natural gas gold silver oil price forecastWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas Natgas Stock in a daily uptrend
- natural gas ideally bounce at 3.18
#naturalgas #xauusd #dxy #xagusd #natgas #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
04:23 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
05:35 USO Oil Stock Forecast
07:47 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
09:40 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast
12:01 Silver XAGUSD
USO
The Day Ahead: TQQQ, GDXJ, USO, GDX, FXI Premium SellingIt's Friday ... the 13th. Here's what's shakin' in exchange-traded fund premium selling ... .
Top 5 Options Liquid ETF's Ranked by 30-Day IV:
TQQQ 22.9 IVR/60.4 IV
GDXJ 23.6/38.9
USO 46.4/38.8
GDX 26.0/33.6
FXI 14.8/31.4
Ideally, you want to have IVR at >50 and IV at >35% in ETF premium-selling land, but you can't have everything in this market ... .
Broad Market Shortest Duration <16 Delta Strike Paying 1% of the Strike Price In Credit:
IWM, the January 19th 151, paying 1.58 at the mid (14 delta)
QQQ, the January 19th 325, paying 3.44 at the mid (15 delta)
SPY, the February 16th 385, paying 3.93 at the mid (15 delta)
Me, Personally
Currently, I still have quite a bit of broad market on in fourth quarter expiries, with the majority being in the December monthly and the end-of-quarter December 29th. (I have one IWM straggler on in the November monthly). I've begun to deploy out a smidge into the 2024 first quarter), but may just sit on my hands this week depending on whether I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Because of that, I may dabble small with TQQQ as an engagement trade (and to see what all the fuss is about). Pictured here is a 16 delta short put at the 30 strike in the December 15th monthly paying 1.01 at the mid which I'll do as a starter position and then work it from there as I wait on my other positions.
I also already have a GDXJ covered call on (See Post Below), but may add a short put to give me a little extra sumthin' sumthin' on that play.
Crude Oil (CL) Gap Fill LongWhile it's unclear whether crude, which has experienced large moves recently on account of the developing conflict between Israel-Hamas, wants to trade higher or lower over the longer-term, we’re looking to take near-term longs after filling the downside futures gap formed 10/6. We’re only showing down to a 30-minute chart here, but there are some smaller supply/sell zones @ ~84.25-84.75, which could be used for initial profit targets. If the trade works for a bounce, you can also consider applying mechanical targets @ 1:1, 2:1, 3:1, etc. Regarding an exact entry price and stop loss placement, the gap fill demand zone is a bit messy. The closing price of the gap itself, technically, is 82.81, so ideally we’d see CL trade to that #. However, markets aren’t always THAT precise, so it could put in a low at a slightly higher price. Furthermore, stop placement really depends on the timeframe used. The “distal” (lower bound) line of the daily demand/buy zone is 81.50, so if you can afford the risk, a physical stop could be placed below (never align your stops exactly w/ a zone’s range + don’t use whole numbers/quarters). More conservative placement could be slightly below 81.71 or 82.31, but there’s a higher chance you’ll be stopped out; depending on account/position size and risk tolerance, you can always deploy a “small loss, reenter” strategy. If you’re nimble enough, consider using a micro timeframe (single-digit minute, tick, or volume-based chart) to ID a trend reversal signal (higher high, higher low) before entering. If CL violates recently formed daily demand (82.81-81.50), be aware that there are “bear trap” areas waiting just beneath. Entries within the corrective segment of the uptrend that began in late-June are valid until prices breech the 77.59 pivot.
As always, feel free to provide feedback and/or ask questions. Good luck, be smart, and enjoy the journey!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
Natural Gas Price Forecast DXY Oil Gold SilverNatural Gas Price Forecast DXY Oil Gold Silver
Welcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas Natgas Stock in a daily neutral trend
- Strongest resistance for natural gas resistance is 3.03 to 3.17 range
#naturalgas #xauusd #dxy #xagusd #natgas #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
03:54 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
06:06 USO Oil Stock Forecast
08:39 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
12:09 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast
Natural Gas Price Forecast DXY Oil Gold SilverWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas Natgas Stock in a daily neutral trend
- Strongest resistance for natural gas resistance is 3.03 to 3.17 range
Oil Gold Silver DXY Natural Gas Price ForecastWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
Oil Gold Silver DXY Natural Gas Price ForecastWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas Natgas Stock in confirmed daily uptrend
- Strongest resistance for natural gas resistance is 2.86
#naturalgas #xauusd #xagusd #natgas #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #dxy
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
04:11 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
06:55 USO Oil Stock Forecast
10:38 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
12:25 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast
14:39 Silver XAGUSD Stock Forecast
$USO Double Top Since August 23, AMEX:USO has been on a consistent upward trajectory, forming a Double Top pattern. Given this technical signal, it may be advisable to either sell call options or lock in some gains. In technical analysis within stock trading, a Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern that signifies a potential change in the trend from an uptick to a downtick. The pattern is characterized by the formation of two consecutive peaks that are roughly equal in price, separated by a trough. The pattern is confirmed when the price falls below a support level, typically represented by the lowest point of the trough between the two peaks.
