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Crude Oil WTI

Weekend Wizardry On Crude OilRight now It makes no sense in my mind why the market would want to return to being bearish. Yes we are in a premium and after a couple days of upwards movement there can be some stagnent action for traders who like to take more than 25-40 ticks ona single move. So again why would market want to move lower on a htf bases as pointed in my arrows we have a Daily FVG whcih I will be watching price to respect and create a discount in that FVG The wicks from Friday and Monday Daily chart show immediate rebalance and a propell higher is what I am looking for. Given Monday can be opposing price to what Tues and Wed Provide... wink wink Magnet shows my target for next week. to revisit this and whilst in fvg how do we close? Daily fvg CE? I really do look at price on the day to day basis weekly targets yes but this is a subconscious thought when im trading pacific times of the day.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by IamThattrader
MarketBreakdown | Dollar Index, Silver, EURCAD, WTI Oil Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ Dollar Index #DXY daily time frame 💵 Dollar Index nicely respected a key daily horizontal resistance. We see a nice bearish reaction to that today. Because of the absence of important fundamentals, I think that DXY may keep staying under a bearish pressure. 2️⃣ Silver #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙 The price action on Silver contracts. The market is currently stuck between 2 trend lines, forming a classic symmetrical triangle formation. Before the release of the news, the market will most likely stay within the triangle, respecting its upper and lower boundary. US fundamentals this week can be a catalyst for a breakout. The side of the breakout will indicate you the future direction of the market. 3️⃣ #EURCAD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇨🇦 The market is approaching a significant confluence zone based on a recently broken horizontal support and a trend line. The broken structures compose a supply zone from where we may see a bearish movement. Patiently analyze the reaction of the price to that on lower time frames and look for a confirmation to sell. 4️⃣ #WTI CRUDE OIL 🛢️ The market is currently stuck between 2 horizontal structures within a narrow range. I will wait for a breakout of one of the structures to confirm where the market will go next. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by VasilyTrader
1
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area 72.631 (Wave 5).Dear Colleagues, as in the last forecast I assume that the price was moving in wave “4” and is currently completing this wave. I expect the wave to start downward movement and reach the support area (minimum of wave “3”) at 72.631. Because this movement will be the development of wave “5” in the ending diagonal. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
10
#202426 - priceactiontds - weekly update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil futures Quote from last week: bull case: Strong week by the bulls with 3 pushes up but still a lower high. Their next target is to get back above 80.22. Right now they have momentum going but big down, big up mostly creates confusion and that means trading range. Above 79.5 I will probably long for 80. They need to stay above 77 or odds favor a retest of the lows below 74. comment: Bulls just had amazing follow through since Monday and have bought everything on lower volume. The tight bull channel is valid and Monday or Tuesday could set up another good buying opportunity. I don’t think bears want to die on that 82 hill and bulls can bring this easily back to 82.5 or 84.5 where two upper bear trend lines run through. current market cycle: big trading range or smaller bull trend inside of it. Triangle is still playing out. key levels: 72-84 bull case: Another very strong week. Can only look for longs in oil currently, until bears show up again. Bulls had two big legs up and want a third one to around 83.5/84.5. The current pullback could continue 1-3 days before more up but bulls should not let it break the lower bull channel around 79.7ish Invalidation is below 79.5. bear case: Bears clearly see the pattern and only doing small intraday scalps until the market get’s nearer to either bear trend line as drawn. The big one started 2 years ago, so you can be sure, there will be a reaction. Not saying bears will be strong enough to reverse it directly but at least stall it around that price area. As of now, bulls are in full control and far above the daily ema. Don’t look for shorts unless strong momentum. Invalidation is above 82.1. outlook last week: “short term: Neutral right under the bear channel line and daily ema at 77.5. Can break to either side.” → Last Sunday we traded 78.45 and now we are at 80.73. Not a good outlook but I would always write the same. As strong as it was before last Monday, it was the high of the trading range and it could have been the top for some days. short term: More sideways to down movement expected (not much down, max 79.7ish) before bulls try the third leg up. Can’t be anything but bullish looking at this chart until bears build bigger selling pressure. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 82/84. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. Market did indeed reversed hard over the past 3 weeks and we are almost at the top of the triangle again, where I expect more sideways movement until one side clearly wins again. Odds favor the bears if they stay below 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Bear channel was clearly broken and therefore removed. Tight bull channel with a 5-wave series added.
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by priceactiontds
oil crudewe anticipate a long term buy for crude oil based on the following analysis of crude oil which is an amalgamation of both fundamental technical analysis. WTI crude oil continues its upward trajectory, with hourly prices testing the upper bounds of the ascending channel. If the short-term ceiling holds, prices could still experience a rapid pullback. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level stands at $80.02, with larger pullbacks potentially reaching the 50% level at $79.51, followed by the 61.8% level at $78.99 near the channel bottom and the 200-day SMA dynamic inflection point. The stochastic oscillator dropping from overbought territory indicates rising selling pressure, with room for oscillators to decline further before reflecting bearish exhaustion, which suggests that the correction could persist until such exhaustion is observed. The RSI is also trending downward, indicating that crude oil prices may follow suit until oversold conditions are met and oscillators rebound. However, the overall structure shows the 100 SMA above the 200 SMA, confirming that the path of least resistance remains upward, or that support levels are more likely to hold than break. In this scenario, oil prices may continue to rise toward the swing highs around $81.69 or higher. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to buy the dips. ENTRY ; 80.00 tp 85 sl 78.80 risk reward ratio ; 120;500 (approximately 5 times more reward). Follow us for such market related updates contents and news boost us for increasing our reach to more people.
