Crude Oil WTI
USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 67.303.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 71.215.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USOIL Under Technical Pressure: 1D Timeframe Breakdown Hey Guys,
The 66.584 level currently stands as the strongest support zone for USOIL. If this level breaks with a candle close, the next major target could drop to 55.666.
This setup is based on the 1-day timeframe. I highly recommend keeping a close watch on that key level.
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USOIL H4 bullish upward ⚠️ Disrupted Analysis – WTI Crude Oil (4H Chart)
🔻 Bearish Pressure Re-Entering
Despite a temporary candle breakout, the price failed to sustain above the breakout trendline.
The recent price action inside the orange circle shows lower highs and rejection wicks, indicating bullish weakness.
📉 Potential Breakdown Risk
If the price fails to hold above 66.00, there's a high probability of it breaking below the support area around 64.80–65.00, leading to:
Increased bearish momentum
Retesting lower demand zones, possibly around 63.50–64.00
❌ Resistance Area Still Valid
The Resistance area at 68.00–69.00 remains unchallenged.
The "Target" shown is optimistic under current momentum.
Without strong volume and bullish candles, that target remains unlikely in the near term.
🔁 Disruption Summary
The bullish breakout is likely a false breakout.
Market may be forming a bull trap.
Watch for a clean break below 65.00 for confirmation of a bearish reversal.
Crude Oil -DAILY- 21.07.2025Oil prices were steady after their first weekly decline this month, as attention shifted to U.S. trade negotiations and the European Union’s push to tighten restrictions on Russian energy exports. The EU is preparing new sanctions, including a lower price cap on Russian crude, limits on fuel refined from Russian oil, banking restrictions, and bans targeting an Indian refinery and Chinese firms. Despite western sanctions, Russian oil continues flowing to China and India. Meanwhile, diesel margins in Europe remain strong, signaling tight supply.
On the technical side, the price of crude oil has failed to break below the major technical support area, which consists of the 50-day simple moving average and the 50% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level. The Stochastic oscillator has been in the neutral level since last week hinting that there is potential for the price to move to either direction in the near short term. On the other hand, the Bollinger bands have contracted rather massively showing that volatility has dried up therefore, the recent sideways movement might extend in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
WTI(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.42
Support and resistance levels
68.00
67.41
67.02
65.81
65.43
64.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 66.42, consider buying, and the first target price is 67.02
If the price breaks through 65.81, consider selling, and the first target price is 65.43
Brent UKOil - Neutral Slightly Bearish • Daily: Price is sitting above long-term trendline support, but momentum is waning.
• 4H: Structure looks indecisive with constant failures near 71.00.
• 1H: Recent break of the upward channel. Now retesting that zone from below.
⚠️ Watch For:
• Retest of 69.60–70.00 as resistance.
• Break and close below 69.20 could signal deeper downside.
• If it holds above 70.20 again, bullish bias resumes.
$USOIL: Will we see breakout or breakdown from this wedge? I have been watching the Commodity markets recently keenly to get direction or for market indications. AMEX:GLD , Copper and TVC:USOIL are the big 3 which determines the direction of commodity markets and hence the inflation. Inflation dictates direction of TVC:US10Y , TVC:DXY and hence the Equity markets. So, what are commodity markets telling us? With AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD at ATH what does this mean for TVC:USOIL : TVC:USOIL Is in a bearish pattern and no sign of concrete bullish reversal on the commodity. Recently it has shown some signs of strength but still below its 0.5 Fib retracement level which is at 68 and we have time and again said that 0.318 Fib level at 80 $ might prove to be an upper resistance which will be difficult to breakout.
In the recent months whenever TVC:USOIL tries to break out of the 60 RSI sellers came back and pushed the prices down. Currently with RSI at 50 we might have some room for upside. Oil bulls can have a 20% upside in the RSI taking it to 60 which has historically proved to be a resistance. And a 20% upside in price is also possible with price hitting our 0.318 resistance level of 80%. Above that there is limited upside for $USOIL. The downward slopping wedge shown below indicates a breakout might be imminent which might take TVC:USOIL to 80 $ which is our highest target in this range bound market.
