WTI Oil H4 | Rising into an overlap resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 65.20 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Crude Oil WTI
WTI OIL Massive 4-year Support hit. Bullish reversal ahead??WTI Oil (USOIL) hit on last week's 1W candle the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), a massive long-term Support level that has been holding since the week of April 26 2021, i.e. almost 4 years.
At the same time, the price entered the 2-year Support Zone, which has produced all major Bullish Phases (green Rectangles) during this time span. The last one got rejected twice on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Given the fact that this most recent rejection formed the current 2-month Bearish Phase (red Rectangle), which even based on 1W RSI terms, is similar to all previous Bearish Phases that found Support on the 2-year Support Zone, we have a massive long-term Support Cluster in front of us.
Naturally, until the 1W MA200 breaks, that should be the first Target of any buy attempts. As a result, we expect $80.00 to be tested by June 2025 the earliest.
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USOIL BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 66.90
Target Level: 73.40
Stop Loss: 62.52
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Is the Downtrend Still in Play?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a quick analysis of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) . Let’s break it down.
📉 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
In the 4-hour time frame, WTI has shown a very strong corrective move, and despite trying to hold the support zone PRZ, it even failed to maintain it, suggesting a potential downtrend. Now, we have an opportunity to focus more on our short setups, but we’ll need to manage the risk as well.
🔮 Short Setup
For short positions, a break below the 4-hour support at 65.183 would be a good trigger to enter a short position. Place the stop loss just above the broken PRZ, around 67.024 , and keep an eye on price action as a sharp movement down could follow. If the support breaks, we’re likely to see a continuation towards the next support level, so the move could be pretty sharp, but make sure your stop loss is tight to manage risk effectively.
💡 Long Setup
For the long setup, we’ll wait for a potential fake breakout below the support and then look for a return above 67.024 . If we break above the resistance at 67.639 , we’ll look for a possible long continuation. However, since the current trend is bearish, we’ll reduce our risk and wait for confirmation from the 4-hour or daily time frames before entering.
Let me know your thoughts and ideas on WTI! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
OIL / WTI PoV - LONGThe analysis of the current oil price highlights the $65/66 range as a critical level for a potential rally. After a period of consolidation and corrections in recent weeks, oil seems to have found strong support around these levels, with prices oscillating between $65 and $66 per barrel. These levels represent an important liquidity zone, as in the past, the price has found support here, suggesting that there could be an opportunity for a bullish rebound if the price manages to remain stable above this threshold.
A rally above the $65/66 level could be supported by several fundamental factors, including improved demand prospects, a reduction in global inventories, and potential policies from OPEC. If demand for oil increases, especially with economic recoveries in certain regions or a rise in industrial production globally, there could be further support for prices. Additionally, OPEC+'s stance in the production-limiting agreement and potential supply cuts could keep the market tight, pushing prices higher.
Geopolitical dynamics also play a significant role in determining the direction of oil. Any tensions or disruptions in supply from key producing countries, such as those in the Middle East, could serve as catalysts for further price increases. Another factor that could support prices is the depreciation of the dollar, which typically benefits oil, as the commodity is priced in dollars.
However, if the price fails to maintain stability above the $65/66 level, we might see a new correction phase, with prices possibly retreating to lower levels. A move away from these levels could mark the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the risk of prices sliding back towards $60 per barrel or even lower if demand weakens or if there are supply excesses in the market.
In summary, the $65/66 level is crucial for the price of oil. Maintaining or closing above these levels could pave the way for a rally, while failure to do so could lead to further price weakening. With OPEC+ policies playing a key role in balancing the market, the next few months will be critical in determining the future direction of oil prices.
USOIL's latest 20% profit tips
Trading signal analysis gives 65 support, and traders who rebound and go long, TP reaches the target 15%.
If you don’t know when to buy or sell, please pay close attention to the real-time signal release of the trading center or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the joy of profit. FOREXCOM:USOIL FX:USOIL TVC:USOIL
WTI Oil H4 | Overhead pressures remain in place?WTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 65.20 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI CRUDE OIL: 4H Channel Down targeting 64.00WTI Crude Oil is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 33.014, MACD = -1.680, ADX = 27.887) but on the lower 4h timeframe its formed a Channel Down that just completed a peak formation. This indicates that it is ready for its next bearish wave, with the previous two registering -6.55% declines. The trade is short, TP = 64.00.
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Latest USOIL Trading Signal PlanToday's crude oil opened at $66.34, slightly higher than yesterday's low, indicating that the market has some support around $65. After Wednesday's low of $65.22, the 4-hour chart closed with a positive line with a long lower shadow, showing that bulls have strong defense around $65.
According to the current trend analysis, the price fell from $73.14 to $68.36, a drop of $4.78; it rebounded from $68.36 to $70.60, a rebound of $2.24, and a correction of about 50%. The drop from $70.60 to $65.22, a drop of $5.38, may theoretically have ended, but considering the support of the $65 mark, it may further fall below $65.
The current trend stage may be nearing its end, but the $65 mark has not been effectively broken, and the possibility of further decline needs to be paid attention to. The target below may be in the $64.00-63.00 range.
If the price stabilizes around $65, it may start to rebound, with the target in the $67.00-68.00 range. Short selling is the main method of rebounding during the day. Pay attention to the support effect of the $65 mark. If the price effectively falls below $65, short selling can be pursued, with the target at $63.00-64.00.
