USOIL: Trend analysis and operation strategy
EIA released nearly two weeks of inventory data, a cumulative increase of 17.5 million barrels, more than expected accumulation led to a rapid decline in the disk, of which crude oil inventories reached 439 million barrels in the week of November 3, a higher since August. In addition, the market expects Saudi Arabia to extend production cuts until January next year. At present, the accumulation of expectations is deepening, and the upward movement of crude oil prices is blocked. Yesterday, oil prices on the technical side of the weak unilateral downward trend, ASEM slightly back pressure 76.6 line down to break the bottom, the evening accelerated down to 75 and 74 two integer marks, and continued to close weak near the 72 mark, the Japanese line Baoshu pressure down to break the bottom bardo, closed at a low level for three consecutive days. Oil prices fell 4.81% yesterday, closing large negative line, the decline has accelerated signs. From the perspective of technical indicators, the moving average system helped the downward form to be complete, and the superimposed MACD was located below the zero axis for a long time, and the overall form had obvious short advantages. On the operation, it is recommended to consider the rebound and short, low and many are auxiliary.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound near 74.5-75.2 short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, target 72.6-72.2 line;
Strategy two: Callback 72.2-72.5 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 74.0-75.0 line.
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Usoilshort
📈🛢️US Oil Daily prediction 🛢️📉TVC:USOIL
FX:USOILSPOT
Before we predict the next week, let's take a look at the trend of the oil chart.
The price continues to move in a downward trend. Due to the support area, we can expect a rise in oil price to the previous high level.
If this uptrend fails, the price will reach lower targets below 77$.
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usoil: accurate signal
Crude oil's downtrend continues, testing support at $72. Anticipate another decline after reaching around $74. If you have long positions in crude oil, consider closing near $74 and following the trend by shorting. Personally, I expect crude oil to reach $70 in the near term before resuming an upward trend.
I provide daily analysis and strategies for gold and crude oil. Don't miss out.
Usoil:Is it back to the downtrend?
Yesterday, oil fell rapidly, broke below the five-day line, and returned to the downward trend again. From the chart, it can be seen that 75-76 has certain support.
We need to observe the support strength of the previous low of 75. If it falls below the previous low, the room for decline will be opened.
So we can short and sell along the resistance point
now you can observe the fluctuations in the range, which is 74.9-77.4
Trading needs to strictly set the stop loss, even if you are in the wrong direction, you will not lose too much.
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USOIL appears to be in a potential downtrend.Based on my analysis, there seems to be a potential downtrend in the USOIL market. However, it's essential to note that trading in financial markets involves risks and uncertainties, and any decision made should be based on a thorough understanding of one's risk tolerance and market dynamics.
The suggested take profit (TP) level stands at 76.6, while the stop-loss (SL) level is set at 80. These parameters indicate a strategy to potentially capitalize on a perceived downward movement in the market. It's crucial to emphasize that these levels are merely indicative and subject to market volatility, and they should not be considered as guaranteed outcomes.
The decision to act upon this analysis should be made cautiously, and it's imperative to conduct one's due diligence, considering individual risk appetite, financial circumstances, and market conditions. Moreover, using appropriate risk management techniques, such as position sizing and setting stop-loss orders, is highly recommended to mitigate potential losses.
Furthermore, it's important to stay updated on global events, economic indicators, geopolitical factors, and any other news or developments that could significantly impact the USOIL market. Market conditions can change rapidly, and staying informed is crucial when making trading decisions.
In essence, the idea presented here regarding a potential downtrend in USOIL is merely an observation and should not be considered as financial advice. It's always advisable to consult with a financial advisor or conduct thorough research before executing any trades or investments. Trading in financial markets carries inherent risks, and individuals should be well-informed and aware of the potential losses before making any decisions.
Gold crude oil operation sharing
After gold fell from 1965 to 1932, it needed a rebound with a wave structure. The target range for the rebound is the 1945-1950 area. 1950 is also the central axis position of this wave of adjustment. For today's idea, we will first rely on the 1950 position to be bearish. Below, the vicinity of 1932 and 1931 is the weekly support. This position is expected to be a game.
The support is 1932, the pressure is 1945, 1950, and the strength of the market is 1941.
Silver market analysis
Recently, silver has also entered a short position. Silver has plunged immediately. Currently, silver still has room to fall. Today’s thinking is based on the bearish trend of 22.10. Silver is currently weaker than gold, and there will be a need to make up for the decline later.
Crude oil market analysis
Crude oil cannot see a bottom signal, and the weekly line is still very short. The appearance of a cross star and a small positive line on the daily line is a sign of weakness, and it is also a signal of repair. It indicates that crude oil will need to rebound and repair later. The first pressure is to pay attention Near 77.80, go short near this position. The super pressure of this wave is near 80.00.
Operation suggestions
Gold——Short around 1950, target 1940-1931,
Silver——Short around 22.10, target 21.50-21.00
Crude oil——Short around 77.80, target 76.50-76.00
USOIL: Crude oil continues to fall
Crude oil continued to fall yesterday, from Friday to the present 4 even negative, down nearly 1000 points, yesterday's rebound space is slightly smaller, yesterday's rebound near 77.5 pressure, the European and American trading fell to a new low to 74.9, the daily line is in the bearish down, the day's rebound is the opportunity to empty, bearish not chase empty, rebound card point is the key, at present 4 hours, 77.5 is a strong pressure, short-term hourly chart, the resistance level of the medium rail is currently in the position of 76.1, the day to these two positions to rebound mainly to layout
The specific layout is as follows:
1. See 76.1 empty once for the first time, loss 0.6, the target look at 75 break below
2. See 77.3/77.5 empty at any time within the day, with a loss of 78.1, and the target at 76.1-75 break
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Usoil:Observe whether to stop the decline
The oil trend is obvious, and it continues to fall weakly, with the current lowest at 74.9
Although the oil is currently out of the downward channel, it has not confirmed whether it has reached a low point. Continue to observe the support near 73.8-74 below, and wait until the daily line stops falling or there is an upward signal to confirm.
Pay attention to the unilateral moving average suppression points of the daily cycle and the H4 cycle 78 and 76.5. Before this wave has obviously reached the bottom, you can wait for the rebound suppression point to take advantage of the trend to sell.
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Thursday: Crude oil operation sharing
In terms of crude oil, oil prices have fallen sharply for two consecutive days. When doing crude oil, you must follow the trend. The focus today is whether 75 can be held. If it holds 75, it may rebound to around 77. Yesterday, it was blocked from 77.1-3 many times and fell back. Today is the best opportunity to go short. If it falls below 75, the decline will accelerate to the 73.8-74 line. If it reaches the first time, you can consider taking a long order.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil rebounds 77.1-3 short, defense 78, target 76.2-75.2
Go long 73.8-74, defend 73.2, target 75-76-77
USOILCrude oil fell below the support of 80.00. The current crude oil market is a unilateral falling market. Do not speculate on the bottom, and do not intercept the long position. A small rebound is a small short, a big rebound is a big short. Crude oil has fallen sharply and there is no bottom. Today's crude oil can continue to be short as early as 78.00. .
The key to crude oil is here!
In terms of crude oil, Saudi Aramco said that the current production capacity increase is progressing smoothly. At the same time, crude oil production in Iran and other crude oil-producing countries has also rebounded to varying degrees. At the same time, there are reports that future crude oil demand is expected to decline. Both ends of supply and demand have put sufficient pressure on crude oil, coupled with the hawkish Federal Reserve. From the currency point of view, crude oil has continued to weaken recently. It broke out in the last trading day. It once fell below the 80 mark, accelerated below the previous low support near 79, and fell back to around 76.5 with inertia. It stopped falling slightly and reversed. In the short term, there is a high probability of weakness. It will continue. At the top, focus on the pressure level near 79, which is gradually moving downwards. The rebound will continue to go short. At the bottom, focus on the strong support of 74.4/73.8.
Crude oil counter-draws 78.4/5 to go short, defends 79.2, and targets below 77. It retreats to long positions near 74.7/8, defends 74, and targets above 76.
Usoil:Will it still fall?
Oil, I have been reminding that it is a downward trend. After falling below the important support of 80 yesterday, it accelerated its decline, reaching a minimum of 76.5.
Now that the trend has appeared, follow the trend and wait for the intraday rebound to sell.From a technical point of view, the unilateral suppression points of the daily line are 77.8, 78.3, 79
However, a rapid decline will definitely bring a certain rebound, so if you want to win a rebound, you can support a small amount of buying in the early stage of 76.5, because it is a downtrend, strictly set the stop loss to increase your success rate and reduce your losses.
