✅CRUDE OIL TIME TO BUY|LONG🚀
✅CRUDE OIL will soon retest a key support level of 76.74
So I think that the price will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 78.00
LONG🚀
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Crude Oil WTI
$OIL needs to be dumped moreIn my prev. ideas shared the weakened chart of #usoil #crudeoil and this weak structure continues. Correction is necessary in mid term. Not financial advice.
Crude Prices Decline as Weekly EIA Inventories Unexpectedly RiseEquity Markets Navigate Macro Scenarios Amid Interest Rate and Stagflation Concerns
Equity markets navigate various macroeconomic scenarios as investors weigh the risks of prolonged high interest rates and potential stagflation.
HSBC suggests that greater clarity from the Federal Reserve, even if leaning more hawkish, could ease market pressures. Strategists believe this could lead to global equity gains in both a balanced "goldilocks" scenario and a mild stagflation scenario.
"The exact timing of Fed rate cuts should not significantly impact equities, especially if any delay is due to economic strength," they noted in a statement.
The upside for global equities both in a goldilocks and a mini stagflation scenario
Technically side:
The price dropped as we mentioned in the previous idea, and still trading at the bearish zone to reach 75.35.
so the bearish trend suggestion will continue as long as trades under 78.78 toward 76.60 and 75.35
the price will move between 80.73 and 75.35 for this week
Pivot line: 78.78
Support lines: 76.60, 75.35, 69.78
Resistance lines: 80.73, 82.24, 83.75
Crude Wednesday Pre NewsSo this is the forecast for Crude pre 1030est news.
I'm favouring some BSL to be taken if the 1hr FVG gets disrespected.
With 1hr fvg above and the BSL that is pointed out with the arrows.
If we show rejection from the 1hfvg we are currently near then PDL will be the target.
With news there is no certainty.
Overall I am HTF bearish however a sweep on BSL could be on the cards today.
Crude oil analysis
Crude oil prices are struggling as investors weigh recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve despite cooling U.S. consumer inflation data last week. Fed Vice Chairman Michael Barr said on Monday that the Fed is in a good position to keep policy steady and focus on the economy.
Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said she no longer believes three rate cuts in 2024 are appropriate. She stressed that inflation risks are skewed to the upside and given the strength of the economy, there is no harm in taking more time to collect inflation data.
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September fell slightly to 60% from 65% on Monday, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
In Canada, the expanded Trans Mountain pipeline (TMX) began commercial operations this month, overcoming years of regulatory delays and construction setbacks. The expansion will transport an additional 590,000 barrels per day from Alberta to Canada's Pacific Coast.
Investors are now turning their attention to supply from OPEC and its affiliates (OPEC+). They are scheduled to meet on June 1 to set output policy, which will include a decision on whether to extend voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day by some members.
oil (WTI)The right range of purchases with a risk to the right reward!
Stabilization stop below 76,800
Will crude oil continue to rise by 85?
Crude oil started to fall from the daily high of 88 in a double top pattern, and now it has successfully broken through the key watershed of 81, and the lowest drop to around 77 has eased the decline. It has not been able to break through the 77 mark recently, indicating that there is a lot of buying support, but the trend is still bearish. As long as it does not break through the 81 mark, it will remain bearish. So today's operation can be short near the rebound of 79, and must be short if it reaches around 80, and long near the bottom of 77.
Pressure: 79-80 Support: 77-76
Buy oil now
Oil prices have now entered a buying range. People who were long oil started buying. The target is above 78.3.
BRENT. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Neutral on 4H but at the top of the Channel Down.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 44.657, MACD = -0.100, ADX = 42.834) as it has been trading sideways since the start of the month. Nonetheless, it got rejected yesterday at the top of the Channel Down and the 4H MA100, was where it got rejected last time on April 26th. We are short, aiming a the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 73.20).
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OIL can go long in these positions, today’s analysis and strategCrude oil technical analysis
Daily resistance is 79-81, support below is 76.8-75
Four-hour resistance is 79-80, and support below is 78.3-76.8
Crude oil operation advice: Crude oil still fluctuated widely yesterday, with the lowest backtest of 78.2 starting to stabilize, and the highest hitting 79.8. Then it fell sideways, and after reaching near the previous high, it failed to break through directly, and continues to fluctuate upward today.