In a Double Top pattern, the first top is usually created with strong buying pressure that pushes the asset to a new high, but eventually, the buying momentum fades, leading to a moderate decline, forming the trough. The asset then rises again, driven by optimism, but fails to surpass the first peak, forming the second top. At this point, the inability to break the previous high is a sign of waning bullish momentum, suggesting that a reversal may be imminent. Traders often look for a decisive break below the support level as a confirmation to enter short positions, with the expectation that the asset will continue to decline.
#USO STRADDLE/Trade PlanUSO Traders pay attention to this option sentiment/strategy
The biggest one for USO we observed up to now.
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance.
We primarily consider levels to be activity zones, but not to be a super-fine level for establishing a limit order. Use them in combine with your own strategy.
We do the best research as we can to find new opportunities in the massive amount of information every day to help you make data-driven trading decision.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all!
UCO a crude oil ETF LONGUCO popped in April and then dropped into a consolidation in May and June where
it set up a base shown by the POC line on the volume profile. Once over the POC
on July 6th on the daily chart coinciding with a golden cross on the HMA 56/210
combination the bull trend began. The dual time frame RS lines in the 60s suggest
more to come. I am trading UCO and similar oil-based instruments including USOUSD
or forex in the near term until I see signals of a topping that are not yet evident.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/11/23For Friday, the 81.49 - 81.64 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.15 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year.
In the more immediate vicinity, 84.14 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.15 indicates 86.15 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures - once tested the market susceptible to falling back to 81.49 long-term support within 1 - 2 weeks.
A daily settlement above 86.15 indicates 92.93 - 93.53 over the following 3 - 5 weeks, where the market can top out on a monthly basis.
Downside Friday, closing below 81.49 indicates a good August high, 78.02 then expected by the end of next week, 70.85 attainable by the end of September.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/10/23For Thursday, the 81.49 - 81.66 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.28 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year.
In the more immediate vicinity, 84.18 can contain session activity, above which 86.28 is attainable intraday and able to contain weekly buying pressures, once tested the market susceptible to falling back to 81.49 long-term support within 1 - 2 weeks.
A daily settlement above 86.28 indicates 92.93 - 93.53 over the following 3 - 5 weeks, where the market can top out on a monthly basis.
Downside Thursday, closing below 81.49 indicates a good August high, 77.86 then expected within 3 - 5 days, 70.77 by the end of September.
IMPP a volatile penny oil/energy LONG pre-earningsIMPP is rising from its lows of July after falling from a triple top in June at 3.8 which is
the target for a long trade. Price is now above the POC line of an intermediate term volume
profile having crossed the mean VWAP line anchored at the share split (purple and thick black
lines respectively). Price bounced off the first negative standard deviation line making this
a VWAP band bounce. The MACD lines are upgoing and so diverging. I see a stop loss of
0.2 as compared with a profit target of 0.6 making this setup a r:R ratio of 1:3. I will go long
here also knowing of the rising energy sector supporting this ticker. This stock is a retail
trader favorite when energy is" hot". With earnings in the morning, for me this is a no brainer
to buy in the premarket and if rising complement with a call option. If you want my idea of
a good call option, please ask in a comment.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/8/23For Tuesday, the 81.49 - 81.71 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.54 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year.
Upside Tuesday, 84.17 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.17 indicates 86.54 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures and the point to settle above for yielding 92.93 - 93.53 over the following 3 - 5 weeks, where the market can top out on a monthly basis.
Downside Tuesday, closing below 81.49 indicates a good August high, and quite possibly through the balance of the year, 75.49 then considered 1 - 2 week target, possibly yielding 62.14 by the end of the year.
$CL Crude Oil FuturesCrude oil futures have been in a parallel uptrend since June 28th. On August 5th, Crude Oil futures tested the double top from April 13th, but were unable to break through. This is a bullish sign, as it suggests that buyers are still in control of the market. Now, we are waiting for a period of bullish consolidation before a breakout to the upside.
The next resistance level to watch is the $90 per barrel mark. If crude oil futures can break through this level, it could open the door to further gains.
Overall, the outlook for crude oil futures is bullish. The current uptrend is still intact, and buyers are still in control of the market. A breakout to the upside is likely in the near future.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/7/23For Monday, the 81.49 - 81.73 area can contain selling through the balance of the year, above which 86.67 remains a 2 - 3 week target, 102.96 attainable by the end of the year.
