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Usoillong

USOIL: Long position at 79.5 Over the past two weeks, international oil prices have continued to fluctuate upwards, despite the negative signals from changes in US crude oil inventories and little impact on Russian crude oil exports from sanctions. However, these pressures have been unable to overshadow the positive impact of China's economic recovery and resilient risk appetite on oil prices. The supply gap caused by Russian sanctions on crude oil has been a concern for investors and an important factor supporting oil prices. According to recent media reports, the CEO of crude oil trader Gunvor Group has stated that price ceilings and export bans have not interrupted Russian crude oil exports, and there is an "uncontrolled fleet" shipping Russian crude oil outside the control of Europe and the United States. Contrary to the negative factors mentioned above, China's economic recovery is one of the important positive factors for international oil prices. Apart from immediate indicators such as the recovery of transportation observed by the market after the relaxation of epidemic prevention measures, some recognized economic data have confirmed the strong rebound of China's economy, such as the official PMI and Caixin PMI last week. Goldman Sachs previously predicted that as China's economy recovers, oil prices may return to $100 per barrel. China's latest trade data released today showed a trade surplus of $116.88 billion for January-February, down 6.8% year-on-year, better than the expected decline of 9.4%; imports fell by 10.2% year-on-year, worse than the expected decline of 5.5%. From the sub-item data, China's crude oil imports in January-February fell by 1.25% year-on-year (about 1.07 million tons), but imports of refined oil increased by 14.4% year-on-year (about 0.67 million tons). The recent strong risk appetite has also provided support for the rise of international oil prices. The daily chart shows that crude oil has broken through the downtrend line starting from January 27th, and after yesterday's fluctuations, it has broken through the 80 level, which may open up space for further upward movement. Although there may be adjustments during the day, if it can hold the support near the 80 level, it will maintain the prospect of further bullishness. If expectations are met, subsequent upward movements will target the recent months' high of 83 and the downward pressure line since July last year of 84. Personal trading recommendation: Enter a long position near $79.5, with the first target at $81.5 and the second target at $82.5. Whether crude oil can effectively stand above $80 in the near future is crucial. If there are any changes in the market situation, I will update it in a timely manner. Please continue to follow my strategy and leave me a message if you have any questions. I hope this can help everyone.
TVC:USOILLong
by FlashTrades_
1
Why has USOIL skyrocketed? Yellow leaves give up the trunk in anticipation of the verdant spring; candles sacrifice their perfect bodies to have a lifetime of brightness; and the mind lets go of the mundane clamor to embrace tranquility. Only by letting go can one free their hands and seize true happiness and joy that belong to them. Learning to let go is essential to living a fulfilling life. Now, let's analyze the reasons for the USOIL rise on Friday: Middle East conflict: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have conflicts over multiple issues. The most significant disagreement is related to Yemen. The UAE is seeking to build a military base and runway on an island at the southern end of the Red Sea in the Mandeb Strait. However, Saudi Arabia has refused. Sources also indicate that the UAE has been urging OPEC+ to allow for increased oil production, but Saudi Arabia has remained steadfast in its refusal. In the end, the UAE publicly and privately indicated that it would adhere to the current OPEC+ agreement for at least this year. Therefore, this led to a significant rebound in crude oil prices after the initial sharp drop. However, it is important to continue monitoring the situation to see if the development of events will persist, which represents the primary risk. Sudden incidents: At least 12 people died in a pipeline explosion in Nigeria. On March 3, the Rivers State Police Department issued a statement saying that a segment of an oil pipeline in a village in the Imoha area of the state caught fire and exploded in the early morning. At the time of the accident, local residents were stealing oil from the pipeline, and it is believed that the burnt-out cars found at the scene belong to the oil thieves. The police are investigating the cause of the accident. This is a bullish factor for crude oil since Nigeria produces 1.44 million barrels per day, and the already repaired production may once again be affected. Data release: In the week ending March 3, the total number of oil drilling rigs in the United States was 592, compared to an expected 602 and a previous value of 600. This data is bullish for USOIL. From a technical perspective, USOIL was oscillating within the 76-78 range, but due to the impact of sudden events and data, the trend broke through upwards, and the trend turned bullish. It is worth emphasizing that USOIL belongs to the energy and strategic resources sector, and many events can lead to dramatic price fluctuations. Therefore, it is important to pay attention not only to technical analysis but also to the impact of news. In the short term, we will focus on whether 80.60 can form an effective breakthrough. If the resistance above is strong, the trend will fall back to around 78.60, and then we can lay out a long position in line with the trend. In the short term, the USOIL market is not stable, and cautious investors should observe mainly and wait for the impact of news to dissipate before laying out a more secure technical strategy. I will provide specific operation suggestions timely, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions. Thank you for your attention and support.
