USOIL LONG TERM SELLWith everything happening around the world especially what's happening between Russia and Ukraine it affects the prices of USOIL. We see price continuing to push up to either $136 or $140 before dropping to at least $40 in future. World peace is what we pray for and we pray that the war between Russia and Ukraine can come to end regardless who's right or wrong.
Usoilforecast
USOIL - LONG TERMUSOIL - LONG TERM
All you have to do is read the last USOIL outlook to see the all the market projections for the week came through within the first 30 hours of the trading week. OIL opened with a huge gap which will stay unfilled unless there are positive peace talks with Russia or other positive data come out for OIL.
To members I stated earlier today $185 is my next ATH target and we MUST cover this in detail as $110 is the last area of resistance before ATH so we are not far away. Day by day and hour by hour Russia are being shut off from the world and again this is becoming a financial warfare as this is the only way Russia can be targeted by other countries without being drawn into a war. Russia have been taken off SWIFT, NATO have said they won't be joining the fight and the support UKRAINE have received is in the form of weapons etc. Sound familiar? yes because it was all written before it happened.
From further research it looks as though Russia as been building a war chest full of finances in preparation for this (years in advanced). Sanctions were doing little until being kicked off SWIFT, Now Russia are raising interest rates to 20% as the economy is suffering and the Rubel is worthless. There stock market has closed and they are being shut offline from wifi, satellite's and airspace. Russia can survive these sanctions but it will come at grave cost for their country. There is one more power move which countries can come together and make to deplete Russia of any hopes of recovery. BAN THE PURCHASING OR RUSSIAN ENERGY.
Banning the purchase or Russian energy comes as collateral for other countries, although it would plummet Russia to a fifth world country it would have mass financial effect on the price of crude oil(WTI CRUDE) for the rest of the world. Supply and demand is the simple terms for it. Cutting from Russian gasses for EU countries would turn them to crude and this would further drive the price up and should this happen, remember this $185.12 and higher will be seen.
WTI (CRUDE OIL) is use to most things you can think of - Fuel, plastics, packaging, textiles and the list is endless. This would drive the cost of living up worldwide pushing us all into a deep recession depending on how long it all lasted.
Next checkpoints :
Russian energy ban
New ATH
Deep world recession
Crude Oil Rising Higher prices.Hello, I am looking at crude oil and it seems to me based off everything that is going on, we will most likely see crude oil hit new highs once more. At it current state, it is a potential buy scenario. Stop would be placed below the old low and target would be the all time high.
USOIL - WEEK 9USOIL - WEEK 9
At this moment in time it is absolutely pointless mapping any form of technical analysis on the likes of WTI, Gold and other pairs due to the heart breaking situation ongoing in eastern Europe. Everything written up regarding SWIFT has now happened (It was no surprise as it was the only way for the outside world to cripple Russia without war). This war has the potential to last for months causing chaos in the FX, crypto and stock market.
When the market opens we can expect large gaps in all areas so I will not trade Monday whilst the market catches up with itself. I will not go to deep into technicals because at this stage they have no validity. I have marked two dipping zones for WTI which I would be interested in taking longs from but I would be surprised if we even saw a dip. I expect WTI to enter back within the $100 per barrel in the near future.
From here out, it is simple///
Prolonged conflict, sanctions and negative reports will cause bullish impulses in WTI BUT on the other hand.
A break from conflict, sanctions lifted and positive media reports will cause bearish impulses on WTI.
At this moment in time we are all trading fundamentals rather technicals.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Crude Oil - Short!Crude Oil - On Correction. TVC:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT BLACKBULL:USOIL.F FXOPEN:XTIUSD EASYMARKETS:OILUSD OANDA:WTICOUSD EIGHTCAP:USOUSD FTX:USOUSD
USOIL 4hrs chart seems bearish trend ... but short term rebound expected up to $96 range and then the price is expected to decline.
Watch for the Invalid & confirmation levels... - HOWEVER, RUSSIA / UKRAINE SITUATION WILL DRIVE THE MARKET ANY DIRECTION!!! - So Analys everything before taking a position .
US OIL MARKET OUTLOOKWTI - Market outlook.
Last week we did well on WTI taking some big trades and a few scalps, this week we have smashed it straight away. All projections have been followed to perfection and altered along the way when needs be. A new Higher Low was created in the bearish channel and we have secured over 300 pips today from this move. We are anticipating more bearish pressure from here but below 89.44 and we will see a swift move lower.
We are well positioned, SL at breakeven, 50% of profits already taken and now we can relax and watch the market do whatever it likes. In this climate WTI can go anyway which it pleases, fundamentals will be more apparent and will shine through before the technicals which is why we are taking profits and securing entries at breakeven.
As stated in the week 8 outlook this is an important week and would should get a medium-long term direction after this week. Iran entering the market and a peace agreement with Russia with sink WTI and start a bear cycle which is what economies will want as at the current climate the inflation is becoming unbearable.
