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USDTRY

USDJPY | SWING - 2. Sep. 2020Hello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** The triangle may break the ascending to the downside, and if it is penetrated, the target is from the first point at which the triangle may be located. BTCUSD GBPUSD EURUSD XAUUSD *** Here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate No single analysis is To make a decision follow your own thoughts. *** The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Short
by Saeed966
6
USDJPY | SWING - 31. AUGU. 2020Hello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** The dollar against the Japanese yen is swinging towards resistance and is likely to break it. *** Here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate No single analysis is To make a decision follow your own thoughts. *** The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Long
by Saeed966
8
Ascending ChannelKEY TAKEAWAYS An ascending channel is used in technical analysis to show an uptrend in a security’s price. It is formed from two positive sloping trend lines drawn above and below a price series depicting resistance and support levels, respectively. Channels are used commonly in technical analysis to confirm trends and identify breakouts and reversals. Understanding Ascending Channels Within an ascending channel, price does not always remain entirely contained within the pattern’s parallel lines but instead shows areas of support and resistance that traders can use to set stop-loss orders and profit targets. A breakout above an ascending channel can signal a continuation of the move higher, while a breakdown below an ascending channel can indicate a possible trend change. Ascending channels show a clearly defined uptrend. Traders can swing trade between the pattern’s support and resistance levels or trade in the direction of a breakout or breakdown. Trading the Ascending Channel Support and Resistance: Traders could open a long position when a stock's price reaches the ascending channel’s lower trend line and exit the trade when price nears the upper channel line. A stop-loss order should be placed slightly below the lower trend line to prevent losses if the security’s price abruptly reverses. Traders who use this strategy should ensure there is enough distance between the pattern’s parallel lines to set an adequate risk/reward ratio. For example, if a trader places a $5 stop, the width of the ascending channel should be a minimum $10 to allow for a 1:2 risk/reward ratio. Breakouts: Traders could buy a stock when its price breaks above the upper channel line of an ascending channel. It is prudent to use other technical indicators to confirm the breakout. For example, traders could require that a significant increase in volume accompanies the breakout and that there is no overhead resistance on higher time frame charts. Breakdowns: Before traders take a short position when price breaks below the lower channel line of an ascending channel, they should look for other signs that show weakness in the pattern. Price failing to reach the upper trend line frequently is one such warning sign. Traders should also look for negative divergence between a popular indicator, such as the relative strength index (RSI), and price. For instance, if a stock’s price is making higher highs within the ascending channel, but the indicator is making lower highs, this suggests upward momentum is waning. Envelope Channels Envelope channels are another popular channel formation that can incorporate both descending and ascending channel patterns. Envelope channels are typically used to chart and analyze a security’s price movement over a longer period of time. Trend lines can be based on moving averages or highs and lows over specified intervals. Envelope channels can use similar trading strategies to both descending and ascending channels. This analysis will typically be based on a stock price movement over an extended period of time while ascending and descending channels can be beneficial for charting a security’s price immediately after a reversal.
Education
by Saeed966
Long Turkey: An Alternative to “Short” GoldTurkey is in (continued) currency crisis. CBRT (Cent Bank Repub Turkey) has allegedly run dry of its FX reserves to prop up the lira, which has has been hitting all time record lows vs USD & EUR. As USDTRY broke through the psychological 7 level (and doing so against a weakening dollar at that) in July, CBRT more or less threw in the towel in defending the peg, and began buying up gold. So much so that Turkey overtook Russia as the largest buyer of gold in the world - obviously contributing to gold’s run through prev all time highs, $2k and beyond. As CBRT bought gold at a seemingly price indiscriminate pace, Turkish citizens holding lira and seeing their purchasing power get eroded away by the day and facing double digit inflation moved their assets in to anything other than the lira to preserve value - such at BTC. Unlike BTCUSD, BTCEUR, BTCJPY etc, BTCTRY is at all time record highs for this reason, and BTC’s July-Aug rally has also been supported by this reason. The lira meltdown and horrendous monetary policy mismanagement has also obviously been killing the Istanbul stock market, as well as US listed Turkey ETF TUR. Late last week, CBRT finally took steps to tighten credit conditions to local banks - and although nowhere near a sufficient solution, it put a temporary halt on the sell Lira → buy gold, silver, bitcoin, dollars, yen trend, and reversed its sentiment. And when the largest buyer of gold in the world stops buying after pushing prices to all time highs, gold falls, and when gold falls from all time highs, profit taking from record GLD inflows takes hold. Though I bought puts on gold last week in light of developments in Turkey (which NOBODY is discussing, and therefore perfect - let consensus overlook and talk the usual nonsense explanations for market behavior), I’m not going to short gold on a temp pullback, any more so than I would short BTC for a near term downside view within a longer term bull view. Instead, play the reversal by going long TUR. Buy (very cheap) calls for immediate term upside recovery, which for the time being should move inverse to gold. Keep a very close eye on USDTRY breaking above 7.4 or below 7. And note the CBRT policy meeting later this month (Aug 20) for a potential inflection point for current trend to reverse again, and gold to continue upside.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:TURShort
by acrossthespread
19
USDTRY In A Bullish Move! - Elliott wave analysisHello traders, USDTRY is bullish, clearly in a five-wave move, up from 5.64 level. We can see waves (I), (II), (III) and (IV) as completed, so recovery from 6.68 can be part of a final wave (V). Wave (V) is an impulse itself, therefore five legs within is must be seen, before resistance, and a reversal in three legs may show up. Now there are only three legs seen, within a wave (V). Possible resistance for wave (V) is at 7.5/7.8 level.
by ew-forecast