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USOIL: Oil today analysis The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that geopolitical risks in the Middle East have escalated following Hamas attacks on Israel, with oil markets on edge and uncertainty about how things will play out or how far the conflict could spread. In its closely watched oil market report for October, the IEA said: "A sharp escalation of geopolitical risks in the Middle East is keeping markets on edge. The region accounts for more than a third of global seaborne oil trade. Oil prices surged on Monday after attacks by Hamas against Israel reignited tensions in the Middle East and the war premium reappeared in the market. Crude oil market yesterday morning opened at 83.21 US dollars/barrel, after the market first pulled up, the daily peak reached 85.28 US dollars/barrel, after the market fell strongly, the daily minimum to 82.35 US dollars/barrel Short-term strategy reference: high probability scenario: bearish below 85.6, target 83.2-82.5; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 85.6, target 86.5-87.2
TVC:USOILLong
by HectorBrown1
US OIL / WTI Analysis 13Oct2023Over the last few weeks, the price of oil has experienced a noticeable decline. Upon closer inspection, this trend appears to be the result of a series of corrections from the previously bullish market. Currently, there is speculation surrounding the possibility of Wave (C) occurring, which is being analyzed through the addition of Fibo Expansion. It is predicted that the price will likely move towards the 76 area, which intersects with Fibo 0.786 and the SND area. This level of detail provides a more comprehensive understanding of the current market trends and the anticipated future movements of oil prices.
TVC:USOIL
by Hokusai_FX
USOIL: Today's crude oil analysis and operation Crude oil yesterday's typical interval arrangement, the highest 86.7, the lowest 85, the daily line closed small Yin at 85.9, the four-hour chart of the large interval, the top 87 will be an important resistance point in this interval, the lower focus on the 84 break, the breakthrough will fill the gap; From the point of view of the 1-hour line, the lower focus on the 85 support situation, coupled with the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict, may have a certain impact on oil prices, and the day is mainly low and high The specific layout is as follows: (1) below see 85/85.3 long, loss 84.5, target 86.2-86.5 break on the look (2) Above, focus on the breakthrough of 87
TVC:USOILLong
by HectorBrown1
USOIL: Oil today analysis The outbreak of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, if more forces are involved in the subsequent, the Middle East oil producers may be directly affected, crude oil production may be in short supply, and oil prices may rise more sharply. In the outbreak of the war between Russia and Ukraine last year, the oil price rose sharply from $90 to the highest price of $130, and it took half a year to return to the $90 line. In summary, the current turmoil in the Middle East has attracted much attention, and the limelight has overshadowed the OPEC+ production cut plan, and the follow-up trend needs to be paid close attention. Crude oil fell sharply to $81.50 last week, the direction of the daily bullish line has not changed, if the resistance level of $89 above the smooth stand, the rally can be expected. In the evening, focus on the support of the $84.1 line, if it breaks down, it may test the strong support level of $81.5. High probability scenario: bullish above 84.1, target 87.1-88.2; Low probability scenario: Bear below 84.1, target 83.0-81.5. If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
TVC:USOILLong
by HectorBrown1
Crude oil, rebound and pullback WTI crude oil has fallen in five of the past six trading days, falling by more than 13%, giving up all gains since September. Oil prices have now fallen back to key support near $82.0. The U.S. non-farm payroll data for September will be ushered in today, and short-term fluctuations in oil prices are expected to further intensify. Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices stopped rising at the high of 95 and entered a correction state, with the K line being negative for three consecutive years. Although oil prices have not yet fallen below the moving average system, the current mid-term objective still maintains an upward trend. But from the perspective of kinetic energy, a change occurred first, and the bears gradually became stronger. It indicates that the mid-term trend is expected to enter a large-scale adjustment pattern. The K-line fell below the support of the moving average system. The original mid-term rise ended in stages, and it is expected to usher in a larger wave of correction. Strategy: long at 81.5, short at 82.4
TVC:USOILLong
by Dylan-Jones
Crude oil: all the way down Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that yesterday’s market rebound was unable to continue the downward trend. It has now reached the 82.3 line and has slowed down the downward trend. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that a phased bottom signal has appeared again. In the last time When it appeared, it rebounded slightly and reached the No. 2 pressure level above and then fell back. At present, the No. 1 pressure level above has in turn become the first pressure. In the short term, we will continue to focus on shorting on rallies. Strategy: 84.1 short
TVC:USOIL
by Dylan-Jones