Don't miss out!
USOIL still has room to climb 🚀Hi Traders,
USOIL has been developing bearish price action recently which we were expecting a drop from the upper boundary of the HTF. As we know in trading, the market changes very quickly which we need to adapt our minds to look for all possibilities and looking at the current developement in price action, we can see price moving within a decending channel with a double bottom to push the price up one more time to around 98.0 or even 100.0 range.
Whats your view on USOIL? Leave a comment below and let's talk about it.
Click the like button if you agree!
USOIL - WEEK 8WTIUSD - WEEK7.
We have began to see some bearishness in oil now and it's causing issues within the market. Oil is more fundamentally driven rather than technically driven at the moment which is why we are seeing impulsive spikes on the charts. Oil has triggered a bearish channel in its overall bullish trend. Oil dropped today which was projected and made a new LL in the channel but this is now a confirmed LH in the over all trend. The candles show direction and it's very clear the bearish candles are much more aggressive than the bullish ones showing bears in control.
Oil has broken a wedge within the channel and looks to be heading up, I potentially will be shorting Oil should the correct set up present itself. I will be looking to see how the candles react with the trendline before I make any trades. The swing high now lies at the major line of 94.50-60 and this is where we will either turn bullish or bearish. I expect price to creep back into this region but I will wait for confirmation before entering anything as I expect some wild moves and fake outs.
Iran look as though they could be coming back into the market to dump a lot of their oil which would cause a mass sell off, in reality there is going to be a peace deal with Russia but inflation still remains a problem. Due to conflicting fundamentals and technicals I have no bias in oil right now. I am leaning towards bearish in the medium to long term but we need the media to stop scare mongering first.
Oil can go in any direction from here and when trading it you need to be willing to accept that should it go against you. I will be waiting for confirmation and upon a new HL made I will short.
Above 94.50-60 = BULLISH
Below 94.50-60 = BEARISH
US OIL MARKET ANALYSIS - WEEK 7WTIUSD - ANALYSIS
From the last post we can see that price has followed projections almost perfectly. At the start of the week we took a short which was stopped out. Unfortunately we were in the market to early but I am still happy to see that we can predict the moves of the book markers.
OIL declined due to easing tension with Russia but an agreement has not been met so price can still be volatile. We took a long from 90.80 giving us a total of 210 pips profit from where we took profit. Some followers are still holding for the swing. Above $93 and OIL will be bullish but below we can test the daily lows again and even dip lower to 90.20. 90.20 is the absolute maximum bearish threshold OIL can endure as any closes below it would change price structure.
On the daily OIL created a new lower high which is a good sign of more upside to come but again OIL needs to go above $93, if OIL does get above that region then $97 is the next target. I am currently assessing price and waiting for the next entry.
Any peace agreement in Russia and OIL will take a serious hit but inflation is still a driving factor at this point.
US OIL LONGUSOIL
USOIL closed very BULLISH and price should push further from the current location. Inflation and global tensions will keep pushing up the price until a significant drop is seen. I will look to short USOIL to its next buying location where I will buy. USOIL is wild and becoming parabolic again so it will follow its own chart structure.
Short for USOilSince the dramatic drop May 2020, USOil is in the bullish momentum. It has been in this bullish channel and whenever we touch this trendline, we got reaction. I expect further drop upcoming weeks due to agreement of US and Iran as well. However, markets did not react yesterday. I am betting on a short position, i will go for BE if we reach 88usd, also i am looking closely to USDCAD pair as well.
Us Oil ; 10th Consecutive Weekly Bull Candle? Or 94$ Supply HoldI like the fact that market structure closed high on Friday, punching out a new High to end the week. It seems like the markets reaction to the Friday Ukraine/Putin News was bullish.
However, as a practical thinker, it makes sense for me to look for high risk to reward shorts here, will be keeping an eye on 20m Timeframe market structure for LL's and LH's. Looking for swing trades
back down to 91$ this week dependent on market structure for the first few trading sessions of the week
HTF intention with LTF execution 📉📉📉🎯 I will try to explain how do i use HTF in order with LTF.
✅ HTF - higher time frame usually those are timeframes that are higher then H4 like D1,MN1.
✅ LTF - lower time frame usually those are timeframes that are lower then H1 like M30,MAT,M5
When i take trades i wait for price to approach a HTF POI and then zoom out on LTF to find a better risk-reward entry like the photo says HTF intent LTF execution helps you to get a better risk-reward ratio and a higher probability trade, this is working on every financial asset from crypto to forex to commodities and stock market
✅ POI - POINT OF INTERES an area in the market where price have a higher probability to go bullish then bearish lets say 70/30 % probability.
Example price come into a ,,support,, area this means we have a BULLISH POI we have a better probability to go higher then lowe
US OIL MARKET BREAKDOWN Happy weekend traders;
Lets get into oil...
OIL pushed towards the 92.50 zone which was marked on the last breakdown, we didn't take a long in the market because we were stuck in a ranged area and as we know we can break either way in a range area. OIL is pushing up inline with inflation and again has broken the trend. judging by the candles shown oil will have a normal pullback from this region and I aim to take the long should the appropriate set up come through.
There is nothing new with oil and it is respecting all projections stated in the breakdowns.
US OIL MARKET BREAKDOWN Good Evening traders;
First of all make sure you are following the signature at the bottom of this idea...150 pips profit secured today.
Now lets get into it;
Oil had some slight pullbacks but ultimately we closed bullish...I never say never but 80.20 is highly unlikely at this level so 84.50-30 now becomes my region of interest for a swing buy. This level is still possible as should any of the current structure give way then the old structure lies below at the stated zone. PLEASE DO NOT THINK I AM BEARISH...I HAVE BEEN CALLING $90+ SINCE DEC 21 BUT I AM MERELY SHOWING THE POSSIBILTIES OF PULLBACKS BEFORE THAT REGION COMES THROUGH.
If OIL starts pushing any higher into the $90s before a retest of $84.50-30 then it will do so quickly and with volatility. Ultimately I am waiting on a manipulative drop to buy oil but I need to sit on my hands and wait for this. My bias hasn't changed and I have marked my next regions of interest. The longer oil goes on without a proper correction (Lots of untested regions of support) the harder it will fall when it does...this is why I am waiting for the drop first.
Oil reacted perfectly with all given zones today.
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Why Crude Oil and NATGAS prices are rising? What is next? Since August 20202, the crude oil price has risen because of demand. However, during covid suddenty, crude oil demand dropped. But very soon, crude oil managed to recover its market.
Since November 2020, Crude oil prices have been rising gradually following its trendline support and trendline resistance.
Everything was fine till the Russian and Ukraine crisis started. When the situation started, and till now, crude oil prices rose almost $25/barrel.
Is Russia is a factor in the rising crude oil and others fuel prices? The answer is yes. Russia is the largest exporter of fuel to the European market.
Neither the United States nor Russia has moved away; On the contrary, both sides have increased their military presence. In the meantime, the Nord Stream-2 pipelines have been under discussion for a few days.
This pipeline has been laid to take gas from Russia to Germany. However, both the United States and Germany have said that if Russia invades Ukraine, work on the Nord Stream-2 pipelines will be delayed. As a result, NATGAS prices also rose nearly $2.
Russia, Norway, Algeria, and Qatar are the four countries in the European Union that import the most natural gas. Of this, 41.1% came from Russia and 16.2% from Norway. The rest of the countries from which natural gas comes are less than 10 per cent. The same is true of crude oil.
Europen country's imports from Russia are 26.9 per cent of their crude oil. The amount of crude oil imported from any other country is not more than 10 per cent. In addition, 47.8% of timber and coal are imported from Russia. According to the European Union's 2019 update, the United States imports 16.6 per cent of this timber and coal.
This means that if Europe imposes sanctions on Russia over its attack on Ukraine, Russia alone will pay the price. In this context, we can talk about the 1967 Israel-Aber war. In the wake of the six-day war, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, Libya, and Algeria joined forces to cut off fuel supplies to the United States, the United Kingdom, and West Germany.
In 1963, the Arab-Israeli war broke out again. Once again, Arab countries cut off oil supplies to the United States. The reason is that the United States supplied arms to Israel.
In addition, Arab countries cut off oil supplies to the Netherlands, Portugal, and South Africa because they supported Israel. Although its impact is felt worldwide, oil prices are rising all over the world.
Though the situation is not the same right now, Arab countries are best allies with the USA and European countries. But we have to keep in mind that Rusia himself supplies 41.1% crude oil to Europe. So, only the Arab countries won't tackle that demand and situation.
So as long as this crisis won't finish or world leaders won't reach a solution, it is expected that the crude oil and NATGAS price has more chances to rise in the upcoming days.
If you are a crude oil and NATGAS trader, you should always keep in touch about the Russian and Ukrain issues. As these commodity prices stay in pick, any developing news about the Russia and Ukraine crisis may decrease crude oil and NATGAS prices.
Crude Oil Technical Analysis
Crude oil is hovering nearly its trendline resistance zone. The present rate, trendline resistance, is identified at $93/95/barrels. So, unless the crisis accelerates, we may see some correction from the trendline resistance level.
$77 is identified as trendline support from the current level. If the market goes for correction, it may test the $77/75 price zone. As long as crude price holds above the $75 price zone, it still is an uptrend. So, we may see another upward lag from the $77/75price zone.
Our final upside target is $100/107price zone this year. It may take time to see the crude oil price above $100. But if what won't solve the Russia and Ukraine issue and accelerates more, it is just a matter of time before the crude and NATGAS price will spike to the upside.