S&P sellers kick in, but the market remains strongLast week was marked by some selling activity. As anticipated, sellers took advantage of temporary bullish exhaustion and attempted to push the market down. A strong sell-off occurred on Wednesday, with the market losing 1.2%. However, this sharp decline did not see much follow-through, as the price found strong support at the top of the previous consolidation zone ( 574.7 ). On Friday, buyers even attempted to set a new daily high, but they were unable to maintain it through the close.
All of this leads me to believe that the sellers are not particularly strong, and we remain in a broadly bullish environment. A few key points supporting this bullish outlook include:
1. The weekly uptrend is still intact, and there is ample room for this weekly higher low.
2. There is relative strength in "risk-on" sectors (XLK, XLY), suggesting that bullish sentiment hasn't completely faded.
While we might see some short-term rotation within the 584.5–574.4 range, defined by two daily candle wicks (Wednesday and Friday), the long-term outlook remains decidedly bullish.
This week, important economic data will be released, along with earnings reports from major tech companies. This is likely to cause increased volatility, but unless there are major negative surprises, bullish sentiment should remain solid.
Usmarkets
S&P Bulls Hold Strong, But Is a Market Cooldown Coming?Last week wasn't particularly remarkable. Despite two bearish attacks (on Tuesday and Thursday), buyers still managed to push the market to a new historical high. It was somewhat concerning that they couldn’t sustain the high for even an hour after the open, but since the bearish movement didn’t gain momentum on Friday, the bulls still have the upper hand. We may see some consolidation in the upcoming weeks, as there are signs that the rally is approaching exhaustion (weakening of upthrust, weekly RSI entering the overbought zone, weakness in XLK). However, this market has repeatedly demonstrated its resilience and ability to exceed expectations.
The long-term outlook remains bullish, but given these signals, it would be prudent for buyers to downsize their positions and refrain from selling PUTs.
Mind TSLA report on Wednesday as it can cause some volatility and act as a trigger.
SMCI at a Critical Support: Will Buyers Return?In the daily time frame, SMCI is approaching a key support zone, highlighted in green. This area previously acted as strong resistance, with several attempts to break above it. Although the price hasn’t returned to this zone yet, I believe once it does, buyers could step in again. This level has proven significant before, and if the price revisits this support, it could present a potential buying opportunity. Keep an eye on this zone, as it may signal a shift in momentum if buyers come back. This version reflects that the price hasn’t yet revisited the support zone.
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’re expecting some volatility this Session with the pending FOMC statement so for this report we’ll again look at the extreme levels. We’ve done well already this week, no need to risk anything trying to capture tops and bottoms, so keep an eye on the levels but remember, the trade comes after the event.
The move started early in the week with the price hitting our resistance level and then making the move we wanted completing our first target. This has however left the completion of the move on the table, so we’ll stick with Sundays KOG Report idea for now, but expect a move to the upside potentially into that 2602-5 region and above that 2610! It’s 2610 as the extension that needs to reject the price in order for it make that move downside, as breaking above that will take us further into the 2625-30 region before any breather.
So, as the chart shows, if we get 2602-5 and reject, we could see price move downside to clear the liquidity sitting first at 2550-55 and below that 2525-30.
2525-35 if visited, we feel would represent an opportunity to capture the swing low and then attempt to target that 2550-55 region as the first target.
We’re going to play it safe this time and say if it works it works, if it doesn’t, it doesn’t. If you followed us this week, again we’ve done what we needed to for the week, everything else here is a bonus and should be treated with minimal risk on the markets, until they have settled.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
US DOLLAR - Boxed RangeUS DOLLAR is trading SUPPORT and RESISTANCE zones within a boxed RANGE.
It is respecting a range of 100.53 - 101.93, with respective bounces on either end, keeping it within its BOXED RANGE.
When I'm speaking about a BOXED RANGE, what I mean is that the RANGE ISN'T TIGHT like a normal range, where its looking for volume before a big move, these types of ranges have volume and are easier to read as they respect KEY ZONES, for example right now they are respecting 100.53 - 101.93.
We should wait for the US DOLLAR to enter either SUPPORT or RESISTANCE to enter a trade, we can wait for a rejection + bounce or wait for a breakout.
If the US DOLLAR breaks to the downside (BEARISH) I would expect for the overall US markets to continue it's BULLISH movements, as usually the US MARKET IS INVERSELY PROPORTIONAL TO THE US DOLLAR INDEX...
