Oil Prices in Stagnation: A Moment to Await the ReboundSince the recent sharp decline, the movement of oil prices has been notably flat compared to gold, leaving many of us feeling quite exasperated. Is it really true that oil prices won’t rebound after such a drop? Are you, like me, growing increasingly impatient?
I believe we should exercise a bit more patience; today, oil prices should be able to rise above $72. I always remember the saying: “The longer the sideways movement, the greater the potential up or down movement.”
This means that the duration of a sideways consolidation will determine the magnitude of the subsequent rise or fall.
Let’s continue to be patient and anticipate the moment of oil price rebound.
Usoilview
W-Formation in USOIL Signals a Strong Bullish Opportunity
USOIL has formed a classic W-bottom pattern, with the only remaining resistance around the MA30. There is a high probability of a breakout, making this an ideal time to go long.
If you have been holding a long position and were concerned about it, congratulations—you're likely to see a favorable outcome soon. Moreover, if your available capital allows, this is a strong opportunity to add to your position and maximize potential gains.
8.14 Crude Oil Trend AnalysisShort at 80 points
Last week I predicted that the oil price would reach 80. As I expected, the oil price peaked at 80.58 and then fell back to around 78.4.
The panic in the stock market last week led to a large sell-off of crude oil, which also gave us a good opportunity to enter the market. The oil market ignored the tension in the Middle East. Now the situation in the Middle East has been repositioned and the oil price has returned to 80. This prediction went very smoothly.
My personal suggestion is "Profit-taking Exit"
Although the situation in the Middle East is not very clear, it has not yet reached an uncontrollable situation. Now is a good time to exit.
When the market is in panic, it also brings opportunities for traders to enter the market. I wonder if you have seized this opportunity.
Crude oil market analysisMarket performance
Freight rates rose in March and calmed down in May. In June, freight rates from the Middle East to China fell by 0.5 yuan month-on-month. July was also sluggish. At the same time, the gross profit margin of refining fell by 10-30% year-on-year, affecting the enthusiasm of refineries to purchase crude oil.
Market risk analysis
The US election may affect energy policy. The Democratic and Republican parties have different energy policies. In addition, the US Meteorological Corporation predicts that there will be 25 storms in the Atlantic this year, which may affect oil production and transportation
To sum up, my personal analysis shows that the crude oil market will remain low in the second half of the year.
27/3.USOIL first support observation 79
Looking back at yesterday's trend, the USOIL market remained in the range of 81.7-82.4 throughout the day. This is a narrow range for oil prices. The competition between the long and short parties in the market is fierce. until closing. The bears broke the deadlock.
News side:
The API announced a significant increase last night, with U.S. API crude oil inventories reaching a high of 9.337 million barrels in the week to March 22. This news may seem insensitive when viewed alone, but combined with OPEC+’s statement that it will not fulfill the production reduction agreement. What do these two news indicate? If the market supply exceeds demand, oil prices will naturally fall.
Technical aspect: The price around 82 is still relatively high, and at the same time it is in a strong pressure position from above. The next small intraday support is at 79.4-79. Combined with Pitchfork, oil currently faces a short-term situation that continues to decline. Based on the news released, the market is about to experience a sharp decline on 27/3.
Today’s personal operations are mainly selling:
USOIL: 81.4-81.7 sell
Tp:80-79.6
Sl:82.6
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Don't sell oil easily. Very risky
The trading opportunities for oil are not very big at present, but mainly fluctuate within a narrow range. After the news boosted strength. The price is still fluctuating around 81. I made a profit by buying oil prices around 80.7 in the morning, and the U.S. market is about to begin, judging from the 1-hour trend chart. The trend is still mainly bullish. MA is also supported.
If the U.S. market falls back around 80.7, I think there is still a chance to buy, and we will trade based on the timing and conditions.
USOIL: Summary of the week
The original income this week was more than 10k, after experiencing CPI data, crude oil fell sharply to 72.2, down nearly 500 points, and rose all the way to near 76 on Friday, basically recovering the decline, next week focus on the break near 76!
Currently there are orders do not know how to operate friends, you can pay attention to me, I will answer for you!
USOIL: Trend analysis and operation strategy
EIA released nearly two weeks of inventory data, a cumulative increase of 17.5 million barrels, more than expected accumulation led to a rapid decline in the disk, of which crude oil inventories reached 439 million barrels in the week of November 3, a higher since August. In addition, the market expects Saudi Arabia to extend production cuts until January next year. At present, the accumulation of expectations is deepening, and the upward movement of crude oil prices is blocked. Yesterday, oil prices on the technical side of the weak unilateral downward trend, ASEM slightly back pressure 76.6 line down to break the bottom, the evening accelerated down to 75 and 74 two integer marks, and continued to close weak near the 72 mark, the Japanese line Baoshu pressure down to break the bottom bardo, closed at a low level for three consecutive days. Oil prices fell 4.81% yesterday, closing large negative line, the decline has accelerated signs. From the perspective of technical indicators, the moving average system helped the downward form to be complete, and the superimposed MACD was located below the zero axis for a long time, and the overall form had obvious short advantages. On the operation, it is recommended to consider the rebound and short, low and many are auxiliary.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound near 74.5-75.2 short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, target 72.6-72.2 line;
Strategy two: Callback 72.2-72.5 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 74.0-75.0 line.
