Usdx
TAKING HUGE PROFITS OUT WITH SILVER AND REOPENING THE GOLD TRADEUPDATE-We have took the entire profit out of the table from our silver trade at $15.700 which is mentioned below and making profit of about 1500 USD,However our risk free trade gold has been closed Automatically with no profit and no loss-we are reopening the gold trade
Currency Pair: XAGUSD ( SILVER )-(This trade has been closed)
Sell Stop Entry Price:16.00
Take Profit: 14.00
Stop Loss:16.100(moved stop loss)
Capital Risk:500 USD
Potential Reward: 12000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:6
OUR EXISTING POSITION
Currency Pair: XAUUSD ( Gold )
Sell Stop Entry Price:1320
Take Profit: 1160
Stop Loss:1320(we will reduce the stop loss points once positions will be more favorable)
Capital Risk:2000USD(amount may vary depending on your account size and risk tolerance)
Potential Reward: 18000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:9
(we can adjust (limit, close or even reverse) the position before this price level is reached)
USDCAD BUY Head & Shoulder FormedThe daily Head and Shoulder has been completed, I trust this will respect the pattern and go bullish
Inverted head and shoulder pattern is a reversal signal!
In this analysis I tried to make SL very tight though it shouldn't be following the rules of H&S
But lets pray it didn't get to strike our SL quickly.
Goodluck!
Dollar index is on the verge of a breakoutGold and silver are trading range bound from quite some days however we have seen a slight bounce in the yellow metal today and the primary reason for that is the sell-off in the greenback which we have witnessed today. Yesterday we informed you about the possibility of the government shutdown this Friday but now It appears that the government shutdown will be avoided this Friday, However, the main focus of the market continues to be on the U.S-China trade war negotiation talk which will be held in Beijing. The precious metal sector is showing a little bit of weakness due to the recent rally we have witnessed in the greenback. The technical picture of USDX is very bullish and it seems greenback is on the verge of a breakout which will ultimately prove to be a bearish case for the yellow and the white metal(In our next analysis we will discuss the reasons That why we believe the USDX is on the verge of a breakout-EURO Weakness is definitely one of them)
OUR EXISTING POSITIONS
Currency Pair: XAGUSD ( SILVER )
Sell Stop Entry Price:16.00
Take Profit: 14.00
Stop Loss:16.100(moved stop loss)
Capital Risk:500 USD
Potential Reward: 12000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:6
Currency Pair: XAUUSD ( Gold )
Sell Stop Entry Price:1320
Take Profit: 1160
Stop Loss:1320(we will reduce the stop loss points once positions will be more favorable)
Capital Risk:0USD(amount may vary depending on your account size and risk tolerance)
Potential Reward: 18000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:9
(we can adjust (limit, close or even reverse) the position before this price level is reached)
Trading Gold? Don't Neglect the USD Index.Gold has tried to break above the $1,300 handle several times in the last few days. Ultimately, gold bulls have failed to break above that level, and the price retraced to $1,276 early this week. If you're trading gold, always pay close attention to the US dollar index. Notice today's Spinning Top pattern on the USD index, combined with the horizontal resistance. On the Gold chart, notice the trendline support and the newly-formed rectangle consolidation pattern. A falling US dollar causes the price of gold to rise, and vice-versa.
Just like the US dollar, gold tends to appreciate in times of political uncertainty and economic slowdown. Those assets are called safe-havens, and also include the Japanese yen and Swiss franc from the group of major currencies. However, the dynamics behind the demand for the US dollar and gold in times of a risk-off market environment are quite different, which can lead to an actual inverse relationship between those two assets.
While the US dollar usually appreciates as a store of value when the stock and bond market doesn’t generate adequate returns for investors, leading to a conversion of their stock and bond investments back into the US dollar and pushing its demand, gold exhibits a different pattern. The yellow metal serves as a safe place of last instance until investors are ready to take on riskier investments again.
This pattern of collective market psychology can be identified during the economic slowdown from 2008 to 2011. The US dollar Index – which reflects the value of the US dollar against a basket of other major currencies – rose sharply over the course of 2008 while the S&P 500 Index lost almost half of its value during the same period of time. Stock investors were selling their stock portfolio in exchange for US dollars, which in turn pushed the currency higher.
Interestingly, gold lost almost 30% of its value during 2008, only to skyrocket from 2009 to 2011 to an all-time record high of $1,895 in September 2011. Worries over the US debt and the European Greek-crisis saw hordes of investors selling the US dollar and euro and fleeing to the safe-haven of gold. Consequently, the US dollar Index reached a three-year record-low in 2011.
With the majority of gold still traded in US dollars, it’s no wonder that the exchange rates between US dollars and other currencies have a great impact on the price of gold, creating an inverse relationship between them.
Most of the time, all commodities that are denominated in US dollars (including oil, silver, copper etc.) move in the opposite direction than the US currency. The reason behind this is rather simple. Beside the market dynamics of an economic slowdown mentioned above, a stronger US dollar leads to weaker currencies in the rest of the world, decreasing the demand for gold and its price in dollar terms. Similarly, a weakening dollar leads to relatively stronger foreign currencies, which pushes the demand for gold and increases its price in dollar terms. A stronger US dollar lowers the price of gold on foreign markets, and vice-versa.
Another reason for the inverse correlation between the US dollar and gold is closely related to gold’s role as a safe-haven of last instance. Basically, in times of a weakening dollar, investors are leaving dollar-denominated securities and the dollar itself, and start buying gold as an alternative investment to store value and preserve the purchasing power of their investments. As the supply of gold is naturally limited, the increased demand can lead to large price fluctuations to the upside.
