WTI Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionMarket Overview:
📉 WTI at $66.00: Trading defensively near a three-year low amid tariff concerns and OPEC+ output hikes.
📊 Inventory Build: A larger-than-expected US crude inventory build (up by 3.614M barrels vs. a forecasted decline) is adding pressure on prices.
⚖️ Tariff Uncertainty: Despite Trump's recent executive order exempting goods from Canada and Mexico under USMCA, overall tariff uncertainty remains a key concern.
🔺 OPEC+ Output Increase: For the first time since 2022, OPEC+ has ramped up production, weighing further on WTI.
Technical Insights:
📉 Descending Channel: The 4H chart shows a clear descending channel. Watch for the potential break of the channel's resistance line to the upside.
🎯 Key Level: Next week, the critical level to monitor is $66.50 – consider a buy if prices break above, and sell if they remain below.
Upcoming Catalysts:
⏰ US Employment Data: Keep an eye on the Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, EIA and API report. A weaker-than-expected report could lift the USD and boost oil prices.
Stay Tuned:
I'll provide a detailed update at the beginning of next week. Follow along for more insights and actionable trading strategies!
#WTI #CrudeOil #OilTrading #OilMarket #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarket #OilPrice #MarketAnalysis #TradingInsights #OPEC
Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Usoilshort
USOIL: Will oil prices continue to fall? Can I buy it?Dear trader friends, are you still curious whether you can buy USOIL or continue to short USOIL? Listen to Jack's opinion.
From the perspective of oil trends, it is still in an overall downward trend. USOIL is currently priced at 66.2 (based on Tradingview). From the news perspective, the short-term supply line has been blocked, which may cause an increase in oil demand and oil prices. Combined with the four-hour USOIL, a double bottom structure is formed. Therefore, the short-term comprehensive assessment is mainly buying, and attention is paid to whether the price of 67 can stand firm in the market. If the position of 67 stands firm, a rebound climax of 68-68.5 will be formed in the short term. Focus on the release of the "non-agricultural data" tomorrow.
Personal thoughts, for reference only. If you follow my signals or refer to my suggestions, remember to pay attention to the real-time notifications within the analysis circle. Convenient for subsequent operations or closing positions.
USDOIL: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade oil? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
Friends who continue to pay attention will know. After issuing a buy order of 62 in the early morning, oil successfully reached the target above 70. This is profit. This is the precision. If you follow it, then you will definitely get the same profit. This is the effect of "exclusive signal".
USOIL: Under the influence of the news that the supply line of oil was interrupted, the price of USOIL came above the expected 67. If the position stabilizes, it will continue to hit the position of 68. Of course, the impact of non-agricultural data is also very critical. Combined with the current situation, it is the same as what I expected yesterday. Continue to be long. See if the target around 68.5-68 can be achieved.
Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
USOIL Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 64.40?TVC:USOIL has broken below a key support zone, which has now flipped to resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong seller interest and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
With momentum favoring the downside, the next logical target is 64.40, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact.
If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
USOIL Short Idea - 4H ChartWTI Crude Oil (USOIL) is currently facing strong resistance at the 70.50 - 71.00 supply zone, aligning with the 200 EMA rejection and previous structural resistance. The price has failed to break above this level and is showing signs of bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Look for bearish confirmation near the 70.50 - 71.00 supply zone.
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 71.20, beyond recent highs to avoid stop hunts.
🔹 Target: The next major support zone near 66.00 - 66.50, a key demand area.
The trend remains bearish below the 200 EMA, and the recent pullback into resistance presents a potential continuation of the downtrend. If price holds below the resistance zone, expect a further decline towards lower support levels.
📉 Watch for: Bearish rejections, engulfing candles, or lower timeframe confirmations before entering a short position.
🔔 Stay patient and follow risk management! 🚀
Crude Oil Technical Outlook: Range Breakdown & Next Targets🔹Key Observations:
1. Range Formation & Breakout:
- The price was consolidating within a range (highlighted in the pink box).
- A range breakout trading setup is identified.
- The price has broken below the range support, signaling potential downside momentum.
2. Breakout Confirmation:
- The price has moved below a key support area (marked in blue).
- The breakdown indicates a potential continuation of the downtrend.
3. Downside Targets:
- 1st Target: $68.00 (first green line).
- 2nd Target: $67.05 (second green line).
- If the price sustains below the breakout level, these targets could be reached.
4. Volume Analysis:
- The volume bar at the bottom suggests increased selling pressure.
