USOIL: Crude Oil Market Analysis and AdviceLooking at the four-hour trend, crude oil is still running in a downstairs structure, with the upper resistance at the 72.8-73.4 area. Only a further breakthrough can change the overall trend. However, because crude oil has a large V-shaped reversal at low levels, bulls still take the initiative in the short-term trend; the short-term watershed between long and short is $71.3, and crude oil will continue to weaken after it breaks below again.
Personal suggestion: go long on the pullback; the dividing line between long and short: $71.3/barrel
Usoilidea
USOIL: 15/12 Analysis and AdviceIn the 4-hour chart, a consecutive positive rebound broke the weak decline and returned to the mid-track shock. Judging from the closing situation of the K line, the short-term rebound is still strong. The hourly chart rebounded based on the downward test of 67.70, and stabilized the upward trend from 69.50. The 4-hour chart reversed the weakness. In the short term, focus on the resistance of 73.50-74. Today it is recommended to go long on callbacks
USOIL: Bulls are about to start
With the EIA data today, the market is bound to experience significant fluctuations. From the current point of view, I think the probability of an upward trend is relatively high, so my trading strategy is to go long.
During this process, since the fluctuations will be very large, you must do a good job in risk management and never let your transactions bear too much risk.
Each of our transactions should involve small risks and large gains. Only such transactions will be long-lasting.
Analyzing the market is a complicated matter, but if you can master a method proficiently and get it verified, your trading will become simple.
I hope all my friends can profit from the market! good luck!
USOil WTI Technical Analysis And Trade Idea USOil WTI has shown a robust bearish trend of late, reaching into a noteworthy support level on both daily and weekly charts. The accompanying video offers an extensive breakdown of this trend, meticulously dissecting price actions and pinpointing potential trading prospects by conducting a comprehensive analysis across various timeframes, spanning from weekly down to as brief as 15 minutes. Expect a thorough exploration encompassing price fluctuations, market trends, trend assessments, and critical technical analysis elements. It's imperative to highlight that the insights shared here are solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial guidance.
Usoil:Has it reached the bottom?
Before, I have notified that oil can be bought gradually starting at 69.4
Oil reached a minimum of 68.8 yesterday. If you follow my strategy to buy gradually, you have made a lot of profits now. There is currently a lot of resistance near 70.8-71.
Judging from the chart, oil has temporarily moved out of the downward trend, but it needs to be observed whether it can break through the upper resistance.
So, if you follow my advice, you can leave the market at a profit now, because the trend shift is not determined once, we need to observe it multiple times.
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USOIL TECHNICAL ANALYSISAs far as we technical traders like to complicate things, I am always looking for simple reasons to validate what I 'M seeing on the chart. USOIL_CRUDE is now on a downtrend since September making a series of lower lows and lower highs.For me to change my bias on USOIL I want to see the market trading above 78$ which is my level for oil to really validate my thesis for me to start looking for long opportunties if not then I will continue looking for short postions.
Usoil:Gradually buy
From a technical point of view, the oil is already oversold
You can try to buy oil gradually at 69.4 now and control your position, so that your success rate will be greatly increased.
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USOIL: How does crude oil trade today? ↓Crude oil (USOIL): Crude oil broke the bottom yesterday and stopped at 69.1. It opened at 69.2 today and rebounded at 69.8 in the morning. The trend is not much different from the morning trading of the previous two days, and the trend continues to be bearish! The Japanese K has fallen for five consecutive times, and the short sellers have almost reached the bottom. If the 68 position below cannot be supported anymore, the short sellers will continue to attack 63. However, at the current position, we have to be wary of the bulls’ counterattack. After all, the current position has also reached the daily line. support! Today, the top will focus on the 70.1/70.2 area, and the bottom will first look at the 68 break.
USOIL: Crude oil analysis today, continues to fallCrude oil (USOIL/XTIUSD): Yesterday, crude oil entered the market as planned and harvested profits, reaching a perfect position of 72.2, with a profit of 140pips. Today it opened at 72.1, rising by 5 US dollars in the morning and then falling back, similar to the trend of the previous two days. The bulls resisted tenaciously in the morning. Although there is strong support at the low level to resist the decline, the downward trend remains unchanged. The focus is on the 72.9/73.4 position at the top today. With the strength of the shorts, we are firmly bearish on the acceleration of the bottom break!
Signals will be sent in real time
Usoil:forecast
Oil was supported near 72, has now risen, has broken through the downward trend, and is now in shock
If the oil does not fall below the important support of 72 this week, we can be sure that the oil may have reached a phased bottom.
So this week we need to pay important attention to the support strength of 72. If it falls below, the oil will look for the bottom again, and it may reach the important support of the monthly line near 68, so this week is very critical.
I judge that if it does not fall below 72 this week, oil will sprint to 79.7 again. If it falls below this important support, observe the monthly support of 68-70.
Pay attention to OPEC news, Saudi Arabia and Russia do not want oil prices to fall, if the oil reaches the monthly support point, you can choose to buy
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Usoil:Waiting to choose the direction
OPEC has not taken a real approach to enforce compliance with selective production cuts, and the production cuts are expected to continue until the first quarter of 2024.Since OPEC's meager production cuts of one million barrels per day are unlikely to offset the impact of the decline in global crude oil demand, it is expected that there may be an oversupply of oil in the coming months.
Judging from the chart, oil is still in a downward trend, but the support below 72 is very strong, so we need to observe the support of 72-72.2 and wait for the oil to choose the direction.
So you can try to buy and strictly observe the support point to make a stop loss, because it is a downtrend, you can also wait for the rebound to the resistance point to sell, so that your success rate is greatly increased
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Usoil:The impact of the OPEC+ meeting
Severe storms in the Black Sea region interrupted Kazakhstan and Russia's oil exports of up to 2 million barrels per day.The Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan said that the average daily oil production of Kazakhstan's largest oilfield will be reduced by 56%.This has led to the possibility of short-term supply constraints and pushed up crude oil prices.Secondly, a report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed that U.S. crude oil and distillate stocks unexpectedly increased last week, indicating weak demand.Although gasoline inventories increased more than expected, these effects were offset by the large consumption of other refined products such as fuel oil.This has also played a certain supporting role in the rise in crude oil prices.
Investors' attention to the results of the upcoming OPEC+ meeting has also pushed up crude oil prices to a certain extent.The OPEC+ Group of Oil Producing Countries will decide on the level of oil production in 2024 at the meeting.So we must pay attention to the final result of the OPEC+ meeting
I also said yesterday that oil is still above the trend line and maintains an upward trend, reaching a maximum of 78.75 today.
So you can still buy at the support point today, or it will be more secure to wait for the meeting before trading.
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Usoil:Will it continue to break through?
Yesterday I said that oil has broken through the downward trend, and now it is blocked from falling in the middle of the trend line.
If it continues to fall, we need to observe the support strength of 76-76.3
So you can buy gradually in this range, because the OPEC meeting is still uncertain, if it falls below the range, you need to strictly set the stop loss
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Usoil:Will it continue to fall?
The OPEC meeting originally scheduled for November 26th will be postponed to November 30th, and OPEC will change to an online meeting on November 30th, which will affect the trend of oil.
Oil has always been weak, volatile and falling
Observe the support strength of the support range 73.7-74.1 of the last rebound
If it falls below this support range, oil may reach near 72 again
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Usoil:Fluctuation is too small
On the news side, OPEC+ officially announced that the meeting to be held on November 30th will be changed to an online meeting.Regarding the rumors of discord within OPEC, the representative of Nigeria said that he did not know that there were differences within OPEC+, and he was satisfied with the survey results on Nigeria's production plan. Angola stated that it does not intend to withdraw from OPEC+.