TVC:USOILLong
by FlashTrades_
2
USOIL possible buy zone!Instrument : USOIL Possible direction : Bullish Technical Analysis : After back to back 4 months of strong rejection from the support level, USOIL bulls has taken control of the market with strong impulse on the daily, price has broken out of the weekly resistance zone and it is highly likely USOIL will continue to rise with a strong momentum and may reach to 84.80 level where is the resistance level. Possible trade recommendation : Bullish as per sketch. Press like button if you enjoy. Risk Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage is dangerous and can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange or any market you should carefully consider your investment goals, level of experience, and risk tolerance. It is EXTREMELY LIKELY that you will sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Individual results vary and no representation is made that clients will or are likely to achieve profits or incur losses comparable to those that may be shown. You acknowledge and agree that no promise or guarantee of success or profitability has been made between you, and Forex Trading Wizard. Do your own research and talk to a professional financial planner in order to be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and investing and seek advice from an independent financial advisor before risking any capital.
TVC:USOILLong
by ForexWizard01
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe US oil still found a way to finish in neutral territories as bulls jumped in to buy into a market that scraped three-week lows just two days earlier at the $74.00 zone. The hopes of increased demand are still a possibility in this market as the Chinese government (the world's largest importer of crude oil) has lifted all COVID restriction policies hereby opening their economy for renewed transactions. From a technical standpoint, the appearance of buying pressure above the $76.00 level this week will be seen as an endorsement of bullish expectation, and failure to sustain a break above the $76.00 level has a high chance of inciting a sell-off, prompting a drop to new lows. 00:20 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 03:35 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 06:25 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 08:35 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by darcsherry
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailLast week's trading session saw Oil prices jump as Russia respond to the G7’s price caps by announcing production cuts by 500,000 bpd (accounting for 5% of its output in March) and its own minimum price structure. We were opportune to be part of the bullish momentum (see link below for reference purposes) which later capped at the key level at the $80.00 mark at end of the week. In this video, we looked at the current market structure from a technical standpoint where the $80 zone will be our center of focus at the beginning of the new week. 00:30 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 02:52 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 07:04 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 08:00 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
US-oil weekly bias West Texas oil/ U.S. oil. It looks like it may want to push up towards the higher area of supply which has been left unmitigated... Based on the moves we saw last week, which were predominantly bullish towards the end of the week, lead me to believe we could be hunting the high levels of liquidity that lie above our previous highs. If this is the case, it will take us directly into the unmitigated daily supply that we have highlighted. After tapping into the area of demand and sweeping a previous low, we have left impulsively to the upside, therefore leading me to believe upside movements may persist. As per all of our markups, we'll be watching this on a smaller time frame to determine which direction it truly wants to move in, but on the daily and four-hour timeframes, you can see we have broken clear structures to the downside whilst still moving towards the high of our daily range. With the CPI coming this week, we can effectively say that we will see some shifts in this pair. Overall my bias on this is long, but I would like to see a clear confirmation to take the trade. Once the move to the upside is complete, I believe we could see further downside for the US oil industry. Fundamentally, this pair does not correlate with what we're seeing in true price, which essentially could lead us into a bullish move if areas of supply that are shown on the daily do not hold. **Be aware we have a smaller time frame area of supply just above where the price is currently, which is not shown in this markup**
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by PipSurfingSociety
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailOPEC+ panel endorsed the oil producer group's current output policy at a meeting on Wednesday - 2nd February 2023, leaving production cuts as agreed last year in place amid hopes of higher Chinese demand and uncertain prospects for Russian supply. Despite fundamental expectations, the US Oil prices tumbled 8.5% during the course of last week's trading session to signal a fresh dent in oil market sentiment for the month of February. This video illustrates a technical perspective on the current market structure for trading opportunities in the coming week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
1