USD/ZAR Swing Trade IdeaUSD/ZAR analysis using ghost feed. Took previous price action around before last major swing high to swing low as an idea for future price action. Trade idea based upon previous market structure which is following the most recent trend. The market tends to repeat itself at times; trade idea also reflects that if this plays out, price is contained in downward channel as noted. This analysis is for study and educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Usdzarshort
USD/ZAR Short IdeaUSD/ZAR price is following along a descending channel on the week and day chart. Looking for price to retrace back to the 23.6% or 38.2% key fib area before extending to lower price around 12.73, which is a key price level. Price could also pull back to the top of the channel, and thus form a head and shoulders before moving back to lower levels. Place stop loss at top of channel in case of retracement to recent high price. This idea is for educational and demonstration purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
USDZAR - strong resistance - SHORTNot much to say, everything on chart.. short for quick profit
1. Very strong resistance on fib levels, getting rejected everytime
2. long term bullish but enjoy the small dip expecting to 0.5 or 0.618 level dip
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Vinny
USD/ZAR Short Forming 4hr ChartPrice action had been respecting major levels and recently bounced the 0.236 fib levels up through the wedge upper trendlines with its eye on 1.618 zones around 12.09825. I am looking for it to pullback lightly into trendlines supporting the next extension of this breakout wave. Too high risk to short quite yet, I need to see a reversal candle and indicators saying wave is over . I will be looking for short zones above 12.1 with targets back down into channel at current levels around 12.0, but very possible shortside starts forming sooner than that around 12.05 zones.
USDZAR Targets 11.2750 and 10.3850 in 2018Rand strength has seen USDZAR on the backfoot lately. Of interest is the failure to break above 12.50.
So looking at the weekly there are two ways to read this.
1) We have seen an equal legs ABC correction into the 12.38 level. Problem with this is the absence of a pin bar at the lows of end Dec 2017 and the first week of Jan 2018
2) We have a head and shoulders pattern and based on the break of the neckline we have a target of 11.2750 (with 10.3850 in extension depending on your view of what the historic USDZAR high really was).
A weekly close above 13.75 negates
Reward:Risk on a short trade of 1.24:1 is not great given downside Rand risk. Rather if seen, 11.27 and 10.38 are good levels for long term long USD/ZAR trades
USDZAR setup - Ratings Decision on FridayInteresting setup on USDZAR - Ratings decision on Friday Evening.
For reference on setup - read this article .
Inflection points identified in yellow shades, interesting volume profile on both the 30min and 1D. Thin volume at current price level, could help the velocity of the bounce!
With thanksgiving in the US, we might see a turkey-shoot!!
Anyway Juicy Setup@!
Up & DownUsd Zar try to rise his price helped by stronger USD
But i think that it will not have the necessary power to breakout the dynamic trendline at top then it will go down again
So my vision is Long now until dynamic trendline has reached the short
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USDZAR landing nowAs described in the chart first and second target .. only short position please Very High Pressure.
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USDZAR might head downUSDZAR seems to consolidate on resistance now
It might drop to the psychological level of 13.000
In next 2 weeks
Be careful in trading this pair, its very dangerous
It can make you lot of money and it can take you lot of money
Trade with proper RM/MM and money Management
Good luck guys