- The breakout occurred with notable volume, which confirms bearish sentiment.
▪️Technical Outlook:
- Bearish Bias: The chart suggests a bearish move with downside targets aligned at $68.00 and $67.05.
- Watch for Retest: If the price pulls back toward the breakout zone, it may confirm the breakdown before further decline.
- Invalidation Level: A strong recovery back above the blue support zone could invalidate the bearish setup.
😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
USOIL: Energy channel sanctions lifted? Oil price drops?The news will be explosive news in the New York market. The market is about to fall sharply.
1. The European Union has suspended sanctions on Syria's energy and transportation sectors.
2. Iraq's oil minister said that oil exports from the Kurdish region will resume within a week.
3. BP CEO will abandon his promise to cut oil and gas production.
The news will be explosive news in the New York market. The market is about to fall sharply.
The current oil price is around 70.6, observing from the overall trend. It is still in the downward channel. The support below is loose. According to the Williams indicator, the probability of continued decline in the short term exceeds 95.6%. After breaking the 70 integer level, it will move closer to the price of 69.5 again.
Operation idea: short selling.
Recommended USOIL: sell at the current price.
TP: 71,
TP: 69.5-69
US Oil Market Outlook: Bearish Momentum Indicate Further DeclineThe 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (TVC: USOIL) reveals a well-defined market structure transition from bullish to bearish. Initially, the price action exhibited a strong uptrend, characterized by the formation of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). However, a break of structure (BOS) marked the onset of a reversal, leading to the emergence of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming the shift to a downtrend.
A key technical observation is the presence of a price gap near the highest point, which often signifies inefficiency in the market and the potential for price retracements in the future. Furthermore, the highlighted resistance zone around the $72.49–$73.50 range has proven to be a strong supply area, repeatedly rejecting bullish attempts to break above it. This resistance, coupled with price trading below the 50-period and 200-period moving averages, reinforces the bearish bias.
The price has now breached the $71.78 level, accelerating downward momentum. The next significant area of interest lies at the identified support level around $69.36, which serves as the primary target area. If selling pressure remains dominant, further declines may be anticipated.
Volume analysis further substantiates the bearish outlook, as recent price drops have been accompanied by increased selling activity. The combination of structural shifts, resistance validation, and moving average positioning strongly suggests that the downward trajectory is likely to persist unless the price reclaims and sustains above the resistance zone.
Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Daily Timeframe:
• We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs.
• However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift.
🔸 H4 Timeframe:
• Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure.
• Formed a lower high, indicating seller control.
🔸 H1 Timeframe:
• Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest.
• Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit.
• Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade.
🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels:
✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low.
✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues.
⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed:
• If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower.
🛠 Trade Management:
• Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips.
• Current floating: +142 pips.
• Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR).
• If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains.
This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion.
If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
USOIL: Heavy trading plan is comingOPEC's production cut plan is about to be implemented, oil prices are about to rise sharply again, and geopolitical uncertainty has once again accelerated the growth of oil prices.
Technical support still exists. 72.4-72 is a reasonable trading range. As a short-term retracement point, this position has a strong support strength. The next round of USOIL is expected to exceed 73, or even reach 75.
Based on the above, the following operation suggestions are given for reference:
USOIL:
BUY 72.4
BUY 72
TP 73.12
TP 73.68
TP 74.48
SL 71.7
USOIL is changing as I analyzedThrough the previous accurate analysis, USOIL is rising as I analyzed, and many traders have also reaped considerable profits.
The current price of USOIL is US$72.3, and downward pressure still exists. Market expectations for Russia-Ukraine negotiations are heating up. If Russian oil sanctions are lifted, increased supply will put pressure on oil prices. Bank of America analyzed that the underlying price of Brent crude oil may fall by 5-10 US dollars per barrel.
sell:72.4
Tp:71
Tp:70
Sl:73.6
TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
USOIL is about to fall sharply, prepare to shortFrom a technical perspective, usoil currently has a large short-selling opportunity.
The overall price of usoil has successfully stabilized at the 70 mark, and on this basis, it has ushered in a correction market with a volatile rebound. In the afternoon European session, oil prices rose slightly, pierced the 71.2 mark, and then closed in a volatile state. From the daily K-line pattern analysis, it finally closed with a volatile rebound cross K-line.
