT.D may break below this zone. If it does, it could trigger a bullish rally in altcoins.
I believe this is the final shakeout phase, so stay strong and focus on accumulating fundamentally solid coins. Remember to maintain discipline and practice strong money management.
USDT.DOMINANCE CHART UPDATE !!This chart provides USDT dominance, highlighting key patterns and potential market implications:
Head & Shoulders Pattern:
The chart shows a completed Head & Shoulders pattern, indicating potential bearish momentum for USDT dominance. This often signals a rotation of capital away from stablecoins and into riskier crypto assets.
USDT dominance has broken the neckline support of the Head & Shoulders pattern and is moving toward the green horizontal demand area. This area represents a crucial support area near 2.0%-2.5%.
Resistance: The neckline and the descending trendline around 4.25% now act as resistance.
Support: The green demand area near 2.0%- 2.5% is crucial. A sustained move into this area could coincide with a strong crypto market rally.
A continued decline in USDT dominance indicates growing confidence in the crypto market, with investors pouring funds into altcoins and Bitcoin.
Conversely, any improvement in USDT dominance could indicate an increase in risk aversion.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
USDT Dominance Falls, BTC Rises: What It Means for TradersThe chart highlights the inverse relationship between BTC/USDT and USDT.D (Tether Dominance). When USDT.D drops, capital flows out of stablecoins into Bitcoin, driving BTC’s price higher.
Conversely, a rise in USDT.D signals increased caution, often leading to BTC price declines. This correlation helps traders gauge market sentiment and identify potential trend shifts.
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins.
Analogy with traditional markets
Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains.
Depth and structure of the crypto market
The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables.
Liquidity and spread
Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading.
Indexation and synthetic assets
The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets.
Conclusion
Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge.
Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR),
Horban Brothers.