Crude oil continues to fall, the short-term outlook is 70~70.5Selling near 71.6 in the morning has already made a profit of 60pips.
In terms of crude oil, we will pay attention to the resistance of 72.20-72.30 during the day. The support below needs to be towards 70.90. If it falls below, it will continue to fall by 70~70.5. Original post: The current trend is dominated by bears.
Usoilshort
US CRUDE OIL 4H : Under 70.82 will drop moreUS Crude Oil
New forecast
Oil price trading stabilizes below the broken support at the level of 72.90, so that the bearish trend scenario remains valid and effective for today, which targets levels of 70.18 and then 69.15 as the next main stations. and to confirm the bearish trend it should stable under 70.82 level and then our targets will be activate .
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid and effective during coming period supported by moving average 50 , we remind you of the importance of stability below 72.90 as a first condition for a continuation of the decline, as breaching it may encourage the price to achieve a temporary rise before returning to the decline again.
The expected trading range for today is between support 69.15 and resistance 72.90 until stabilized .
support line : 70.18 , 69.15
resistance line : 72.19 , 72.90
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US CRUDE OIL 4H : Under sell pressure US CRUDE OIL
New forecast
The price of oil ended last Friday's trading with strong negativity to settle below the 72.90 level, which places the price under the expected negative pressure in the immediate term, pushing the price to achieve negative targets starting at 71.00, and by breaking it, it will extend far to the 69.15 areas.
Therefore, a bearish bias will be likely during the coming sessions, keeping in mind that breaching 72.90 will stop the current negative pressure and push the price to recover again.
The expected trading range for today is between support 69.15 and resistance 72.90 until stabilized .
support line : 71.00 , 69.15
resistance line : 72.19 , 72.90
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🛢️📉 USOIL Hits Resistance: Sell with $67 Target in Sight 🎯🔴We have noticed that crude oil has been unable to break through the resistance level on the 1-hour chart and has now entered a selling zone. This may lead to a decline in prices to $67. It's important to keep in mind that when the crude oil market is bearish, it often sets a bearish trend for the overall market.
Tuesday: Crude oil market analysisWTI crude oil prices may be reversing from the decline as the commodity price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on the hourly time frame. Prices have yet to break above the neckline around $74 a barrel to confirm the uptrend, and may be followed by a rebound of the same height as this pattern. However, technical indicators suggest that this decline will continue. The 100 SMA is below the 200 SMA, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the downside or that a sell-off is more likely to gain traction rather than reverse. The stochastics are also pointing downwards, indicating that selling pressure is building while buyers take a break.
Similarly, the RSI is moving downwards, indicating bearish momentum is building, and the oscillator has plenty of room to move lower before indicating oversold. In this case, crude oil is likely to continue to follow the trend with sellers in control and may test lows of $70 per barrel. Personal suggestion: go short on the rebound
Monday: Crude oil focuses on the 71/72/74/75 areaOn Monday (January 8), international U.S. crude oil prices traded around $72.85 per barrel. U.S. non-farm employment growth in December exceeded expectations, prompting financial markets to lower expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March. The risk posed by tensions in the Middle East is an important factor in the price rebound. Geopolitical tensions have pushed up trading premiums, and strong jobs data also pointed to strong fuel demand.
In the 4-hour chart, a wave of decline gave up nearly half of the previous gains. It is currently in the process of confirming the retracement. Bollinger Bands closed, the short-term entered a contraction and shock, and the long-short tug-of-war switched. It is not a strong unilateral market. After the second retracement, pay attention to whether it can start a stable recovery above the low point. If it starts to stabilize, continue to watch the rebound.
On the whole, it is suggested that the day-to-day operation of crude oil should focus on the first-line resistance of 74.0-75.0 at the top and the first-line support at 72.0-71.0 at the bottom.
USOIL: Key position 73-73.4
USOIL is currently near the key resistance level. If it can break through here, it will have the opportunity to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern, and then there is a high probability of reaching around 76.
But if there is no strong breakthrough here, the head and shoulders pattern will fail, and it is highly likely that the support near 72 will be backtested.
Therefore, in the trading starting tomorrow, you can focus on the resistance near 73-73.4 and decide the trading direction based on the breakthrough.
On the 45m chart, the pattern is slightly in favor of the bears, looking ahead to Monday’s market options.
If you encounter problems during transactions, you can leave me a message!
Good luck, everyone!
$USO looks like a great shortJust like everyone think GOLD is going higher, people are overly bullish oil because of the war, blah blah, *insert your fundamental bias here.*
The reality is, the chart looks like shit. Price just rallied directly into resistance and has now formed a lower high confirming resistance at $79.
