USDZAR
LONG USDZARLONG USDZAR @ 14.67
TP @ 16
SL @ 14.40
We have seen the ZAR strengthening against the US dollar in the last few weeks. This was dude to rising global commodity prices helping SA's net exports. Another reason was that due to inflation and SARB entered an aggressive hiking cycle. However, I think this move is oversold. SA has many problems that they need to recover from before ZAR can continue to throw its weight around. On top of this, we have broken out of the downward channel, and cleared resistance at the 14.67 Fibbo lvl. I have therefore entered my trade at that lvl as I expect the pair to grind towards the 16 mark in the coming days and weeks.
Good luck.
USDZAR Defined channelUSDZAR has been trading in a defined down sloping channel for since November. Top of the channel was R16,37 and the bottom of the channel was R14,42. ZAR strength I think was mainly driven by a strong commodities run as well as a weakening $. Current price is up against resistance at the R15 level and it remains to be seen if this level will hold, or be broken. If it is broken, then the top of the channel at R16,37 could once again become a target.
USDZAR | RESISTANCE AHEAD
USDZAR has been trading in ascending triangle with reactive rising support. The current price is approaching to the seller zone area once again where rejection is expected
Alternatively, a break above will result in bullish bias and long positions can be placed.
Trade your levels accordingly.
USDZAR H4 H&SUSDZAR H4 H&S inverted
We have a H&S inverted on H4.
The price break the neckline and now is testing it.
We also can see an divergence on H4 which is an additional indicator for price to go up.
I can see the price up until 15.000 level or even above to the trending line.
This is just an opinion, not a signal.
Please feel free to comment with your own oppinion
USDZAR LONG - Buy Entry - D1 ChartUSDZAR LONG - Buy Entry - D1 Chart
Buy @ Market
Symbol: USDZAR
Timeframe: D1
Type: BUY
Entry Price: Buy @ Market
Resistance @ 16.13850
Resistance @ 15.42816
Pivot Point Yearly @ 15.21809
Resistance @ 14.97762
Support @ 14.51604
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UASZARThe ZAR has been a very strong currency over recent weeks, consistently moving higher against the USD which has itself been in a long-term bullish trend. The USD also rose against a basket of currencies last week but fell quite strongly against the ZAR as can be seen in the price chart below.
Last week’s price action saw a close near the low of the week’s range, and it was the lowest weekly close made since September 2021.
There are good reasons to look for a short trade here to exploit the bearish momentum, but bears should watch out for the potentially inflective low point at 14.3518 which might be supportive.
Dollar / South African Rand (USDZAR) High Timeframe outline HTF (High Time Frame) outlook for the South African Rand. Lets see how it plays out over the coming months.
I am currrently positioned long and per the box, break down from here and you target the next range below for some action. HTF charts take long to play out. Wonder what the news will be ....
USD at monthly resistance, so probably heading to the lower box. These monthlys all tested, and weekly struggling to hold. So lower box looking prbable for now. However, this is the range to long, albiet a bit sketchy.
USD looking strong against CHINA YEN , this could play a significant role, as South Africa (Along with rest of Africa) is aligned (owned) by China.
USDZAR end of Q1The rand has held up resiliently against the dollar during this recent patch of geopolitical tension largely due the rise in commodity prices, particularly precious metals. Risk-assets, such as equities and the rand, received strong bids following the Fed rate hike and going forward I don't see the rand depreciating rapidly from further Fed rate hikes as the year progresses. While we're on the topic of interest rates, I believe hikes are priced in and the rand's carry trade appeal is still very strong (SA 10-year yield = 9.785% vs US = 2.388%).
SA's trade balance surplus has however slipped from R29 billion in December to R3.55 billion in January and the forecast for February is expected to climb higher to R16.50 billion which is fundamentally rand positive.
Let's get techi:
The rand has pulled back 50% of its 2H2021 losses and the 50% fibo rate of 14.79 is the next support rate to watch (just a reminder I use a log scale chart and my Fibo retracements are also based on the log scale). A break below 14.79 will open the gates for a move lower towards the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 14.45 and the 23.6% Fibo retracement from the rand's 2020 recovery. I do however expect the rand to give back a bit and for the support at 14.79 to hold some strength. The RSI seems to be losing some downward momentum and the stochastic indicator is currently trading deep in the oversold zone (rand overbought). A pullback towards the 50-day MA of 15.20 and the 200-day MA of 15.05 is looking plausible but I expect the critical resistance rate of 15.15 to hold its ground. A failed break back above 15.15 will leave the window open for further rand strength. A break above 15.15 will however see the rand slip to 15.40 against the dollar.
There is also a looming death cross on the pair (50-day MA crossing below the 200-day MA) which will be rand positive.
To summarise, I see the pair moving into the zone between 14.35 and 14.60 as Q2 progresses.
USDZAR 14.96170 + 0.24 % LONG IDEA * REVERSAL PATTERNS,BREAKOUT HEY EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR
* The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the BASE of this structure ENTERING a range as we see momentum to the down side slow down somewhat.
- Short term the pair is currently rejecting at this structure possibly signaling a change in momentum on the 4h chart this,the delay at this level might just be the signal that we might be changing direction towards the bulls..
- Looking for long entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
LOOKING FOR A BREAKOUT ON LOWER TIME-FRAMES AND POSSIBLY SIGNS OF BULLISH MOMENTUM
lets see how it goes
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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USDZAR and GravityUSDZAR is heavily bearish in the coming weeks. The expectation I have here is for the price to retrace a bit to area of supply zone for re-test after which sellers may take control. The pair, however, may go down at any point in time, the issue at hand is to work out the area where the pair may turn for downtrend to resume.
Trade well and take care.