TVC:USOILLong
by realmillionairefx
USOIL Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear friends, USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 80.52 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 78.40 Recommended Stop Loss - 81.78 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Brent Crude Surges in June But Chart Pattern Raises ConcernsBrent Crude Surges in June as Inventory Draw Tightens Market, But Chart Pattern Raises Concerns Brent crude oil prices experienced a significant rally in June 2024, rising 5% over the month. This increase adds to a positive trend for the year so far, with Brent crude accumulating a total gain of 12.85% year-to-date. However, a closer look at the price chart reveals a potential concern – the formation of a rising wedge pattern, which could indicate a reversal in the upward trend. Understanding Brent Crude and Its Global Influence Brent crude oil, extracted from the North Sea, is a light sweet crude oil variety. Widely traded across the globe, it serves as a benchmark for oil pricing, influencing other crudes like West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US benchmark. Supply, demand, geopolitical tensions, and global economic health are all factors that impact Brent crude prices. In June 2024, a confluence of events pushed prices higher. US Inventory Draw Tightens the Market A key driver of the June price increase was a significant decline in US crude oil inventories. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a drop of 2.55 million barrels. This decrease signifies that demand for crude oil is outpacing supply, a classic recipe for rising prices. Several factors could explain the inventory decline. Economic growth can lead to increased energy consumption by businesses and consumers, driving up demand for crude oil. Geopolitical tensions can also disrupt oil supplies, further tightening available inventories. OPEC+ Decision Adds Fuel to the Fire Another factor influencing June's price increase was the decision by OPEC+, a group of oil-producing countries led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, to loosen production cuts. Implemented in April 2020 to support oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic, these cuts were gradually lifted as the global economy recovered in 2024. The OPEC+ decision was interpreted as a sign of a tightening oil market. With rising demand and only a gradual increase in production from OPEC+, concerns arose about potential future supply constraints. This concern played a role in pushing Brent crude prices higher in June. The Rising Wedge: A Potential Threat to the Upward Trend? While the June price increase paints a picture of a robust oil market, a technical analysis of the Brent crude price chart reveals a potentially bearish pattern – the rising wedge. This chart formation consists of two upward-sloping trendlines, with prices seemingly trapped within an expanding channel. While the price appears to be rising, the trendlines narrow as the pattern progresses, suggesting a potential loss of momentum. A breakout from the rising wedge, particularly downwards, is often seen as a bearish signal, indicating a potential reversal in the price trend. This could lead to a decline in Brent crude prices in the coming months. The Two-Sided Coin of Rising Oil Prices Higher Brent crude prices have a double-edged impact on the global economy. On the one hand, consumers face the burden of rising gasoline prices, which can strain household budgets and impact businesses reliant on transportation. Additionally, higher oil prices translate to increased costs for transportation and other goods and services. On the other hand, oil-producing countries benefit from the price hike. Increased revenue allows them to invest in infrastructure, social programs, and economic development initiatives. The Road Ahead: Uncertainties and Opportunities Predicting the future of oil prices is a complex task. Global economic growth, geopolitical tensions, and OPEC+ production decisions will all play a role. However, the June price increase and the formation of the rising wedge pattern highlight the dynamic nature of the oil market. While the upward trend suggests continued price increases in the near term, the rising wedge pattern warrants caution. Investors and businesses involved in oil-dependent industries should closely monitor the price chart and economic factors to navigate the potential market shift.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
USOIL: Short near 81.and Support 79.5~79.7Crude oil technical analysis Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77.5 Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-77.5 Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil slightly rose to 81 yesterday, and then fell back and fluctuated sideways under pressure. The overall price support stabilized above the 80 mark, showing a strong bullish oscillation rhythm. The short-term local decline adjustment will not change the overall bullish strength. At the same time, short-term adjustments will provide better opportunities for long orders to enter the market. Today's support is around 79.7-79.5. If it falls back to this position during the day, continue to go long. The upper target continues to focus on the new high. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 79 mark. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to go long at a low price. SELL:80.0 near SL:80.40 SELL:81.0 near SL:81.30 SELL:83.4 near SL:83.70 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOT
by ActuaryJ
USOIL: Can crude oil stabilize at the 80 mark?Technical analysis of crude oil Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77-75 Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-79 Operation suggestions for crude oil: The overall technical form of crude oil shows a bullish breakthrough. Today's support below continues to focus on yesterday's hourly neckline near 79.5-79.7. Return to this area during the day to continue to follow the trend and look for a breakthrough. The upper target is still expected to break through. The overall bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 78 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to follow the trend and keep the low-price long rhythm unchanged. (At the same time, beware of sudden trend changes. The technical side also has a warning of a sharp drop and wash) BUY:80.0 near SL:79.70 SELL:81.0 near SL:81.30 SELL:83.4 near SL:83.70 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by ActuaryJ
USOIL H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 80.73, which is an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 78.78, an overlap support level close to 23.6% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 83.56, which is an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by FXCM
WTI OIL Shifted to longterm bullish, but expect correction firstWTI Oil (USOIL) broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and invalidated April's Channel Down. Last time we saw such a Channel Down bullish break-out following a rebound on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) was on December 20 2023 and before that on May 17 2023. The common characteristic was that a 1D MACD Bullish Cross accompanied all those break-outs and the last two formed a 1D Death Cross. On both previous occasions, the price pulled back to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, touching the 1W MA50 again. As a result, even though we have confirmed a new long-term uptrend, we will turn bearish on the short-term, expecting a pull-back towards the 0.618 Fib, targeting $76.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot