Decoding USOil TrendsHello traders,
Here, I aim to decipher the trends of USOIL across all timeframes.
On the weekly chart, a cup & handle pattern is evident, with $84 serving as the pivotal price. A clear breakout on the daily timeframe could signal a bullish stance for USOIL.
First target: $94
Second target: $109
Stop-loss: Close below $72 on a daily basis.
I'll keep you updated as the situation evolves.
Best of luck
Usoilanalysis
USOIL Higher Time Frame Possible Bullish ScenarioThis is higher time frame bullish scenario on USOIL (WTI). This is only applicable if a bullish breakout occurs.
1. The price is inside a triangle which is getting squeezed and reaching its apex. That means we are going to have a breakout very soon.
2. Recently the price completed and M pattern and jumped higher. When M pattern completes the market goes higher.
3. If we get a bullish breakout from this triangle and if this breakout confirms, we can have formation of a potential W pattern. This when completed will have the potential to make oil fall again.
4. After that if the price stays bullish or becomes bullish again, we have a gap available around 100 area which needs to be filled at subpoint.
5. That will also lead us into a bigger multiple month and possibly multi year bullish formation of a W pattern.
But first, we need to see how price breaks out of the triangle.
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USOIL ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )USOIL
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency after the price breakout , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a purple line around 82.84 , indicates if the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 85.25 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for oil
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 79.66 , indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for oil
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing below turning level around 82.84, in my opinion until the price trade below turning level ,indicates selling have more demand for oil , so reach a support level at 79.66, then breaking this level reach a next target at 77.37, if the price breaking turning level , indicates buyer have more supply for oil , so reach 85.25 and 87.41
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 85.25 , 87.41
SUPPORT LEVEL : 79.66 , 77.37
USOIL: Trend Analysis and Trading StrategiesCrude oil technical analysis
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 79
Four-hour resistance 81, support below 81.3-80
Crude oil operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall oil price fell first and then rose, breaking through the 82.7 mark, and then fell back and bottomed out, breaking through the 81 mark and closing weakly.
The overall price showed a fluctuating upward rhythm. Today, the lower support continues to focus on the low point of 81 last Friday, and the upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 82.5-82.7. If the upper 83.4 is not broken, continue to see the oscillation operation first, and if 83.4 is broken, the bulls will start
SELL:82.0near SL:82.40
SELL:83.4near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Can Usoil Fall ?Last few week i was bullish on usoil now we are facing upper trendline resistance which is very strong trendline we have now and we also have selling area there what we can do is wait till monday and see what market will do if we see continous fall then we are seller on usoil and target will be around 81.50 and 78.50 and if we see break out above the resistance then we are bullish on usoil and target will be 92.00 to 95.00 .
USOIL - Long from bullish order block !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to go a little bit lower to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + FIBO 0.618 level.
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USOILOil analysis
Time frame 4 hours and 12 hours
Middle oil oil broke and stabilized its 12-hour trading range. Now it has formed a new 4-hour trading range, the supply and demand areas of which are clear in the picture. The price is expected to return to the limit of $80.7 and move towards the target of $84 by filling the FVG.
USOIL, sell high and buy low to participateTechnical analysis of crude oil
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 79
Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-78.5
Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil 4-hour chart is still shrinking and consolidating, and short-term contraction and shock are waiting to accumulate momentum to open up space. In the short term, there is still an expectation of further downward adjustment. Today's upper resistance focuses on the opening of yesterday's hourly line around 81.3-81.5. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to look down with the main short. The short-term support below focuses on 79.7-79.5. The European and American markets stabilize at this position once more and then look at shocks and rebounds. Sell high and buy low (At the same time, beware of the technical changes and there is also a warning of a sharp drop and wash)
SELL:80.7near SL:81.10
SELL:82.0near SL:82.40
SELL:83.4near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
USOIL - Accumulation phase !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a range, so we have opportunity both for long and for short. We can consider that range as a bullish flag and open a long position above 82.00, or price could confirm regular divergence in waves and open a short position below 80.20.
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USOIL BULLISH PRESSURE ( 4H )USOIL
HELLO TRADERS
in the last chart at 10 JUN , as mentioned rising reach our target
Tendency the price is a bullish pressure in 80.16
TURNING LEVEL : the price turning level at 80.16 , price stable below this level it becomes reach a support level , but if breaking this level active bullish area , to reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: if the price trade above turning level at 80.16 , the price will rise to 82.85 then stable this level reach to 85.04
SUPPORT LEVEL : the price breaking turning level 80.16 , it will reach the support level of 78.18 and 75.63
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : price will 80.16 , correct itself before long
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Crude Oil Market Analysis and Trading SignalsTechnical analysis of crude oil
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77.5
Four-hour resistance 82, support below 80.7-79
Crude oil operation suggestions: After a bottom rebound in the daily chart of crude oil, the upward momentum has slowed down. Short-term is accompanied by a second roundabout retracement confirmation. The daily chart uses the middle track as the support point. Go long after the retracement confirmation.
