USDZAR
USDZAR approaching support, potential bounce | 29 April 2020Price is approaching our first support level in line with our 61.8% retracement and horizontal pullback support where we could see a bounce to our first resistance level , in line with our 38.2% fibonacci retracement . The video analysis is linked below as well, so do check that out and leave a comment on ideas you would like to see next!
USDZAR approaching support, potential bounce | 29 April 2020Price is approaching our first support level in line with our 61.8% retracement and horizontal pullback support where we could see a bounce to our first resistance level, in line with our 38.2% fibonacci retracement. The written version is linked below as well, so do check that out and leave a comment on ideas you would like to see next!
USDZAR Bullish or Bearish???In my previous analyses I have provided reasons as to why I considered the USDZAR bullish for the medium to long term but it seems for the short term at least we may be seeing bearish price movements. I believe we're seeing this because of weakening of the USD and in part due to overbought levels on the daily time frame, meaning its a necessary pull back if we are to see good momentum going forward in terms of bullish action, also if you refer to the gann fan drawn in that I had also mentioned in my previous analyses you'll see we currently rest on the 3/1 ratio line which I spoke about earlier last week when price broke through the very respected 2/1 ratio line. I did not want to rely too heavily on the fan, however it does coincide with previous support + the ascending wedge and was respected for quite some time, and as such it's my belief that if price is to move in a bullish direction it's going to happen sooner rather than later (2 days left till May ).
Long USD/TRY : Turkey Lira WeakeningThe Lira is nearing its all-time wides relative to the dollar. The Fed’s foreign CB repos and swap lines can tame the USD a bit, but they can’t save the weakest EMs like Turkey and South Africa. Some of Turkey’s largest exports are cars, trucks, and vehicle parts (the 3 are roughly 14% of exports). COVID transportation pain not going anywhere... TRY is. (weaker).