USOil: The trading strategy is to continue shortingYesterday, crude oil prices peaked and then witnessed a sharp decline, directly plunging through the upward gap that opened at the beginning of the week.
The current market situation is at the initial stage of a downtrend. It is projected that after rebounding to the range of 67.00 - 67.80, the downward movement will resume. Moreover, the strength of today's rebound indicates relatively feeble upward momentum, and market sentiment leans towards caution.
Consequently, today's trading strategy will mainly focus on shorting on rebounds. Traders should wait for the market to rebound to key resistance levels before entering the market.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@67.7-68.3
TP:66-65
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Usoilshort
Buy directlySupply and Demand Aspect
Supply: In 2025, the expected increment in global crude oil supply has been generally lowered. The production increase in non-OPEC+ countries is limited, and the actual effect of OPEC+'s gradual lifting of production cuts is lower than expected. However, the US shale oil production is on a strong upward trend. The EIA predicts that the total US crude oil production in 2025 will reach 13.61 million barrels per day, making it the largest source of supply growth in the world. If OPEC+ continues to increase production, the IEA predicts that the global crude oil supply surplus in 2025 may expand to 1 million barrels per day. At the same time, the uncertainties in the US sanctions policies against oil-producing countries such as Iran and Venezuela, and the fact that Russia's crude oil exports have climbed to a yearly high of 5.7 million barrels per day further increase the pressure on the supply side.
Demand: The demand side shows a differentiated trend. In March, the IEA lowered the global crude oil demand growth rate in 2025 by 70,000 barrels per day to 1.03 million barrels per day, mainly reflecting the impact of the escalation of trade frictions on the macro economy. On the other hand, OPEC maintains an optimistic forecast of 1.45 million barrels per day, emphasizing the resilience of air travel and consumption in emerging economies. The EIA has raised the demand growth rate to 1.37 million barrels per day and expects the growth rate to further rise to 1.61 million barrels per day in 2026.
USOil
🎁 Buy@66.80 - 66.90
🎁 SL 66.50
🎁 TP 68.80 - 69.00
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USOILHello friends
Due to the price falling in the identified support area, buyers were able to support the price, but given the weakness of the trend we are witnessing, it seems that sellers have more power...
Now, for the price to rise, the identified resistance must be broken, and for the price to fall, if the support is broken, the price will continue to fall.
*Trade safely with us*
USOIL Analysis of TodayThe global economic situation has a significant impact on the demand for crude oil.
During periods of economic prosperity, industrial production and transportation activities are frequent, leading to an increase in the demand for crude oil, which in turn drives up the price of USOIL.
For example, during the period of rapid development of emerging economies, the demand for energy was robust. When there is an economic recession, the demand decreases, and the price may drop. Just like after the global financial crisis in 2008, the demand for crude oil plummeted sharply, and the price also crashed accordingly. In terms of supply, the changes in production output of major oil-producing countries are of vital importance.
The adjustment of production capacity and production disruptions in major oil-producing countries such as the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Russia will all affect the global crude oil supply. For instance, the development of the shale oil industry in the United States has significantly increased the country's crude oil production, having a major impact on the global crude oil market supply pattern.
🎁 Buy@66.90 - 67.00
🎁 SL 66.80
🎁 TP 67.15 - 67.20
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USOIL:The latest trading strategyThe price of WTI crude oil futures has risen slightly, and the market is currently in the process of bottom - building.
The price briefly broke through last week's high of $67.94, reaching an intraday high of $68.37 before pulling back. The market remains in a "sell - on - rally" mode.
After the higher opening, there is a probability that the crude oil price will stabilize at a lower level. For the subsequent trading strategy, short - selling is worth considering.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@67.7-68.3
TP:66-65
Trading Strategy for Crude Oil Next WeekAs U.S. President Donald Trump pushes for an increase in domestic oil production and a reduction in energy prices, the prospect of declining profits may stifle drilling activities. If WTI crude oil hovers around $65 per barrel, shale oil operators may shut down 25 drilling rigs and keep U.S. oil production flat. A further drop in prices would actually reduce crude oil production.
With Trump's trade war weighing on the demand outlook, traders are bracing for an influx of Russian crude oil into the global market, and WTI crude oil is in the midst of its longest losing streak in nearly a decade.
The price of crude oil has been lingering at a low level. On the weekly chart, it closed with a bearish doji star, showing a double-bottom pattern. In the short term, the oil price is still fluctuating in the range below $68.5. If it fails to break upward in the future, there is a high probability of a continued decline.
USOIL Trading Strategy for Next Week:
Sell@67.7-68.3
TP:66-65
I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
USOIL latest analysis of profitable trading signalsDuring the US trading session on Thursday, US crude oil fell in a narrow range and is currently trading around $67.13 per barrel, holding most of the gains in the previous two trading days. Previously, oil prices had rebounded for two consecutive trading days. The latest monthly report released by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Wednesday showed that the organization maintained its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026, which is expected to increase by 1.45 million barrels per day and 1.43 million barrels per day respectively. The current crude oil market is supported by factors such as the decline in US inflation and the recovery of market sentiment in the short term, and prices have rebounded.
