Analysis of the Market Trend for Next WeekThe price of crude oil futures declined on Friday, falling by approximately 1% during the session, giving back the gains brought about by a brief technical rebound. Bearish demand signals continued to dominate traders' sentiment. The price of crude oil is likely to drop by more than 7% this week, which reflects the growing concerns in the market about the weakening of global demand. Traders remain cautious ahead of the crucial OPEC+ meeting scheduled for May 5th. It is expected that some member states will push for an acceleration of production increases before June. There are reports that Saudi Arabia has hinted that it has no intention of supporting oil prices through a new round of production cuts, which has further intensified the downward pressure on oil prices.
In terms of demand, the market remains skeptical about potential trade negotiations. The Ministry of Commerce of China stated that it is evaluating the proposal put forward by the United States to resume tariff negotiations. Analysts said that the trade environment remains unstable and fraught with uncertainties.
Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. At the same time, the oil price correction broke below the support line, and the bearish trend of oil prices is expected to enter a further acceleration stage. After the rise first and then the fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and bears of oil prices is around $59.3. If it is under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend.
Usoilanalysis
Summary of the Crude Oil Market This WeekThis week, the crude oil market witnessed a significant decline. Brent crude oil dropped by a cumulative 8.3%, and WTI crude oil fell by 7.5%. Both recorded their largest single-week declines since the end of March.👉👉👉
OPEC+ convened a production meeting ahead of schedule and planned to discuss the production increase plan for June. The market bets that the probability of a production increase is as high as 70%. Previously, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced in April that it would increase daily production by 411,000 barrels starting from May, which is three times the original planned increase. This move aimed to punish member states that had overproduced oil. If production is further increased in June, it will further intensify the supply pressure on the market.
Although the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region have intensified, such as the postponement of the fourth round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran, which has, to a certain extent, provided support for oil prices, judging from the overall market situation this week, this supporting effect has failed to offset the impact of increased supply and decreased demand.
Overall, this week, under the intertwined influence of factors such as increased supply, uncertain demand prospects, and changes in the geopolitical situation, the crude oil market showed a significant downward trend. The market's expectations for crude oil prices are rather pessimistic, and it is expected that crude oil prices will still face certain downward pressure in the coming period. However, if OPEC+ changes its production increase plan, or if there is an unexpected improvement in the global economy, crude oil prices may rebound.
The decisive day of major data (USOIL)
Yesterday, it was pointed out in the analysis circle: The support of 58 needs to be tested. Sure enough, buying at low levels continued to expand profits. The current price is 59.6. From the pressure analysis, the market is still affected by data that oversupply, and institutions will not reduce production in a short time. Therefore, oil prices will fall further,
The oil price broke through 59. Due to supply reasons, the market still has a downward range. 60-61 is a good choice to sell in succession.
tp58-57
USOIL trading alerts. Pressure and support.Oil also fell according to instructions. I just forgot to remind you. Sorry, but the profit is quite good. Sell short from 58.7. Then the lowest reached 56.34
But today in the New York market, USOIL rose again above 58. From a fundamental perspective. The market will continue to fall under pressure. But from the trend, we need to pay attention to the support of 58. If it does not fall today, it is likely to continue to fall based on Friday's trend. The pressure level near 59 needs to be paid attention to. In terms of operation, it is still mainly selling at high levels.
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Can oil prices continue to be shorted? Of courseSaudi Arabia made a major strategic shift, willing to accept low oil prices and unwilling to cut supply.
Oil prices fell sharply as a result.
It is expected that oil prices will hit 55-56 in the short term, so the operation is still mainly shorting oil prices. Overcapacity.
Short on Oil/Back to 57$ SOONI believe we can continue the retest of previous major support level at 65-66$ and fibonacci 0.618. This major support will be flipped to resistance in my opinion. We can see a significant sell-off back towards the 57$ area and below from this location.
