Crude Oil WTI
The latest crude oil operation suggestionsOverall, the EIA inventory data released last night was -507.3 before and -142.5 after, while the oil price barely rose by 10 points. The idea in the early trading is to determine the strength based on the high point of 70.5 last night. It is recommended to short on the rebound. Crude oil strategy: short on the high point when the rebound reaches 70, with the target at 69.3-68.6.
USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 70.58.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 72.27 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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WTI OIL Major bullish break-out happened. Expect rally to $76.WTI Oil (USOIL) broke yesterday above the 1-month Lower Highs trend-line, following the bullish EIA report. This is a major bullish break-out as the last time the price broke above a similar Lower Highs trend-line was on October 01, with the resulting rally rising above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Even the 4H RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical, with both starting on a Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows and then a nearly oversold RSI with the price on the Support Zone was what initiated the rebound that broke the Lower Highs.
Our Target is again the 0.786 Fib at $76.00.
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USOIL WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS📊 USOIL Weekly Update
Technical View:
Not much has changed on the charts. Price remains within the expected range, waiting for a catalyst to break out.
Fundamental Highlights:
Geopolitics: TVC:UKOIL Brent hit ~$71, WTI at ~$67, driven by instability following the ousting of Syria's President.
Saudi Aramco: January crude prices for Asia slashed to early 2021 lows due to weak Chinese demand.
OPEC+: Delayed output hikes to April 2025; cuts extended through 2026.
U.S. Supply: Increased oil & gas rig activity adds pressure on prices.
Natural Gas: Futures rebounded 5% to $3.147 after last week’s losses.
🔑 Key Levels ( FX:USOIL WTI):
Bullish: Close above 21-period SMA ($72.37) targets 50-period SMA ($73.98).
Bearish: Close below $72.00 may see a drop toward ~$70.63.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Keep alerts set for key levels; patience is key as we await clearer directional moves.
💬 Let’s discuss more in comment below!
Happy Trading,
The NFX Team™ 💚
(Earlier shared this post but got taken down due to some off-platform mention (violation) - still getting used to the TV rules :) , reposted for reference purpose.)
USOIL Bullish Breakout: Wedge Pattern Analysis on H4On the H4 timeframe, USOIL has breakout above a wedge pattern, signaling a potential shift toward bullish momentum. The breakout is visually projected using an orange-colored box, highlighting the zone where the price successfully moved above the wedge's upper boundary. This breakout indicates an increase in buying pressure, suggesting that the price may trend higher in the near term.
The next key resistance levels to watch are 71.3 and 72.2, which align with significant historical price zones and are set as profit targets. Caution is advised, as a reversal that pushes the price back into the wedge would invalidate this bullish outlook. It is advisable to place a stop-loss just below the wedge’s upper boundary.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Technical analysis is probabilistic in nature and does not guarantee profitability. Always implement proper risk management in every trading decision.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Key Level
Crude Oil looks overbought after a yesterday's bullish movement.
The price may retrace from the underlined blue daily resistance
at least to 69.9 price level.
As a confirmation, I see a double top pattern on an hourly time frame.
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2024-12-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures - Neutral. Having a hard time being bullish inside trading ranges and unexpected moves higher. Volume is utter trash and yet market broke above last weeks high and the bear trend line. Bulls want 71 next but I would not be surprised if we go down to 68 or even 67 again.
comment: Daily chart shows the trading range which is still contracting but the very small break above last weeks high is a start for the bulls. Buying at previous resistance inside a trading range is always a bad trade. I’d rather wait if bulls come around big time on a pullback and see if it has strong momentum and can break above 70.5.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 67 - 71
bull case: Bulls made a small higher high and now want 71 next. The rally is not particularly strong and the volume is also atrocious. I don’t have many arguments for the bulls here.
Invalidation is below 66.27
bear case: Bulls have not printed more than 2 consecutive bull bars for almost 2 months now. Bears see that, previous resistance 70.5 from last week and still a bear trend line close enough. They have much more reasons to sell this, than bulls have for buying it.
Invalidation is above 70.6.
short term: Neutral. I wait for one side to gain momentum again but my bar for the bulls is higher than for the bears. I don’t have an opinion on where this goes next. For me it’s 50/50 if we go down to at least 69 or higher to 71.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10 : Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade : Nope
trade of the day: Tough. Long was obviously right but there were so many trend lines that could have been resistance, it was much more reasonable to not take the longs than to hope for a breakout above multiple trend lines.
TradeCityPro | WTI Analysis Fundamental and Technical Insights👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s step away from the crypto space and analyze West Texas Intermediate (WTI) from both technical and fundamental perspectives.
🌍 Fundamental Overview
Supply Dynamics: U.S. shale oil production and OPEC+ decisions are key drivers. Escalating tensions in the Middle East, such as the Israel-Gaza conflict or Iran-related sanctions, pose significant risks to global oil supply.
Demand Trends : Economic growth and seasonal fluctuations influence demand, but the rise of renewables signals a gradual reduction in reliance on crude oil.
Geopolitical Factors : The Middle East, a hub for major oil producers, heavily impacts markets. Regional conflicts often lead to price spikes due to supply concerns.
Macroeconomic Trends : A stronger U.S. dollar and rising interest rates suppress oil demand, while inflationary pressures support higher prices.
Recent instability in the Middle East has heightened market volatility, underlining WTI's sensitivity to geopolitical events.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
In the 4-hour timeframe, WTI has been trending downward, nearing a key daily support level at 66.938, which has held multiple times and may attract buyers, shifting momentum.
