USDZAR top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDZAR
The rand is going up FINALLY! Target R15.92 - With confusion!Rounding Top (Scallop) has formed on the daily chart.
The price has broken below the neckline which signals bearish for USD
Also the moving averages are almost looking good.
21 > 7 >200 - Bearish
First target R15.92
The correlation between the Rand and the JSE stocks have somewhat reversed as of late. When stocks rise, the rand tends to strengthen and vice versa.
Now this makes sense in a way that a stronger rand means more buying power for consumers and more confidence in the economy.
However, we are a HIGH export country where we export in US dollars. As the heavy weightings of the JSE is with resources, we used to fall with a weakening US dollar.
Also, we tend to mirror the S&P500 and the DOw Jones as it's a leading indicator.
So the question we need to ask is... Is America signalling that we are in for massive downside again soon and this has just been a bull trap for us buyers.
OR is this the change in correlation where the JSE will continue up despite what happens in America and the US Dolla.
I Hope the latter.
Things aren't as they always seem.
USDZAR 23rd NOVEMBER 2022Investors tend to be side-lined ahead of the minutes of the US central bank's (The Fed) FOMC meeting and the thanksgiving holiday. The weakening of the dollar was supported by the return of risk on sentiment.
USDZAR breakout daily support from bullish channel pattern. A bearish trend has the potential to occur in the next few days.
USD/ZAR Wave 5 Sell-OffUSDZAR has been trading bullish in the long-term or higher timeframe, we are currently trading in a corrective phase as a 1-2-3-4-5 where wave 1-2-3-4 has already occurred and we are waiting for wave 5 completion. Wave 4 is a possible triangle pattern, keep in mind that waves 1 and 4 can not overlap so we can use that idea to use as stop loss or invalidation level. After wave 5 completion, we can expect a short-term corrective pattern in the upside direction before the last drop as a (c) wave.
USDZAR WeeklyThe best time to analyze the market is when its closed. After a analyzing the weekly chart of USDZAR, I think this market could continue its overall trend to the upside. The market is currently under the 14MA, meaning this market is selling.
Lets compare last week engulfed sell candle compared to this week. WHERE IS THE SELLING MOMENTUM? It does not make any sense for this market to have amazing selling power last week and this week it died down. Consistency is key and this market is NOT consistent in the selling momentum.
Looking at this market, I am expecting USDZAR to continue to travel towards the upside and I am expecting this market to break the highest high 19.06 continuing to go higher.
We will see :)
#USDZAR Weekly chart - exhaustion - time for some rand strength?#USDZAR lots of indecision from the bulls & bears but the fact that we have had 3 lower highs and 3 lower lows on price in the last 3 weeks (weekly candles) suggests that the ZAR bears (USD bulls) are exhausted. I am expecting some rand strength in the next couple of weeks.
First target 20dma at 17.17, but rising daily so 17.30 would be an approximate level to watch for.
Channel/BreakoutUSDZAR is currently at an interesting point. The price is now on support and on channel's support. There are more reasons to buy the pair right now than to sell,though we must also leave a room for bears as for this channel can be broken at any time. On this setup. We are definitely waiting for a catalyst to appear, FOR SELL we have to place trades after a candle closes below the support and breaks the channel below. For BUY we are waiting for a pair to print a doji candle or any other form of bullish candle. Lets Download Sucess .
USD/ZAR is breaking out of a critical channelOANDA:USDZAR is breaking out of a critical parallel channel
We have been short the Rand (i.e Long the USD/ZAR pair) since it broke out of the previous parallel channel, however the Rand is gaining strength against the dollar.
We closed the position once the rand hit the 1.618 fib extension target at R18.38/$.
We have switched to a long position on the ZAR due to the following (i.e short position on the USD/ZAR pair):
1) There are multiple bearish divergences that was flashing at the R18.38/$ target
2) We have now closed 5 daily candles below the 50day SMA
3) Rejection at the 1.618 Fib extension target
4) Daily close below the parallel channel that has been in place for a good portion of the 2022
Targets are as follows:
1) R16.8/$ - This is the strongest support and one should close majority of the trade at this target
2) R15.87/$
3) R15.2/$
Good luck
USDZAR possible sell zone!USDZAR has formed a strong bearish price action with strong liquidity grab from the resistance zone. The price already over extended in the higher timeframe and likely to reverse to complete a healthy retracement to the downside.
as the price started it's downtrend, a sell trade is high probable after retesting the previous support turning resistance.
USDZAR top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.