I will be looking to enter a short trade from the 0.618 region/66$ if there is a rejection.
My mid-term/end-of-year prediction for US OIL is between 45-50$ and possibly lower.
If you believe in the fundamentals and idea of this setup, feel free to follow and use it.
Not financial advice.
Market Analysis and Trading Strategy of USOILThe USOIL market has witnessed significant fluctuations recently. Yesterday, the price broke below the key support level of $61.5, and then it has been declining all the way. As of today, it has approached the vicinity of $59.5. This downward trend reflects that the bearish force currently dominates the market.
From a technical analysis perspective, once the support level of $61.5 is broken, its nature will transform into a strong resistance level. The rapid decline of the price to $59.5 indicates strong bearish momentum. Currently, the focus of the market is on the $59 mark, which is of crucial importance. If this support level is breached, according to the continuity of the price trend and the technical pattern, USOIL is highly likely to continue to decline further. The next important support level is around $57.5. Conversely, if the price can be effectively supported near $59, based on the technical repair demand after being oversold, the price is expected to rebound.
Based on the above analysis, in terms of trading strategy, investors can consider taking a short position near $60. If the price breaks below $59, the short position can be held, with the target price set at $57.5. If the price stabilizes and rebounds near $59, the stop-loss order should be executed in a timely manner to avoid expanding losses. Given the frequent release of important data recently and the significant impact of these data, market volatility will increase significantly. Investors must trade with caution, strictly control their positions, and set reasonable stop-loss levels to cope with the possible sharp price fluctuations.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL: Recent Analysis and Trading StrategiesOver the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating and consolidating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. The overall trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, the bullish momentum was scarce, making it difficult to achieve an effective breakthrough. Subsequently, it shifted into a downward trend. Yesterday's market situation was particularly typical. It opened higher at $63.5 in the early trading session and then declined all the way. It not only broke below the key support level of $61.5 but also had weak rebound strength. Currently, the price is still hovering around this support level, indicating the market's indecision.
Currently, most investment institutions hold a pessimistic view on the future of USOIL. However, it is worth noting that the price has touched the support level of $61.5 five times in the past two weeks. Although it briefly broke below this level twice, it failed to effectively form a trending breakthrough. The principle that "if a support level can't be broken after repeated attempts, there will be a rebound" has been verified many times in similar situations, suggesting that there may be strong potential buying power at this support level.
Based on the above analysis, today's trading strategy is recommended to maintain a cautiously bearish tone, but it is necessary to closely guard against potential technical rebound risks. During the trading process, it is essential to set stop-loss levels strictly to avoid the expansion of losses due to sudden market movements. At the same time, it is advisable to reduce aggressive trading and mainly adopt a wait-and-see approach. Be patient and wait for clearer trend signals, and then choose the right time to enter the market when the market direction becomes more explicit.
USOIL
sell@62-62.5
tp:61-60.5
sl:62.8
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
The price fluctuation range of USOIL is quite obvious.In the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. Its trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, there was a slight lack of momentum, and subsequently, it entered a downward channel. This kind of fluctuation is not isolated but has complex underlying causes.
In terms of trading strategies, given that the current price fluctuation range is relatively clear, a strategy of selling high and buying low within the range of $61.5 - $64.5 can be considered. However, it should be noted that once the price breaks through the above-mentioned range, the strategy should be adjusted in a timely manner to follow the market trend, and one should be on guard against the risks brought about by a one-sided market.
USOIL
sell:63.5-64
tp:62.5-62
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
#USOIL 4HUSOIL (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The chart is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly visible, and the neckline is an important support zone to monitor.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may be considered if the price breaks and closes below the neckline with confirmation. This breakdown could indicate the start of a bearish trend continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Look for a sell setup once the neckline is broken and retested as resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Positioned above the right shoulder to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target nearby support zones or use a measured move technique based on the pattern's height.
