USOLI NEXT MOVE ounter-Analysis (Bearish Scenario Instead of Bullish)
Rejection at Resistance Instead of Breakout
The targets assume that price will move past resistance zones at $69-$71, but resistance could hold, causing a reversal.
If sellers step in near resistance, we could see another leg downward instead of a rally.
Support Failure Instead of Bounce
The chart suggests that crude oil will bounce from support (~$66.89), but if selling pressure increases, the price could break below support instead.
A break below $65.85 (strong support) could send USOIL toward lower levels ($64 or below).
Lower High Formation Instead of Uptrend
If oil fails to break above resistance and forms a lower high, it could indicate continued bearish momentum rather than a bullish reversal.
The previous downtrend might still be intact, with this current move just being a retracement before another drop.
Fundamental Risks
Macroeconomic factors like higher interest rates, reduced demand, or increased oil supply could prevent a bullish rally.
If economic data suggests slowing growth, oil prices could struggle to push higher.