Today's lower support continues to focus on yesterday's hourly neckline support of 80.5. Relying on this position, the main bullish trend remains unchanged. The upper target is still near the daily pressure of 83.4. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 80.7 mark. If the daily level stands firm at this position. Continue to follow the trend and do more. Short selling can participate near the daily resistance of 83.4. (At the same time, beware of trend changes, and there is also a warning of a sharp drop in the technical side)
SELL:80.7near SL:81.10
SELL:82.0near SL:82.40
SELL:83.4near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
USOILThe US oil price is showing a short-term bearish move due to a rising wedge pattern and an Elliott Wave ABC correction. Currently, the price has completed point A and is moving towards point B. After a 50% to 61% retracement at point B, we can expect a bullish reversal, leading to a long-term move towards point C.
Brent Crude Surges in June But Chart Pattern Raises ConcernsBrent Crude Surges in June as Inventory Draw Tightens Market, But Chart Pattern Raises Concerns
Brent crude oil prices experienced a significant rally in June 2024, rising 5% over the month. This increase adds to a positive trend for the year so far, with Brent crude accumulating a total gain of 12.85% year-to-date. However, a closer look at the price chart reveals a potential concern – the formation of a rising wedge pattern, which could indicate a reversal in the upward trend.
Understanding Brent Crude and Its Global Influence
Brent crude oil, extracted from the North Sea, is a light sweet crude oil variety. Widely traded across the globe, it serves as a benchmark for oil pricing, influencing other crudes like West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US benchmark. Supply, demand, geopolitical tensions, and global economic health are all factors that impact Brent crude prices. In June 2024, a confluence of events pushed prices higher.
US Inventory Draw Tightens the Market
A key driver of the June price increase was a significant decline in US crude oil inventories. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a drop of 2.55 million barrels. This decrease signifies that demand for crude oil is outpacing supply, a classic recipe for rising prices.
Several factors could explain the inventory decline. Economic growth can lead to increased energy consumption by businesses and consumers, driving up demand for crude oil. Geopolitical tensions can also disrupt oil supplies, further tightening available inventories.
OPEC+ Decision Adds Fuel to the Fire
Another factor influencing June's price increase was the decision by OPEC+, a group of oil-producing countries led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, to loosen production cuts. Implemented in April 2020 to support oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic, these cuts were gradually lifted as the global economy recovered in 2024.
The OPEC+ decision was interpreted as a sign of a tightening oil market. With rising demand and only a gradual increase in production from OPEC+, concerns arose about potential future supply constraints. This concern played a role in pushing Brent crude prices higher in June.
The Rising Wedge: A Potential Threat to the Upward Trend?
While the June price increase paints a picture of a robust oil market, a technical analysis of the Brent crude price chart reveals a potentially bearish pattern – the rising wedge. This chart formation consists of two upward-sloping trendlines, with prices seemingly trapped within an expanding channel. While the price appears to be rising, the trendlines narrow as the pattern progresses, suggesting a potential loss of momentum.
A breakout from the rising wedge, particularly downwards, is often seen as a bearish signal, indicating a potential reversal in the price trend. This could lead to a decline in Brent crude prices in the coming months.
The Two-Sided Coin of Rising Oil Prices
Higher Brent crude prices have a double-edged impact on the global economy. On the one hand, consumers face the burden of rising gasoline prices, which can strain household budgets and impact businesses reliant on transportation. Additionally, higher oil prices translate to increased costs for transportation and other goods and services.
On the other hand, oil-producing countries benefit from the price hike. Increased revenue allows them to invest in infrastructure, social programs, and economic development initiatives.
The Road Ahead: Uncertainties and Opportunities
Predicting the future of oil prices is a complex task. Global economic growth, geopolitical tensions, and OPEC+ production decisions will all play a role. However, the June price increase and the formation of the rising wedge pattern highlight the dynamic nature of the oil market.
While the upward trend suggests continued price increases in the near term, the rising wedge pattern warrants caution. Investors and businesses involved in oil-dependent industries should closely monitor the price chart and economic factors to navigate the potential market shift.
USOIL: Short near 81.and Support 79.5~79.7Crude oil technical analysis
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77.5
Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-77.5
Crude oil operation suggestions: Crude oil slightly rose to 81 yesterday, and then fell back and fluctuated sideways under pressure.
The overall price support stabilized above the 80 mark, showing a strong bullish oscillation rhythm. The short-term local decline adjustment will not change the overall bullish strength. At the same time, short-term adjustments will provide better opportunities for long orders to enter the market.
