USOIL Weekly Analysis – Major Breakdown and Retest in PlayAfter several months of holding firm, USOIL has finally broken below its key support zone around $67–$70, which had acted as a floor since mid-2021 . This is a significant technical development, and the current price action is showing a classic bearish retest of that broken structure.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Broken:
The $67–$70 zone was tested multiple times over the past 2 years. Price has now cleanly broken through it and is struggling to reclaim it.
Retest in Progress:
Price is currently hovering around $62.36 and failing to push back above the broken support. This retest is textbook and could confirm further downside.
Market Structure:
Lower highs and lower lows dominate the weekly chart = clear bearish trend.
Bearish Targets:
Target 1: $53.50 – Previous minor demand zone from 2021.
Target 2: $41.50 – Strong historical support and potential major bounce area.
Invalidation Zone:
If price closes above $70 on the weekly chart, the breakdown would be invalidated and we’ll reconsider our bias.
Confluence:
Broken multi-year support
Bearish retest on weekly timeframe
Clear downside liquidity below
Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Setup: Short on confirmation of rejection below $67
Timeframe: Weekly / Daily
This is a high-probability setup if the rejection continues. Look for further bearish price action on the daily or 4H chart for refined entries. As always, manage risk carefully .
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Crude Oil WTI
Crude Oil Monday Opening Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
During the US trading session on Friday, oil prices fluctuated narrowly higher, with USOIL trading near $61.98 per barrel. After a sharp decline in the previous session, prices rebounded slightly on Friday, forming a weekly pattern of rallying followed by a pullback. The easing of global trade tensions has alleviated market concerns about the global economy and oil demand, supporting prices; however, oversupply sentiment remains a headwind.
On the daily chart, the medium-term trend is downward, with moving averages suppressing rallies. After hitting a low of 55.20, prices have oscillated between bullish and bearish sentiment, forming a bearish flag continuation pattern in its infancy. Attention should focus on whether prices can break above the flag's upper trendline—medium-term consolidation is likely to be followed by a decline to the 50 level.
In the short term (1H chart), the consolidative decline continued to test the 60 support level, where prices rebounded modestly. Moving averages still cap upside potential, keeping the short-term trend downward. While the MACD indicator has formed a bullish cross below the zero line, indicating slightly strengthened bullish momentum, prices are expected to rise briefly before encountering resistance near 63.50 and reversing lower.
Overall, next week’s trading strategy for crude oil should prioritize shorting on rallies, with a secondary focus on buying on pullbacks. Short-term resistance lies at 63.5–64.0, while support is at 60.5–60.0.
USOIL
buy@61.50-62.00
tp:63.00-63.50
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USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
With the phased peace in the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East regions, the pressure on the supply side will further decrease in the future. Coupled with the current production increase by OPEC+ and the rebound in U.S. crude oil inventories, there are still pressures on crude oil from both supply and demand sides. Technically, after several upward surges last week, there were pullback trends. Our recent view and approach to crude oil have been to "short on large rebounds and short on small rebounds." Next week, we will continue to seek opportunities to short on rebounds, paying attention to the resistance near 63 and the strong resistance level at 64.
Trading Strategy:
sell@63.5-63
TP:62-61
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USOIL A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 61.87
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.38
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.86
Target Level: 55.95
Stop Loss: 65.80
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USOIL pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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USOIL: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 62.367 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 61.933 .Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL:Beware of pullback.The short-term trend of crude usoil continues to fluctuate and fall, hitting the 60 mark. Usoil prices gained some support at 60 and formed a rebound rhythm. The moving average system still suppresses oil prices, and the objective short-term trend direction remains downward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses upward below the zero axis, and bullish momentum strengthens. It is expected that after a slight upward movement in crude oil prices during the day, there is a high probability of being blocked again near 62.50 and falling.
USOIL
sell@62-62.5
tp:61-60.5
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USOIL RISKY SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is going up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 62.00$
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 60.62$
SHORT🔥
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WTI Crude Returns to the $60 ZoneWTI crude oil has posted a drop of more than 4% in recent sessions as the market digests new announcements from OPEC+. The organization stated that current economic conditions could support growth in oil demand throughout 2025 and 2026. However, it remains firm in its decision to increase production starting in May and June, with monthly increments of 411,000 barrels per day, and has also announced another increase in July.
This stance has sparked concerns in the market about a potential short-term oversupply. If this strategy persists, selling pressure could return to WTI price action in the coming sessions.
Bearish Trend
Since January 20, a clear bearish trend has been forming, pushing the barrel’s price below the $60 mark. While a notable upward move is currently underway, it remains insufficient to break the prevailing bearish formation, which continues to be the dominant technical structure in the short term.
ADX
The ADX line was previously hovering around the 40 level, reflecting high volatility in price movements. However, it has begun to flatten, and if this continues, it could suggest a loss of directional strength, paving the way for a more neutral price behavior.
RSI
The behavior of the RSI mirrors that of the ADX. It is currently oscillating around the 50 level, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure, and reinforcing the potential for a neutral phase in the short term.
