SHORT ON UsOilTake a short posistion on USoil as price had bounced off the 50 period moving average in a major downtrend from the higher time frames.
Here is the play I will be making:
USOIL
OT = SELL STOP (PENDING ORDER)
P = 104.20 so really 105.20
SL = 105.07 so really 106.07 = 83 pips
TP = 101.97 so really 102.97 = 297 pips
Usoilshort
USOIl - 4h - Long or Short - Ready to engage Short scenario
General
Currently we are below the Weekly open which is in confluence with the HTF range 50% (untested though). The orange level is a weekly s/r level. If price manages to break under the green s/r level (level 1). I expect a move down to the 50% fib level of the recent range. Maybe lower. But given the current situation and that we are generally in an uptrend its better to be careful with shorts.
Fundamentals
-
Plan (Blue arrow)
Target
50% Fib level of the current range
Requirements
- Break under the green s/r level (level 1)
- No break followed by a retake of level 1
- Break of level 2 (blue line)
Invalidation / SL
- Price moves back above level 1 after breaking
- SL slightly above level 1
Time duration
Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Long scenario
General
If prices should manage to get above the weekly open i am looking for longs.
Fundamentals
-
Plan (Orange arrow)
Target
HTF s/r level
Requirements
- Prices moves above weekly open
- Price move above recent deviation (green circle)
Invalidation / SL
- Weekly open fails to support price after a retake
- SL slightly under the orange s/r level
Time duration
Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Additional
I linked to another USOil Idea with a different time frame. They dont exclude / invalidate each other. if they occur / develop.
Good luck
USOIL LONGS ACTIVE 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on USOIL as we are in a bullish market strucutre on a D1/H4 market strucutre premise, price filled a bullish imbalance on h4 and rejected a bullish orderblock that should act as a valuable area of ,,support, if you will. We have strong bullish momentum, and i hope for a strong bullish closure on H4 that could sign a potential reversal.
What do you think ? Comment below..
USOIL LONGS ACTIVE 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on USOIL as we are in a bullish market strucutre from a H4/D1 perspective, price is rejecting right now a bullish orderblock area on H4 this area could act as a valuable area of support if you will. Another reason why i think we go higher from there is because price has a lot of bearish imbalances near 120$ area that are still opened price could be magnetize there to fill the price inefficiency.
What do you think ? Where we go next ?
USOIL LONGS INTO 124 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on USOIL, as price is still bullish on H4/D1 TIMEFRAME, today price made a retracement back into bullish orderblock on h4 108 price area. Next week's target is around 124 where usoil should fill all the bearish imbalances.
What do you think about this chart? Do you agree ?
Shark Complete In Nice PRZ 🦈USOIL - Still bullish (Weekly, Daily, 4H,1H) Shark has completed, very nice rejection from the demand zone (Completed Schematic on LTF, broke LTF Structure and retested) Took a buy earlier with that confirmation taking 200 points, theres still an order block in the demand zone refined on the LTF that's yet to be mitigated so price could wick into that before continuing upwards, as long as the demand zone holds i'll be looking for buys on OIL.
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
💡USOIL 109.50 -2.79 % LONG IDEA * CONT. PTTNS & PRICE ACTIONHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
LOOKING AT THE USOIL
* The ENERGY is currently trading in an uptrend , just consolidated, broke out and retested the structure .
- Short term the ENERGY is currently at the supply zone could go lower but looking for possible continuation with the bulls.
- Looking for LONG entries on the THE CRUDE this week should all the rules of the formation be met.
******* CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES TOMMOROW, there is a decrease in the oil is actually less than expected @ 4.345 M which implies HIGHER demand and the energy could react BULLISH .
SHOULD WE BREAK BELOW HERE'S A POSSIBLE SCENARIO SCALLED DOWN TO AN HOURLY TF
So lets see how it goes
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - SWING TRADE
USOIL - OUTLOOK 12USOIL - OUTLOOK 12
Hello traders and happy Sunday, let's no waste time and jump straight into it.
