CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE)Oil prices are still up & buyers are holding strongly! On the smaller TF we saw price dip a little lower in the past 4 days. For those who aren't in buy's already, you should have used this dip to get into Oil at a cheaper price. Bare in mind prices are still dirt cheap right now, so take advantage before it's too late.
GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
Crude Oil WTI
WTI CRUDE OIL: Turned bullish again after the 1D MA50 rebound.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.281, MACD = 0.570, ADX = 33.404) as even though it breached through the 1D MA50 yesterday intraday, it managed to close the day over it and extend today with a green candle. It was not ideal that the rejection on Tuesday took place on the 1D MA200 but yesterday's 1D MA50 rebound has restored the bullish sentiment. We turn bullish again (TP = 80.00) all the way to the one year LH trendline and the 0.786 Fib.
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Holding WTI buys. H4. 10.10.2024🛢 Holding WTI buys
On oil in a private channel gave a zone for buying at 72.20.
I myself bought a little higher at 72.50,
but the accuracy is small, but the result is already there.
I will hold the buy until the take profit at 80 with intermediate
fixation of 50% at 78. If there will be another escalation of the conflict
between Israel and Lebanon on the weekend, as well as natural cataclysms
in the USA, it will be a positive signal for oil, as it will prevent the delivery
of oil products. So buy hold and squeeze with private channel subscribers
with it profit to the fullest.
BLACKBULL:WTI
USOIL Rallies, Tensions Rise, Could Price Soar More??Here I have TVC:USOIL on the Daily Chart!
Starting with Technical, we can see Price has formed a Double Bottom at a Support Area that's kept Price afloat for quite some years now, but was last visited and acted as Support for Price back in the Spring of 2023!
Price has Broke the Confirmation of Pattern @ $72.36 and is now Breaking the Local Falling Resistance from prior July & August 2024 Highs. Regardless, Price Action has Broken Structure and created Higher Highs and Lows, confirming Uptrend, starting with the Higher Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1!
- Currently we want to see this Bullish Rally continue Breaking Above the Falling Resistance and staying above the ( $71 - $72 ) Range that Price has been interacting with Signaling Bulls in fact are in control, then for a Test of the Break of Confirmation of Pattern and Test of the Break of Local Falling Resistance!
* Once successful, we will see Price rise to the next Falling Resistance created from the Highs of Sept. 2023 & Apr. 2024!
- Massive Bullish Volume enters on the 2nd Low of the Double Bottom on Oct. 1
- Price on RSI is Above 50 with the Break of the Confirmation of Pattern
Now Fundamental, the biggest factor that seems to be at play for TVC:USOIL is all the Geo-political confrontation stirring up. Not only is the Russia/Ukraine war still ongoing, the tensions between Israel/Iran are seeing massive implications across the board!
- Oct. 1 being the beginning of the Iran missile attacks on Israel www.tradingview.com
- Now worries arise that Iran's Oil Facilities may be in danger as a possible Retaliatory Israeli Strike Target! With Iran eyeing Israel's Energy Infrastructure, Power Plants, Refineries and Gas Fields!
www.tradingview.com
* Oct. 7th is the Year Anniversary to the Israel/Hamas conflict and suspicions arise that we could be looking at things intensifying further!
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USOIL is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 71.85.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 72.299.Well, colleagues, the price did not stop and continued its upward movement. At the moment, I understand that the price should turn around and start the long-awaited continuation of the downward movement.
I believe that wave 2 should end in the area of 79.338 or it has already ended and the downward movement has already started.
In any case, I see the first target is the support area at 72.299.
This scenario will be canceled by reaching the level of 84.601, as this is the top of the wave “2” of the higher order, which means that the wave movement needs to be reconsidered.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
CRUDE OIL SHOWING STRENGTH EXPANDING TRIANGLE CORRECTIONSCrude Oil corrections!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
2024-10-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - 71.54 has a very good chance of being the low of this pullback. Confirmation is only above 74.7. Tough spot right now. I would not be surprised if Globex starts the pump early. Decent chance we see 76 tomorrow and 78 on Friday. Bears would surprise me below 71 and I do think we would see an even bigger flush below that price.
comment : Yeah I know, oil again. Market is moving the most currently so embrace the volatility. I make it short today. 71.54 has a very good chance of being the low of this pullback. Market could retest 77, so 300+ ticks higher from here. If you would long this now, stop is either 69.8 or 71.5. Both are reasonable. Confirmation for the bulls is above 74.75.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 70 - 80
bull case: Bulls see the 3 legs down and a 200 tick buy from the lows. Next they want follow through to break above the bear channel and they know, bears will have their stops between 74.5 and 74.7. Above is no good resistance until 77 again. On the daily chart we can also see bulls bought the daily 20ema almost to the tick and the bull channel now looks proper. Enough reasons why a long now is a decent trade.