Key Levels:
$65 – Current Resistance: Aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and acts as a key psychological level. A breakout above this level could extend the current bullish bias over the coming sessions.
$67 – Distant Resistance: Matches the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a sideways zone observed in March. Sustained moves above this area could challenge the existing bearish structure on the chart.
$60 – Crucial Support: Represents a consistent area of indecision in recent months. If the price returns to this level, the previous bearish structure could regain strength in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Potential bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 60.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 57.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 64.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USOIL Temporary Drop seems inevitableOn Thursday, WTI crude oil futures prices fell approximately 3.5% during the session, extending losses after failing to test technical resistance levels. The decline was jointly driven by heightened expectations of a U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement and unexpected increases in crude oil inventories, both of which exerted heavy pressure on supply outlooks. Nevertheless, market analysis suggests the downside for the U.S. dollar may be limited. Improved global trade sentiment has reduced recession fears, leading markets to scale back expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. Data shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September is now 74%, down from earlier predictions of a July cut.
Crude oil continued to decline today, breaking the previous upward pattern, with a high probability that prices will trade in a broad range going forward. Overall, the magnitude of the decline has increased, suggesting a higher likelihood of further downside. Today's trading strategy considers shorting on rebounds as the primary approach, while waiting for long opportunities at lower levels. Resistance is focused on the $62.0–63.0 area, with support at $60.0–59.0.
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CRUDE OIL Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL has retested a
Nice round horizontal
Support level of 60$
And we are predictably
Seeing a bullish reaction
From the level which we
Believe will take the price
A bit higher still
Buy!
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 56,339.Colleagues, I was watching the price and was expecting a pattern for a reversal downtrend. I still expect a downward movement and believe that the price is in a combined correction.
This means that wave “B” has been formed and I expect wave “C” to reach at least the 56,339 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI Oil H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 60.44 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 57.60 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 63.68 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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WTIUSD Building a Base – Bullish Reversal Setup Above $58?# WTIUSD
**Instrument:** WTIUSD
**Current Price:** Around $60
**Bias:** Bullish (Reversal)
---
**Analysis:**
WTI is showing signs of a potential **trend reversal** after forming a solid base near the $53.8 level, marked as the **invalidation zone**. Price has reclaimed the $58.3 support level and appears to be preparing for a bullish continuation, especially if it forms a higher low near this level.
A sustained move above $58.3 followed by bullish structure could open the door toward **$70.0** and possibly even **$75.0** in the medium term.
---
**Key Levels:**
- **Support:** $58.292
- **Invalidation:** $53.828 (price closing below would negate the setup)
- **Bullish Targets:** $70.0 – $75.0
---
**Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):**
Look for confirmation of support holding above $58.3 and potential bullish momentum for entries. Invalid if price breaks and closes below $53.8.
---
> **Disclaimer:**
> This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
Crude oil is extremely bullish.I see a very similar market structure in crude oil’s big picture as in the early days of Bitcoin. People will say, “But what about electric cars?”—yet few realize that over 6,000 products are made with oil. Not to mention, long-term oil use isn't going anywhere, even with the rise of electric vehicles.
I believe oil is actually very undervalued and has been repressed for many years. It can't be held down forever—a big upward move is pretty much inevitable.
As always, stay profitable.
- Dalin Anderson
USOIL UPDATEweek hit its largest since the week of March 7, 2025. The EIA crude oil inventory for the week stood at 3.454 million barrels, contrasting with the expected -1.078 million barrels and the previous figure of -2.032 million barrels.
On Wednesday, crude oil exhibited a high-range oscillatory pattern: it stabilized and rebounded near $62.7, then pulled back after reaching $63.6, maintaining volatility within a narrow upper range. Influenced by the large bullish candlestick on the daily chart, oil prices still carry an upward probability.
Overall, crude oil remains in a bullish consolidation phase. For trading strategies, a "buy low, sell high" approach is recommended, with resistance levels to watch at $63.6–64.5 and support levels at $62.7–61.2.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Crude Oil Update: Trends & Trading TipsThe current rebound in the oil market is influenced by multiple positive factors: easing trade tensions, a weaker US dollar, declining fuel inventories, and geopolitical progress. However, the sustainability of this upward momentum still requires observation. Key variables for short-term oil price fluctuations include confirmation from official inventory data, developments in Middle East tensions, and further changes in US policies toward countries such as Iran and Russia.
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The short-term trend of crude oil has restarted its upward movement, with oil prices testing around 63. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the objective short-term trend has returned to an upward trajectory. In the early trading session, oil prices fell within a narrow range, forming a secondary rhythm, and the intraday trend is expected to continue its slight upward momentum.
Overall, today’s trading strategy for crude oil is recommended to prioritize buying on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. Short-term resistance lies in the 64.5–65.0 range, while support is seen at 62.0–61.5.
USOIL
buy@62.00-62.50
tp:63.50-64.50
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