USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Usoilsignal
HTF intention with LTF execution 📉📉📉🎯 I will try to explain how do i use HTF in order with LTF.
✅ HTF - higher time frame usually those are timeframes that are higher then H4 like D1,MN1.
✅ LTF - lower time frame usually those are timeframes that are lower then H1 like M30,MAT,M5
When i take trades i wait for price to approach a HTF POI and then zoom out on LTF to find a better risk-reward entry like the photo says HTF intent LTF execution helps you to get a better risk-reward ratio and a higher probability trade, this is working on every financial asset from crypto to forex to commodities and stock market
✅ POI - POINT OF INTERES an area in the market where price have a higher probability to go bullish then bearish lets say 70/30 % probability.
Example price come into a ,,support,, area this means we have a BULLISH POI we have a better probability to go higher then lowe
USOIL top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
US OIL MARKET BREAKDOWN USOIL MARKET BREAKDOWN:
We have stayed silent on oil this week and let it run it's course. Unfortunately oil is at a region where it's extremely choppy at all levels which makes trading and analysing that little bit harder.
Oil broke the bearish channel with an extreme impulse showing bulls back in control of the smaller trend. I was surprised that we didn't see larger dips or even a retest of the bullish trend but again it makes the uptrend vulnerable to a large dip. Charts should have an equilibrium about them making for organic structure which is usually what we see in oil but right now we are not. Oil is at a region now where it will push to $93 without a pullback or it will pull back first. I warned members of an inverse head and shoulders which ended up coming through.
Should OIL push to $93 without a pullback in the first instance then the drop will be large and volatile once resistance is met in this area. I am only interested in shorting from $93 region. My eyes are set on buys and these have been marked by the blue arrows.
The dashed blue lines show oil taking a dip towards a major support zone which also lines up with a hidden trendline...Should oil find support here then I will look to long.
The solid blue lines show oil taking a dip towards the last line of defence for oils bullish move to stay valid which also lines up with the clear trend...Should oil find support here then I will look to long.
Regardless oil is bullish and pullbacks are due I warned of quick movements to the upside given the bullish pressure we have seen. We took three trades on oil this week leaving us around 180-190 pips in profit.
OIL is currently in an area where I see no trade but once is meets one of my three aspects mentioned above then I will look to execute a trade. Regardless on my thoughts on pullbacks I will not be looking to short any short-mid term bearish movements.
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CrudeOil, let's set the Stop ProfitI have to say that MCS did an amazing job this time too .
Since we entered there has only been a small drawdown on January 20th, and then it decided to reverse the trend, or at least make a nice pullback, and we are sellers on the highs!
Now we have to do something that for many will be incomprehensible, others will certainly not, and finally the last will accept it because they know how certain portfolio management works.
We need to set the Stop Profit just below our Entry Point.
We need to secure this trade, and assume that I am the first to want to see a profit go to target, but we need to save our buttocks from a hypothetical reversal of the reversal and a resumption of the primary trend.
You have to think: If I go to Stop Profit I have not lost anything. This is the winning mentality, I push when there is a need to push towards the target and I also accept the cancellation of my analysis without losing anything, indeed earning a few pips.
I close the parenthesis on the mindset and insert the Stop Profit at 85.50
USOIL INTRA-DAY SHORTS 📉📉📉Expecting bearish price action on this pair as price takes out PDH ( previous daily high) where a lot of liquidity is located from yesterday trading day, if price rejects with a M30 bearish closure then we go lower.
Perfect targest into PDL
What do you think ? Comment below..
USOIL Potential Head and Shoulders FormationUSOIL made a massive move after the pandemic and it's now moving in a range. It's currently trading in the resistance zone. Based on previous price action, it seems like it will complete this Head and Shoulders pattern over the next few weeks.
But it's quite possible that it will continue its move upward after completing this pattern because there are fewer chances of a breakdown. This analysis will be considered wrong if it touched 78.30 level before completing the pattern.
Thanks!
Best Regards,
Trade Like Pros.
USOIL SHORTS 📉📉📉Price is rejecting in this moment an important area of ,, resistance ,, a bearish orderblock on h4 filling in the same area the bearish imbalance that means the price is repriced at this level. We also took out some buy stops above old highs and right now we should go lower after h4 candlestick bearish will be CLOSED. I target bullish imbalances.
What do you think ? Comment below..