USDZAR LongPotential buy opportunity on the retest of the daily support for a long-term movement to the upside.
Entry will be ideal on the lower timeframes considering the formation of an inverse head & shoulders pattern.
This trade poses a great risk-reward however, please take note that the pair is an exotic pair and with the Ukraine-Russian tension there could still be a lot of volatility so take great care when trading.
USDZAR
USDZAR 15.13150 + 0.09 % SHORT IDEA * CONTINUATION PATTERNS CONTHEY EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR
* The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the TOP of this structure creating a double top after some strong bullish rally.
- Short term the pair is currently rejecting at this structure possibly signaling a change in momentum on the 4h chart this..
- Looking for short entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
lets see how it goes
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE
USD/ZAR : REVERSAL BUTTERFLY PATTERN FORMATION | LONG TRIGGERHello Everyone, I hope you'll Appreciate our Price action Analysis !
Our strategy is based on Swing trading with price action Analysis and Advanced Fibos tools.
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Checking in on the ZARThe rand seems to be holding steadily following the past two weeks of Fed noise and Friday's non-farm payroll print. The US 10-year treasury yield spiked rapidly after the payrolls print, roughly 4.37% to 1.912 which allowed the DXY to gain some strength. The key resistance rate for continued rand weakness in my opinion remains at 15.64388 (the 38.2% Fibo retracement rate from the pair's highs in April 2020). This resistance rate also coincides satisfyingly with the 50-day MA rate of 15.65.
In terms of the Elliot wave theory the impulse wave from the dashed blue channel has been invalidated because wave four broke below the peak of wave one at 15.40. The channel is however still holding its ground which is rand negative.
In terms of commodities, the current commodity cycle is still well intact. Brent crude oil closed the week at $92.74 and looks set to go much much higher as the year progresses which is rand positive. The one commodity to watch for this pair however is platinum. The precious metal is currently holding onto prices above $1000/oz after starting the year positively but the resistance price of $1066/oz still remains intact.
Technically, there is a buy signal on the MACD indicator and the RSI is trending higher which is hinting at some rand weakness for the month of Feb. A break above 15.64 will allow the pair to test December's high of 16.10. On the flip side, if the rand can hold the pair below the 50-day MA and pull the pair below 15.40 we could see a retest of 15.04.
USDZAR 1D chartExpecting the 4th wave end soon and waiting for long.
Technically, the price is finishing the adjusted wave C with double bottom and reaches Fib 0.318 of the 3rd wave. Also, on weekly chart the head shoulder pattern leads the price go up.
On the other hand, SA has a non event SONA this week, unemployment rate remains at high level. I can’t see anything to support ZAR except for higher prices of commodities atm.
FOMC is coming and the hike rate won’t be long. Let’s see.
It’s my personal analysis and not for other investment purposes. Trade safe.
USDZAR Top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDZAR 4 Hour ChartThis is a test chart for my modified predictive indicator.
The red arrows are stops.
High and Low points can occur on the white vertical line (Daily Swing Prediction line) or within three candles on either side of a white vertical line
The trade is entered when a candle crosses the White vertical line (Daily Swing Prediction line) and there is a change in candle color. After the candle color change the first candle to be completely captured by the 4 MA is the trade entry candle.
The trade is exited when a candle crosses the White vertical line (Daily Swing Prediction line) and there is a change in candle color. After the color change the first candle to be completely captured by the 4 MA is the trade exit candle.
USDZAR OVERSOLD - LONG TERM TRADE[Fundamental insight:
We are experiencing an influx of ‘endemic’, and Covid is on the verge of disappearing from the news. With record U.S. inflation, the market is not in hurry to buy USD toward March rate hike. We are still in the strong bullish bias on USD into March. With the tight labor market, no matter what, inflation will keep rising and will be rising even more as pandemics fades away. And the March hike rate has been confirmed by Jerome Powell.
The key moment for the next week is FOMC. We suspect that the Fed will only re-iterate their previous stance with some wishy washy flavor like easing inflation, supply bottleneck, etc. This will not affecting their stance to hike on March.
The setup:
However, it is always possible that there will be further weakness for USD. This is why it is always important to start enter position lighty relative to your account. So it have capability to averaging in case that the trade not going into our favor immediately. If you are not comfortable or not experience on this kind of trade, it is better to stay away.
This is more about broader view on USD, please do your own diligent to check entry based on your method or technical analysis.
Do not forget that this is an exotic pair. Which mean, the pip value is there. and the big spread spike on some brokers is always possible.
Remember to always trade safely.
Cheers.
USD / ZAR 15.36988 +1.79 % LONG IDEA * CONTINUATION PATTERNHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR
* The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the base of this structure creating a double bottom as we enter a strong bullish rally.
- Short term the pair has currently broken structure possibly signaling a strong bullish momentum on the 4h chart this.
- There is a supply zone to look out for on the on the pair ahead which will serve as the target for this trade should the ENERGY continue upwards.
- Looking for long entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
lets see how it goes
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE