Black Gold Judgment Says Huge Challenge Is Just One Step AheadGlobal shares rose while the dollar retreated on Wednesday, after a hot reading of U.S. wholesale inflation set a nervous tone for trading before a consumer price report that could prove decisive about when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.
The frenzy in so-called meme stocks entered a third day, with shares in AMC and GameStop soaring by more than 25% at one point in premarket trading before retracing some of those gains.
Price action was more subdued as investors were reluctant to push any market too aggressively one way or another ahead of the monthly U.S. consumer price index later in the day.
The boom has drawn parallels with the meme-stock craze that gripped markets in early 2021, where retail traders, using trading platforms and social media investment advice pumped up the value of stocks that many large investors had bet heavily against.
Technical graph for Brent crude oil says, right here is a similar challenge like in 2021.
Usoilanalysis
Usoil-analyze
Yesterday I thought oil would reach 79.5, and I thought that if oil closed at 79, the probability of rising today would be high, but the highest it could only reach 79.2.
After my analysis today, I believe that oil started to fall from 87.6, reached as low as 77, and finally fell to around 76.9, a total drop of almost 11, so I judge that oil has some room for repair.
My short term goal is 79.5-80, let's see if we can get there
Today's closing price is also very important. If it can break through 79.2 and stand firm, the probability of oil continuing to rise tomorrow will increase, and it may even reach 81. If today's closing price is below 79.2, oil may continue to fluctuate between 77-80.
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Crude oil continues to be shorted at high pricesCrude Oil Technical Analysis
Daily resistance is 79.6-83.4, support below is 76.8
Four-hour resistance is 79.6-80, support below is 78-76.8
Crude oil operation suggestions: Shorts dominate the daily chart, and the trend of suppressing shorts and oscillating downwards has been formed for 6 consecutive trading days.
The short-term resistance above today continues to focus on the vicinity of 79.6. The rebound relies on this position to continue to be bearish and the target continues to be new lows. The short-term oil price long-short dividing line focuses on the 80.5 mark. Any counterattack before the daily level does not break through and stand at this position is Short opportunities and keep trading with the trend.
SELL:79.6 near SL:80.00
SELL:83.4 near SL:83.80
SELL:79.0 near SL:79.40
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Crude Oil: Potential Bullish ShiftOn 4h timeframe, WTI Crude Oil is printing a falling wedge pattern followed by Bearish Divergence on RSI. Potential Reversal Zone is predicted using the AB=CD pattern.
TRADE PLAN
Buy on breakout on previous Lower High.
Stop Loss on previous Lower Low
TP1, TP2 with RRR of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively
0506-0511 USOIL Weekly OutlookHello traders,
USOIL has been bearish since early of April.
It got one week correction and turn down to drop hardly again last week.
On the left weekly chart, last week Strong bearish candle cross EMAS down to a new low. This is a weekly bearish signal for us.
On the right 4H chart, seems like it stops dropping by reaching FIBO EXT 1.27-1.414 support zone.
This could be a sign for sideways price action like what I marked out on the chart.
Price could turn down to a new low after this price action unless war in the earth happen soon in this week.
GOOD LUCK ON THIS WEEKLY OUTLOOK.
LESS IS MORE!
USOIL - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fulfill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
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Will crude oil continue to rise?Crude Oil Technical Analysis
Daily resistance is 85.7, support below is 83.4-80
Four-hour resistance is 85.5-85.7, and support below is 83.4-82.5
Crude oil operation advice: Yesterday's volatile market ushered in a deep v bottoming and rebounded. The Asian and European market prices were under pressure and fell back to the 83.3 mark. The US market stepped down for the second time and stabilized at the 82 mark, ushering in a strong bullish bottom and a deep rebound. v rebounded, oil prices continued to rise and broke through in the early morning, standing above 83.3 and continuing to close strongly.
The overall price once again found support at the 82 mark, stabilized and rebounded. The daily level continues the recent yin and yang shock cycle operation rhythm. Today, the lower support focuses on around 82.5-82.7. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish at first. The upper pressure focuses on 85.5-82.7. 85.8, the European market has surged higher and is under pressure. This position can be shorted once and then fluctuated back down. The daily long-short cycle rhythm has no continuity, so we should continue to maintain the shock idea.
BUY:83.4near SL83.00
SELL: around 85.6 SL85.90
SELL:86.0near SL86.30
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
USOIL
In the 4-hour timeframe, USOIL exhibits a bullish trajectory, marked by an ascending channel formation and the emergence of a bullish flag pattern. An optimal strategy would be to wait for a completion of at least 50% retracement before considering entry, ensuring a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Monitoring key support and resistance levels within this pattern can further refine entry and exit points for potential trades.
USOIL BUYING MORE TILL HIT 123$ HELLO FRIENDS
As I can see USOIL has Break the triangle zone and now trading above 80$ as we said in our previous analysis, we are more bullish on Gold with Technical and Fundamentals views as we all know the War is still going on and US Gov supporting all his allies with billions of $ and there is no Ceasefire in near term. Iran is now entered in this War Plan which is not good for Commodities and Energy sectors.. Investors always look for safe haven in these term and conditions inflation to 2% is now seems a hard Goal. OIL Supply and Demand can creat volotility in markets as we can see Asian regions higher Demand
Friends if we see technically view on USOIL we can see oil breakout on Triangle Zone on Daily Chart and looking for more bullish moves. Time Depends
Friends its just an trade idea share Ur thoughts with us it helps many other traders.
Stay tuned
Crude oil trend analysis next week
Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, it tested support near 80.7 at the beginning of the week and then strengthened. It can be seen that the support below the 80.3 mark is very strong. At present, crude oil has stood firmly above 83, and the trend is still strong. It is expected to continue in the future. On the upside, the upper resistance is near the 86 mark.
Looking at the four-hour line, it fell to around 80.7 at the beginning of the week and then rebounded to around 83.7. Then fluctuate and adjust. It rose strongly near the 82 mark on Thursday, reaching a maximum of around 83.8. There is expected to be room for further growth. In terms of intraday operations, follow the trend and go long. You can mainly refer to the 83-83.3 area to advance more and look above 85. Overall, the crude oil operation ideas next week will be mainly low-level declines and high-altitude rebounds, supplemented by high-altitude rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 84.5-85.0, and the lower short-term focus is on the 82.5-82.0 first-line support.
Why Oil Bulls May Be Right: Signs of a Tightening MarketOil prices have experienced a volatile period in recent months, with concerns about global economic growth and geopolitical tensions battling it out with signs of a tightening physical market. However, for investors with a long-term perspective, recent developments suggest a potential bull run for oil, making it an attractive asset to consider.
Here's a deeper dive into why going long on oil could be a strategic move:
Tightening Physical Supplies: One of the most compelling arguments for a long position is the evidence of a tightening physical market. This is reflected in key timespreads, which compare the price of oil for immediate delivery to the price for delivery at a future date. In a healthy market with ample supply, the price of oil for immediate delivery would be lower than the price for future delivery (contango). However, when the physical market tightens, the opposite happens – the price of oil for immediate delivery becomes higher than the price for future delivery (backwardation). This phenomenon, currently observed in the oil market, suggests that there is a higher demand for oil right now than there is readily available supply.
OPEC+ Production Cuts: Adding fuel to the fire are the production cuts implemented by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+. These cuts, aimed at supporting oil prices, have helped to restrict supply and contribute to the tightening market conditions. While OPEC+ is considering easing the cuts in the coming months, the extent of this easing and its impact on the market remain uncertain.
Geopolitical Instability: Geopolitical tensions around the world, particularly in major oil-producing regions, can also disrupt supply and push prices higher. Recent events, such as ongoing conflicts or threats to critical infrastructure, highlight the vulnerability of the global oil supply chain.
Limited Non-OPEC Growth: While concerns persist about a potential slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China, the anticipated increase in oil production from non-OPEC members may be less pronounced than previously expected. This could further exacerbate supply constraints and bolster the case for oil bulls.
However, some headwinds remain: It's important to acknowledge the countervailing factors that could dampen oil prices. The persistent issue of inflation in the US, for instance, could lead to interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. This, in turn, could strengthen the US dollar and make oil, priced in dollars, more expensive for buyers using other currencies, potentially dampening demand.
Conclusion: Despite these headwinds, the evidence of a tightening physical market, coupled with OPEC+ production cuts, geopolitical uncertainties, and limited non-OPEC growth, paints a compelling picture for a potential oil price rally. For investors with a long-term perspective, strategically going long on oil could be a profitable decision. However, careful monitoring of factors that might impact supply and demand, such as global economic conditions and policy decisions, is crucial for managing risk and making informed investment choices.