In contrast the bull run in other important commodities like AMEX:GLD and COPPER might have some legs as they are showing strength by breaking above the previous ATH. It is always a good idea to buy strength and ATH.
Verdict: TVC:USOIL remains range bound with 55 $ on lower bound and 80 on the upper bound. Commodity bulls can look at AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD for better returns.
USOIL: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
USOIL
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry - 66.40
Stop - 65.95
Take - 67.48
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USOIL Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 66.40
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 65.78
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 67.32
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CRUDE OIL BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL broke the rising
Support line which is now a resistance
And the price made a retest an a pullback
So we we are bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Micro WTI Swing Breakout Setup – Robbing Liquidity the Smart Way🛢️ "Crude Ops: The WTI Energy Vault Breakout Plan" 🛢️
(A Thief Trader Swing Setup | MA Breakout Trap Heist 💰💥)
🌍 Hola! Bonjour! Marhaba! Hallo! Hello Robbers & Market Movers! 🌟
Welcome to another high-voltage heist mission straight from the Thief Trading Den. This ain’t just a chart—this is an Energy Market Extraction Plan based on real smart money footprints 🔎.
🔥 Master Robbery Setup: MICRO WTI CRUDE OIL FUTURES 🎯
We got a bullish breakout alert from the shadows! This is not a drill.
💣 ENTRY STRATEGY
💼 "The Heist Begins Above 68.50"
Watch the Moving Average (MA) zone closely—this is where weak hands get trapped and we slide in with stealth limit or breakout orders:
🛠️ Plan of Entry:
Buy Stop Order: Just above 68.500 (after confirmation of breakout ✅).
Buy Limit Layering (DCA): On pullbacks around 15m/30m swing lows for precision entries.
🧠 Pro Tip: Use alerts to catch the exact entry ignition spark—don't chase, trap with patience like a true thief.
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL)
⚠️ "No SL? That’s a rookie mistake."
SL should only be placed post-breakout using the 8H wick-based swing low (around 66.50).
💡 SL is your personal vault door—set it according to:
Lot size
Risk appetite
Layered entry strategy
📌 Reminder: No SL or order placement before breakout. Let the market show its hand first.
🎯 TARGET ZONE (Take Profit)
Primary Target: 76.00 🏁
But hey... the smartest robbers escape before alarms ring — so trail that stop, secure your profits, and vanish like smoke 🥷.
💥 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT CATALYSTS
🔥 Current bullish energy comes from:
📉 USD weakness
🏭 Crude inventory drawdowns
⚖️ Geopolitical supply shocks
🐂 Hedge funds scaling long per latest COT data
📊 Intermarket cues from risk-on assets
🧠 Do your diligence: Go check fundamentals, COTs, and macro narratives before entering. Info = Edge.
📢 RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE
🚨 Don't go wild. Market is volatile, especially around:
News drops 📉
Fed or OPEC speeches 🎙️
Crude inventory reports 🛢️
Pause entries during news events. Use trailing SLs to lock the vault behind you.
❤️ SUPPORT THE ROBBERY MISSION
💣 Smash that BOOST button if this plan hits your nerve.
Let’s keep robbing liquidity zones together and growing the Thief Trader Brotherhood 🕵️♂️💰.
📡 Stay tuned for the next stealth heist drop. We rob the market with class. 💎🚀
BRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINEBRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINE?📉
USOIL has been trading bullish within the last couple of days, supported by prospects of tighter supply and an improved demand outlook. US crude inventories dropped last week, which indicates firm demand despite the rising output.
Still, technically, oil looks bearish. It has formed a bearish wedge and is currently testing the former trendline from below. The most probable scenario is that wee see the bearish impulse towards 6,500.00 with further decline. Another option is that the rise will continue towards 6,900.00 level.
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 67.883.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 62.518 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI(20250717)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of PPI in the United States in June was 2.3%, lower than the expected 2.5%, the lowest since September 2024, and the previous value was revised up from 2.6% to 2.7%. Federal Reserve Beige Book: The economic outlook is neutral to slightly pessimistic. Manufacturing activity declined slightly, and corporate recruitment remained cautious.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
65.20
Support and resistance levels:
66.59
66.07
65.74
64.67
64.33
63.83
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 65.74, consider buying in, and the first target price is 66.07
If it breaks through 65.20, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.67
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Crude Oil Trade Plan Scenarios and Key Levels
NYMEX:CL1!
