USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailFollowing a profitable week for us, the US Oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive week, riding on global energy agency IEA’s upgraded demand prospects for 2023 to break out of the $82.00 level for the first time in 5 months, but a resurgent of the US dollar on Friday following Fed Governor Waller’s remarks favoring more rate hikes; shook up some of the gains as selling pressure resumed at the $83.40 Level. Higher rates often tend to benefit the dollar, especially against commodities like Oil. Will the breakout of the HKEX:82 barrier become a platform for more bullish momentum in the coming week or will it turn out to be just a false breakout? In this video, we looked out for potential trading opportunities from the perspective of both the buyers and sellers and came up with a simple trading set-up that we can use to guide our trading activities in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usoillong
CRUDE OIL✦LONG TRADE SETUP✦POSSIBLE REVERSAL✦HARMONIC✦ONE HOURThis trading idea is designed to capture the reversal trend using Harmonic Pattern Technique. WTI (CRUDE/ USOIL) is moving in a bearish direction and is expected to take reversal from Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) shown in the chart. Bullish AB= CD Harmonic Pattern is used to identify PRZ at point D. Long Trade Setup is presented in case of reversal of the trend from PRZ.
USOIL | Market outlookOil prices are correcting downwards.
Pressure on quotes is exerted by the expectation of a recession in the US economy, predicted by US Federal Reserve officials at the last meeting, as well as the probable postponement of the pause in tightening monetary policy from the May meeting to June. Currently, most experts are inclined to believe that next month the regulator will raise the interest rate by 25 basis points and only after that will consider keeping it at a constant level. The negative dynamics are supported by statements by Russian government officials, according to which the country will be able to ensure stable oil production until 2025, despite Western sanctions. Also, it is planned to build several large oil storage facilities in Russia, which will be able to provide flexibility for oil export in unstable market conditions.
How is oil trading amid expectations of an economic downturn?
The panic brought about by successive bank bankruptcy, the market expects that the European economy will enter a recession, and the demand will drop sharply, leading to a general decline in commodities. Crude oil has fallen below $70 yesterday. If it falls below $60, it is expected to continue to fall to around $43 , which is very large space.
If the bankruptcy incident can be stopped, the panic will no longer spread, the market will restore confidence in the European economy, and once again raise expectations for demand, oil prices will return to above $80 again.
From the perspective of technical form, it is still in a downward channel. If it does not fall below 65, we do not rule out the probability of a short-term double bottom. If we do not retest around 65 again, for the rebound market, we only see the 69-71 range. , there is a very strong resistance around 71-72. If it can break through, the technical form can go up further.
At the same time, it needs the cooperation of the news. If the panic cannot be controlled, we may have to short first and wait for 60 Look at the support situation nearby. If the decline stops, then there will be a greater opportunity to go long.
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USOIL - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to go a little bit higher for buy stop liquidity and to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish order block.
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USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe OPEC+ oil producers on Sunday announced further oil output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels per day hereby bringing the total volume of cuts by OPEC+ members to 3.66 million bpd according to Reuters calculations - a whopping 3.7% of the global oil demand. The latest reductions have a strong potential of lifting oil prices to new highs. In this video, we looked out for the possibility of taking advantage of any potential move in either direction.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL: How?GAP is defined as the gap between 2 consecutive trading sessions (or 2 candles). GAP is determined based on the closing price of the previous candle and the opening price of the following candle. Under normal conditions, the closing price of the previous session will be the opening price of the immediately following session.
Bullish on crude oil, target 72
OIL broke through the resistance around 69.8-70 yesterday, and the resistance has now turned into support.
The new resistance is around 70.8. If the support does not break, you can go long USOIL.
The first TP will continue to be placed at 70.7 yesterday's TP. If Break through 70.8, the next TP target is 71.2-72.4.
SL temporarily set to 69.47
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USOIL - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here I still looking for shorts position and expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block where I will look for a confirmation on lower timeframe.
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USOIL: Bottom fishing, with potential return to $80 per barrel
US crude oil has fallen for three consecutive days, pushing oil prices below $70 per barrel. As the market continues to revise down expectations for economic growth, and rising crude oil supplies offset the boost from China's reopening and the instability caused by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse and Credit Suisse crisis, the financial market is facing huge instability, which has led to a sharp drop in oil prices.
As the development of fundamentals continues to weigh on risk sentiment, US crude oil has extended its decline, breaking through the previous support (now turned into resistance) at the important psychological level of $70. As of Wednesday's close, US crude oil has fallen more than 12% this week, pushing the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) into oversold territory. At the same time, this round of decline has pushed oil prices towards the 200-week moving average (MA) of around $66, and oil prices have temporarily found support at this level.
Personally, I am bottom fishing and going long on USOIL at $66-68 per barrel. Due to the huge volatility of energy products, please control your position size. Only consider following my strategy if you have sufficient capital. Enter the market with a small position and aim for long-term profits, with a target of $80 per barrel on the upside.
I have conducted in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, gold, and crude oil. I also update my daily operation strategies. Thank you for your attention and support. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice. I hope I can help you.
USOIL - Short as per Volume Profile ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Here we are in a bearish market structure from H1 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement and then to reject from bearish order block, as well we have there most orders as per volume profile .
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USOIL:$78 next week is crucial
On Tuesday this week, the testimony of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve before Congress raised concerns about risk assets in the market. In this testimony, Powell stated that "if it is necessary, the Federal Reserve is prepared to speed up the pace of interest rate hikes, and terminal interest rates may be higher than expected." These words indicate that the Federal Reserve not only did not cool down the rising expectations for interest rate hikes over the past month, but also further pushed up the expectations for interest rate hikes.
Powell's speech caused shock in the market, as the market saw from Powell's speech a determination to lower the inflation rate at the cost of suppressing demand and employment. On that day, the US dollar index soared, risk appetite deteriorated, and US stocks fell sharply, accompanied by a sharp drop of 4% in oil prices from above $80 per barrel.
However, there was a reversal in oil prices on Friday. After testing the support at $74.5, the market quickly rebounded above $76 and successfully stabilized. Our long position in crude oil at $75 also reached the first take-profit level smoothly. However, there is still a certain distance from the recent high of $80, and the upper resistance level to watch is in the 76-78 area. This dense resistance area may limit the upward space. But if it breaks through $78, there will be an opportunity to challenge the $80 level again. Let's keep an eye on it, and I will update the trading strategy in a timely manner.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I also update daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice to help you.
Buy on dips below $75 for USOIL
As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates and unwind its balance sheet, concerns over other US banks were raised following the "Silicon Valley Bank Incident", causing all three major US stock markets to fall. The S&P 500 Bank Index plummeted 6% last night, marking the largest single-day drop in two years. JPMorgan's stock price also fell 6%, resulting in a market capitalization loss of approximately $20 billion. Bank of America fell 6.1%, while Wells Fargo and Citigroup fell over 6% and 4% respectively. The four major US banks suffered a combined loss of $47 billion.
Silicon Valley Bank announced an $1.8 billion loss from the sale of part of its investment portfolio, and sought to raise $2.25 billion by selling common and preferred shares. The bank's "self-rescue measures" worried investors, causing the stock price to plummet by 60%. In short, the market believes that Silicon Valley Bank is facing a liquidity crisis. Without a doubt, the market's risk aversion sentiment has spread to the crude oil market.
After reaching $80, USOIL saw a sharp decline to below $75. Currently, there is a demand for a rebound in the market, and it is suggested to buy on dips below $75. Short-term technical rebounds and corrective trends for crude oil are expected, with a target focus on $77-80. I will continue to monitor the market and provide the latest strategies.
USOIL: Long position after a downward adjustment to $77
Despite the unexpected drop in API crude oil inventory providing support to oil prices, the hawkish speech by the overnight Federal Reserve Chairman has continued to help the US dollar index soar, which has raised concerns about economic recession and continued to put pressure on oil prices. Although there is a chance for the oil price to rebound and adjust after the overnight plunge.
Looking at the daily chart of USOIL, the upward trend has not been broken, and the support below has continued to rise. Although there is no effective breakthrough above $80, the adjustment range of this downward trend is sufficient, and it is a good opportunity to enter the long position again.
Personal trading strategy: Buy long position near $77-77.5, with the first target at $78.5 and the second target at $80, and pay close attention to the EIA data to be released tonight.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, gold, and crude oil, and I will also update some daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message, and I will provide the most secure advice, hoping to help you.