Invalidation is below 71.5.
bear case: Bears had a gigantic pullback and now 2 bigger tails below the daily bars. Are they gonna fight this or do they think they made almost 700 ticks from the highs and it’s probably reversing soon? If you look at the daily chart, you can not come to the conclusion that you want to short 73.35 right now. If we somehow manage to get below 71.5, the bulls case is probably dead but market would likely be more neutral than bearish.
Invalidation is above 74.7.
short term: Bullish with stop 71.5.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: Long 73.28, stop 70.5. Target 77 or higher.
trade of the day: Shorts at 77 which was the big red line and August high. Market spiked and bulls who bought above 76.5 did not even had the chance to exit break even.
Crude Oil Bullish ContinuationCrude Oil price seems to exhibit signs of Bullish continuation.
Bulls may eventually face a strong resistance zone around 83 till 85.1. If there is considerable Bullish momentum in this price zone and this zone breaks, chances of TP2 may increase.
Till then, opportunity may be seized by the Bulls.
Trade Plan
Entry @ 73.707 OR CMP
Stop Loss @ 65.58
TP1 @ 81.86
TP2 @ 90
No. of Trades: 2
Move SL to Break Even if TP1 hits.
USOIL Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 74.20.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 77.51 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Crude oil saved by the 200-day MA (for now)A combination of factors saw crude oil snap its 5-day winning streak on Tuesday. China's equity markets plunged at double-digit levels when traders realised no new stimulus from China was to be unveiled after golden weak. US production forecasts were lowered by the EIA and concerns over the Middle East receded somewhat.
An elongated bearish engulfing / outside day formed after its daily high met resistance at the September 2023 trendline. Yet the 200-day MA came to the rescue. For now at least.
Given the 4-hour bullish hammer at the 200-day MA and weekly R1 pivot, alongside a heavily oversold RSI (2) on that timeframe, I suspect a cheeky bounce could be in order. Bulls could cautiously seek dips for a move to $75 or $76.
Yet the magnitude of Tuesday's selloff suggests bears may be lurking at higher prices to re-enter upon any such bounce. Bears could wait to fade into such levels in anticipation of a return to the $70, near a high-volume node (HVN) and 61.8% Fibonacci level.
MS
US WTI CRUDE OIL... Looking to BUY IT!US OIL
Price has pulled back into the Weekly and Daily +FVG. There is a good chance 73-72.00 will hold support, sending prices higher.
My eyes on the lookout for valid buy setups.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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US OIL update - Oct 08 2024US oil has followed previous analysis very well and due to current geopolitical tensions in the middle-east, the second target (78.3) was hit quickly.
After precisely hitting TP2, US oil price has had a sharp drop towards the support zone of 72.0. If the chart forms a base in this area, it's expected to see the continuation of the rise towards 82.0 level which is considered the main scenario. #USOIL
2024-10-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - Good pullback by the bears. Wait and see if bulls buy it and market found a bottom. Pullback could get some more but I doubt it will be much. 72-74 is neutral. Wait for strong momentum to the upside again.
From yesterday:
short term: max bullish but maybe one comment… No matter the reason for the short squeeze, it can turn down again violently and form a gigantic range. So imagine if we retest the breakout price of 72.36. How many traders would be trapped then? Don’t be early.
comment : Low of the day was 72.71. Hope you listened.
current market cycle: strongest bull trend
key levels: 70 - 80
bull case: Bulls got a big pullback which will probably be a great buying opportunity for many who can hold through more pain and scale in lower. Was 72.71 the low for this pullback? Possible but market almost never prints one big surprise bar and then moves in the other direction. Need better confirmation and strong buying again. Targets above are obvious. As long as bulls stay above 71, I think they are good and we will retest 77 and maybe higher.
Invalidation is below 71.
bear case: I don’t think bears did much here. More likely bulls wanted to secure the windfall profits and reduce risk. Are bears shorting 73 now in hopes of an even bigger reversal down to 70? I highly doubt that. The breakout price was retested imo and we can move higher again. Best bears can get is more sideways movement around 73. Bears also had 2 decent legs down. A third one is possible but betting on it might not be that good of a strategy here.
Invalidation is above 75.
short term: Neutral around 73-74. Bullish above 75 and bearish below 70.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. I would update this again if we break above 80 with follow through.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Shorts at 77 which was the big red line and August high. Market spiked and bulls who bought above 76.5 did not even had the chance to exit break even.
WTI OIL 1D MA200 rejection giving the perfect sell.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit our 76.00 Target as presented on our September 24 idea (see chart below):
Today even though the price breached the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it has since been forcefully rejected. This is not a surprise as all medium-term rallies coming off a Support level bounce since June 2023, were all rejected on the short-term on the 1D MA200. The July 13 2023 one got rejected back to its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, while the January 29 2024 one dived lower to the 0.618 Fib.
The 1D RSI (red circles) indicates that we are currently exactly on such a rejection sequence. As a result, we turn bearish on WTI, expecting at least a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breach at 72.50, which is a Target marginally below the 0.382 Fib.
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WTI Oil H4 | Falling to 38.2% Fibonacci supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 74.06 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 72.18 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 77.20 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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