Usdzaranalysis
USDZAR BEAR PLANHi Guys,
I really love this pair because its very specific in the way it moves if you have spent enough time with it. I kept this analysis simple because I don't see any major bullish opportunities because our analysis of the dollar is not strengthening anytime soon.
But this is the market keep your eyes neutral and stick to your plan!
Good luck,
Fibz
USDZAR PRICE STRUCTURECurrently price action is trading low and we can verify we are approaching the sell zone. currently 23.6
price will target Previous low 78.6
5.5% Bear action
Using pattern we can verify its a M pattern and target is certain
slow but steady its gonna be a swing trade
hoping the Powell news drive it lower in favor.
Bag safely...its a blessed week ahead.
Potential Short Position USD/ZAR (Medium-Term)Looking too potentially short the USD/ZAR at the 14,98 / 15.07 level, given the resistance zone holds and there is a bearish entry signal on the 6h chart. Potential take profit levels are 14,76050; 14,64230 and 14,61000. A well placed stop-loss level should provide a risk:reward ratio of above 1:2. The trade also offers a positive carry benefit.
USDZAR clean breakdownThe pair is at a very important area of resistance from where it has bounced in the past (green circles) and has failed to break it in all 4 occasions that has tried. It has also entered overbought territory. Furthermore, in that bullish movement seen the last few days, the support area at 14.6 has not been restested and that is a major support.
Lets look at the 4H chart:
We see a few things that give me if not huge bearish signals, a very good R:R ratio :
1) Huge RSI divergence ( marked by purple lines )
2) Price at area of resistance and looking like a triple top
3) After the clean move up yesterday there is no support at all until the 15.12 area where the MA50 will come into play
4) Doji on the last 4H candle what means indecision
5) Once we hit MA50 we will monitor how the pair reacts
How am I planning to play this trade?
I am looking at a very aggressive entry on the H1 chart:
We see that the pair has failed to break the resistance recently in multiple occasions (green circles) and the last attempt was very weak. I am looking to entry when that minor area of support at 15.3577 is broken with a SL just above the highs.
Profit Targets will be the MA50 on 4H at around 15.12 and the main support at 14.6
Trade safe!
USDZAR LONG EDUCATION The Power of TrendlinesHello to all watching my charts
Here i will tell you (again) the power of trading
broken trendlines for example in USDZAR a little bit exotic pair
but its interested that here also this trading type will get very positive results.
Lets have a closer look to the last 2 Month from 7. June to 7. August
Now what happens:
7.6. USDZAR broke the first long trendline (if you count from left to right)
SHORT 14.900
5.7. USDZAR broke the second (short) trendline
LONG 14.200 + 700
10.7. USDZAR broke the third (long) trendline
SHORT 14.060 - 140
26.7. USDZAR broke the forth (short) trendline
LONG 14.200 - 140
7.8. Situation is still long at
15.000 + 800
So in total ist PLUS 1220 !!
Thats really impressive i think and all with only 4 trades in 2 month.
I will tell you this in the future on my website which i do hope
will be ready soon.
Good trades
If you want to support my work and my charts please like them..
Renkotrade
USDZAR reboundUSDZAR has printed a long tail (hammer) candlestick at an area of strong support where we have seen the pair rebound in the past several times (green cirles). Furthermore the pair broke the support and recovered in a very strong way. The market is also approaching the descending trendline dating from the beginning of June.
RSI is printing a bit of a divergence with the price falling strong but RSI staying neutral.
MACD also confirms the recovery.
I believe a rebound to the 14.6 area is on the cards. For that we want to see the pair break the trendline and hold above support. We can see it more clearly on the 4H chart
The kind of price action I am expecting is an approach to the trendline and then a pullback back to support when it encounters resistance from the 50MA to gain strength again.
We also see how the price has been falling but RSI has been gaining strength. This divergence is a very clear signal for reversal.
Do you have other ideas? Let me know in the comments!!