OPEC+ is approaching a compromise with African oil-producing countries on production levels in 2024.There are various signs that a new round of production cuts may be coming.
As can be seen from the chart, oil rose again after falling yesterday, and today it also fluctuated narrowly, indicating that oil is still waiting to choose the direction, but recently it is unwilling to fall.
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Usoil:What exactly is OPEC+ going to do?
I reminded yesterday that oil fell rapidly because of the postponement of the OPEC+ meeting, but the final time was set to be held again on November 30, so oil prices began to rebound yesterday.
As can be seen from the chart, the trend of oil after the rebound is relatively weak, and today it did not break through the point where it started to fall at 77 yesterday.
So today you can still choose to sell below 77. If you break through 77.2, you need to re-observe. As long as you strictly set the stop loss and follow my trading, your success rate will be greatly increased.
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Usoil:Observe the trend line
OPEC+ will hold a meeting this weekend, and WTI oil traders will face significant risks.If more and longer production cuts are announced at the OPEC+ meeting, oil prices may pick up
As can be seen from the chart, oil has been in an upward trend, but it has not broken through the middle edge of the trend line.
So we are still waiting to fall to the support point to buy, strictly set the stop loss, and continue to observe the strength of 78.4 and 79.5 resistance, so that your success rate will be greatly improved
It can be observed that the support of the trend line is near 75.7
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USOIL: Today's analysis
Oil prices rebounded sharply on Friday, largely erasing a nearly 4% loss from the previous session as investors wavered over whether Opec would deepen its decision to cut production. Today's strong breakthrough of the first pressure level, the follow-up focus on the breakthrough of the second pressure level!
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Usoil:Will oil rise today?
Oil was blocked from the middle edge of the trend line yesterday and began to fall
As long as oil breaks through 78.4, there is still a lot of room for growth above, so the resistance of 78.4 is still observed today.
Oil is still on the upward trend for the time being, so you can still choose to buy at the support point
You need to strictly set the stop loss every time you trade, so that even if the trend changes, you can reduce your losses.
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Usoil:The prediction is correct
This is my forecast in the morning. Now that the oil has risen to the middle edge of the trend line, observe the resistance of 78.4.
Judging from the news, the OPEC+ meeting is discussing further production cuts, which may intensify tensions with the United States. At the same time, the market is focusing on whether Saudi Arabia and Russia will extend voluntary production cuts to 2024.Based on the comprehensive assessment of the core member states such as Saudi Arabia and Russia, based on their own interests, they are expected to do their best to maintain the stability of the crude oil market, and there is still some room for short-term prices to rebound.
I also reminded last week that oil is rebounding
From the chart, you can see that the oil has broken through the trend line, and now you need to observe the resistance above.
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USOIL: Trend analysis and operation strategy
EIA released nearly two weeks of inventory data, a cumulative increase of 17.5 million barrels, more than expected accumulation led to a rapid decline in the disk, of which crude oil inventories reached 439 million barrels in the week of November 3, a higher since August. In addition, the market expects Saudi Arabia to extend production cuts until January next year. At present, the accumulation of expectations is deepening, and the upward movement of crude oil prices is blocked. Yesterday, oil prices on the technical side of the weak unilateral downward trend, ASEM slightly back pressure 76.6 line down to break the bottom, the evening accelerated down to 75 and 74 two integer marks, and continued to close weak near the 72 mark, the Japanese line Baoshu pressure down to break the bottom bardo, closed at a low level for three consecutive days. Oil prices fell 4.81% yesterday, closing large negative line, the decline has accelerated signs. From the perspective of technical indicators, the moving average system helped the downward form to be complete, and the superimposed MACD was located below the zero axis for a long time, and the overall form had obvious short advantages. On the operation, it is recommended to consider the rebound and short, low and many are auxiliary.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound near 74.5-75.2 short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, target 72.6-72.2 line;
Strategy two: Callback 72.2-72.5 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 74.0-75.0 line.
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