BUYING OPPORTUNITY FOR USDZARAfter a long bearish trend for USDZAR over the past two weeks, finally, the price was able to reach the weekly support cluster. We can also see the loss of momentum as the price approaches this zone. Moreover, there's formation of a bearish channel on the zone which signifies a potential reversal. To buy the market wait for the breakout of the channel then buy on the retest.
NB; Trade carefully and wait for clear price action to enter the market as market conditions can change anytime.
What is your plan on USDZAR? Bullish or Bearish, comment below!
USDZAR
USD/ZAR: FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS + SHARK PATTERN FORMATION 🔔The South African Current Account for the second quarter is predicted at ZAR305.1B, and to the Current Account Percentage of GDP at 4.90%. Forex traders can compare this to the South African Current Account for the first quarter, reported at ZAR267.3B, and the Current Account Percentage of GDP at 5.00%.
South African Manufacturing Production for July is predicted to decrease 3.0% monthly and increase 3.6% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to South African Manufacturing Production for June, which decreased 0.7% monthly and increased 12.5% annualized.
US Initial Jobless Claims for the week of September 4th are predicted at 335K, and US Continuing Claims for the week of August 28th are predicted at 2,744K. Forex traders can compare this to US Initial Jobless Claims for the week of August 28th, reported at 340K, and to US Continuing Claims for the week of August 21st, reported at 2,748K.
The forecast for the USD/ZAR remains bearish despite its recent sell-off.
Can bears extend their dominance over the USD/ZAR and force more downside?
USDZAR seeing some chunky price movesIn these moribund markets you have to move further out on the risk curve and look at more exotic currency pairs for vol and sizeable pip moves - my former place of birth's currency, the rand, doesn't disappoint in this regard. For example, the 14 period ATR currently reads just above 2000 pips. Price has retraced its risk-off losses from 2 weeks prior. There are a couple factors working in the rand’s favour – GDP re-estimation higher, healthier balance sheet of the national electricity provider Eskom, solid rebound in PMI. However, the rand does have a high beta to risk and there are new mutations arising, which if potent enough could sour risk sentiment again and hurt the rand. Additionally, when the Fed starts tightening the screws with their monetary policy (especially if the upcoming job reports are robust), we will see outflows and this will pressure the rand. Lastly, given the strong rallies we've seen in precious metals SA has achieved a significant current account surplus. However, going forward their terms of trade will get hit hard if oil moves higher and gold lower, which to me seems like the probable path for both assets as the Fed tightens (real yields higher - hurts gold) and the economy reopens.
The RSI hit overbought and signalled the near term top for price. Price is now just below its 200-day SMA and 50-day SMA. A golden cross/death cross looks imminent. There is horizontal support at the 14.5 level. Price is also below its lower trend line of the ascending channel. The target on the downside would be the strong 14.2 horizontal support. On the upside, weakness in the rand could see moves toward the round number of 15.
(Luke Suddards)
USDZAR - Long Term Lookout ForexHi Everyone
Been a while since I've posted on my account here! I felt like doing something different today (other than crypto) after someone asked me about USDZAR / Forex.
Even if you're not into this specific trading pair, watch the video anyway, I mention some really interesting points that you can apply to your other chart pairs like fib time zones etc.
The Fractal / Wyckoff Method:
The Fractal demonstrating effectiveness of Fibonacci for time zones:
The new fractal and accompanying Fibonacci time zone:
Watch for 3 price targets before Feb 2022.
Let me know your thoughts below,
BlockTechEv
usdzar First time analyzing USD ZAR, but I think when the USD is involved I can trade it. Hope you look at the entry point first before entering. The rest is good, guys please check the news every time you enter because the news help us know what is really happening. Please do not forget to follow me and like my analysis.
USDZAR Expected to Move Towards 14.22 in Short TermTrend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 15-Min . The FX Cross USDZAR has been trading in a rectangular pattern between the 14.33145 and 14.44046 range over the last couple of days, providing an opportunity for a breakout in the FX Cross. Expectations are for USDZAR to break below the rectangular chart pattern to head towards 14.21 zone.
Technical Indicators
USDZAR is trading below its short (25-SMA), medium (75-SMA) and fractal moving averages. Also the FX Cross’s KST has had a negative crossover and its RSI is trading below 50. Also, at the time of publishing the technical strategy matrix has an overall sell in the 15-min, 1-hr, 4-hr and daily timeframe. These technical indicators support the view that USDZAR will decline in the short term.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go short at market. Stop loss will be set around the 14.45 price level and a target of 14.22. This produces a risk-reward ratio of 1.31.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in USDZAR.
USDZAR Intraday/ScalpYour entry criteria is also your reason for exit. Luckily, our TP was hit and immediately, started forming a falling correction. If this forms in a downtrend, 90% of the time, price is going to reverse. My second confluence is the divergence on my RSI. My third confluence is the 8 & 14 EMA cross over on the M15. Another confluence is the trendline violation. So all in all we had 4 confluences supporting the entry. Another bias here is, the setup is exactly similar to my previously posted setup on Gold.
Risk:Reward Ratio is 1:3
*Disclaimer*
This is not financial advice. Forex trading is a risky business. Trade at your own risk. Patience and risk management are crucial.
#Trade_Like_A_Magnate
USDZAR SwingAs anticipated last week, USDZAR did go for a trendline retest, gave us a rejection, we made an entry and held. This is the progress now. Profits have been locked in order to have a risk-free trade.
*Disclaimer*
This is not financial advice. Forex trading is a risky business. Trade at your own risk.
#Trade_Like_A_Magnate