US OIL is now BearishThis has been very steadily grinding downwards and is now entering a Bearish environment again. I think this will reject off the lower trendline that it broke yesterday, it is just below this now. From here I have set 3 targets for TP that can either be held or swing traded. If this does reject the trendline mentioned the SL can be just above this. I do think this could drop even further as indicated by the Fibonacci at 0.382 ($46.19) but it is very risky to hold a short and expect it to reach there.
Usoiltrend
Trading USOIL this week - A look aheadFrom the chart we see that back in June USOIL broke out of the lower boundary on my original consolidation wedge. In mid-July it repeated and created a new bottom boundary which I marked. In early August it retested that boundary. It appears we still have further south to go to probably the mid $51 area and it will more than likely stay within the new wedge for consolidation. I see this pattern continuing into October, possibly November before we get a new directional change. Trade cautiously and always use Stop Losses. Best of luck my fellow oil traders!
USOIL I Think We're Getting Close - Time & Price AnalysisMy best guess is the green highlighted area shouldn't be viewed as a "Bounce" zone.
Instead, I think this will be the area where accumulation will take place.
It'll take a few weeks and a few failed breakouts, so don't worry about missing the bottom. You'll have a few opportunities.
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I've been working on "Time" more than "Price" for the last year. I got tired of pussy-footing around in my analysis; "It should bounce around this level, maybe it will maybe it won't."
Time is much more elusive than price, but I'll give it a go:
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Price: Between $49.00 and $46.00 a sideways to slightly lower accumulation zone will form in this range. (Typically don't like to give such a wide range ($3) but we just moved $27 in 7 weeks so giving myself some wiggle room)
Time: From today (Nov 23rd) until Dec 15th, it's likely oil will be in accumulation as it moves sideways to slightly lower. By December 13th we should see some serious signs of a reversal. The reversal should last at a minimum until Jan 11th.
Prior Oil Posts:
Crude Oil possible correction to setupMy last call on Crude smashed the target well above 1,000 pips, at the moment it is almost testing its multi months channel top, however trend still is very much strong, i am looking for a linear compression to be forming at the top of the channel. Expecting a correction there so I could look for sell setups, keep eyes on this market for a possible sell swing trade.
Happy Trading.
USOil - Watchout for the break - 200 pips+ OpportunityUSOil is currently in a consolidation zone. Keep and eye on it for when it breaks out.
I am still neutral to whether it can go up or down. However, I do know that once it breaks out it will have a big move.
Always trade after your own analysis as well as money manage properly.
Happy trading!
CL Monthly Technical Outlook - 9th July 2016From a technical perspective, the oil price has turned quite interesting since the start of a new trading month. The chart below shows the monthly rolling oil contract chart where June’s price action closed in a doji. It gains significance following three straight months of gains. The monthly Stochastics also shows the hidden bearish divergence currently playing out, as prices form a lower (June) high at $51.66 and the higher Stochastics while, the higher (May 2015) high at $62.51 and the subsequent lower high in the Stochs.
In the near term, oil prices could remain range bound within 48/49 and 44/45 levels.
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USOIL Choose short entry 54, SL -55.00 It has been quite long that we did not do any OIL trade
since the last time break out(52.5).
But on 23th Feb I found a structure that has reach pressure zone.
And we tried to sell @54.7,and closed @53.5,got 120pips profit.
54.00 is the previous support and now become resistance.
Choose short entry here, SL above 55.00
Aim 51.5 !
I hold a point:Good charts does not more words to explain! Good luck!