From the last outlook USOIL declined as we expected it to, we caught two nice trades but GBPJPY and NASDAQ came back to bite us and but us straight to bed. USOIL is now stuck $99.73 and $106.41, we must break from here to get a directional bias. We are still very bullish and have broken a descending wedge but it's critical we come back above $106.41 to move higher. Above this region and $114 and recent highs will be the target. Any new tensions or negative news for the war will only drive price up again and once ATH breaks it will be a clear run to $185 which is my cycle target.
If USOIL doesn't break 106.41 but instead falls below $99.73 we will see a quick sell off to $91.27 and even $88. It's all to play for in USOIL and right now I am neutral until either zone breaks with confirmation. It is best to stick to the 4hr timeframe for further and greater confirmation on USOIL to avoid fake outs. The candle closures will play the most important role.
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Inside Bar Candlestick Pattern📉📉📉We will cover the following today:
Inside Bar (Inside Day)
Inside Days
✅ Inside Days are a daily pattern involving two daily candles, we have a day of trade, also known as the ‘mother candle’ and then the following day trades the whole day within the range of the previous day. This is a two-day bias suggesting a potential reversal. A great way to play these sorts of biases is to pre-empt the failure of this reversal, as well as playing the success of the inside day, so what does this look like? Let’s take a look at an example below.
✅ What is an inside bar?
The inside bar is a popular reversal/continuation candle formation that only requires two candles to present itself. This pattern is a direct play on short-term market sentiment looking to enter before the 'big moves' that may take place in the market.
✅ Is an inside bar bullish?
First, unlike other candlestick patterns, inside bars are usually not distinguished as bullish and bearish by their look or color of the body itself, but rather by the location they are at and other peripheral developments
✅ An “inside bar” pattern is a two-bar price action trading strategy in which the inside bar is smaller and within the high to low range of the prior bar, i.e. the high is lower than the previous bar's high, and the low is higher than the previous bar's low.
📈 HOW TO IDENTIFY AN INSIDE BAR ON FOREX CHARTS
The following steps are used when identifying the inside bar pattern on forex charts:
Identify a preceding trend using price action/technical indicators
Locate inside bar pattern whereby the inside bar is engulfed fully by the preceding candle high and low
USOIL LONGS ACTIVE 📉📉📉📈 Expecting bullish price action on USOIL, as we are in a HTF bullish market strucutre, price fills all the bullish imbalances on D1 and H4, we have a h4/d1 bullish orderblock rejection + institutional figure 100$ for USOIL which is very important, we have also a lot of bearish imbalances that should be filled somewhere around 120 as price was very inefficent in that area, that area works as a magnet for the price. Fundamental Context on this asset is likely bullish, i will also attach market seasonality chart so you will understand that we are in a bullish cycle.
What do you think ? Comment below..
USOIL LONGS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on USOIL as price takes out weekly low liquidity, a lot of bearish imbalances are left somewhere around 120-115 price area price should rise to fill them ASAP. As market is imbalanced
USOIL is in a huge bullish market strucutre area on a HTF.
What do you think ? Comment below..
USOIL - OUTLOOK 11USOIL - OUTLOOK 11
It has been a very very slow week for us, only 138 pips profit booked and a 50% accuracy for our trades (4 taken in total). If you are struggling to trade these conditions it is through no fault of your own. Due to the impulsive moves the charts have no structure and we are fundamental led. No matter what analysis you apply it can be undone in seconds with one statement from Putin etc!
WTI closed bearish as expected and we should see further downside from here unless fundamentals drive it up during the weekend. WTI will be looking for it's next lower high which I think will be confirmed around 94.50. I expect further dips lower to fill the gap and these would be prime buy opportunities.
The current economic climate is just the beginning and I still have $185 a barrel clear in my sights.
There is not much more to comment as price from here becomes very choppy.
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