THE ULTIMATE SHORT BUT WHERE IS THE DECLINE?At the moment of publishing this report gold is trading at around $1230 while white metal is trading at $14.38, from weeks we were informing you that U.S-China trade-war would impact the precious metal prices either in a positive or negative way and as the agreement reached between the two countries to a temporary halt,hence we have witnessed a correction in the precious metal sector,we also informed you that it's a possibility that any ease off in the trade-war would shoot up the gold and silver prices in a significant manner but what happened? Gold and silver made short-term price correction even after the news which was bullish for the P.Ms including U.S-China temporary suspension of fighting which came out today and last week’s surprisingly dovish comments coming from Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell. Prices unable to surge in a dramatic manner even after this bullish news are a very bearish development for the precious metal sector, however at the same time Large speculators increased their net bearish positioning in gold during the most recent reporting week for data compiled by the Commodity Trading Commission.
we also witnessed modest gains in crude oil prices on hopes for better world economic growth if the U.S and China stop there trade war, however, most experts are not expecting trade war to be resolved over a long-term however in short-term this temporary halt also drove the Asian and europian stock market higher. The statement from the Russian and Saudi Arabian officials that they want to extend production cuts was also a factor which drove the oil prices higher today.
Technicals-Our two position are in gold and silver and silver position is already running in profit, however, we believe buyers should be very cautious at this point as we believe 1200 level will be easily broken and there is not much support until 1180. Gold -0.73% -0.07% -0.37% 0.17% 0.69% likely will not be able to support around its psychological level if the U.S Dollar keeps rising and there are numerous factors which are suggesting the future dollar strength-
overall it seems that position in gold -0.73% -0.07% -0.37% 0.17% 0.69% and silver -0.14% -0.14% -0.35% 0.49% 0.57% will be highly profitable in coming weeks-we are very bearish for the precious metal sector and we think the downfall has just been started.
existing positions
Currency Pair: XAUUSD -0.61% ( Gold -0.74% )
Sell Stop Entry Price:1220
Take Profit: 1180
Stop Loss:1240
Capital Risk:2000USD(amount may vary depending on your account size and risk tolerance)
Potential Reward: 4000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:2
(we can adjust (limit, close or even reverse) the position before this price level is reached)
Should you require any more information don't hesitate to contact us.
Many regards,
Short term Trades
Currency Pair: XAG -0.83% .USD( silver -0.21% )
Sell Entry Price: 14.500
Take Profit: 14.000
Stop Loss: 15.00
Capital Risk: 2000USD-(amount may vary depending on your account size and risk tolerance)
Potential Reward: 2000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:1
(we can adjust (limit, close or even reverse) the position before this price level is reached)
Is Gold Forming a Bottom, or a Bear Flag?At the time of publishing this report gold is trading at around $1220(our entry price) whereas white metal is Trading lower at $14.16 which implies that our position in silver is already running in profits and we believe it' going to hit the target very soon along with the sharp downside fall in yellow metal prices.
we witnessed a sharp downside fall in silver and moderate fall in gold prices as The U.S. dollar hit a new daily high while crude oil prices broke below further and reached a fresh daily low. Oil prices dropped below $50 a barrel Today. we already informed you that falling prices in oil is deflationary and most analysts try to predict the upcoming cycle of inflation or deflation based upon the current oil prices Trend, however, weak oil prices mean inflation expectations will remain low-.U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi are scheduled to meet face-to-face in Argentina This Saturday-
The important thing to understand here is that the U.S CHINA Trade war is very bearish for the gold and silver and as Trump has already made negative comments on this matter on Monday market is not expecting any improvement in the situation-the U.S CHINA Trade war is also a factor which is contributing to The U.S dollar bullish movement, However, any easing in the ongoing trade war will shoot up the prices of gold and silver-
we need to see the fed cutting or pausing the interest rates hike which will ultimately drive the precious metals prices higher but as we already know fed rate hike seems not to stop very soon-Markets are expecting fed to raise rates in December and two another rates hikes next year, however, this expectation has been cut in half as previously market expectation was four rate hikes in the next year,Negative sentiment can also be seen in futures markets as bearish speculative positioning continues to dominate the precious metals
Technicals-Our two position are in gold and silver and silver position is already running in profit, however, we believe buyers should be very cautious at this point as we believe 1200 level will be easily broken and there is not much support until 1180. Gold -0.73% -0.07% -0.37% 0.17% 0.69% likely will not be able to support around its psychological level if the U.S Dollar keeps rising and there are numerous factors which are suggesting the future dollar strenth-The declined started in Asia-pacific trade after it went below the 100 days moving average at last week
overall it seems that position in gold -0.73% -0.07% -0.37% 0.17% 0.69% and silver -0.14% -0.14% -0.35% 0.49% 0.57% will be highly profitable in coming weeks-we are very bearish for the precious metal sector and we think the downfall has just been started.
existing positions
Currency Pair: XAUUSD -0.61% ( Gold -0.74% )
Sell Stop Entry Price:1220
Take Profit: 1180
Stop Loss:1240
Capital Risk:2000USD(amount may vary depending on your account size and risk tolerance)
Potential Reward: 4000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:2
(we can adjust (limit, close or even reverse) the position before this price level is reached)
Should you require any more information don't hesitate to contact us.
Many regards,
Short term Trades
Currency Pair: XAG -0.83% .USD( silver -0.21% )
Sell Entry Price: 14.500
Take Profit: 14.000
Stop Loss: 15.00
Capital Risk: 2000USD-(amount may vary depending on your account size and risk tolerance)
Potential Reward: 2000USD
Risk/Reward: 1:1
(we can adjust (limit, close or even reverse) the position before this price level is reached)