USOIL:The trading strategy of going short
USOIL: Consider shorting for now, as there are signs of a top above 74.5, but I think this is only a short-term high and will continue to surge higher. The trading idea is to sell short today and wait for the right position to be long.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@74-74.3
TP: 73.2-72.7
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Usoilshort
USoilLatest news. If the Strait of Hormuz is closed, the restrictions on the import and export of oil and natural gas will increase greatly. Because 20% of the world's oil and natural gas exports come from the Strait of Hormuz. So the trend of geopolitics will affect the closing and opening of this important checkpoint. If the increase in geopolitics really reaches this point, the price of oil may rise to 90$-100$. This is an excellent trading opportunity for investors who like to trade oil. But at present, this is an option for Iran to negotiate. Rather than a real closure, after all, the incident has not developed to this situation. If you like to trade oil. You can also follow me. Get brand new trading opportunities and make profits. Do not trade independently to avoid losses.
USOIL:Go short before you go long
The idea of crude oil is still to go long. Today, the more appropriate entry point is 72-72.3, there is still a little space at present, if you consider selling short first, then the more appropriate short point is 73-73.3 range. Give to the point to do, to wait to do more.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@73-73.3
TP: 72-72.3
BUY@72-72.3
TP: 73.7-74
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USOIL 1 - Hour Chart AnalysisUSOIL 1 - Hour Chart Analysis
Key Levels
Support: ~69.50 (short - term), 67.70 (critical backup).
Resistance: 73.50 (major hurdle, tested before).
Trend, Pattern & Middle East Conflict
Price oscillates between support/resistance, with a potential “V - shaped reversal”. Middle East conflicts add high uncertainty:
Escalation: Fears of supply cuts could push price above 73.50 rapidly.
De - escalation: May pressure price down, but 67.70/69.50 still get support from lingering supply - risk worries.
Trading Strategies
Bullish: If 69.50 holds (e.g., long lower shadows/bullish candles), small - size long. Target 73.50; stop - loss ~69.20. Watch for sudden conflict news.
Bearish: If 69.50 breaks (consecutive closes below), short. Target 67.70; stop - loss ~69.80. Stay alert to conflict updates.
Note: Oil prices hinge on supply - demand, Middle East tensions, and the USD. Combine tech/fundamental analysis; manage risk strictly.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 70.50 - 71.00
🚀 TP 73.00 - 74.00
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
US-Iran war or peace?Oil options are more bullish now than they were just after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, indicating that global markets are on edge over the confrontation between Israel and Iran, and speculation that the United States may join the attack.
As of Tuesday's close, the premium of Brent crude call options relative to put options was the widest since 2013. As the turnover of option contracts has been higher than usual in recent days, a measure of implied volatility has also risen sharply.
The war between Israel and Iran has raised concerns that crude oil export infrastructure could be targeted, which could curb supply and trigger a price surge. On Wednesday, Brent crude oil prices approached $76 a barrel, having previously hit a new high since the conflict broke out in January.
According to ABC, US officials said that the next 24 to 48 hours will be critical and will determine whether the Israeli-Iranian issue can be resolved through diplomatic means or whether Trump will take military action.
Trump summoned his senior advisers in the White House Situation Room on Tuesday. Trump significantly stepped up his rhetoric against the Iranian regime ahead of the meeting, claiming that the United States knew exactly where Khamenei was hiding.
Despite the apparent saber rattling, U.S. negotiators on Tuesday believed Iran was in a weak position and could be forced to return to the table and ultimately accept a deal that would require it to abandon all nuclear enrichment, according to multiple officials involved in the diplomatic process.
The Iranian regime has indicated a willingness to resume discussions with the United States as Iran and Israel trade blows, the officials said, adding that the Trump administration has been seeking more concrete commitments before abandoning its path to war.
If Iran returns to the talks and agrees to abandon uranium enrichment, U.S. officials see a potential high-level meeting led by special envoy Steve Witkoff and Vice President J.D. Vance as soon as this week.
But such a scenario would likely require Iran to act quickly. Trump has acknowledged that his patience with the situation in the Middle East is wearing thin.
Sources familiar with Trump's mindset say he is frustrated by the volatile situation in Iran and the inability to provide the administration with immediate answers, and he seems very reluctant to see Tehran successfully send him a military warning.