The price of oil is going much lower from here.
I wouldn't touch this from the long side until we get into the green support levels.
Good luck to all of the people bullish oil here because it won't turn out well for you.
Wednesday: Crude oil focuses on 71.2/72.5 pressureOn Wednesday (January 3), crude oil prices were trading around $70.37 per barrel. As investors lowered their expectations for interest rate cuts, the dollar strengthened, putting oil under pressure. Oil prices fell on the first trading day of 2024, with international crude oil futures settlement prices falling by more than 1% as concerns that tensions in the Red Sea could disrupt supply eased. OPEC+ will hold an online meeting early next month to resume routine oil market monitoring. A person familiar with the matter said the meeting is planned for February 1. The trend of U.S. oil this week needs to be repaired and digested. The market needs to confirm the validity of last week's decline. It needs to confirm whether the 73 line can still stand firm. If it can stand firm, U.S. oil will still have expectations for a rebound in the future. If 73 cannot be recovered, then The short-term market may have variable risks. Even if it does not fall in the short-term, it will have a great impact on later emotions. Crude oil's daily closing line has a small negative line with a long upper shadow, which has fallen below important support. There is a high probability that the daily line will hit a new low. The 4-hour cycle is effective for testing the upper pressure area, and if it falls below the long-term moving average support, there is a high probability that it will continue to decline. It is recommended to pay attention to the pressure on the upper line of $71.20.
Strategy reference: now 69.9, it is recommended to sell at 71.5-71.2
Planning ahead does not represent a real signal, see more signals👇
Monday. Crude oil falls under pressureCrude oil prices remained weak in Asian trading on Tuesday and are currently trading around 72.6. During the day, we will pay close attention to the US PMI to be released later on Tuesday. Later this week, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes will be closely watched ahead of Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) report.
The crude oil market was at 73.67 at the beginning of last week. Afterwards, the market initially rose, reaching a weekly high of 76. Then the market fell back strongly, with a weekly low of 71.05. Afterwards, the market consolidated and finally closed at the end of the week. The line was at 71.12, and then the market closed with a big negative line with a long upper shadow line. After this form ended, crude oil continued to be under pressure. In the 4-hour chart, the pressure on the 76.30 line changed and fell, and the structure fell in a wave. It is still in the rebound trend. The Bollinger Bands are running below the middle track, and the middle track 73.5 is an important resistance point.
Personal suggestion: short on rebound; WTI dividing line: 73.5
USOIL Sell signal Hello traders, over the last few months, Usoil has seen a bearish trend. I anticipate this selling momentum to continue until we reach 67.68 and we could go lower. In the past days, we've established the buy side of the curve and formed a market maker sell model.. I'm interested in engaging in a sell position once the daily FVG is reached, of course after a shift in momentum.
28 Crude oil follows 74.4/72.5, see my analysisMarket participants will be watching developments in the Red Sea closely as a drone attack on an oil tanker raises concerns about shipping disruptions. Additionally, ongoing Israeli military strikes in Gaza remain a major driver of sentiment.
On the 1H chart, OIL is in a blocked upward trend. The upper pressure is 74.4. If it stands firm, it will return to the trend. If it falls below the 72.4 support below, it means the end of this round of rising prices.
Focus on these two locations today
27 crude oil market analysis, rise or fall today?The crude oil market is currently at a crossroads, balancing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East with economic factors and policy speculation.
Although oil prices fell in early Asian trading on Wednesday, they surged more than 2% earlier this week to reach their highest level this month. Inventory reports further affected the market outlook. Forecasts show U.S. crude inventories will fall by 2.6 million barrels, while distillate and gasoline inventories are expected to rise. These insights provided by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) are critical for traders to gauge supply levels. Yesterday (December 26) crude oil closed up. Last week, the weekly closed positive for the second week and rebounded. But whether it can continue is a question. Whether it continues to close positive this week or turns negative and falls back will determine the direction of the market outlook.
The 1-hour chart tested twice near 76 and was suppressed. Today we still need to pay attention to the pressure break at the high point. It is currently rebounding, but whether it can continue further requires breaking through the resistance of 76 to open up space. Below, focus on the two previous lows of 73.2 and 72.5. If they fall below, it means the end of this stage of the rise.
If you currently hold orders, you can send them to me and I will give reasonable suggestions based on the market conditions!
Things to note when trading crude oil this week! Day analysiTraders this week must contend with both declining liquidity and potential tensions caused by Yemen's Houthi rebels. If the shipping crisis in the Red Sea region persists, it will not only provide some support for WTI crude oil prices this week, but also create opportunities for speculative buying.
