USOIL enjoys relief but has an uneasy path ahead of itWest Texas Intermediate crude oil trades near $79.80 per barrel, which happens to be slightly below the 20-day SMA and the lower bound of the ascending channel. A breakout above the moving average will bolster a bullish case for oil in the short term, especially if the price closes above the 20-day SMA for multiple consecutive days; the same applies to a breakout above the channel’s lower bound. Once the 20-day SMA is broken, $80.44 and $82.25 are important resistance levels to watch out for. However, a rejection at the moving average and channel’s bound will be somewhat concerning, potentially foreshadowing further stagnation around the current price or return of weakness.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays simple support and resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs.
Illustration 1.02
The daily MACD of USOIL is shown above. The yellow arrow indicates a bullish crossover between the MACD line and the signal line. However, it is important to emphasize that MACD is still within the bearish area below the midpoint.
Technical conditions
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Monthly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Crude Oil WTI
Crude Oil Weekly Analysis- 20th to 24th May 2024
Over view
As per my previous weekly analysis, Crude oil had great ride from beginning of this year and paused from previous month. Fortunately this was necessary for having further movement. We can consider the previous month process was retracement thus by expecting further movement in upcoming weeks.
Any small bounce from this level would be great bullish indications for good week ahead.
Weekly TF
Price has exactly reacted at 0.382 Fibonacci level which is good sign of bullish continuation.
Good green candle formation after doji formation & crossed 50 EMA
Day TF
Trend: Upward range with 3 consecutive support(HL 01, HL 02, HL 03).
Now HL04 has been created and rejected at same level by creating double bottom.
Inside candle breakout has been found after creating Doji & Bullish hammer.
Price has been rejected from crucial key level
0.5 Level rejected in Fibonacci
Buy:
Entry 01:6691
Entry 02: 6962
Final Target expected: 7235
Direct Gapup/Gapdown entry should be avoided
Get confirmation from any of the leading indicators before entering trade
Kindy comment below in case of any clarification required on this particular idea.
Please follow for more ideas
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Weekly Forex Forecast: May 20-25th Part 2This 2 part video covers...
- USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
- S&P500, NASDAQ, GOLD, SILVER, CRUDE OIL
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OIL - Getting Slippery?🩸Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 After breaking below the last major low marked in red at $84.5, OIL has been overall bearish , trading within the rising channel in blue.
📈 For the bulls to regain control, a break above the last major high marked in blue is needed.
📚 Meanwhile, OIL would be bearish and can still trade lower to test the $75 - $76.25 support zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USOIL On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USOIL is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 82.13
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 83.93
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER - The Perfect Impulsive WaveSilver is showing us a perfect impulsive wave in accordance to Elliott Wave Theory.
The basic principle of an impulse wave is as follows:
Impulse waves = 5 waves
Wave 1 - is made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 2 - Is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction)
Wave 3 - is another impulse wave made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 4 - is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction)
Wave 5 - Can be either an impulse or a correction - But its made up of 5 waves
We are looking for wave 4 now, which is a correction. Anticipating price to come down to the buy zone. The closer we get to the invalidation level, the better as we don't expect price to break below it.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for wave 4 correction to form. This wave can be traded. Look for reversal signs on lower timeframe
- Once we're in buy zone, watch for bullish price action and reversal patterns
- Once entered, stops go below invalidation level
- Targets: 32, 34.5, taper
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
A must-read for trading oil
If you are a friend who likes to trade oil, you can do a rebound at 77.5-77.8. Combined with the trend channel, oil will rebound to a certain extent after falling. For ultra-short-term trading, you can also buy to earn the difference.
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
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Because we will be the ultimate winner!
Sell oil. A must read if trading oil.
In terms of oil, after the news of substantial persistence came to light. Oil prices have been trending downward. This is true in the medium term and also in the short term. Currently, the top of 79 serves as a pressure position and is a good selling point. The small-level target below is around the price of 77.5.
Operations are still focused on selling.
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
USOIL Short-Term Outlook: Why We're BearishWe're looking at the USOIL market and our analysis shows signs of a short-term downtrend. Here's why:
COT Reports: The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) reports reveal that the behavior of participants labeled as "Commercials" is most characteristic of a bear market.
CFD Market Positioning: Oil traders in the CFD market are shifting their positions, with most now long. This could trigger a wave of stop-losses, further pushing prices down.
Options Analysis: Real options portfolios on the CME exchange suggest that strategies like Bear Put Spreads are gaining popularity. These portfolios are targeting a price of around $70 per barrel.
Taking these factors into account, we believe the short-term outlook for USOIL is bearish.
What do you think of the market? Share your thoughts in the comments!
WTI long D bullish pin bar 4H inside barWTI long D bullish pin bar 4H inside bar (Red, Orange & Green ) inside bar bullish fakeouts keeping stop trailing alone with market move showen 1st STOP then 2nd Stop 1:1.5 R:R.
More than 2nd entry is there with a minor risk keepking eye on FVG if goes to fill that order block can have more profit or more loss Let C what comes.
OIL: Descending channel, sell on highsCrude Oil Technical Analysis
Daily resistance is 79.7-83.6, support below is 76.8-75
Four-hour resistance is 78.6-79.7, support below is 76.8
Crude oil operation suggestions:
Last Friday, the overall oil price fell under pressure from the 79.9 mark. The overall price appeared to be suppressed and encountered resistance at the 79.9 mark. There is still room for decline in the short term. Today, the upper resistance will focus on the hourly top-bottom transition level around 79-78.8. The intraday rebound will rely on this position to continue to be bearish. . The lower target level still focuses on new lows, and the short-term weak short-term dividing line focuses on the 79.7 mark. Before the daily level reaches this position, continue to maintain high price short selling.
SELL:78.8near SL:79.1
SELL:79.7near SL:80.0
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 16.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP.
Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1.
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Oil price real-time trading details
Oil prices are currently back at low levels, supported by the June production cut agreement. In the short term, buying is still the main focus, taking the price of tradingview as an example. 78.2-78.5 is used as the buying range.
The target can be set at 79.6-80.5.
Crude - Testing the waters...We saw our weekly target hit yesterday,
I have a hunch as on the Daily we are constantly going back to the middle of the range that bsl of some form is in the eye of the market before we would want to move down.
I ask myself.... Why would we want to go all the way back (weekly ssl level) if we have been here and raided Sell Stops... If I was the market I would want some breakfast first before I head down for lunch and dinner right?
So for PRE 0930EST im watching to see if price respects the 4hr FVG's.
This will indicate some bsl to be taken.
USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 79.01.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 77.85 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI Oil H4 | Heading into resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 79.82 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 81.06 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 77.67 which is a pullback support.
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