The U.S. military is already moving assets to the region, including additional aircraft, a second aircraft carrier and its strike group to the Middle East. Officials say all of these moves are defensive.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth spoke about the U.S. posture in the Middle East in an interview with Fox News on Monday, saying, "We are strong, we are ready, we are defensive and we are present."
But while the redeployment of assets is intended to protect the roughly 40,000 U.S. troops stationed in the region, it also leaves options open for the Trump administration if it decides to directly assist Israel's ongoing offensive operations against Iran.
"Our job is to keep options on the table, but our posture remains defensive," one U.S. official said.
One major question is whether the U.S. will deploy B-2 stealth bombers. The heavy strategic bomber is capable of carrying 30,000 pounds of mass destruction and may be able to destroy Iran's deep underground nuclear facility at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant.
Currently, the military's 19 B-2 bombers are based at Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri. Six of the planes were previously based at an air base on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean — closer to Iran. But those bombers were replaced by B-52 long-range bombers that can’t carry the bunker-busting bombs needed to destroy Fordow.
There are already about a dozen U.S. Navy ships patrolling near Bahrain’s territorial waters, according to a U.S. Defense Department official. The ships have no official mission, the official said. They include a littoral combat ship, four minesweepers and six surface patrol boats.
The Navy also has two destroyers, an aircraft carrier in the Red Sea and three other surface ships in the Arabian Sea. Two more U.S. destroyers are stationed in the eastern Mediterranean, each equipped with a missile defense system capable of shooting down Iranian ballistic missiles.
Signs that the Trump administration may be moving toward military action could include canceling the president’s planned trip to the Netherlands next week for a NATO summit.
At a news conference on Tuesday, State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce said the summit was still "on the table," but she said things could change depending on dynamics with Iran.
"Things are moving very quickly. So I think anything is possible," she said. TVC:USOIL MARKETSCOM:USOIL SWISSQUOTE:USOILN2025 TVC:USOIL
Today's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsFrom a daily chart perspective, the violent rally in USOIL driven by external factors has completely disrupted prior technical expectations. The sharp surge has also significantly exhausted future upside potential, explaining today's gap-up and subsequent decline. With minimal likelihood of near-term de-escalation in the Iran situation, USOIL is likely to remain bullish. However, severe overbought conditions on technical charts have disrupted structural expectations, necessitating a price correction.
Technically, the $70-$75 range serves as a reasonable short-term consolidation zone, contingent on no severe escalation in Iran tensions. Given the high probability of worsening tensions, USOIL may retest $75 and even challenge $80 driven by geopolitical developments.
Thus, while the market remains focused on Iran-related risks, the short-term bias remains bullish. Avoid chasing the rally recklessly. Focus on the $70.5-$71.5 pullback zone early in the week—consider long entries only after price consolidation in this area.
USOIL
buy@70.50-71.50
tp:74-76-78
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher.
Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week.
USOIL
buy@71-72
tp:75-78
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
USOIL: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsSupply Shortage Risks
Escalating Middle East tensions pressure Iran's crude supply: Israeli airstrikes have hit key facilities, and potential conflict escalation may disrupt oil production capacity and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil shipments pass). Although OPEC+ has proposed output increases, doubts over implementation fuel concerns about supply gaps, supporting oil prices.
Peak Demand Season Support
Summer triggers peak travel seasons in Europe and the U.S., surging demand for gasoline, jet fuel, etc. Despite global economic slowdown, rebounding seasonal consumption—combined with supply-side uncertainties—exacerbates market fears of supply-demand imbalance, underpinning prices.
Panic Sentiment Drive
Middle East tensions spark panic buying of crude oil futures, amplifying short-term price volatility. As long as conflicts remain unresolved, emotional factors will sustain upward momentum for oil prices.
USOIL
buy@71-72
TP:75~76
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL:Go short before you go long
USOIL:Crude oil trend in line with expectations to break 65, hourly level to see adjustment, trading can be done first short and then long. Here are my range trading ideas.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@65.4-65.5
TP:64.5-64.
BUY@64.5-64
TP: 65.3-65.5
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USOIL: Downward Movement in Primary-Secondary AlternationUSOIL's short-term trend is moving downward in a primary-secondary alternating pattern. After hitting $66.2, the moving average system diverges downward, indicating an objectively downward short-term trend. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator opens downward below the zero axis and coincides with bearish columns, suggesting abundant downward momentum. It is expected that the intraday crude oil trend will continue to fall and seek support below $64.5.