USOIL: Empty orders gain 10 points The daily arrangement of 89.2 line empty, currently down 10 points, the stable can reduce the position out, the rebound of the European short position near 89.3 can continue to be empty, want to do more suggestions can pay attention to the 88.0 line support can hold, hold it is expected that crude oil is a wave of short-term rebound demand, so want to do more suggestions first pay attention to the 88.0 support break situation and then consider it, Do not break can light warehouse to do a short line, break is to give up multiple single
TVC:USOILShort
by HectorBrown1
USOIL:Observe trends Today, the lowest level of oil fell to around 87.76, but in the end it still returned to the range.Therefore, the success rate of trading in the range is currently very high. Today, oil fell below the range. At present, we need to pay attention to 89.7. This place determines where the next direction is. If it continues to fall below 89.7, then oil is still a downward trend. If the rise breaks through 89.7 and stands firm, then it can be judged that the probability of oil rising increases. If you want to trade in the range, then you need to judge his trend and the impact of the news. If my thoughts are helpful to you, please like and subscribe
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by UnknownUnicorn60055110
USOIL:Fluctuation in the range Last week, oil broke through the range of 88.3-91.2 and rose as high as near 95. Last week, I predicted that if it breaks through 91.2, it will be more likely to rise, but I did not expect that oil will rise so much. Every time it rises rapidly, there will definitely be a reversal. Now the oil is around 89.7 and it is back in the range, so now we still judge the transaction based on 88.3-91.2. If the oil falls below 88.3, then it is necessary to judge that the range is invalid, so you need to observe more when trading, or strictly set the stop loss. It is still possible to buy at low levels and sell cautiously at high levels in the range. If my thoughts are helpful to you, please like and subscribe
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by UnknownUnicorn60055110
Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy Crude oil enters the market empty at 88 Continue to watch the decline, continue to watch 82, or even 75 line Any position where crude oil rebounds is short. The current rebound of the big positive line is to enter the market for shorts. Once again, the 88 line enters the market for shorts. Get ready for a sharp drop to harvest. Crude oil rebounds, but it is still below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The short position is empty. Operation strategy: short crude oil at 88, stop loss at 89, target at 82
TVC:USOILShort
by Dylan-Jones
Crude Oil: Analysis Strategy Today Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that on the previous trading day, it first fell, then rose and then fell, forming a wide-ranging shock trend, which converged at the moving average support level below. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that in the previous transaction The market had already entered the weak zone on the day before, and the rebound was weak. It is still running in the weak zone, indicating that there is still room for adjustment in the short-term market. Crude oil is long at 90.70 and 88.90 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 300 points; Crude oil is short at 92.20 and 93.30 respectively.
TVC:USOILLong
by Dylan-Jones
Gold: It may fall to 1800! ! ! Gold fell from around 1930 to around 1845, with basically no rebound, that is, the bulls surrendered directly. This trend is obviously a short trend, and the lows continue to fall. Even a rebound of a few dollars is directly swallowed up by the big negative line. This It’s short energy. The four-hour line of gold price has entered the next level. It continues to be a negative line. The era of shorts is obviously coming. The sword below is pointing to the 1811 line, or even near 1615. Anything is possible on the K-line. At the same time, the 50-day moving average continues to run downward, continuing to compress the bulls' Space, there is no possibility of rebound at all, the K line is suppressed by the 50 moving average throughout the whole process, and it is pressed to the floor and rubbed, empty, 1834 empty
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Dylan-Jones
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and operation With Opec + pledging to curb oil supply until the end of the year and Asia's economic recovery expected to expand again, we expect global oil inventories to fall by 70 million barrels over the next three months. As a result, we now see Brent averaging $91 / BBL in the second half, up from $81 / BBL previously. Still, our forecast for 2024 remains at $90 per barrel, thanks to an increase of 1.2 million BPD in non-OPEC supply from Guyana, Canada, U.S. shale, and Brazil. In addition, if sanctions on Venezuela and Iran are further eased, supply will increase by 450,000 BPD in 2024. As Opec + politics and global geopolitics allow, the increased supply will help restrain further price increases. Oil prices surged 3.50 per cent yesterday, with intraday highs above $95. After the opening of the morning, oil prices surged on the inertia, the high point entered the $95 mark, and the current pressure is below 94, and the momentum of turning the gun is still strong. In operation, it is still a reasonable choice to short the rally. Short-term strategy reference: High probability scenario: bearish below 95.0, target 93.0-92.0; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 92.0, target 95.0-96.2.
