USOIL: Crude oil analysis and operation
With Opec + pledging to curb oil supply until the end of the year and Asia's economic recovery expected to expand again, we expect global oil inventories to fall by 70 million barrels over the next three months. As a result, we now see Brent averaging $91 / BBL in the second half, up from $81 / BBL previously. Still, our forecast for 2024 remains at $90 per barrel, thanks to an increase of 1.2 million BPD in non-OPEC supply from Guyana, Canada, U.S. shale, and Brazil. In addition, if sanctions on Venezuela and Iran are further eased, supply will increase by 450,000 BPD in 2024. As Opec + politics and global geopolitics allow, the increased supply will help restrain further price increases. Oil prices surged 3.50 per cent yesterday, with intraday highs above $95. After the opening of the morning, oil prices surged on the inertia, the high point entered the $95 mark, and the current pressure is below 94, and the momentum of turning the gun is still strong. In operation, it is still a reasonable choice to short the rally. Short-term strategy reference: High probability scenario: bearish below 95.0, target 93.0-92.0; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 92.0, target 95.0-96.2.
Usoillong
The short-term supply of crude oil is insufficient.Thanks to many traders for their support, please remember to give me a like, thank you very much.
Can the current short-term crude oil supply shortage be resolved? Demand expectations need to remain cautious. The daily trend of crude oil is temporarily maintained at a high level, and the current price range is temporarily compressed between 91-90 on the 4-hour trend.
Operation suggestion: short around 90.2-4, stop loss 91.1, target 89.3-89.6
I would like to remind all my friends to do good risk control and wish everyone smooth trading.
Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy Advice!
The top of crude oil is empty near 92-92.3, and the defense is 93.5, and the target is around 90 and 89.5. The bottom is long near 89.5-90, and the defense is 88.5, and the target is around 89.2-88.7. Specifically, wait for the real-time strategy to update the entry point, and you need to follow up offline. Friends who do not follow up in real time may make operational mistakes. You can join the group to pay attention to the latest news and follow market trends in real time. Strategies are subject to change at any time.
Oil Prices Take a Dip as Fed Hints at Rate HikeBuckle up, because the market is buzzing with potential opportunities for those willing to take a leap of faith. Sit tight, as we explore how recent developments in the US economy, China's recovery, and tightening supplies could pave the way for a potential rise in oil prices, with a target of $100. Get ready to seize the moment and make the most of this oil dip!
The Fed's Rate Hike Indication:
In a recent turn of events, the Federal Reserve has given clear indications of an imminent rate hike. While this news may have initially caused some concern, we encourage you to look at the bigger picture. Historically, rate hikes have often been accompanied by an upswing in economic activity, which can subsequently drive up demand for oil. This positive correlation between rate hikes and oil prices should not be overlooked.
Tightening US Supply:
Adding fuel to the fire is the tight supply of oil in the United States. With production levels constrained and inventories shrinking, the stage is set for a potential supply-demand imbalance. As the US economy gradually recovers from the pandemic-induced slump, we anticipate an increase in oil consumption, further intensifying the upward pressure on prices.
The US-China Economic Output Recovery:
As we all know, the global economy heavily relies on the growth of two economic powerhouses: the United States and China. With both nations showing signs of recovery, it's only a matter of time before their increased demand for oil begins to reflect in the market. As the world's top two consumers of oil, their economic output rebound could be the catalyst that propels oil prices to new heights.
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Call-to-Action: Seize the Opportunity!
While oil prices may be experiencing a temporary dip, we encourage you to see this as an opportunity rather than a setback. History has shown us that these market fluctuations can often be the perfect moment to enter the market at a more favorable price point.
Keep in mind that the current dip in oil prices might not last long. As the global economy recovers and the demand for oil surges, it's highly likely that prices will rise again. So, we urge you to seize this moment and consider buying in the oil dip, with the expectation that prices will soon bounce back.
Conclusion:
As we wrap up, we hope you're as excited as we are about the potential for oil prices to rise in the near future. The combination of the Fed's indications, tightening US supply, and the recovering economic output of the US and China presents an enticing opportunity for traders like you.
Remember, timing is everything. Don't let this oil dip pass you by. Take action, buy in, and get ready to ride the wave as oil prices surge once again. Happy trading, and may your investments be fruitful!
WTI Crude Oil 4HGenerally if we look at it the direction is bullish, it might do a down retest and it will rise again.