USOIL
sell@65-65.5
tp:64.5-64
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Crude Oil Surges StronglyAs market participants await positive outcomes from negotiations between a major Asian economy and the U.S., crude oil prices edge higher modestly. During Tuesday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.12 to $67.16 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil gained $0.13 to $65.42, briefly hitting a new high since April 4th intraday. In the previous trading day, Brent surged to $67.19, the highest level since April 28th, primarily driven by market expectations of a potential deal between the U.S. and China.
Current oil prices stand at a crossroads of multiple factors. In the short term, the global trade landscape dictates the main thread of market sentiment. If a mitigation plan is reached, it will boost demand expectations. However, the resumption of Iranian exports and OPEC's production increase strategy may lead to a potential supply glut in the second half of the year, emerging as the primary risk suppressing oil prices.
Technically, the K-line has pierced below the moving average system, indicating a shift in the short-term objective upward trend. The formation of a large-bodied bearish candle in the subsequent session establishes the main rhythm, suggesting that oil prices may further decline to around $63.50 today before seeking new support.
Overall, today's trading strategy for crude oil is recommended to focus on rebound shorting as the primary approach and pullback long positions as a supplement. In the short term, monitor resistance at the $67.5-68.0 range, while support lies at the $65.0-64.5 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
The rollover of crude oil contracts leads to price differences.Crude oil is currently in the contract rollover phase, and prices may vary between different brokers. For specific trading strategies, you can contact me directly, and I will provide you with accurate trading strategies accordingly.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Possible "W Pattern" Initiation After Breaking Through $64.5USOIL surged strongly last Friday, closing with a large bullish candle on the daily chart. Since the sharp decline on April 4th, the $64.5 level has acted as resistance on the chart. The price remained capped at $64.5 for four consecutive trading days (Monday to Thursday) last week, but Friday’s strong bullish candle successfully broke above $64.5, signaling a valid breakout. This breakout suggests the formation of a potential W-bottom pattern, paving the way for further upward movement. Crude oil is expected to continue rising to new highs in today's trading.
USOIL
buy@63.5-64
tp:64.7-65.2
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
OPEC+ plans to increase production by 411K bpd in July, with major producers like Saudi Arabia and the UAE holding ample idle capacity. This expansion could exacerbate global crude oil oversupply, pressuring prices. Concurrently, the U.S. steel import tariff hikes may trigger trade frictions, dampening global economic recovery and curbing industrial crude demand.
Technical Analysis:
The MACD indicator shows expanding green bars (bearish momentum), with short-term moving averages trending toward a bearish crossover of long-term averages. However, recent price retracement from relative highs suggests potential rebound. Key resistance lies at the $66–67/barrel zone, while critical support holds at $61.5–62/barrel.
Trading Recommendation:
Aggressive traders may initiate light short positions near 66 on a confirmed resistance rejection.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@66-65.5
TP:63-62
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USOIL:The strategy of going short
USOIL: Same thinking, still maintain the short strategy. Friends with short orders at 63.3-63.5 continue to wait, can increase short orders near 63.8, the target is 62.5-62.3 unchanged
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There remains a risk of further downside for crude oil prices.During Monday's US trading session, international oil prices rebounded strongly. The main US crude contract surged 2.5% at one point to $62.31 per barrel, while the August Brent crude futures also rose more than 2% to $64.12 per barrel. Two key drivers underlie this rally: OPEC+'s maintenance of a "modest production increase" strategy at its weekend meeting, and Ukraine's surprise attack on a Russian military airfield. The crude oil market is currently in a dual game of "policy and geopolitics": OPEC+ seeks to balance the market with "modest production increases," while Ukraine's raid serves as a reminder that black swans are never far away.
Short-term Outlook:
US oil prices may remain range-bound between $60-$64 per barrel.
However, if the Russia-Ukraine conflict deteriorates or internal rifts within OPEC+ deepen, a new round of violent volatility (sharp rallies or crashes) cannot be ruled out.
Technical Analysis:
Early trading saw oil prices consolidate in a narrow range near $61, reflecting a secondary rhythm.
The MACD indicator is bearishly diverging below the zero axis with strong bearish momentum, suggesting a risk of continued downward movement in crude oil prices during the session.
