US Oil: Possible short term course.The entire price action the last 3 days looks like a 5 wave up pattern.(see 15 min chart) This usually is followed by another 5 wave up pattern after a correction. The corrections can be complex (such as a 5 wave triangle) or simple (such as an a-b-c)). After that I would not be surprised to see another 5 wave move up to a new short high, perhaps to the 35-36 level. If it would go much higher then it could be part of a more extensive 3 wave. Obviously if the "correction" goes below the recent low this concept is wrong.
Take care. Goodguy
USO
USOIL: Bottom may be in for crude oil On my previous post about 9 days ago I set down target for oil at about 18-25. It got to 27.53 then we had a nice bounce up. To me the form of the upswing looks like a 5 wave up pattern. This action could just be part of a 3 wave down triangle that is still developing and might take oil up to about 36. But it could be the first indication that the longer term bottom is in. This obviously will be wrong if the previous near term low is taken out.
Have a good week trading.
OIL: New low eventually ahead? Seems likely to me.A couple of days ago I suggested that the recent upswing in oil may be short lived and I closed my long position. We did get a correction today. Looking at the weekly longer term log chart I believe most like we will see a lower low ahead. This is based on the two channels I have drawn and the ares of longer term support. My opinion would change if the steeper black down channel is broken. Take care. Have a good week trading.
Did get a nice jump up. Pull back next?I closed my long position just now as I am expecting there will likely be at least a short term pull back from here. We are at the center line of the down channel and have strong negative reversal in the 2 hour rsi. The real question is will the recent bottom hold. Take care. Have a great weekend. Goodguy.
USO COVERED CALL IDEAHaving waited a long time for West Texas Intermediate to hit 2009 levels, I figured I'd put my money where my mouth was and go long USO when it did.
I filled this one earlier today:
Bought 100 Shares USO @ 10.05
Sold 1 Feb 19th 11 Call
Total Package: 9.69 debit
Max Profit: $131 (if called away at 11)
You could probably get a slightly better fill than I did, as USO ended the day at 9.90 ... .