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WTI Crude Oil achieves the new target The price of oil continues to fluctuate around the 77.83 level, waiting for a break of this level to confirm the rush towards our next targets, which start at 75.49 and extend to 73.80 as the next main stations, keeping in mind that the continuation of the bearish wave depends on stability below the 79.18 level.
The general trend expected for today: bearish
Pivot Price: 76.83
Resistance Prices: 79.18 & 80.80& 82.74
support price: 75.49 & 73.80 & 72.12
BluetonaFX - USOIL Approaching 3 Month LowHi Traders!
USOIL is slowly pulling back to its three-month low at 77.68.
Price Action 📊
The market's price action is currently bearish due to a few signs. The market recently had a trendline support momentum break after a very strong uptrend period, which has led to lower highs and lower lows. Finally, the market broke under the 20 EMA and has failed to go back above it for over a week. These signs are pointing to a possible market reversal of the bullish period the market had in August. We are now looking for a continuation down to target the three-month low at 77.68, which is where the bullish period started.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
Oil prices have started to dip even after raising tensions in the Middle East, as investors closely monitored the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting and in anticipation of the US Non-Farm payrolls due out at the end of the trading week this coming Friday.
Support 📉
80.35: WEEKLY LOW
77.68: THREE MONTH LOW
Resistance 📈
84.67: 20 EMA
85.19: WEEKLY HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
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Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
Crude oil latest trading strategy
Crude oil continues to sweep, and it is also a time cycle. The direction determined by the US market has the best continuity. It accelerates when it starts, and the range is around 25-30 US dollars.
The current price has formed a range similar to an open trumpet, with upper rail resistance 83.7-83.9 and lower rail support 79.0-78.8
So, for today's crude oil, we need to continue to pay attention to the opening range form and conduct sweeps. If the bottom touches the support 79.0-78.8 area, you can participate in a long order. Watch the price form a support to rise again and move around the range sweeps.
Referring to this idea, when the European market price is under pressure and falls below the low
Crude oil is long in the 79.1-78.9 area, with a stop loss of 78.4 and a target of 80.4-80.8
USOIL to find sellers close to market levels?WTI - Intraday
The AB=CD formation target is located at 70.19.
Reverse trend line resistance comes in at 83.91.
Bespoke resistance is located at 84.06.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
We look to Sell at 84.00 (stop at 85.50)
Our profit targets will be 80.20 and 79.60
Resistance: 83.91 / 84.06 / 89.83
Support: 80.19 / 77.64 / 70.19
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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Usoil:Still weak
The oil is still oscillating repeatedly, but the resistance point above is gradually declining, so it is judged that the oil is still relatively weak today.
At present, the oil is near 81.3, and the lowest point is near 80.3. Observe the support of 80.3. You can try to buy in a small position. If the oil falls below 80, you can make a stop loss.
The upper resistance is 83.2, so you can also choose to sell above 83, control your position, and your success rate will increase.
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Usoil:The willingness to rise is still not strong
Oil reached a minimum of 80.7. Because of the rapid decline, there will definitely be a certain rebound, so today we observe yesterday's high of 83.3 and the important boundary point of 84.
Oil has fallen due to the resistance of the lower edge of VWAP, so it can be judged that the willingness of oil to rise is still not strong.
So you can choose to be at 83.3 or more gradually sold
Arrange positions reasonably according to your funds and strictly set stop losses so that your success rate can be greatly increased
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USOILUSOIL is trading in descending channel and printing consistent LLs LHs. Recently the price is broken the important support zone and now retesting the broken level.
If the sell momentum continues the next target could be 80 followed by 79 region.
What you guys think of this idea?
Don't forget to share your idea.
The 1. Chapter of WTI.Oil - Highly flammableTwo scenarios. One Long. One Short.
Fundamentals:
-
Scenario 1 (Orange arrow)
Target: Next resistance level (upper red rectangle ). Recent swing top.
Requirments:
- Monthly close above the orange rectangle.
- Higher swings above it
Invalidation / SL:
- Fall under orange rectangle AND generating lower swings.
Time duration: days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Scenario 2 (blue arrow)
Target: Next support level
Requirments:
- break under orange rectangle
- break under 50% fib
Invalidation / SL:
- Break above orange rectangle
- No Break under 50% Fib
Time duration: days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Good luck
USOIL: End short orders and look for support to go long
Crude oil 85.5 support line to earn the pressure line, we rely on this pressure level to continuously short the harvest of nearly 20 points of profit, the subsequent recommendation to end the short order, withdraw to 82.5-83 to convert long!
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