Analysis: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil remains in a wide upward channel, and oil prices gradually fall back to the lower edge of the channel. There have been many cases where one trading day swallowed up all the gains in the previous week, and the short-selling forces are more dominant. The medium-term trend of crude oil maintains a range of oscillations and downward, and the lower edge of the channel has been broken. It is expected that the medium-term decline of crude oil will start soon. The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to consolidate at a low level, and the oil price gradually tests from the bottom of the range to the upper edge of the range, with the range range between 68.80-65.20. The short-term objective trend direction is oscillating rhythm. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will be resisted at the upper edge of the range during the day, and the probability of falling back downward is high. On the whole, He Bosheng recommends that the operation strategy of crude oil today is mainly to rebound high and to step on lows as a supplement. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 68.3-68.8 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 66.0-65.5. FX:USOIL FOREXCOM:USOIL TVC:USOIL
USOIL's latest 20% profit tips
Trading signal analysis gives 65 support, and traders who rebound and go long, TP reaches the target 15%.
If you don’t know when to buy or sell, please pay close attention to the real-time signal release of the trading center or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the joy of profit. FOREXCOM:USOIL FX:USOIL TVC:USOIL
Latest USOIL Trading Signal PlanToday's crude oil opened at $66.34, slightly higher than yesterday's low, indicating that the market has some support around $65. After Wednesday's low of $65.22, the 4-hour chart closed with a positive line with a long lower shadow, showing that bulls have strong defense around $65.
According to the current trend analysis, the price fell from $73.14 to $68.36, a drop of $4.78; it rebounded from $68.36 to $70.60, a rebound of $2.24, and a correction of about 50%. The drop from $70.60 to $65.22, a drop of $5.38, may theoretically have ended, but considering the support of the $65 mark, it may further fall below $65.
The current trend stage may be nearing its end, but the $65 mark has not been effectively broken, and the possibility of further decline needs to be paid attention to. The target below may be in the $64.00-63.00 range.
If the price stabilizes around $65, it may start to rebound, with the target in the $67.00-68.00 range. Short selling is the main method of rebounding during the day. Pay attention to the support effect of the $65 mark. If the price effectively falls below $65, short selling can be pursued, with the target at $63.00-64.00.
Trading is risky and positions should be controlled reasonably. When the opportunity comes, if you don’t know when to buy or sell, pay close attention to my real-time signal announcement or leave me a message so that you can realize the joy of quick profits. FOREXCOM:USOIL FX:USOIL TVC:USOIL
WTI Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionMarket Overview:
📉 WTI at $66.00: Trading defensively near a three-year low amid tariff concerns and OPEC+ output hikes.
📊 Inventory Build: A larger-than-expected US crude inventory build (up by 3.614M barrels vs. a forecasted decline) is adding pressure on prices.
⚖️ Tariff Uncertainty: Despite Trump's recent executive order exempting goods from Canada and Mexico under USMCA, overall tariff uncertainty remains a key concern.
🔺 OPEC+ Output Increase: For the first time since 2022, OPEC+ has ramped up production, weighing further on WTI.
Technical Insights:
📉 Descending Channel: The 4H chart shows a clear descending channel. Watch for the potential break of the channel's resistance line to the upside.
🎯 Key Level: Next week, the critical level to monitor is $66.50 – consider a buy if prices break above, and sell if they remain below.
Upcoming Catalysts:
⏰ US Employment Data: Keep an eye on the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, EIA and API report. A weaker-than-expected report could lift the USD and boost oil prices.
Stay Tuned:
I'll provide a detailed update at the beginning of next week. Follow along for more insights and actionable trading strategies!
#WTI #CrudeOil #OilTrading #OilMarket #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarket #OilPrice #MarketAnalysis #TradingInsights #OPEC
Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
USOIL Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 64.40?TVC:USOIL has broken below a key support zone, which has now flipped to resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong seller interest and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
With momentum favoring the downside, the next logical target is 64.40, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact.
If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
USOIL Short Idea - 4H ChartWTI Crude Oil (USOIL) is currently facing strong resistance at the 70.50 - 71.00 supply zone, aligning with the 200 EMA rejection and previous structural resistance. The price has failed to break above this level and is showing signs of bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Look for bearish confirmation near the 70.50 - 71.00 supply zone.
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 71.20, beyond recent highs to avoid stop hunts.
🔹 Target: The next major support zone near 66.00 - 66.50, a key demand area.
The trend remains bearish below the 200 EMA, and the recent pullback into resistance presents a potential continuation of the downtrend. If price holds below the resistance zone, expect a further decline towards lower support levels.
📉 Watch for: Bearish rejections, engulfing candles, or lower timeframe confirmations before entering a short position.
🔔 Stay patient and follow risk management! 🚀
Crude Oil Technical Outlook: Range Breakdown & Next Targets🔹Key Observations:
1. Range Formation & Breakout:
- The price was consolidating within a range (highlighted in the pink box).
- A range breakout trading setup is identified.
- The price has broken below the range support, signaling potential downside momentum.