XTIUSD (US OIL/ WTI) : 1800+ Pips Opportunity| Setupsfx_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, US OIL still has high chances of touching the 90.00 region and beyond. Price made correction after rejecting at 87.00, price dropped to 80.00 from where we think price is likely to continue the bullish momentum. However, it is crucial to keep next week news in mind as well.
Good Luck
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Crude oil bottoms out and continues to riseCrude Oil Technical Analysis
Daily resistance is 83.4-85.7, support below is 80-78
Four-hour resistance is 83.4, support below is 81-80
Crude oil operation advice: Crude oil fell first and then rose yesterday, ushering in a deep v bottom, rebounding and breaking through the high. The price of the Asian and European markets was under pressure and fell back to the 83 mark. In the evening, it fell rapidly downward and pierced the 80.9 mark before the US market and stabilized and rebounded. The strong consecutive positive trend led to a breakthrough and stood on the 83 line, which opened in the morning, and continued to strengthen. Finally, the closing accelerated and broke through the 83.5 line to close strongly. The overall price stabilized with secondary support at the 80.9 mark. The short-term price once again returned to the long-short wide shock range. Today, the lower support focuses on the 82.3-82 area, and the upper pressure focuses on around 85.70. We will continue to rely on this range to maintain the long-short wide range during the day. shock
BUY:83.4-83.2
SELL:82.1-81.8
SELL:81.0-80.7
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
USOIL analysis, 21 April 2024Daily: Price has been bearish after taking the Daily-IRL (FVG-), now price has been going towards to the D-ERL (80.331), W-ERL, confirming daily bearish-MSS.
Daily Bias: Bearish.
H1: The price has been taken the D-ERL again & confirmed the daily Bearish CiSD, leaving behind H1-BPR- in OTE level, & a h1-FVG- above the 0.5 level.
there will be 2 scenarios here for short,
1. Low probability, the price come to the h1-FVG- balance the imbalance, then, If it starts to fall then a short could be formed.
2. High Probability: Price come towards the h1-BPR, takes the liquidity, then starts to fall.
Why I Expect 200 Dollar USOIL Wti CrudeUsing momentum indicators (keltner channel) I've been watching this weekly rally and recent correction. Using the close, and the last wave, oil price could climb to astronomical levels in USD. There is a momentum shift of the correction, and the bull market for oil appears to be underway. At this pace, 200 by june is not far fetched. I expect the Dollar to lose significant strength, and costly measures enforced as an abysmal attempt to stifle inflation. Soon interest payments will become the largest expense if it hasn't already. There is much reason to worry about world markets right about now.
Larger Pattern Breakout
and here is the shift up close on the weekly:
This is not financial advice.
Crude Oil retraces on Conflicts🛢️Hello traders.. WTI Crude Oil has been dropping since the beginning of the conflict this past weekend between Iran and Israel. We are trending bullish so far on the year and are up 14%. Price is pulling back this week and we recently touched into a Daily support level 81.25 where we observed a bounce. I dont believe sellers are completely out on this bearish retracement and am looking for a retest of the Daily level 81.25. We have a 4hr resistance zone at 82.30 that may aid in facilitating a move back down.
Usoil-Analysis and Forecasting
After oil breaks through 80, my target is 85. Now the upward momentum is still strong, so you can wait for the support point to buy. The lowest support point on Tuesday was 84, yesterday the support point was around 84.2, and the important support point was around 83.5.
But this month I think oil may start to adjust around 87. It is expected to be in the 86.4-86.7 range, and may adjust to the important support point 83.5, or even reach the 80-82 range.
Join me and I will continue to analyze the next trend
Crude oil continues to be bullish, focus on 87.7 resistance leveCrude oil analysis
Daily resistance is 87.7, support below is 83.4
Four-hour resistance is 87.7, support below is 86.3
Crude oil operation advice: Today, focus on the strong pressure above 87.7 from the four-hour and daily levels, and the support below is around 86 and 83.4. When crude oil falls to 86 and 84 and is blocked, you can participate in the long position.
BUY:86~86.3
BUY:84.0~84.5
SELL:87.3~87.7
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!