If the direction was under 89.90 it will go down and touch 88.11 , 86.08 then 85,00
But if the direction rised again and stabilized on 90.92 the direction will rise and touch 92.19 , 93.27 then 95.03
Resistance prices: 92.19 & 93.27 & 95.07
Support prices: 88.11& 86.08& 85.00
timeframe: 4H
USOIL: Today's operation plan
Crude oil on Wednesday morning: At present, crude oil is the daily low of 89.8 line, whether the bears begin to force or a false shot to see today to verify, so first maintain the range of 89.3-91.8.
Today's operation suggestion:
Rally to 90.6-91 short;
Retracting to 89.3 Try a long light position.
Russia Oil Shipment Hits 3-Month High,NEW Oil Price Target As you may be aware, Russia's oil shipment has hit a new three-month high, which has prompted us to revise our oil price target to $100. In light of this, we believe there may be a potential opportunity for long oil positions.
However, before proceeding further, I would like to emphasize the need for caution and prudence when considering any investment decision. While the recent increase in Russia's oil shipment is a positive indicator for oil prices, it is crucial to consider various factors that may impact the market dynamics.
We encourage you to thoroughly analyze the market conditions, including geopolitical tensions, global economic recovery, and any potential disruptions in the supply chain. These factors can significantly influence oil prices and should be taken into account before making any trading decisions.
Considering the cautious tone, it is imperative to conduct thorough research and consult with your financial advisor or analyst to evaluate the potential risks and rewards associated with long oil positions. Market volatility remains a significant concern, and it is crucial to have a well-defined risk management strategy in place.
With this in mind, we would like to remind you of the importance of diversification. While oil may present an attractive opportunity, it is essential to maintain a balanced portfolio that includes a range of assets across various sectors. This approach can help mitigate potential risks and enhance your overall investment strategy.
In conclusion, as Russia's oil shipment reaches a new three-month high, we believe that the oil price target of $100 presents a potential opportunity for long positions. However, we urge you to exercise caution and consider the various factors that may impact the market dynamics. Thorough research, consultation with experts, and a well-defined risk management strategy are crucial in making informed trading decisions.
Should you require any further information or assistance, please do not hesitate to comment. We are here to support you in navigating the complexities of the market and making sound investment choices
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and layout
Crude oil last week unilateral strong pull up, is currently in high volatility, this wave is still not over, is still a callback to do more, four-hour chart, last week fell back to the mid-track quickly pull up, back just to prepare for the rise, this week is still open at a high level, the current volatility around 91.3, intra-day focus on important support level 89.5/90.3, This position is also the support point of the rail in the four-hour chart, and the position of the tail plate can be more!
Specific layout:
USOIL:BUY@89.5-90.3 TP 92.0
Join me and don't let hesitation and procrastination affect your earning speed!
Crude oil: trend analysis continues to push back more
Although we are currently at the end of a phased rise in crude oil, the bulls are still very strong and continue to hit new highs. Therefore, we still maintain a bullish and long thinking before the necessary turning signal appears. The only thing that needs to be paid attention to is the number of each transaction. Risk control must be strictly implemented to prevent emergencies from occurring. Still looking for opportunities to continue trading lower during the day.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. It has now entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure 91.30~92.10, support 91.4
Crude Oil: Today’s Trend Strategy
Crude oil continues to rise in the direction of the trend. Any intraday adjustment before reaching the new target of 91.50 is an opportunity to continue to be bullish in the short term. Of course, since the overall increase has been huge enough, the current space above is limited. Another one is in this round. It is the end of the rise, so it is not advisable to be overly bullish.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. Now it has been subdivided again and has entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure is 89.40~90.20, support is 88.40~87.90
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to wait for 89.10 to buy, with a target of 89.1~91.50. If it rises directly to 91.50, we will look at the pressure signals before deciding whether to buy the top.
Directly empty, ready to plummet to the 80 line
Crude oil is about to plummet to the 80line, if you have any questions, come to me, it is so domineering
Crude oil’s daily line is obviously in the trend of multiple tops, at least a quadruple top. Every time it rushes to around 82, and then is suppressed strongly. At the same time, there is a waterfall downward, and the Bollinger Bands have closed. already empty
Join the oil rally as WTI surpasses $90!Discover why the oil market is making waves and how you can ride the wave of this exhilarating rally!
Attention, traders! Brace yourselves for some exciting news that will have you itching to jump into the oil market. The oil rally is gaining steam, and it's time to seize this golden opportunity!