Conversely if it shows BULLISH signs and begins to move towards the SUPPORT ZONE, I will be looking for the US MARKET to move BEARISH.
NQ E-mini FutureHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in NQ CHART for TRADING entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
Can we go back to reality?Congratulations NVDA, because you delivered everything you could deliver in terms of good results, however, can we get back to reality?
Will the Black Monday that we experienced in 1987, in the DOW JONES index, be experienced again in 2024, and thanks to NVDA and technology companies?
We know what happened between 1980 and 1985 to the American economy, right?
It is known that in the 1980s and early 1990s, dollars could circulate freely around the world, so much so that we had a global economic miracle, and the world was swimming in booming growth.
But, at the current moment, dollars can no longer circulate freely around the world (FED, China, Russia) and continue contributing to global growth? Therefore, the technological war we are experiencing today (chips and electric cars), diverted dollars to these sectors, further inflating this bubble that is about to burst.
Speaking of electric cars, China is firmly dumping its electric cars around the world at very reasonable prices (as it has no intention of breaking its internal market – control), once and for all destroying the automobile industry in many emerging countries, oh my, no?
Let's go graphics.
Monthly: NVDA has reached the three golden levels of the FIB of the SETUP used, so there is nowhere else to go. So, SPX, get ready.
The red lines are resistance points.
Weekly: With the brilliant financial report recently released, prices are ready to seek the golden region of this chart period.
The red lines are resistance points.
Daily. Prices have reached the region of 100% of the bullish pivot.
The red lines are resistance points.
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below.
🇺🇸 US2M - QE To buy the US Debt again ? 💎Here's an intriguing observation I'd like to discuss. The increasing number of diamond 💎💎 alerts serves as a warning sign indicating an imminent significant market move.
- What is the US2M?
The M2 money supply is a measure of the total amount of money in circulation within an economy that includes cash, checking deposits, savings deposits, and other liquid assets. It's broader than M1, which only includes cash and checking deposits. M2 is important because it gives a more comprehensive picture of the available money for spending and investment within an economy.
- Does quantitative easing add to the money supply?
Quantitative easing expands the money supply by enlarging the central bank's balance sheet and introducing fresh cash into the economy. This process boosts banks' reserves held at the central bank, effectively increasing the overall money available for circulation and lending.
So what does it imply ?
📈 When we say quantitative easing increases the money supply, it means that it adds more money into circulation within the economy. This can lead to more available funds for spending, investment, and lending, which can stimulate economic activity. ( + the US Dollar often goes down in this case)
📉 On the other hand, if we say quantitative easing decreases the money supply, it would mean the opposite: the central bank is reducing the amount of money in circulation. This could be done to control inflation or to address other economic concerns where too much money in circulation might cause problems like rising prices. (+ the US Dollar often goes up in this case)
Do not forget to check this US2M Chart, it is very important.
I wish you a great day.
ILT 💎
NASDAQ100 - US MARKETS UPDATEInvesting isn't always that easy, heh?
Especially in Bear Markets, the market circumstances seem to trick one into thinking, that the next bull run will happen soon.
The Bull is climbing up the stairway and it takes a while, whereas the bear jumps out of the window.
Looking at YTD 32.88% decline as of 27.06.2022 in the US TECH 100 is one of the worst Q1 and Q2 in the history of US markets.
Inflation is at 8,6% in the United States (10.06.2022) and around 7.5% in Europe. The western world faces a huge backlash after rising the interest charges by 0.75 percentage-points to a range between 1.5%-1.75%.
Covid-19 is still around and has sluggished the world economy and growth view for the past two years.
Facing climate change may be one of, if not the biggest threat of the 21. century and the Ukraine conflict does not make it look better at all:- )
All the Quantitative Easing and Printing money have led to massive inflation all over the place. The only real solution is to simply "produce more".
Sounds easier than it's done, with a view to collapsed supply chains.
Chart:
RSI is at lows forming a triangle, indecision. 200MA is a good trivial indicator to get a minimum idea of the AVERAGE price of this derivate.
I think a retest of 14.500 is in play, after which the bear market could continue.
I think we have not seen the bottom here, since the real sell-off hasn't happened yet.
Being liquid in dangerous times is the best thing you can do and is actually the only way to really make some money.
So, catching a falling knife is always a risky thing to do, but if you catch it, this could change your life.