Trading Strategy:
sell@63.5-64.0
TP:61.6-62.0
The bears continue to dominate!Oil prices fluctuated lower this week, primarily pressured by the repeated U.S. tariff policies and expectations of OPEC+ production increases. During Friday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures fell 0.41% to $63.89 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil futures declined 0.44% to $60.67. The Brent July futures contract is set to expire on Friday. The tariffs imposed by U.S. President Trump were originally suspended, but the U.S. Federal Appellate Court temporarily reinstated them on Thursday, overturning the trade court's suspension ruling made on Wednesday. This legal volatility caused oil prices to plummet by more than 1% on Thursday.
The crude oil market this week has shown high sensitivity, influenced not only by legal rulings but also by dual pressures from geopolitical tensions and internal coordination imbalances within the organization. Under the intertwined effects of tariffs and production expectations, oil prices have struggled to achieve directional breakthroughs. If OPEC+ fails to reach an agreement on production control and demand from Asian countries and other major consumers has not recovered, oil prices are likely to maintain a weak oscillating pattern in the coming weeks. The MACD indicator is opening downward below the zero axis, with strong bearish momentum, suggesting a risk of further downside for crude oil during the day.
Overall, for next week's crude oil trading strategy, He Bosheng recommends focusing on bearish trades on rebounds, complemented by bullish trades on pullbacks.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
sell@61.5-62,0
TP:59.5-60.0
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Uncertainty over the OPEC+ production increase plan continues to unsettle markets. If the 增产 (production hike) is implemented, increased supply will pressure oil prices.
Meanwhile, uneven global economic recovery has impacted crude oil demand expectations.
Technical Analysis:
Daily candlestick charts show prices oscillating within a $59–$63 range. The MACD indicator remains below the zero line, with bearish signals persisting.
The 50-day moving average forms strong resistance near $63, while $58.9 serves as key support.
Trading Strategy:
Await rebounds to initiate short positions.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@63-62
TP:60-59
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USOIL:First go short, then go long
USOIL: There are still signs of a pullback on an hourly basis after oil prices climbed to near 63 after OPEC+ said there would be no immediate changes to current production policies.
So the trading strategy :SELL@62.5-62.8 TP@61.6-61.3
After stepping back to the point can not break a wave of rebound, the target can look at 63 again
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USOIL : What will happen to the price of oil?Hello friends
As you can see, we had support in the past, which has now become a strong resistance for the price after it was broken.
Now we need to see if the price will manage to break it at this moment when it is close to its key and sensitive resistance.
*Trade safely with us*
Forecast of the market trend at the opening on Monday”Oil prices remained under pressure this week, experiencing a notable decline due to multiple factors. As of Friday's Asian morning session, Brent crude futures fell 37 cents to $64.07 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures dropped 39 cents to $60.81 per barrel. Brent crude fell 2% for the week, while WTI declined 2.7%.
Key Drivers of Oil Price Weakness
Stronger U.S. Dollar
The U.S. House of Representatives passed President Donald Trump’s tax-cut and fiscal spending bill, boosting the U.S. dollar index against a basket of currencies.
As oil is dollar-denominated, a stronger dollar typically reduces purchasing power for non-USD buyers, suppressing oil prices.
Supply-Demand Sensitivity and Market Sentiment
The combination of dollar strength and expectations of OPEC+ production increases has intensified bearish sentiment in the oil market.
While demand is gradually recovering, significant upward pressure on supply—including potential output hikes from OPEC+ and rising U.S. shale production—has created near-term volatility.
Technical Outlook and Trading Strategy
Short-Term Trend: Oil prices are likely to remain in a sideways-to-downward oscillation due to supply-demand imbalances.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $63.0–$63.5 per barrel (short-term overhead resistance).
Support: $60.5–$60.0 per barrel (critical near-term support zone).
Trading Approach:
Consider rebound shorting as the primary strategy, with retracement buying as a secondary approach.
Use rallies toward $63.0–$63.5 to initiate short positions, targeting support at $60.5–$60.0, with stop-losses above $64.0.
Note: Monitor OPEC+ policy updates and U.S. inventory data for potential shifts in market sentiment. Volatility may rise ahead of key economic indicators.
In - depth: USOIL 1 - hr Chart - Significance of 60.00 Support In the USOIL 1 - hour chart, 60.00 acts as a strong support 💪.
Support Validation
The price twice failed to break 60.00 and rebounded 📈. Psychologically, investors see 60.00 as a key level 🔑. Approaching it, buy orders pour in as they think crude oil is undervalued 📉. Technically, it's on a support line from prior lows, and repeated tests have fortified its support 🛡️.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 60.00 - 60.60
🚀 TP 62.50 - 62.80
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