The recent surge in oil prices has sent shockwaves through the market, and it's time for us to capitalize on this upward trend. The energy sector is buzzing with optimism, and the time is ripe to consider a long position in oil. So, let's dive into the details and explore the reasons behind this exhilarating rally.
Reasons Behind the Oil Rally
Global Economic Recovery: As economies worldwide rebound from the challenges of the pandemic, the demand for oil has skyrocketed. Industries are reviving, travel is resuming, and this surge in economic activity is fueling the need for energy. It's an ideal scenario for oil traders like us!
Supply Constraints: OPEC+ and other major oil-producing nations continue to maintain production discipline, ensuring a controlled supply of oil. This strategic move, coupled with reduced investments in new oil projects, has created a supply-demand imbalance that's favoring higher prices. It's the perfect storm for a sustained rally!
Geopolitical Factors: Geopolitical tensions and conflicts in oil-rich regions have intensified, raising concerns about potential disruptions in supply. Such uncertainties often drive oil prices higher, providing us with ample opportunities to profit from this market volatility.
The Call-to-Action: Join the Oil Rally!:
Now, here comes the exciting part - the call to action! I encourage you to consider taking a long position in oil and ride the wave of this oil rally. By capitalizing on this upward momentum, we can potentially secure significant gains in the coming months. Timing is everything, and this could be the golden opportunity we've been waiting for!
Remember, successful trading requires careful analysis, risk management, and staying informed. Keep a close eye on market developments, leverage technical indicators, and adapt your strategy accordingly. As always, it's crucial to consult with your financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Embrace the Bullish Phase and Thrive in the Oil Market!
So, let's embrace this bullish phase with enthusiasm and embark on a profitable journey together. The oil rally is calling, and I can't wait to see you thrive in this exciting market! Get ready to ride the wave of the oil rally and secure your spot on the road to prosperity.
“Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble." - Warren Buffett
WTI Crude Oil 4H (Pivot Price:86.08)
USOIL
stabilizing above 86.08 ill support rising to touch 88.11 then 90.43 then 92.19
stabilizing under 85.00 will support falling to touch 82.96 the 81.14
Pivot Price: 86.08
Resistance prices: 88.11 & 90.43 & 92.19
Support prices: 82.96 & 81.14 & 78.21
timeframe: 4H
il Data Reveals a 3 Million Barrel Shortfall on Saudi CutBrace yourselves for some exciting news from the oil market that might just make your day. Recent data analysis has uncovered a significant shortfall of 3 million barrels in Saudi Arabia's oil production cut. This revelation presents a golden opportunity for us to make some smart moves and potentially profit from a bullish oil market. So, let's dive right in and explore why it's time to long oil!
Unveiling the Shortfall:
In a surprising turn of events, the latest oil data has exposed a notable discrepancy in Saudi Arabia's oil production cuts. As we know, the Kingdom has been at the forefront of OPEC+ efforts to stabilize oil prices by curbing production. However, it appears that their output reductions have fallen short by a staggering 3 million barrels. This revelation has sent shockwaves through the market, opening a promising window for us to capitalize on this situation.
Seize the Opportunity:
Now, you might be wondering, "What does this mean for us as traders?" Well, my friends, this shortfall in production can have a profound impact on the global oil market. With demand steadily recovering and supply struggling to keep up, we can expect a surge in oil prices soon. This presents an ideal opportunity for us to take advantage of a bullish market and potentially reap substantial profits.
Call-to-Action: Long Oil Today!
So, how can we make the most of this exciting turn of events? It's simple, my fellow traders – it's time to long oil! By strategically positioning ourselves in the market, we can potentially ride the wave of rising oil prices and secure significant gains.
Here are a few steps to get you started:
1. Conduct thorough research: Dive deep into the oil market's current dynamics, keeping a close eye on supply-demand trends, geopolitical factors, and any other relevant news that might impact oil prices.
2. Develop a solid trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk appetite and investment goals. Consider factors such as entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to maximize your gains.
3. Stay updated and flexible: The oil market can be volatile, so it's crucial to stay informed about any new developments or shifts in the market landscape. Be ready to adapt your strategy accordingly to make the most of emerging opportunities.
4. Leverage reliable trading platforms: Utilize trusted trading platforms that offer real-time data, advanced charting tools, and competitive spreads to execute your trades efficiently and effectively.