Traders will need to be cautious about risk management this week due to the Christmas holiday. WTI crude oil bears may believe that there will be a high technical reversal, and they will also pay attention to Middle East shipping news.
Last week, the market fluctuated upward, and closed the positive line with a long upper and lower shadow line, indicating that the market was more volatile. However, the market is still running below the 20-day moving average, and the overall trend is still bearish. During the day, focus on the first-line pressure of $74 at the top and the first-line support of $72.0 at the bottom. At present, the technical indicators have completely turned bearish, and it is recommended to mainly go short on the rebound!
Oil operation suggestions for next weekAngola may increase oil production after it withdraws from OPEC. However, good news about the U.S. economy and attacks on ships in the Red Sea caused hundreds of ships to change routes and increase delivery costs, causing oil prices to fall before the Christmas holiday weekend. Although oil prices rose about 3% this week, crude oil prices still posted their largest weekly gain in two months.
Technically we see crude oil futures support at 72.5 and resistance at 75.3. This week, the 30-minute long and short trend has repeatedly appeared. Crude oil continued to fall before the close on Friday, and the short energy distribution continued to build up at $74 to suppress the market.
From a daily perspective, crude oil fell in late trading on Friday, and profit-taking before holidays is a very normal operation. Judging from the current technical indicators, it has completely turned short. It is recommended to focus on rebounding and shorting!
The specific direction will be decided after the market opens on Tuesday.
USOIL: The rise is blocked and will fall in the short termInternational oil prices rose. Originally affected by the increase in U.S. crude oil inventories, oil prices first rose and then fell. However, the risk of interruption of the Red Sea transportation channel still provided support for oil prices, helping to keep oil prices above the 21-day moving average.
Yesterday, the market rose first and then fell as expected, reaching the upper line of 75.40 and falling back. Despite this, oil prices finally closed higher. Government data showed that U.S. inventories increased significantly and production reached record levels, exacerbating continued concerns about oversupply. The U.S. market yesterday evening The second upward attack pierced 75.3, and then it fell back and fluctuated downward to break the bottom and close. The daily line closed higher and fell back. The overall price showed a stagflation pattern above the 75 mark. Today, we can go short first and then look at the shock and fall.
Bear Market
The free signal given to you today is the USOIL trading strategy, because there is EIA data today, and the data is as expected, which is favorable to the bears.
Because there has been no significant decline so far, we have only closed some orders, and there are still some holdings waiting for the market to go lower further to expand profits.
The 3h chart of gold is favorable for shorts, and 30m is testing the resistance level. I focus on shorting, with the purpose of trading the large-level trend. (Resistance 2038-2043, support 2029-2026)
USOIL: Bulls are about to start
With the EIA data today, the market is bound to experience significant fluctuations. From the current point of view, I think the probability of an upward trend is relatively high, so my trading strategy is to go long.
During this process, since the fluctuations will be very large, you must do a good job in risk management and never let your transactions bear too much risk.
Each of our transactions should involve small risks and large gains. Only such transactions will be long-lasting.
Analyzing the market is a complicated matter, but if you can master a method proficiently and get it verified, your trading will become simple.
I hope all my friends can profit from the market! good luck!
USOIL: 14/12 market analysis, plans to sellCrude oil (USOIL): Yesterday, crude oil broke through the 68 area, reaching the lowest position of 67.7. Today opened at 69.8, and the amplitude of five or six dollars in the morning was not too big. It broke below yesterday, but it did not stay too much. In the evening, the decline was gradually recovered, and the daily K closed a green line. There was only one explanation given, short correction, just like the previous two days. Only after correction can the short acceleration be ushered in more smoothly! Crude oil trading signal sent later
USOIL: Crude oil continues to sell at high prices on 11/12Crude oil (USOIL): Today opened at 71.1, the Asian market rose by 6 US dollars, the daily chart continued to rise, the upper pressure is in the area of 72.2-72.3, today we will first see whether the upper resistance is effective.
I will update the crude oil signal later
USOIL: 8/12 crude oil market analysisCrude oil (USOIL): Crude oil opened at 69.7 today and rose by 7 US dollars in the morning. Yesterday, we planned to go short near the daily pressure of 70. In the afternoon, it broke through the 70.4 line and stopped falling at the 68.8 line in the evening. We successfully made a profit, but It did not fall to my ideal point of 68, but has since rebounded and returned to the 70.4 line. At the end of today's weekly line, the market has been volatile, so we have to be on guard and be more prudent in our layout. The top focus will be on the 71.2 area. After the bullish sentiment in crude oil is released, it is time for us to take action! !