Currently there are orders do not know how to operate friends, you can pay attention to me, I will answer for you!
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and operation
Oil prices rose and fell, and the U.S. CPI data released in the evening showed that the annual rate of CPI reached 3.2%, the lowest since July this year, boosting market risk appetite. After the data was released, the dollar fell sharply, risk assets rebounded, and oil prices quickly pulled up from the intra-day low, but the final oil price did not hold the intra-day rise, and the intra-day rise was completely reversed after midnight from the high level! Yesterday reached the upper 79.70 line high fall, the daily line includes a small Yin line entity, after the oil price even three Yang is Yin, further indicating that the rise has come to an end, the market has entered a new trend. The pullback in oil prices late yesterday changed the previous bullish pattern, so today's trend may be volatile or down, and the probability of continuing to break is low, of course, focusing on EIA data guidance.
WTI Crude Oil Handling Recommendations:
Strategy 1: Rebound 79.5-79.2 near the short entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 77.6-77.8 line;
Strategy two: Callback 77.6-77.8 near multiple single entry, stop loss 0.6 points, the target 79.0-79.5 line.
Good trading opportunities within the day Additional tips!
USOIL: Watch next week to break out of the big range?
This week, crude oil has been running between 80 and 83.2, which is in line with my previous forecast, and I have made very good profits in this range by going short on highs and long on lows. Follow-up focus on whether the yuan oil breaks through the sub-range!
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
USOIL: Oscillating operation
Today, crude oil is still oscillating between 80 and 83, and continue to pay attention to whether it breaks through this range!
Today, we are once again in the range of high short, low and long, harvested a good profit!
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
USOIL: End short orders and look for support to go long
Crude oil 85.5 support line to earn the pressure line, we rely on this pressure level to continuously short the harvest of nearly 20 points of profit, the subsequent recommendation to end the short order, withdraw to 82.5-83 to convert long!
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
USOIL: All day short - term trading
Crude oil fluctuated little throughout the day, with the main volatility range between 86.3 and 87.2, and we seized the opportunity to go short on highs and long on lows in this range.
Today's trading is mainly short-term trading, the effect is relatively good, the harvest of nearly 13 points of profit, to achieve our expected effect!
If you are confused about trading, please join me, I believe you will have a great harvest!
Crude Oil: Today’s Trend Strategy
Crude oil continues to rise in the direction of the trend. Any intraday adjustment before reaching the new target of 91.50 is an opportunity to continue to be bullish in the short term. Of course, since the overall increase has been huge enough, the current space above is limited. Another one is in this round. It is the end of the rise, so it is not advisable to be overly bullish.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. Now it has been subdivided again and has entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure is 89.40~90.20, support is 88.40~87.90
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to wait for 89.10 to buy, with a target of 89.1~91.50. If it rises directly to 91.50, we will look at the pressure signals before deciding whether to buy the top.
Crude oil: exceeded my expectations and keeps rising
Crude oil bulls continue to take the initiative in the market and pulled up again yesterday. It is now close to the previous secondary high of 85.5. This is not the ultimate goal of the bulls, but the only thing that needs to be considered is that there may be an adjustment within the day and then rise. In the short term The node still looks at the previous high of 87 as the target.
According to the deduction of the wave trading system, the main reason why crude oil is expected to rise is that: the overall rising rhythm of waves 3 and 5 has gradually changed from the initial shock upward to a unilateral rise, and the performance of bulls has become more and more obvious. Crude oil pressure 85~85.3,
For crude oil operations, it is recommended to buy at 84.5, with a target of 84.0~84.50. (The point may be revised as the market changes during the day, subject to real-time strategy)
Crude oil: back above 80 again
Oil prices rebounded at the opening and remained stable. On the whole, whether it is the Fed’s interest rate hike expectations cooling, the dollar’s fall, the rise in U.S. stocks, or the possible impact of U.S. hurricanes on supply, coupled with a sharp decline in crude oil inventories and geopolitical tensions, they all tend to support oil prices. Technical The short-term bullish signal has also strengthened, and oil prices are expected to retest the resistance near the August high of 84.87.
The trend of crude oil daily chart is currently stable above the short-term moving average, and today it is stable again above the middle rail line. The market outlook will rely on the middle rail line and the short-term moving average to support the bullish rebound. Below, focus on the support around $81.00 and $81.5. In terms of operational thinking, the main focus is to go long and be bullish.
Go long near 81.20, stop loss: 80.70: target 83.00
Crude oil: There is still room for today's strategy to rise
In the U.S. market, WTI crude oil rose and closed down, once rising to $80.7/barrel, but failed to hold the $80 mark, closing down 0.03%, at $79.94/barrel, due to the threat of tropical storms in the U.S. Gulf crude oil production and news that Saudi Arabia may extend the production cut time and other benefits and rise, but the Fed's further interest rate hike worries limit oil prices,
Therefore, oil prices continued to run on the strong side at the beginning of the session. Overall, the probability of the Fed raising interest rates has risen, and increasing demand concerns have limited oil price gains. However, tropical storms in the US Gulf Coast may cause supply disruptions to bring support. Before this week's non-agricultural data, oil prices may remain volatile around US$80/barrel. In the short term, pay attention to the impact of API data and market uncertainties on oil prices.