2. Breakout Confirmation:
- The price has moved below a key support area (marked in blue).
- The breakdown indicates a potential continuation of the downtrend.
3. Downside Targets:
- 1st Target: $68.00 (first green line).
- 2nd Target: $67.05 (second green line).
- If the price sustains below the breakout level, these targets could be reached.
4. Volume Analysis:
- The volume bar at the bottom suggests increased selling pressure.
- The breakout occurred with notable volume, which confirms bearish sentiment.
▪️Technical Outlook:
- Bearish Bias: The chart suggests a bearish move with downside targets aligned at $68.00 and $67.05.
- Watch for Retest: If the price pulls back toward the breakout zone, it may confirm the breakdown before further decline.
- Invalidation Level: A strong recovery back above the blue support zone could invalidate the bearish setup.
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US Oil Market Outlook: Bearish Momentum Indicate Further DeclineThe 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (TVC: USOIL) reveals a well-defined market structure transition from bullish to bearish. Initially, the price action exhibited a strong uptrend, characterized by the formation of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). However, a break of structure (BOS) marked the onset of a reversal, leading to the emergence of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming the shift to a downtrend.
A key technical observation is the presence of a price gap near the highest point, which often signifies inefficiency in the market and the potential for price retracements in the future. Furthermore, the highlighted resistance zone around the $72.49–$73.50 range has proven to be a strong supply area, repeatedly rejecting bullish attempts to break above it. This resistance, coupled with price trading below the 50-period and 200-period moving averages, reinforces the bearish bias.
The price has now breached the $71.78 level, accelerating downward momentum. The next significant area of interest lies at the identified support level around $69.36, which serves as the primary target area. If selling pressure remains dominant, further declines may be anticipated.
Volume analysis further substantiates the bearish outlook, as recent price drops have been accompanied by increased selling activity. The combination of structural shifts, resistance validation, and moving average positioning strongly suggests that the downward trajectory is likely to persist unless the price reclaims and sustains above the resistance zone.
Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Daily Timeframe:
• We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs.
• However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift.
🔸 H4 Timeframe:
• Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure.
• Formed a lower high, indicating seller control.
🔸 H1 Timeframe:
• Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest.
• Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit.
• Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade.
🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels:
✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low.
✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues.
⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed:
• If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower.
🛠 Trade Management:
• Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips.
• Current floating: +142 pips.
• Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR).
• If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains.
This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion.
If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
USOIL is changing as I analyzedThrough the previous accurate analysis, USOIL is rising as I analyzed, and many traders have also reaped considerable profits.
The current price of USOIL is US$72.3, and downward pressure still exists. Market expectations for Russia-Ukraine negotiations are heating up. If Russian oil sanctions are lifted, increased supply will put pressure on oil prices. Bank of America analyzed that the underlying price of Brent crude oil may fall by 5-10 US dollars per barrel.
sell:72.4
Tp:71
Tp:70
Sl:73.6
TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
USOIL is about to fall sharply, prepare to shortFrom a technical perspective, usoil currently has a large short-selling opportunity.
The overall price of usoil has successfully stabilized at the 70 mark, and on this basis, it has ushered in a correction market with a volatile rebound. In the afternoon European session, oil prices rose slightly, pierced the 71.2 mark, and then closed in a volatile state. From the daily K-line pattern analysis, it finally closed with a volatile rebound cross K-line.
Although the short-term price stabilized and rebounded after gaining support at the 70 mark, from a comprehensive consideration at the daily level, usoil is still in a weak volatile pattern, limited by the 10-day moving average and below the 5-day moving average. For the short-term trend, the 73 mark is the key dividing line for short weakness. At the daily level, as long as usoil fails to effectively break through and stabilize the 73 mark, any pullback can be regarded as an excellent short-selling opportunity.
usoil short-selling trading plan:
Sell: 71.55, take profit 70.5; stop loss 72.3
TVC:UKOIL TVC:USOIL
USOIL, oil trend analysis (hot news)USOIL: Due to a drone attack on a Russian oil pipeline pumping station, the oil flow from Kazakhstan has decreased. David believes that the price will rebound to the upper side soon
BUY:71.2
TP:71.6
TP:72
SL:71.00
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention. I will share my views for free later - (David)
If you don't know when to trade and want to avoid risks, you can continue to pay attention. TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
USOIL USOIL is showing a potential sell opportunity following a breakout of the upward trend on the 30-minute timeframe. This signals a possible shift in momentum toward the downside.
Trade Setup:
🔻 Sell Entry Zone: 73.000 – 73.300
🔻 Resistance Level: 73.700 (Key level to watch for invalidation)
Target Levels:
✅ Target 1: 72.300
✅ Target 2: 71.670
✅ Target 3: 70.780
If price respects the resistance zone and fails to break above 73.700, we could see a continuation to the downside toward the listed targets. Confirmation from price action will strengthen the setup before executing trades.
USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session
USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 4-Hour
- Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection.
2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal.
3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs.
CPI Session Volatility Warning:
- With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment.
- If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short.
- Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks.
- Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows.
Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