Market Sentiment:
As long as the neckline holds and the breakdown is confirmed, bearish momentum is likely. A failure to break below the neckline would delay or invalidate the selling setup.
USOIL Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekTrend Analysis
As shown in the chart, in the 1 - hour time frame, USOIL is moving within an upward - trending channel 📈. This channel is defined by two trendlines, and the price is fluctuating upwards within it. Although there have been pullback trends during this period, the overall trend remains upward. This indicates that in the short term, the bullish forces are relatively dominant, driving the price to gradually climb 📈. However, the frequent price fluctuations also reflect a certain degree of game - playing between the bulls and bears in the market 🤺.
⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0
🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialCrude oil lacks upward momentum, with the target pointing to $60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Primary and secondary rhythm: sudden drop in crude oil pricesLast week, OPEC announced a new compensation plan to offset previous overproduction. Under the plan, eight affected countries plan to reduce production by a total of 457,000 barrels per day by mid-2026, failing to sustain a short-term rise in oil prices.
Crude oil's short-term trend hit strong resistance near 64.90 and fell, with the decline erasing the gains of the previous three trading days. The MACD fast and slow lines remain within bearish momentum, indicating abundant downward momentum. From the perspective of primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a primary downward trend, while the weak rebound in early trading today represents a secondary rhythm. According to the law of primary-secondary alternation, crude oil is expected to continue to decline today, breaking below the 61.50 support level and testing 60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialYesterday's strategic analysis noted that U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports limited crude oil's upside, though short-term rebounds occurred. Combined with the U.S. plan to zero out Iranian energy exports, short-term news-driven oil price gains primarily reflect supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
While U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, intensified global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will cap the upside potential of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
sell:64.5-65
tp:63-62
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialDriven by the U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil exports, crude oil rebounded in the short term. OPEC has received updated compensation production reduction plans from eight countries (reducing daily oil production by 305,000 barrels until June 2026), coupled with the U.S. intention to reduce Iran's energy exports to zero. The recent oil price rally is primarily driven by short-term news, reflecting supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
Although U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, escalating global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will limit the upside of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
buy@62-63
tp:64-65
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
USOIL Today's strategyWith the combination of oversupply, weak demand, technical factors, and geopolitical uncertainties, there is a high probability of a short-term decline in USOIL prices. Investors should closely monitor the dynamic changes.
USOIL
sell@61.5-62
tp:60.5-60
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Daily Analysis of USOILChanges in Crude Oil Supply and Demand:
Demand Side: China imposes tariffs on U.S. crude oil, raising the import cost and reducing the import volume. The United States imposes tariffs on energy imports from Canada and Mexico, affecting the crude oil exports of these two countries to the U.S., reducing the demand for crude oil in the United States and putting pressure on the price of USOIL 😟.
Supply Side: After China reduces its imports of U.S. crude oil, it increases imports from other exporting countries, changing the global crude oil supply pattern and possibly strengthening the expectation of a supply surplus. The decrease in U.S. crude oil exports may lead to an increase in domestic inventory, exerting downward pressure on the price of USOIL 😣.
💰💰💰 USOIL💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@61.0 - 61.2
🎯 TP 59.5 - 59.5
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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USOIL Today's strategyCurrently, USOIL is fluctuating within a range without a clear directional bias. If it stably breaks through the range of $63 to $64, it is highly likely to continue rising. Conversely, if it fails to break through, it may trigger a decline towards the range of $59 to $57.
USOIL
sell@63-62
tp:60-59
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Choose to go short at high levels for crude oilThe price of crude oil is still fluctuating within a range and lacks clear directional momentum. The outlook remains bearish until it breaks through the $63.70 mark or there are clear factors stimulating demand. In the short term, the trend of oil prices is likely to remain confined to the current range. In terms of trading suggestions, it is advisable to mainly go short and go long as a supplement.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 61.90-62.10
sl 62.80
tp 61.20-61.00
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