These kinds of opportunities are not that often in life, maybe once in a lifetime or once every one or two decades.
The NASDAQ doubled in on year, literally mooning, due to the printed money, which was flooded into the markets, to catch the markets and secure a fluid economy, but guess what, we have used our last gun powder, and no we are facing the costs of this two-year printerage.
It was necessary, but the consequences are real and in my personal opinion, most of the stocks are overpriced. I'm just gonna say it, they are OVERPRICED. Especially tech and housing market looks bubbly and an honest recovery after a healthy bull market from literally the 2008 crisis.
So I think we can go down and test the highs before the Covid-19 Crash (16.03.2020) at around 10.000 points.
I feel like September could be a stop to raising rates, which would lead to more upside, but IF we somehow manage to find a bottom and to not test lower levels, highs as 20.000 until 2024 is absolutely in play!
No one knows what will happen, so my personal bet would be bearish until the market, the government and the economy gives massive positive signals to the public, to reenter a bull market.
Until then i personally stay bearish and stay liquid. I try to average in an amount here and there from time to time. At one point it will turn because everything comes to an end at a certain point.
All right, if you made it until here, thanks for reading!
Take care,
gqt
S&P500 Upward Trend Still Intact"The S&P index continues its upward trajectory, defying expectations of contraction. Despite occasional fluctuations, the overall trend remains resolutely upward. Investor confidence appears unwavering, bolstered by strong economic indicators and corporate performance. This sustained growth signals stability in the financial markets, encouraging continued investment activity. Analysts attribute this resilience to a combination of factors, including fiscal policies, technological advancements, and global market dynamics.
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 18/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5124
SL - 5113
TARGETS - 5131,5140,5150
SELL BELOW - 5113
SL - 5124
TARGETS - 5104,5091,5083
NO TRADE ZONE - 5113 to 5124
Previous Day High - 5131
Previous Day Low - 5104
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 15/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5160
SL - 5150
TARGETS - 5170,5178,5188
SELL BELOW - 5140
SL - 5150
TARGETS - 5120,5109,5100
NO TRADE ZONE - 5140 to 5160
Previous Day High - 5178
Previous Day Low - 5122
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 14/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5170
SL - 5160
TARGETS - 5178,5188,5200
SELL BELOW - 5160
SL - 5170
TARGETS - 5150,5140,5122
NO TRADE ZONE - 5150 to 5178
Previous Day High - 5178
Previous Day Low - 5150
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 13/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5178
SL - 5170
TARGETS - 5188,5200,5215
SELL BELOW - 5170
SL - 5178
TARGETS - 5160,5150,5140
NO TRADE ZONE - 5170 to 5178
Previous Day High - 5178
Previous Day Low - 5122
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 12/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5122
SL - 5109
TARGETS - 5128,5140,5150
SELL BELOW - 5109
SL - 5122
TARGETS - 5100,5091,5083
NO TRADE ZONE - 5109 to 5122
Previous Day High - 5122
Previous Day Low - 5091
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 11/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5128
SL - 5118
TARGETS - 5140,5150,5160
SELL BELOW - 5118
SL - 5128
TARGETS - 5110,5100,5092
NO TRADE ZONE - 5092 to 5110
Previous Day High - 5188
Previous Day Low - 5118
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 07/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5110
SL - 5100
TARGETS - 5118,5128,5140
SELL BELOW - 5092
SL - 5100
TARGETS - 5083,5077,5066
NO TRADE ZONE - 5092 to 5110
Previous Day High - 5128
Previous Day Low - 5092
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 06/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5092
SL - 5083
TARGETS - 5100,5110,5120
SELL BELOW - 5077
SL - 5083
TARGETS - 5066,5057,5047
NO TRADE ZONE - 5130 to 5140
Previous Day High - 5110
Previous Day Low - 5057
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 05/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5140
SL - 5130
TARGETS - 5150,5160,5170
SELL BELOW - 5130
SL - 5140
TARGETS - 5120,5110,5100
NO TRADE ZONE - 5130 to 5140
Previous Day High - 5150
Previous Day Low - 5130
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 04/03/2024BUY ABOVE - 5140
SL - 5132
TARGETS - 5150,5160,5170
SELL BELOW - 5132
SL - 5140
TARGETS - 5120,5110,5100
NO TRADE ZONE - 5132 to 5140
Previous Day High - 5140
Previous Day Low - 5094
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