Crude Oil WTI
Crude OIL $UKOIL Classic patternI've seen this pattern many times over the last 5 years on different instruments, and its working out to over 50%
The essence of this pattern is a classic triangle with horizontal support, most of the participants realize that we will break down, but not everyone believes that we will take liquidity off the top before going down.
An instrument like oil is quite trivial and it can fall without taking liquidity off the top.
But I want to share a few examples of my theory working out, where the upper resistance line is broken before the drop-down
Best regards EXCAVO
Join me in buying USDCHF
Hey Dears
Come with me before it's too late
One of the important resistances has been broken, which I showed with a dotted line.
There is another resistance that I have shown as a dotted line, but it seems that the candles will reach the goal I specified.
what do you think mate?
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How to Use Intermarket Analysis? - Crude Oil Potential DirectionAn example of Crude Oil and Palm Oil in my intermarket analysis to demonstrate how I identify potential upcoming trends and why I believe both are about to move.
To help narrow down potential opportunities in other markets, you can apply the techniques I am about to share.
Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: MCL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.01 per barrel = $1.00
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USOIL / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE IN THE DAILY CHART - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELO TRADERS
The overall trend is uptrend , until trading above demand zone in the daily chart .
Current Position Prices are above the demand zone, which is a strong support area. This indicates that the current support level is holding and may lead to a price increase , For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices need to break and stabilize above turning level at 71.82 . Successfully doing so suggests that the bullish momentum is strong enough to push prices towards the next resistance levels at 74.24 and then 76.21.
If prices fall below 71.82 and stabilize, it indicates that the support level is no longer effective, potentially leading to a decline , If prices reach 69.18 and a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below this level, it suggests a continuation of the downtrend. A further break and stabilization below 68.28 would confirm a sustained bearish trend, indicating further price decreases.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 71.82 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.18 , 68.28 .
USOIL BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USOIL pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 73.19 level.
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USOIL Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 69.81.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 72.72 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Spot Crude Oil 30-Minute Chart AnalysisStrategy Overview:
The chart shows Spot Crude Oil on a 30-minute timeframe, where price action is consolidating around the 70.00 USD level. The market is currently trading in a tight range, suggesting the possibility of an upcoming breakout.
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
The price is finding support at 69.871, which acts as a critical level for potential upward movements.
A break below this support could signal further downside momentum, possibly testing lower levels around 69.399.
Resistance Levels:
The nearest resistance sits at 70.431, where the price may face selling pressure if tested.
Further resistance is identified in the 72.00-72.50 zone, marked as a strong supply area. A successful breakout above this resistance could indicate a stronger bullish move in the medium term.
Trading Strategy:
Buying Strategy: A buy entry can be considered near the support level of 69.871, with a stop loss just below this level. The first target would be the 70.431 resistance zone, and the second target can be the 72.00-72.50 range.
Selling Strategy: If the price fails to break above 70.431, a short position can be initiated targeting a pullback towards 69.871. A break below this level would confirm the bearish momentum.
RSI Confirmation:
The RSI indicator is showing neutral momentum, hovering around the middle range. A breakout above 70.431 may be confirmed if the RSI moves into overbought territory, while a drop below 69.871 could push the RSI toward oversold conditions.
Conclusion:
With price consolidating between 69.871 and 70.431, this chart suggests both buying and selling opportunities based on how the market reacts to these key levels. The upcoming sessions could see either a breakout above resistance for bullish continuation or a failure that could result in a bearish correction.
WTI Crude Oil Ready for a BounceThe chart shows a break of a rising trendline with price pulling back to retest the $69.40 support level.
Given the rejection at this level, there's a potential for a bullish reversal targeting the next liquidity area around $72.50.
Traders should watch for confirmation of a higher low before entering long positions to ride the breakout.
CRUDE OIL Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL keeps falling
But the price will soon hit
A horizontal support level
Of 66.92$ from where we
Will be expecting a rebound
And a local bullish correction
Because oil is already oversold
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Crude Breaking Down From An Elliott Wave Triangle Crude oil turned down this summer, from the upper triangle resistance trendline, as shown on our daily count, so it looks like more weakness can be coming still this year as drop from 81 unfolded in five waves while pullback to 80.00 can possibly be already completed after recent drop below $70, and now also out of a triangle. So we think that bears are in progress now and that more weakness can be coming within impulsive sell-off. Any near-term bounce can possibly stop at $72.00, a new resistance. Rise above 74 will suggest that break down failed.
USOIL / STILL CONTINUES A DOWNTREND - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 71.85 .
The significant decline in USOIL prices yesterday suggests a bearish momentum, which aligns with the observed price action falling below the critical level of 71.85. This indicates a continuation of the downward trend, making the next support level at 69.81 a logical target. If prices break this support, it would likely trigger further selling pressure, leading to declines toward 68.46 and 66.85, which are key levels of interest based on previous market behavior.
On the other hand, for a reversal to the upside, the price needs to break back above 71.85, which currently serves as a turning point. Breaching this level would signal a potential shift in market sentiment, opening the way to test the resistance at 74.24. If the price stabilizes above this resistance, it would reinforce the bullish case, paving the way for further gains toward 76.21 and eventually 77.51.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 71.85 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 , 77.51 .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.81 , 68.46 , 66.85 .
What I'll be looking for USOIL on next few days.The price is at a crossroads and tomorrow's data will be, as always, decisive for the decision-making that will direct the market in the coming days. I will be waiting for this most likely downward movement, but always paying attention to what the price shows at any given moment. Be careful, trade safely and stay calm. I wish you all an excellent trading week!
OIL: Day 3 short traders triggered in the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout ✅
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: Primary, market reversing at the low of the week, day 3 short is a potential signal of reversing market. No setup yet has been identified, and don't forget that even if the reversal is possible, the market is still on the frontside down move, it can give a scalp, retesting the LOW for a better setup by the end of the week.
Short: Considering the current situation, I wouldn't exclude this market keep going lower if setups for that scenario. Eventually the market will place a HOD and locked it, I would be willing to short OIL after the news
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
WTI Oil H4 | Overhead pressures remainWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 71.65 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 72.60 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 68.19 which is a swing-low support.
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Will the theme of weak demand and oversupply dampen oil prospectMacro theme:
- Oil prices have declined since last week as investors expect an OPEC+ supply increase in Oct and a potential deal in Libya to resume production, possibly adding over 500,000 barrels per day.
- Weak economic data from China, including Tue's ISM Manufacturing PMI, highlighted the country's sluggish recovery, fuelling calls for more stimulus.
- Concerns over China's weak demand and the prospect of increased supply are likely to keep oil prices under pressure in the short term.
Technical theme:
- USOIL tested EMAs' area confluence with 77.00 resistance before breaking below 71.50 support to maintain a bearish structure.
- If USOIL maintains below the 71.50 level, the price may continue to decline to test 67.80 support.
- On the contrary, if USOIL can close above 71.50, the price may retrace to retest its EMA21 along with the upper bound of its descending channel.
USOIL.. one n only area, hold or not??#USOIL... First market HITT our upside targeted areas and then dropped.
Now it reached near to his one of the most important supporting area 72.10
That level can change the overall acnerios of market.
Keep close it because if there is any kind of buying scnerio exist then it should be hold this area.
72.10
Keep close and stay sharp.
Good luck
Trade wisely