Short near 81.60, stop loss: 82.20, target 80.60
First step back around 80.40 to go long, stop loss: 79.90, target to be determined
Crude oil: continue to maintain decline
I have encountered many investors who are still losing money and are confused. There is no fixed market, and there are no fixed investors. They need to continuously learn and adjust to integrate into the market. Years of experience in the industry and a caring guidance team will accompany you on your investment journey and provide you with solid investment ideas. The market is endless, the market is constantly evolving, and the transaction will never stop. Although we can't do everything in every wave of market, we can seize the ever-changing opportunities, treat the market with an objective and calm attitude, and analyze the market , wait for the market, and make full preparations for each transaction. If a worker wants to do a good job, he must first sharpen his weapon. It is not that trading is better than trading.
WTI crude oil October futures closed at US$78.89/barrel, falling below US$80/barrel for the first time in a week, down 0.9% on the day. The EIA report released earlier today was mixed. Crude inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels, but investors also took a bearish look at the report, which showed U.S. crude production rose to a three-year high of 12.8 million barrels per day. Also, implied gasoline demand was below 9 mb/d for the sixth of the past seven weeks, a weak sign for gasoline demand in what should be the peak summer driving season
Go short around 79.20 on the rebound, stop loss: 79.80, target at 77.00
Crude oil, today's strategy is bearish
Crude oil is now clearly in a bearish trend. The k-line starts to exert force from the upper rail, the big Yin line breaks through the middle rail, and the k-line goes all the way south to the lower rail. At present, the k-line directly dives downward, and the Bollinger Band track is also opened downward. The opening is gradually enlarged, the lower triple bottom is near 79.0, the big Yinxian will inevitably break through, empty, 79.0 air
The market continues to consolidate weakly in the bottom area, and the overall oscillation at the support level of the trend line has now converged. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that the bottom area signal has appeared yesterday, and the bottom area in the early stage is relatively stable. In terms of a wave of rebound, yesterday’s intraday reappearance is relatively a rebound. In the short term, we can focus on the pressure. Only when we recover the lost ground will we go up further. , the specific suggestions are as follows:
Operating strategy: crude oil 79.0 empty, take profit 78.5-78.0,
Crude oil 78.0 into,
Crude oil: peaking again
Crude oil should have mentioned that it will rebound, and the rebound trend is not small. It has already come out this time. From the indicators, the high point of this rebound is around 82. If the peak trend remains unchanged, this Nearby is more difficult to break.
Moreover, crude oil is negatively correlated with the U.S. dollar in a certain trend. The sharp rise of the U.S. dollar will also affect the price of crude oil. Gold is in a weak position, but crude oil is due to factors such as production cuts and expectations of interest rate hikes. The price of crude oil continues to soar, but still the same sentence, the reduction in interest rate hike expectations has been large enough. As long as there is something that is not conducive to the suspension of interest rate hikes, the interest rate hike expectations will still rise, and crude oil will be under pressure.
Strategy: 81.7 buy up 83.4 buy down
The demand for crude oil is expected to increase, but crude oil is not the same as gold after all. Crude oil has no currency attribute after all. Although it also has a hedging attribute, it is still not as strong as gold, and the aspects that can be affected are not as extensive as gold, so the demand for crude oil The expected increase in volume is also a matter of this year, but the price will not be too inclined.
Crude oil: today's trend
Crude oil once again hit a new high point, and the strength was in a mess. Even though the price fell after a surge in the U.S. session, it eventually rose again. This is why I have not been doing short orders recently. Your entry point may not be ideal, but you can still exit with a profit. Although the announced increase in crude oil inventories, the sharp reduction in refined oil inventories has helped the bulls in oil prices. At present, there is no sign of crude oil turning around, so you need to be cautious when buying short orders at the top.
Crude Oil: Trend Analysis Strategies
U.S. oil first fluctuated within a very narrow range, and U.S. oil rose again wildly during the European session, and the pressure was measured above 84. Although U.S. oil is strong again, this trend is extremely abnormal, and technically does not support this extreme upward state. Instead, we should pay attention to whether the follow-up bulls can continue to provide this extreme upward momentum.
The belt continues to open upwards, and the trend of long prices has not reversed. The decline is just a normal callback. Only when it falls can it rise higher. The small Yang line with a long lower shadow line is closed. It is expected that the lower support will be strong. Short-term prices have Possibility of going higher. 4 hours, with signs of opening, the price formed a high-level shock after recovering the lost ground. It is expected that the short-term pullback will not be very strong. The lower middle track line is supported by the 81.9-82.1 area. After the price rebounds and confirms stabilization, you can place multiple orders field.
Operation strategy: callback 84.6-area short, target 84.9-85.1
81.90 and 80.90 are long respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a stop profit of 200 points.