USOIL | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKThe USOIL is one commodity that attracted my interest in the last couple of months as I have executed some profitable positions within this period of time hence decided to do a publication after noticing that the commodity remains on track to close the second straight week in positive figures as the price keeps bouncing off my Demand zone.
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. The line drawn under pivot lows (beginning of the month - August 2020) emphasizes the prevailing direction of price.
ii. Buying pressure appears to be building on momentum since price broke out of Key level at the beginning of the moth to make 50.0% retracement into zone with a positive signal of a possible rally written everywhere!
iii. The spring of a Bullish engulfing candle from Demand zone on Friday teases me to look out for a sensitive Support level to hop in the rally in the coming week as I eye 127.2 for my target @ $45.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and NFTI takes no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
NFT&I does not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Usoilsignals
USOIL Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up.
Signal: Buy when the price completes the roughly -8.00% decline from the recent top. There is an obvious declining pattern on the pull-backs within the Channel Up.
Target: 44.50 (+2.20% from the most recent High, in accordance to all previous Higher Highs made).
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OIL Sell SignalPattern: Channel Up.
Signal: Bearish as the price failed to break the Resistance and th 4H RSI is at the top of its Channel and a similar bearish formation has been seen 4 times previously.
Target: 37.50 (just above the Support Zone).
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WTI OIL Trading planPattern: Triangle on 4H.
Signal: (A) Bullish if the Lower Highs trend-line breaks, (B) Bearish if it gets rejected.
Target: (A) 40.00 (just below the Resistance), (B) 36.00 (the first inner Higher Lows trend-line).
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Most recent Oil signal:
OIL Trading PlanPattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: (A) Bullish as long as the (red) Inner Higher Low trend-line holds. (B) Bearish if th Channel Down breaks downwards.
Target: (A) 35.00 and 37.00 respectively (near the two Resistance levels). (B) 26.00 (just above the Symmetrical Support).
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Recent Oil trade:
USOIL Trading PlanPattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: Bullish as long as the (dashed) Channel Up holds. If not the next buy candidate is the Symmetrical Support.
Target: 29.20 (Resistance). If broken then 35.00 (Higher High of the Channel Up). If the Symmetrical Support breaks then 10.20 (Hard Support).
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WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: 1D Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as group of parameters is fulfilled: 1. Reached the Higher Low of the pattern, 2. Made contact with the 1D MA50, 3. Hit the 1.3 Fibonacci retracement level after the Iran attacks, 4. The RSI is on a 3 month support level.
Target: 64.00 (Higher High trend line of the pattern) and in extension (depending on the geopolitics at the time) 66.00 (just below the 1W Resistance).
See how accurate this pattern with Supports and symmetrical Resistance levels has been in the past:
WTI OIL Bullish Trading planPattern: 1D Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as the price broke the 58.80 Symmetrical Resistance, which (excluding the Saudi attack on September 16th) has been holding since July.
Target: 61.00 (1st 1W Resistance) and if the Lower High trend line (red bold) of the Descending Triangle breaks, 63.50 (2nd 1W Resistance).
See how accurate the 1W Descending Triangle has been on my last Support Buy:
WTI OIL Neutral sentiment. Trade the break-out.Pattern: 1W Descending Triangle .
Signal: Bullish within the 1D Channel Up. Neutral outside so trade the break out: (A) Bullish above the 58.80 Symmetrical Resistance, (B) Bearish below the 54.80 1D Support.
Target: Within the 1D Channel Up it is always the 58.80 Resistance. Outside is (A) = 61.00, (B) = 51.50.
See how accurate the 1W Descending Triangle has been on my last Support Buy:
USOil / WTICrude - Buy NowYes Buy now.
USOil is in over bought situation in daily time frame.
1. Bottom bollinger band giving it a support to push up
2. Couple of time tested strong support at 51.04 price
3. 50 EMA is crossing the the middle bollinger band
4. Whenever RSI hit the 33.84 level price was retrace from that level
So we have few confirmation Buy USOil
Note: Trade at your own risk.
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