It’s Wednesday today, and the DOE release is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. CT. This may provide fuel—pun intended—to push prices out of the two-day consolidation. Also, note that the August contract expires on July 22, 2025. Rollover to the September contract is expected on Thursday/Friday. You can see the pace of the roll here at CME’s pace of roll tool . The chart shows that rollover is about 70% complete, and CLU25 has higher open interest. Note, the front-month August contract is still trading at higher volume.
What has the market done?
Crude oil is in a multi-distribution profile since the peak witnessed during the Iran-Israel conflict. Crude oil formed a strong base above the 64s and traversed towards the 69s. Prices were rejected at these highs and have since reverted back towards the monthly Volume Point of Control, monthlyVPOC.
What is it trying to do?
The market is in active price discovery mode and has formed multi-distributions since June 23. The market has been consolidating after prices at highs were rejected.
How good of a job is it doing?
The market is active and is also providing setups against key levels. Patience to take trades from these higher time frame levels is what is required to trade crude oil currently. Otherwise, there is a lot of volatility and chop that can throw traders off their plan.
Key Levels:
• Yearly Open: 67.65
• Neutral zone: 67.15–67.30
• 2-Day VAL (Value Area Low): 66.40
• Neutral zone: 66.40–66.20
• 2025 Mid-Range: 65.39
• Key Support: 64.40–64.70
What is more likely to happen from here?
Scenario 1: An initial attempt to push higher, pVAL and onVAL finds aggressive sellers pushing prices towards mcVPOC and yMid confluence
Scenario 2: pVAL provides support for further consolidation and break back above yesterday's high and price moves towards yearly Open.
Glossary:
pVAL: Prior Value Area Low
onVAL: Overnight Value Area Low
yMid: 2025 Mid-Range
mcVPOC: Micro Composite Volume Point of Control
Crude oil extends fallsThe crude oil market has entered a fragile and uncertain phase, with prices retreating from recent highs. While WTI crude is still holding above the critical $65 mark on a closing basis, it was below this handle at the time of writing. So, the overall tone remains cautious, with a bearish tilt expected to persist in the near term.
Technical Outlook: WTI Breaks Key Support
The WTI crude chart shows a breakdown of a short-term bullish trend line, and lower lows. The price failed to reclaim the 200-day moving average and found strong resistance since. Currently, it is testing support around $65.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further bearish momentum, with the next support zones seen at $64, and then the next round handles below that. $60 per barrel could be reached if the macro backdrop doesn't improve.
Geopolitical Factors: Trump’s Tariff Threats Dismissed
Donald Trump’s threats of 100% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil sparked initial concern but were ultimately shrugged off by the market. Traders interpreted the 50-day delay in enforcement and Trump’s historical pattern of backing off such threats as signs that immediate supply disruptions were unlikely.
OPEC+ Strategy: Supply Returning to the Market
OPEC+ has announced a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 bpd for August, with another 550,000 bpd potentially coming in September. This roll-back of earlier voluntary cuts aims to recapture market share, especially as U.S. shale production slows. However, the added supply may cap price gains, particularly as demand is expected to ease after the peak U.S. driving season.
By Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst with FOREX.com
Could we see the WTI oil bears getting pleased any time soon?The technical picture of MARKETSCOM:OIL is showing a possible bearish flag formation, which may lead WTI oil to some lower areas. Is that the case? Let's dig in.
NYMEX:CL1!
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Your Trading Plan Explained
Do not forget that today we expect Crude Oil Inventories data
release - it will be 10:30 am NY time.
Ahead of this news, the market is testing a significant daily support cluster
that is based on a rising trend line and a horizontal structure.
You signal to buy will be a bullish breakout of a minor intraday
horizontal resistance on a 4H.
4H candle close above 66,5 will be your confirmation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 67.6 then.
I suggest waiting for the news release first and then check how
the market prices in the news. If our technicals align with fundamentals,
it will provide an accurate setup.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a blue support will push the prices lower.
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