Conclusion:
Traders, the oil market is buzzing with potential, and the recent data revealing a 3-million-barrel shortfall on Saudi Arabia's production cut is a game-changer. By long oil today, we position ourselves to capitalize on the upcoming surge in prices and potentially secure substantial profits. So, let's embrace this opportunity with enthusiasm and make the most of a bullish oil market. Happy trading, and may the profits be ever in your favor!
USOIL - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalances lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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Is WTI US oil upper resistance of $94 peak price? I am reaching out to discuss the recent developments in the US WTI oil market and shed some light on its potential to hit the upper resistance level of $94. As cautious investors, we must closely monitor this situation and make informed decisions regarding our oil investments.
Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed a steady rise in oil prices due to various factors, such as increased global demand, geopolitical tensions, and supply constraints. As a result, US WTI oil has been steadily climbing, approaching a critical resistance level of $94.
While it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of oil prices reaching this upper resistance level, we must approach the situation with caution. Several factors could influence the market dynamics, potentially causing a reversal or a temporary halt in the upward trend. It is essential to consider these factors before making any investment decisions.
Therefore, I encourage you to closely monitor the developments in the oil market, paying attention to critical indicators such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and economic data. By staying informed and conducting a thorough analysis, we can make well-informed investment choices that align with our risk tolerance and investment objectives.
Considering the current situation, I emphasize the importance of diversification in our portfolios. While oil investments can be lucrative, we must not overly concentrate our holdings in this sector. Diversifying across asset classes and industries can help mitigate risks and ensure a well-rounded investment strategy.
Lastly, I invite you to join me in regular discussions and forums to exchange insights and share valuable information about the oil market. By collaborating and leveraging our collective knowledge, we can make more informed decisions and confidently navigate the market.
In conclusion, let us remain cautious and vigilant as we observe the US WTI oil market approaching the upper resistance level of $94. By closely monitoring the situation, conducting a thorough analysis, and diversifying our portfolios, we can position ourselves for potential opportunities while managing risks effectively.
Thank you for your attention, and I look forward to engaging in fruitful discussions with you all.
Has Oil Price Reached Its Peak as Demand Weakens?Today, I would like to draw your attention to an important question that has been lingering in the minds of many: Has the price of oil reached its peak as demand begins to weaken?
As we all know, the global oil market is susceptible to various factors, including geopolitical tensions, economic fluctuations, and, most recently, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Over the past year, we have witnessed unprecedented volatility, with prices plummeting to historic lows and staging a remarkable recovery.
However, recent indicators suggest that oil demand is showing signs of weakening, thereby raising concerns about a potential peak in oil prices. Several factors contribute to this observation:
1. Shift towards renewable energy: Governments worldwide are increasingly committed to reducing carbon emissions and transitioning to cleaner, more sustainable energy sources. This shift will likely impact long-term oil demand as renewable energy technologies gain traction and investment.
2. Slow recovery from the pandemic: Despite progress in vaccination campaigns, the global recovery remains uneven. Ongoing restrictions, travel limitations, and remote work arrangements continue suppressing oil demand, particularly in the transportation sector.
3. Emerging energy alternatives: The rapid advancements in electric vehicles (EVs) and the growing infrastructure to support them pose a potential threat to oil demand. As EV adoption accelerates, especially in major economies, the impact on oil consumption could be substantial.
While it is essential to acknowledge these trends, I emphasize that predicting the future trajectory of oil prices is inherently challenging. Complex market dynamics and unforeseen events can quickly alter the landscape. Therefore, caution should be exercised when making investment decisions.
In light of these developments, I encourage you to pause and reassess your long positions on oil. Diversifying your portfolio and exploring alternative investment opportunities that may offer more stability and long-term growth potential is crucial. You can position yourself in the changing energy landscape by staying informed about emerging trends, such as renewable energy, EVs, and other innovative technologies.
As always, thorough research, risk assessment, and a well-informed strategy are paramount in navigating these uncertain times. Stay vigilant, keep a close eye on market developments, and consider seeking advice from industry experts to make informed decisions.
Should you require any further insights or have specific queries, please comment to reach out. We are here to support you in making well-informed investment choices.
USOIL WEEKLY TRADE IDEAhi all
Since Saudi Arabian oil output was expected to be reduced on August 28, the price of US oil has been rising steadily for four days.
Not only will the US economy be impacted by this oil decrease, but also the primary currency. The CPI is approaching, and the FED announced a raise 0.25 bps at its meeting in September.
So, from a technical standpoint, I expect a pullback around 38 - 50 fibo retracement before continuing long oil until cpi and fomc.
Let me know what you think In the comments!
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills**
Thanks a lot for your support