The overall price has stabilized at the 78 mark and continues to operate in a wide range of long and short shocks. Today, we will continue to focus on the vicinity of 79-79.6. If we break through this position during the day, we will continue to be bullish first. The short-term pressure above will focus on 79.6. Once the daily line firmly holds the 79.6 mark, we can see a big rise.
BUY:78.3near SL:78.00
BUY:79.0near SL:78.70
BUY:79.6near SL:79.30
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
OIL 20/5/2024 AnalysisDue to serious geopolitical scenario happening in the middle east usoil has a potential tendency to go long.
the Israel strike over Rafa and death of iranian president has created a serious tension in the middle east zone which can be affecting the price of black gold the oil.
Bullish targets: 79.60
79.80
80.10
bearish targets : 79.00
78.80
supports: 79.23
78.57
78.21
pivot 78.85
resistance 79:85
80.25
until and unless the pivot is not broken oil will continue buy.
boost follow and share us for more such trade analysis.
OIL (WTI) - 4H Sell SetupIn the past hours, OIL (WTI) experienced a sharp rise driven by news of Iran's president's death, which significantly impacted market sentiment.
This surge allowed OIL to break above the bearish channel and catch the liquidity over the resistance zone, as illustrated on the chart.
However, despite this upward spike, the price action suggests that OIL may continue its downward trajectory within the descending channel.
Traders should monitor this closely as the price looks set to resume its fall, adhering to the prevailing bearish trend.
The liquidity hunting above the resistance zone indicates potential for further declines as the market reverts to its established downward path.
Crude Oil Tuesday ForecastI Have in Mind that we will be BEARISH bias mostly this week as we have Tapped into the Premium Daily FVG yesterday and rejected lower.
My two targets shown in the forecast are the arrows.
Daily PDL
Weekly SSL
Now it is important to realise that the market is moving in London and a straight sell into 0830 or 0930est wouldn't be the best move.
Waiting for a retracement and then finding your model to get into the market is what we all strive for and to do couple times a week as intra day traders if the market gives us the opportunity.
Lets see how this plays out !!!
WTI OIL Strong rejection on 1D MA200 but be aware of a break-outWTI Oil (USOIL) made yesterday a strong rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been essentially the Resistance since the price broke below it on May 01. Having this level as a Resistance for 3 weeks makes it the strongest sell entry candidate, considering also the fact that this is the top of the 1-month Channel Down, thus a new Lower High.
As long as we don't close a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we will be bearish, targeting 74.00 (-7.75% decline, similar to both previous Bearish Legs of the Channel Down). If we do close a 1D candle above the 1D MA200, we will take the small loss and target 83.00 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension). The reason for being prepared for a long position as well, is because the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross.
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USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
USOIL pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 79.09 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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WTI Oil H4 | Approaching pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 77.67 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 76.50 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 80.12 which is a pullback resistance that lies underneath the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
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BRIEFING Week #20 : Pay the Price, Receive the Value !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Increase oil buying efforts. Target 80.3-80.7
Buy oil at around 79.3. Ultra-short-term trading shows that there is huge support below.
USOIL Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USOIL is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 79.46
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 79.05
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OIL: After death of Iran's President
The recent death of Iran's President might initially impact oil prices due to concerns about Middle East instability. However, this effect is likely to be temporary for several reasons:
Limited Presidential Power: In Iran, the President's role is more executive, with real power concentrated in the hands of the Supreme Leader. Therefore, the President's death does not signify a major shift in governance or policy direction.
Supreme Leader's Influence: The President, including the late Ibrahim Raisi, is essentially elected by the Supreme Leader. This ensures continuity in Iran's political landscape, reducing the likelihood of significant instability.
Market Realization: Any initial market reaction based on fears of instability is expected to be short-lived. As the market realizes that the Supreme Leader's authority remains unchanged, confidence should return, stabilizing oil prices.
In summary, while there may be an initial reaction in the oil market, it is unlikely to result in long-term chaos or a significant deviation from the current market direction.