Today's support is around 79.7-79.5. If it falls back to this position during the day, continue to go long. The upper target continues to focus on the new high. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 79 mark. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to go long at a low price.
SELL:80.0 near SL:80.40
SELL:81.0 near SL:81.30
SELL:83.4 near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
USOIL: Can crude oil stabilize at the 80 mark?Technical analysis of crude oil
Daily resistance 83.4, support below 77-75
Four-hour resistance 81, support below 80-79
Operation suggestions for crude oil: The overall technical form of crude oil shows a bullish breakthrough. Today's support below continues to focus on yesterday's hourly neckline near 79.5-79.7. Return to this area during the day to continue to follow the trend and look for a breakthrough. The upper target is still expected to break through. The overall bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 78 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to follow the trend and keep the low-price long rhythm unchanged. (At the same time, beware of sudden trend changes. The technical side also has a warning of a sharp drop and wash)
BUY:80.0 near SL:79.70
SELL:81.0 near SL:81.30
SELL:83.4 near SL:83.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
OIL: Operation in the range of 77~80Crude Oil Technical Analysis
Daily resistance is 80-83.4, support below is 77-75
Four-hour resistance is 80, support below is 77.8
Crude oil operation advice: Yesterday, crude oil experienced a strong bullish rise around the 77.5 mark. In the Asian and European markets, the price slightly stepped back to test and stabilized at the 77.5 mark, ushering in a rebound. The European market rose slightly and broke through the 78 mark, falling into sideways fluctuations. After the US Bulls continued to work hard during the session, and the hourly line continued to rise and broke through and stood at the 79 mark, and continued to rise to close strongly near the 80 mark.
After the overall price fluctuated around the 77 mark for nearly 4 trading days, the bulls broke through. In the short term, the oil price stood above the 79 mark and entered the bullish rebound cycle again. Today's lower support focuses on the neckline of yesterday's hourly line near 78.5-78.7. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. The upper target continues to focus on breaking highs. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line focuses on the 77 mark. Any retracement before the daily level falls below this position is a long opportunity.
BUY: 78.4 near SL: 78.00
BUY: 77.8 near SL: 77.50
SELL: 80.0 near SL: 80.50
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Oil Broader Support Market Optimism, Despite Lingering UncertainOil prices edged higher this week, marking their strongest gain in seven days. This upward momentum came despite a somewhat ambiguous outlook for crude itself, suggesting the driving force behind the rise lies elsewhere: positive sentiment in the broader financial markets.
Risk-On Rally Lifts Oil
The primary factor behind oil's recent rise is the prevailing "risk-on" sentiment dominating global markets. Equity indices, particularly in the United States, have been scaling new highs, with the S&P 500 reaching its 30th record this year. This optimism seems to be spilling over into the commodities market, including oil. Investors, buoyed by the positive performance in equities, are displaying a greater willingness to take on risk, and oil is seen as a potential beneficiary.
OPEC+ Cuts and Geopolitical Tensions Offer Underlying Support
Beyond the broader market sentiment, a couple of oil-specific factors are also contributing to the price increase. Firstly, the decision by OPEC+, the world's leading oil producer alliance, to extend production cuts has helped to tighten supply and prop up prices. Anxieties surrounding potential disruptions due to geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East are also lending some support.
Mixed Outlook for Crude: Demand Questions Linger
However, the outlook for crude remains somewhat clouded by uncertainties. While the supply side appears relatively stable thanks to OPEC+ intervention, demand remains a question mark. Signs of slowing economic growth in some parts of the world, particularly in Asia, raise concerns about future oil consumption. Data from China, a major consumer of oil, recently indicated weaker-than-expected industrial activity, potentially signaling a softening demand outlook. Additionally, rising gasoline prices in some regions, like India, could dampen consumer spending and lead to lower demand for fuel.
The Balancing Act: Weighing Optimism Against Uncertainty
The current situation presents a complex picture for oil markets. The positive sentiment in broader financial markets is providing a tailwind for oil prices. However, this is counterbalanced by lingering uncertainties about future demand, particularly in Asia. The net effect of these opposing forces will determine the future trajectory of oil prices.
Looking Ahead: Navigating a Volatile Market
Oil will likely see continued volatility in oil markets. Investors will be closely monitoring key factors like:
• Global economic performance: The health of major economies, particularly China, will significantly influence oil demand.
• Monetary policy decisions: Actions by central banks, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve, could impact risk appetite and indirectly affect oil prices.
• Geopolitical developments: Events in major oil-producing regions can disrupt supply and cause price spikes.
By carefully weighing these factors, market participants can navigate the current uncertainty and make informed decisions regarding oil investments.