Upside Monday, 84.17 can contain session strength, while closing above 84.17 indicates 86.67 within several days, able to contain weekly buying pressures and the point to settle above for yielding 92.93 - 93.53 over the following 3 - 5 weeks, where the market can top out on a monthly basis.
Downside Monday, closing below 81.49 indicates a good August high, and quite possibly through the balance of the year, 75.49 then considered 1 - 2 week target, possibly yielding 62.14 by the end of the year.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/4/23For Friday, the 80.50 - 81.61 long-term resistance area can contain buying through summer activity, below which 76.77 is likely by the end of next week, 62.14 attainable over the next 3-5 months. On the other hand, a weekly settlement today at or above 82.42 (1% above 81.61 – page 2) would set off a meaningful buy signal into later year, 87.27 then expected within 3-5 weeks, 103.33 within 3-5 months (p 2). Downside Friday, 78.97 can contain intraday weakness, while breaking/opening below 78.97 allows 76.77 intraday, able to contain selling into next week and the point to settle below for then indicating 70.40 over the next 2-3 weeks.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/3/23For Thursday, the 80.65 - 81.61 long-term resistance area can contain buying through summer activity, below which 76.57 is likely within 1 - 2 weeks, 62.14 attainable over the next 3 - 5 months.
On the other hand, closing today above 82.42 signals 84.44 within the week, while a weekly settlement tomorrow at or above 82.42 (1% above 81.61) would set off a buy signal into later year, 87.27 then expected within 3 - 5 weeks, 103.33 within 3 - 5 months.
Downside Thursday, 78.56 can contain intraday weakness, while breaking/opening below 78.56 indicates 76.57 - 77.37 intraday, able to contain weekly selling pressures and the point to settle below for then indicating 70.40 over the next 2 - 3 weeks.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/2/23For Wednesday, the 80.65 - 81.61 long-term resistance area can contain buying through summer activity, below which 76.48 is likely within 1 - 2 weeks, 62.14 attainable over the next 3 - 5 months.
On the other hand, closing today above 82.42 signals 84.44 within the week, while a weekly settlement Friday at or above 82.42 (1% above 81.61) would set off a buy signal into later year, 87.27 then expected within 3 - 5 weeks, 103.33 within 3 - 5 months.
Downside Wednesday, closing below 80.53 indicates a good weekly high, 76.48 - 76.97 then expected by the end of next week, able to contain weekly selling pressures when tested and a meaningful downside continuation point into later August.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 8/1/23For Tuesday, the 80.65 - 81.61 long-term resistance area can contain buying through summer activity, below which 73.40 is likely by the end of August, 62.14 attainable over the next 3 - 5 months.
On the other hand, closing today above 82.42 signals 84.48 within the week, while a weekly settlement Friday at or above 82.42 (1% above 81.61) would set off a buy signal into later year, 87.27 then expected within 3 - 5 weeks, 103.33 over the following 3 - 5 months.
Downside Tuesday, 78.12 can contain session weakness, while closing below 78.12 indicates a good high through next week, 76.12 - 76.13 then expected over that time horizon, able to contain weekly selling pressures when tested and a meaningful downside continuation point into later August.
Retracement and higher high on CL?We successfully broke the weekly trend line and right now we are at the daily sell zone. I would like to see some retracement and then a higher high to around 83 area.
Also, we crossed the 200 EMA on the daily timeframe which is a strong trend reversal signal.
Entry - 77.5-78 (I would wait for a retracement to this level to go long. We can enter early around 78.5 if you do not want to miss the move.)
Stop - 76.85 ( I would like to see a daily close below this level )
First target - 80
Second target - 82
Final target - 83
Please let me know your inputs. Happy trading!
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/31/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.61 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Upside, 81.61 can contain buying into later year, once tested 62.14 attainable over the following 3 - 5 months, where the market can bottom out on a seasonal basis.
On the other hand, a weekly settlement above 81.61 indicates a good low for the year, 87.27 then expected within 3 - 5 weeks, 103.33 considered a 3 - 5 month target able to contain buying well into next year.
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For Monday, the 80.65 - 81.61 long-term resistance area remains can contain buying through summer activity, below which 73.40 is likely by the end of August, 62.14 attainable over the next 3 - 5 months.
On the other hand, closing today above 81.61 allows 84.52 within the week, while a weekly settlement Friday at or above 82.42 (1% above 81.61) would set off a buy signal into later year, 87.27 then expected within 3 - 5 weeks, 103.33 over the following 3 - 5 months.
Downside Monday, 78.12 can contain session weakness, while closing below 78.12 indicates a good high through next week, 74.83 - 75.41 then expected within 1 - 2 weeks, able to contain weekly selling pressures when tested and a meaningful downside continuation point into later August.