USO
USOIL may breakdown from channel. "Panic" condition.I don't like to use the word "panic" much like I don't like to use "crash" since both rarely happen.
But mini-panics do happen quite a lot - where price just can't find a footing and sell orders multiply.
Look at the downward pressure on the channel here on USOIL's 4hr chart. Notice the following:
+ price under 36 has no support until the 34.40s
+ that gap was passed through on the climb from Feb 11 on an unlikely pop out of a rising wedge (so many shorts were playing that wedge - including me - that they fueled that pop through the 35s
+ the LRS-RSI is in a 'up' cycle (white background) and may just pass into a 'down' with a few more ticks, showing the complete lack of buying support since the high wick blowoff black candle in the 39s.
None of this is definitive - price will reveal itself very soon. But I am holding my shorts and won't be shocked with a print in the 34s in the next 12 hours. Then again, that's how counter trend rallies are created .. with fuel provided by guys like me. Trade Safe.
$USOIL $USO $OIL Crude et al (D) Fade to be expected since run.Receded back to (36,38) trading range after fading from SMA200 resistance above.
Good to see difference between SMA50 and SMA200 narrow some; bullish indication. Still has more fundamental work to accomplish.
Overall, still bearish. Potential targets near 36 and 34 (Red SMA50).
"STALKING PRICE"$CL_F $USO $DWTI $UWTI $Oil $XLE $DTO $UCO $CVX DESCRIPTION ON CHART.....
PRICE IS GETTING READY TO CHOOSE ITS LAUNCH
FROM THE BOX...
BOUGHT TO CLOSE USO JAN 17 7/APRIL 1ST 8.5 SYNTHETIC LONGClosing this synthetic long USO play here for a small profit. My timing was a bit off as to entry (I went long on the break of the 2009 low at 32.70), and we may have seen the short-term end of the up move here.
Will consider reloading another synthetic long now that a new low of some kind has been put in ... .
USO hourly RSI double backed on support to go longNotice the horizontal RSI trend line, has been resistance since november, and it broke, so it's now support. If this support doesn't hold, which there's a chance it may not since it's overbought, the RSI will reach the diagonal RSI bull trend. This one has a very high probability of holding because it matches the price action's up trend.