USDZAR – bullish PA expected .. the week of 06 June.The recent price action is corrective and within a channel structure. Many call this PA as a flag pattern (seen better on the H4 chart). Either way, price is now at support and I expect this 15.4240 region to hold. It has been tested a few times already and I am ready to take a long here. Additional factors in favor of a long are:
the preceding trend was bullish and
price is above the 200dma.
Even with a generous stop we still have the potential to get 2.7R and these odds make it a worthwhile risk. Bear in mind however, the wide spreads and negative swap in going long on this pair.
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Usdzarlong
LONG USDZARLONG USDZAR @ 14.67
TP @ 16
SL @ 14.40
We have seen the ZAR strengthening against the US dollar in the last few weeks. This was dude to rising global commodity prices helping SA's net exports. Another reason was that due to inflation and SARB entered an aggressive hiking cycle. However, I think this move is oversold. SA has many problems that they need to recover from before ZAR can continue to throw its weight around. On top of this, we have broken out of the downward channel, and cleared resistance at the 14.67 Fibbo lvl. I have therefore entered my trade at that lvl as I expect the pair to grind towards the 16 mark in the coming days and weeks.
Good luck.
USDZAR LONG - Buy Entry - D1 ChartUSDZAR LONG - Buy Entry - D1 Chart
Buy @ Market
Symbol: USDZAR
Timeframe: D1
Type: BUY
Entry Price: Buy @ Market
Resistance @ 16.13850
Resistance @ 15.42816
Pivot Point Yearly @ 15.21809
Resistance @ 14.97762
Support @ 14.51604
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USDZAR 14.96170 + 0.24 % LONG IDEA * REVERSAL PATTERNS,BREAKOUT HEY EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR
* The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the BASE of this structure ENTERING a range as we see momentum to the down side slow down somewhat.
- Short term the pair is currently rejecting at this structure possibly signaling a change in momentum on the 4h chart this,the delay at this level might just be the signal that we might be changing direction towards the bulls..
- Looking for long entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
LOOKING FOR A BREAKOUT ON LOWER TIME-FRAMES AND POSSIBLY SIGNS OF BULLISH MOMENTUM
lets see how it goes
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE
USDZAR | CHANNEL BREAKING?
USDZAR has been trading in a bearish parallel channel and is touching the top resistance of channel. Will it break?
The momentum looks strong and candlestick is the prove. Only if it manages to break the horizontal highlighted area then one can enter long in here.
Alternatively rejecting from the top will result in pressure.
Trade your levels accordingly.
USDZAR LongPotential buy opportunity on the retest of the daily support for a long-term movement to the upside.
Entry will be ideal on the lower timeframes considering the formation of an inverse head & shoulders pattern.
This trade poses a great risk-reward however, please take note that the pair is an exotic pair and with the Ukraine-Russian tension there could still be a lot of volatility so take great care when trading.
USDZAR 15.13150 + 0.09 % SHORT IDEA * CONTINUATION PATTERNS CONTHEY EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR
* The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the TOP of this structure creating a double top after some strong bullish rally.
- Short term the pair is currently rejecting at this structure possibly signaling a change in momentum on the 4h chart this..
- Looking for short entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
lets see how it goes
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE
USDZAR OVERSOLD - LONG TERM TRADE[Fundamental insight:
We are experiencing an influx of ‘endemic’, and Covid is on the verge of disappearing from the news. With record U.S. inflation, the market is not in hurry to buy USD toward March rate hike. We are still in the strong bullish bias on USD into March. With the tight labor market, no matter what, inflation will keep rising and will be rising even more as pandemics fades away. And the March hike rate has been confirmed by Jerome Powell.
The key moment for the next week is FOMC. We suspect that the Fed will only re-iterate their previous stance with some wishy washy flavor like easing inflation, supply bottleneck, etc. This will not affecting their stance to hike on March.
The setup:
However, it is always possible that there will be further weakness for USD. This is why it is always important to start enter position lighty relative to your account. So it have capability to averaging in case that the trade not going into our favor immediately. If you are not comfortable or not experience on this kind of trade, it is better to stay away.
This is more about broader view on USD, please do your own diligent to check entry based on your method or technical analysis.
Do not forget that this is an exotic pair. Which mean, the pip value is there. and the big spread spike on some brokers is always possible.
Remember to always trade safely.
Cheers.
USD / ZAR 15.36988 +1.79 % LONG IDEA * CONTINUATION PATTERNHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
NEW WEEK, NEW OPPORTUNITIES.
LOOKING AT THE DOLLAR / ZAR
* The PAIR has been trading in a descending channel just tested the base of this structure creating a double bottom as we enter a strong bullish rally.
- Short term the pair has currently broken structure possibly signaling a strong bullish momentum on the 4h chart this.
- There is a supply zone to look out for on the on the pair ahead which will serve as the target for this trade should the ENERGY continue upwards.
- Looking for long entries on the THE DOLLAR ZAR this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
lets see how it goes
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE
USDZAR Top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
If RAND devalutes like Turkish Lira, how it may happen? You see the weekly USDZAR graph. Wait for confirmation of breakout on the pink line, then BUY.
For long term, I always expect upside on suchexıtic currencies.
If sth bad happens for RAND, like Turkish Lira, USDZAR may go up to 29
Target 1: The fair value by Robin Brooks of IIF is 17. It is the .618 Fibo level. Target#1 is 17
Target 2: ATH for USDZAR is 19,35. After breaking 17, It may take some long time to reach here. Target#2 is 19,35
Target 3: If the breaks ATH record, it may go to moon so quick. 23 (1.618 fibo) and 29 (2.618 fibo) are possible. Target#3 is 23 or 29