Although the short-term price stabilized and rebounded after gaining support at the 70 mark, from a comprehensive consideration at the daily level, usoil is still in a weak volatile pattern, limited by the 10-day moving average and below the 5-day moving average. For the short-term trend, the 73 mark is the key dividing line for short weakness. At the daily level, as long as usoil fails to effectively break through and stabilize the 73 mark, any pullback can be regarded as an excellent short-selling opportunity.
usoil short-selling trading plan:
Sell: 71.55, take profit 70.5; stop loss 72.3
TVC:UKOIL TVC:USOIL
USOIL, oil trend analysis (hot news)USOIL: Due to a drone attack on a Russian oil pipeline pumping station, the oil flow from Kazakhstan has decreased. David believes that the price will rebound to the upper side soon
BUY:71.2
TP:71.6
TP:72
SL:71.00
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention. I will share my views for free later - (David)
If you don't know when to trade and want to avoid risks, you can continue to pay attention. TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
USOIL: Continue to buy USOIL. Wait for a surge.Yesterday, after my precise analysis and the announcement of the trading plan, the oil price successfully achieved the target of 71.5 after the passage of time. The increase was more than 15p. This profit is very optimistic. Many traders also witnessed this moment.
London market oil prices hit a higher position again, and strengthened again after stepping back to the position of 71.5. The New York market has not yet opened, and it is expected that there will be another upward impact. Therefore, the oil price will most likely continue to create a new high in the next few hours. Preliminary estimate 72.8-73.3
The current price is at a relatively low position. Therefore, it is reasonable to buy USOIL to go long on oil prices.
BUY: Buy near the current price of 71.8
tp72.8
sl71
Set stop profit and stop loss while trading to control risks to the minimum. Only in this way can you obtain better profits in the financial market in the long run and make your account go further.
USOIL:Go long on oil prices, or hold a buy orderusoil:
Technically, there is no demand for a rebound. The ultra-short-term technical pattern shows a triangular consolidation range. At the same time, reducing the oil price in some areas will also increase the demand for oil to a certain extent. At the same time, the factor of geopolitical war will cause oil as an energy reserve to bottom out again. Overall, the profit of short-term long oil prices is conservatively estimated to be more than 7p.
Buying target: around 71.5
Loss setting: 70.2 FX:USOIL
USOIL USOIL is showing a potential sell opportunity following a breakout of the upward trend on the 30-minute timeframe. This signals a possible shift in momentum toward the downside.
Trade Setup:
🔻 Sell Entry Zone: 73.000 – 73.300
🔻 Resistance Level: 73.700 (Key level to watch for invalidation)
Target Levels:
✅ Target 1: 72.300
✅ Target 2: 71.670
✅ Target 3: 70.780
If price respects the resistance zone and fails to break above 73.700, we could see a continuation to the downside toward the listed targets. Confirmation from price action will strengthen the setup before executing trades.
USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session
USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 4-Hour
- Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection.
2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal.
3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs.
CPI Session Volatility Warning:
- With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment.
- If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short.
- Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks.
- Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows.
Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀
Crude oil is approaching highs and continues to shortReal-time analysis of crude oil market: Crude oil did not fall below the 70 mark for four consecutive trading days last week. This week, the price of crude oil will be determined by the integer mark of 70. Last week, we repeatedly suggested that we should buy at 70.5 and 70 in batches. Now it has reached the 71.5 line, which can only be regarded as the first stop of the decline. The short-term pressure range is in the 71.7-72.1 area. It is expected that there will be no big ups and downs at the beginning of the week. With 71.5 as the radius, 15 points of space will be reserved above and below as the shock range at the beginning of the week.
Today's resistance is focused on the 4-hour upper track 72.1. The upper side looks at the pressure point of 72.5 where the daily MA60 moving average and the 4-hour MA60 moving average overlap. The deviation pressure point focuses on the weekly MA10 moving average 73. For support, first look at the 1-hour middle track 71, followed by the lower track 70.6, and the deviation looks at the 70 integer mark. Overall, the 4-hour Bollinger band lower track and the daily Bollinger band lower track have turned into an upward closing state, and the probability of breaking the low again is not high. Therefore, any retracement this week is an opportunity to try a long-term bullish trend. For the European and American markets, it is recommended to mainly go long on retracements, and go short when encountering resistance at high levels.
USOIL Breaks Key Support: Targeting 70.50TVC:USOIL has broken a key support zone and retested it, confirming strong bearish momentum with clear rejection candles. The previous support has now flipped to resistance, further reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside movement.
With this rejection confirmed, I anticipate a move downward toward the 70.50 level, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. This setup suggests a high probability of bearish continuation in the near term.
If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
Potential bearish drop?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 75.01
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 76.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 72.94
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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