📈 Long Position Trigger
wait for the 4-hour trendline breakout and trigger confirmations, such as RSI exceeding 73.48. The current 4-hour candle breaking the trendline could signal entry.
📉 Short Position Trigger
if the candle is rejected and turns red with strong bearish momentum or breaks below 66.938, it could trigger a sell opportunity in the market.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 66.99 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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US OIL Trade Log
WTI Crude Oil 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Bearish wedge forming with price stalling in the 1H FVG (premium zone).
- Confluence:
- Bearish Divergences: CVD and RSI confirm weakening momentum.
- Macroeconomics: Fundamentals lean bearish; CPI results pose a potential risk.
- Risk-Reward: Tight stop above the FVG. Targeting a 1:2.55 RRR down to liquidity grab zones below $68.
Quick Take:
This setup aligns technical weakness with fundamental caution. Stay nimble with CPI in play—adapt if the macro picture shifts. Target lower liquidity pockets if rejection confirms!
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 68.47 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 67.59 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 69.66 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to multi-swing-low supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 66.90 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 66.23 which is a level that lies underneath the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 68.51 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish drop?WTI/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 68.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retraecment.
Stop loss: 70.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 67.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Oil prices rebound on expectations of Chinese economic stimulus
Oil prices rebounded as Chinese authorities demonstrated their strong will to stimulate the economy. Chinese authorities announced that they will continue to respond to the economy with a more active fiscal policy, focusing on expanding domestic demand and stimulating consumption. Meanwhile, Aramco announced it would cut its OSP for Asian refineries to 90 cents lower per barrel. This is the lowest since Jan 2021, when global demand was weak due to the pandemic.
USOIL briefly broke below the support at 67.60 but rebounded, compensating some of the decline. However, the price stays within the downward channel, maintaining bearish momentum. If USOIL breaks below 67.60 again and the channel’s lower bound, the price may fall further to 64.80. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above EMA78 and the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 70.00 threshold.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances on WTI Oil on a daily.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 65.2 - 66.9 area
Resistance 1: 67.7 - 62.2 area
Resistance 2: 69.9 - 70.5 area
Resistance 3: 71.2 - 71.5 area
Resistance 4: 72.2 - 72.9 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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WTI , crud oil
Regarding WTI intraday trading, last Friday, the price swept liquidity around $67. Today, during the Asian session, the price is showing signs of an upward movement. I am anticipating a pullback to the $67.50 zone before considering a long position (in the 5-minute or higher timeframe).
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If you need further adjustments or have specific areas you would like to focus on, feel free to let me know!
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Continued StrugglesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Continued Struggles
Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $66.80.
Important Takeaways for Oil Price Analysis Today
- Crude oil prices failed to clear the $70.00 region and started a fresh decline.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to clear the $70.00 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh decline below the $68.80 support.
The price even dipped below the $67.80 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls are now active near the $66.80 level. A low was formed at $66.78 and the price is now consolidating losses. If there is a fresh increase, it could face resistance near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $70.10 swing high to the $66.78 low.
There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67.50. The first major resistance is near the $67.80 level, above which the price could rise and test the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $70.10 swing high to the $66.78 low at $68.80.
Any more gains might send the price toward the $69.60 level. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $66.80 support. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $66.00.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $63.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $61.20 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WTI recovered slightly, the outlook tilted to the downsideWTI TVC:USOIL increased slightly in the Asian trading session on Monday (December 9), trading around 67.50 USD/barrel. Oil prices fell sharply last Friday, closing near their lowest level, mainly due to expected declines in global demand.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December increased following the release of US nonfarm data. According to CME Group's FedWatch, federal funds rate futures trading points to the possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. point in December was nearly 90%, which will provide some support for oil prices.
Currently, uncertainty about the geopolitical situation increased again at the weekend, making the medium-term recovery of oil prices still not optimistic. In the short term, crude oil traders need to continue to observe whether the pressure brought about by the geopolitical situation on the supply side will support oil prices to continue to recover. Essentially, this week will continue to focus on changes in inventory data and whether demand-side pressures ease. This week, the financial market in general and the crude oil and WTI crude oil trading market in particular will focus on US CPI data.
On the daily chart, WTI TVC:USOIL although it recovered slightly in the opening Asian trading session today (December 9), it still has all the technical factors supporting bearish expectations.
With the long-term trend being noticed by the price channel followed by the short-term price channel, it has both a long-term and short-term trend of decreasing prices. On the other hand, WTI crude oil is also under main pressure from EMA21 along with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
In the short term, if WTI crude oil is sold below 65.28USD, there will be a prospect for a new downtrend to open, and the technical point of 68.34USD is the closest resistance currently.
The relative strength index also maintained price activity below the 50 level, which should be considered a negative signal for WTI crude oil technically.
During the day, the technical outlook for WTI crude oil on the daily chart leans bearish with notable points listed below.
Support: 66.44 – 65.28USD
Resistance: 68.34 – 69.51USD
USOUSD (OIL), key support remains in play Thanks for checking our latest update. Today we are looking at oil on its daily chart.
The key questions we are asking today from a technical perspective are: Will we see key support continue to hold, and will the rough looking ending diagonal pattern confirm, setting off a new rally? Or could sellers finally break the discussed key support area, setting off a new leg lower?
Key support: $67 - $66.50.
As always, traders must remain vigilant and stay abreast of the latest updates from OPEC and geopolitical influences, as these factors can significantly impact the market.
Good trading from Eightcap.