Trading is risky and positions should be controlled reasonably. When the opportunity comes, if you don’t know when to buy or sell, pay close attention to my real-time signal announcement or leave me a message so that you can realize the joy of quick profits. FOREXCOM:USOIL FX:USOIL TVC:USOIL
Crude Oil: Is There More Downside?Following crude oil’s rebound from its September 2024 low of $65.20, the risk of a reversal remains uncertain amid ongoing bearish pressures.
Key Events This Week:
Chinese deflation risks
OPEC monthly report
US CPI data
Trade war developments
Potential Scenarios:
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below $65 could extend losses toward $63.80, a key level that may determine whether the market holds neutral and rebounds or breaks further into a steeper bearish trend towards $62, $60, and $55 (the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the 2020–2022 uptrend).
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the rebound sustains above $67, resistance levels at $68.70, $70.80, and $72.50 could come back into play.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 67.18.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 70.05 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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WTI Oil H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 65.20 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, forming a long lower wick as it rebounded. On continuous futures, the index bounced off the 60-week MA, while the daily chart shows a recovery after briefly dropping below the 240-day MA. Looking at the weekly chart, two weeks ago, a large bearish candle decisively broke below a key range, and last week, the Nasdaq failed to break above the 3-week MA, leading to further downside. This week, however, a rebound toward the 5-week MA near 21,050 remains possible.
On the daily chart, the Nasdaq successfully found support near 19,800, forming a potential range-bound structure. Although a technical target exists at the 60-day MA near 21,500, the downtrend remains strong, meaning that a full recovery may take time. Instead of an immediate rally, the Nasdaq may consolidate around the 240-day MA, making a range-trading strategy more effective.
On the 240-minute chart, the Nasdaq formed a bullish divergence, triggered a golden cross, and started to rebound. As long as price continues to base at the lows, further buying attempts may emerge, making chasing short positions risky. This week, traders should monitor Wednesday’s CPI report and Thursday’s PPI report, as both could increase market volatility.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, supported by potential sanctions on Russia. On the weekly chart, oil dropped to the 240-week MA before rebounding, but last week’s bearish close triggered a sell signal. Since this sell signal occurred near the zero line, further downside remains possible, making chasing long positions risky. A key upside level to watch is the 3-week MA at $68, while support is expected around the $66–67 range, where a short-term double-bottom formation could develop.
On the daily chart, if oil continues to rebound, traders should watch for resistance at $68, while stopping out below the $65 previous low remains essential. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, with momentum gradually shifting higher. However, since the gap between the MACD and the zero line remains large, selling pressure could reemerge on rallies. Traders should focus on buying dips at strong support levels while keeping strict stop-loss management in place.
Gold
Gold closed lower, remaining within a range-bound market structure. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report triggered significant volatility, but the daily MACD is now turning downward, increasing the risk of additional selling pressure.
On the weekly chart, gold is forming a long-term consolidation range. If this week’s candle closes lower, the weekly MACD may form a bearish crossover, increasing the likelihood of a negative divergence pattern. This makes chasing long positions riskier.
On the daily chart, despite short-term weakness, the MACD and signal line remain far from the zero line, meaning that intermittent rebound attempts are still possible. For now, the lower Bollinger Band serves as key support, reinforcing a range-bound strategy. On the 240-minute chart, $2,940 has become a strong resistance level, and a sell signal has been triggered. For now, traders should focus on selling into rallies while looking for buying opportunities at lower levels. If gold breaks above $2,940, a third wave of buying momentum could emerge, making it essential to adapt to market conditions dynamically. Gold is also likely to react to Wednesday’s CPI and Thursday’s PPI reports, increasing potential volatility.
U.S. market volatility is rising sharply, as seen in the VIX index, which surged above 22 last week. Using technical tools like VIX analysis, moving averages, and MACD strategies can help improve market navigation. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading week! 🚀
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WTI - High Probability of Continued Downtrend US Light Crude's 4-hour chart suggests a high probability that price will continue with the dominant downtrend and eventually break below recent lows. Currently trading around $67.17, crude oil has been in a persistent decline since late February, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart's projected path indicates a potential corrective bounce within the blue box area (approximately $68.50-$69.50), characterized by zigzag movements that would likely form a complex correction before resuming the bearish trend. This anticipated bearish continuation targets the horizontal red support line at around $65.77, with potential for moves below this level as indicated by the downward arrow. Recent failed attempts to sustain rallies and the steep decline from the $74.00 area reinforce the bearish outlook, suggesting that any upward movements should be viewed as selling opportunities within the larger downtrend.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTIThis chart is focused on short-term ICT analysis, showing liquidity zones, displacement, and market structure shifts.
1. Smart Money Liquidity Grab at 63.59-64.61
This is an Expected Liquidity Pool.
ICT concepts suggest that institutions often engineer liquidity grabs at key support levels before reversing.
The area around 64.61 is a sell-side liquidity sweep, designed to trap retail shorts before Smart Money initiates a bullish move.
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS) at 68.53
A break above 68.53 is a bullish shift, signaling a change in trend.
Displacement with a fair value gap (FVG) around 68.53 confirms momentum.
If price reclaims 68.53, expect Smart Money to target buy-side liquidity at 79.32 and later 91.21.
3. Buying Zone & Smart Money Accumulation (75-77 Range)
Once price reaches 79.32, expect a retracement into the 75-77 range, allowing Smart Money to re-accumulate.
A break above 91.21 unlocks the potential for higher moves, aligning with the higher time frame Elliott Wave 5 targets.
WTI Crude (USOil) The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Bearish INTRADAY, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 6870, followed by 6930 and 7000.
Support: Key support is at 6610 followed by 6540 and 6440.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 67.00
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 69.38
Recommended Stop Loss - 65.59
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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