TVC:USOILLong
by HectorBrown1
USOIL:Range fluctuation The oil is back in the range again. If you trade according to my range, I think you can have a great time today. Today, the oil price fell to near 88.2, and the low point was tested again, but it still returned to the range, so now we have adjusted the range, the range is: 88.3-91.2 The adjustment of the range range increases the success rate of our trading. As long as it is within the range, we still buy at a low level, sell at a high level, break through the range and then re-observe. Today, the low was tested for the third time and rose again, so we must observe whether the position above 91.2 will break through. If it breaks through, it is more likely to rise. If you want to sell, pay attention to setting a stop loss. If my thoughts are helpful to you, please like and subscribe
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by UnknownUnicorn60055110
Crude oil: Crude oil rebounds to highs U.S. oil WTI once fell below $89 and pushed down to $88. It fell as much as $1.48 or 1.7%. After turning up, it returned to the psychological integer level of $90. The more actively traded Brent December futures once fell to US$90 or fell as much as 1.6%, then turned higher and then returned to US$92. The futures about to be delivered after expiration turned higher and then rose above US$94. They had previously fallen below 93 US dollars. and $92. Oil prices turned higher and broke off two-week lows, with U.S. oil returning to $90 In the third quarter, U.S. oil rose by more than 26%, and Brent oil rose by about 24%. Both are expected to record the largest increase in more than a year since the first quarter, and both oil prices will achieve cumulative increases in every month of the third quarter. Mainly because the prospect of tight supply outweighs concerns about economic and oil demand uncertainty in a period of high interest rates. However, some analysts worry that the U.S. government shutdown may make it difficult for Brent oil to rise to $100. Go long near 92.0, stop loss: 89.90, the target is 92.0-95.0 if it breaks.
TVC:USOILLong
by Dylan-Jones
USOIL:Range fluctuation Oil is still fluctuating in the range, reaching a minimum of around 89 today. The oil has not chosen the direction yet. Last time we judged that the oil was going to test near the support point of 88.9. Now the oil is near 89.9, and the direction is still not confirmed, so this range is still valid. You can still sell at the high point, buy at the low point, and wait for the oil to break through the range to confirm the trend. We can't blindly think that oil will fall now, because we have tested the low twice in a row, but it has not fallen. We trade in the range. If we break through the range, we will strictly set a stop loss.Wait for the funds to choose the direction. If my thoughts are helpful to you, please like and subscribe
TVC:USOIL
by UnknownUnicorn60055110
Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy Advice! The top of crude oil is empty near 92-92.3, and the defense is 93.5, and the target is around 90 and 89.5. The bottom is long near 89.5-90, and the defense is 88.5, and the target is around 89.2-88.7. Specifically, wait for the real-time strategy to update the entry point, and you need to follow up offline. Friends who do not follow up in real time may make operational mistakes. You can join the group to pay attention to the latest news and follow market trends in real time. Strategies are subject to change at any time.
TVC:USOILLong
by Dylan-Jones
USOIL:Choose direction The trend of oil is still the same as I said, fluctuating in the range, as long as you follow my strategy, you should be able to have a nice weekend. Oil rose as high as 91.3 today, but fell and did not break through the range in the end. When the second rise did not break through the high of 91.3 and fell back within the range, then you can sell decisively. Now there are still fluctuations in the range, so the range is still valid. You can still buy at the low point and sell at the high point in the range. Waiting for the trend to break through the range, we can judge the final trend of oil. Because oil has not risen to break through the range for three consecutive times, now we have to observe the support points in the range. If the support points cannot be effectively supported, then the possibility of oil falling will be greater. If my thoughts are helpful to you, please like and subscribe
TVC:USOIL
by UnknownUnicorn60055110
1
Crude oil: short at high points Crude oil fell first and did not give short-selling opportunities. Then short-selling can only be considered when it goes up to the support line. The short-selling opportunities in the 90.8-91.6 area were also prompted in the roadshow and in the group (as shown below). . With the sharp counterattack of crude oil, bulls began to save themselves, but eventually gave up most of the gains. At present, oil prices have fallen into short-term shocks, and bulls and bears are expected to compete here. Crude oil is expected to rebound, so it will fall back first and wait for the counter-draw. , as to whether this is a reversal topping stage or a rise relay, currently I personally prefer the first. The main reason for the rebound in crude oil is that the overall upward trend of wave 3 has most likely ended. Starting from the high point of 92.41, there is a high probability that it will enter the mid-term 4-wave adjustment. The specific breakdown is in wave 4 A of it. Crude oil pressure 90.85~91.45,
TVC:USOILShort
by Dylan-Jones
USOIL:Trading strategy Oil is the same as I predicted yesterday. Today, it fell directly and broke through the support point, but Russia suddenly announced a ban on the export of gasoline and diesel, causing oil to rise again. Now the trend of oil has become blurred. Now we can only observe the resistance and support points of the range The range is 88.9-91.1 So we can trade in the range. Strictly set the stop loss and wait for the trend to become clear If my thoughts are helpful to you, please like and subscribe
TVC:USOIL
by UnknownUnicorn60055110
USOIL:Trading strategy Oil finally fell. When many people thought it would rise, I always believed that oil would fall. Because since last week, oil prices have been postponed last week because of the joint production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, but the technical indicators show that they have been overbought. Our medium-term goal is still 86 Short-term trading advice: USoil:Sell:91-92 TP1:90.1 TP2:89.2 TP3:88 If my thoughts are helpful to you, please like and subscribe
TVC:USOILShort
by UnknownUnicorn60055110