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$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰ As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️ Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️ ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX 📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700 Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700 ¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ ) ²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² ) 🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️ 📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /- NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 ) rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SP:SPXShort
by raj5_7_5
S&P 500's Big Drop Raises Alarm: Is a Market Correction Looming?◉ Fundamental Rationale: ● US stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices like the S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI experiencing significant losses. ● The sell-off was triggered by a warning from Walmart NYSE:WMT , which raised concerns about weakening consumer demand, rising costs, or other challenges impacting its business. As a retail giant, Walmart's outlook is seen as a barometer for consumer health. ● The decline coincided with the release of consumer sentiment data, which dropped to a 15-month low, signalling growing pessimism among consumers about the economy. ● The market reacted to fears of inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a recession, which could further weigh on corporate earnings and economic growth. ● The sell-off was not limited to retail stocks but reflected broader anxieties about the economy and future market performance. ◉ Technical Observations: ● Following a significant sell-off of nearly 1.7%, the index is expected to find initial support at the trendline. ● If the index breaches this support level, the next strong support zone is anticipated in the range of 5,650 to 5,700.
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital
Riding Wave 5: Is $700 Just Around the Corner?Hey Realistic Traders, Will META Bullish Bias Continue ? Let’s Dive In.... In the Daily timeframe, META rebounded above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, marking the completion of wave 4. Within this wave, a Descending broadening wedge pattern was formed. Recently the price has broken out of the pattern. This breakout was further confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover, signaling increasing momentum and strengthening the case for a continued upward move. Based on these technical signals, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $638. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally continues toward a new high at $700. This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 550.00. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on META.
NASDAQ:METALong
by financialfreedomgoals101
10
TSLA around a confluence zone : Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA Technical Analysis and Forecast Tesla (TSLA) is currently positioned at a critical confluence zone, where both horizontal and ascending trendlines intersect. Should the selling pressure persist and the stock breaks below the $325 level, there is a potential for further downside movement toward a psychological support zone at $300. It is important to note that TSLA has experienced a significant decline of approximately 33% from its peak on December 18, 2024, which could indicate potential for a rebound at these levels. Given the stock's current discount, I believe it may present a compelling opportunity for long-term investors. I intend to continue building my position through a disciplined Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, gradually accumulating shares as the price moves lower. Should TSLA reach the $300 mark, I consider it a strong buying opportunity. As always, please trade with caution and consider your risk tolerance before making any decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ForexClinik
1
Costco Wholesale: Robust Earnings Support Bullish Trend◉ Technical Observation ● The stock price is exhibiting a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending parallel channel. ● A recent breakout from a rounding bottom pattern has propelled the price higher, nearing the upper boundary of the channel. ◉ Two Possible Scenarios 1. Rejection and Pullback: The price may face resistance at the upper end of the channel, leading to a potential decline. 2. Breakout and Continuation: Alternatively, the price may break through the upper boundary, sustaining the uptrend and driving the stock higher. ◉ Q1 FY25 Result Highlights ● Net Income: Up 13.1% to $1.79 billion, compared to $1.58 billion in Q1 FY24. ● Comparable Sales: Increased by 5.2% in the US and 5.8% in Canada. ● E-commerce: Comparable sales soared by 13%, with adjusted e-commerce comparable sales rising to 13.2%. ● Membership Revenue: Grew by 7.8% to $1.166 billion, reflecting strong customer loyalty. ● Gross Margin: Improved by 24 basis points to 11.28%.
NASDAQ:COST
by NaranjCapital
100% Gains in Walmart! What’s Next at This Key Level?Hello readers, Back in July 2023, I pointed out a major breakout in Walmart (WMT) after years of struggle around the $150-$154 zone. Fast forward, and here we are – Walmart has doubled in price! 📈 Of course, this isn't the raw $300 we might expect because of the 3-for-1 stock split, but the percentage gain remains a solid 100%+ from our entry. What Now? $100 is a round number, and historically, NYSE:WMT has reacted to these psychological levels. The market has started to range in these level, suggesting some hesitation. Taking partial or full profits could be a smart move – but as always, the choice is yours! This is just a reminder and a heads-up to stay aware of price action. Trade smart! 💡 Let me know your thoughts – are you holding or booking profits? Cheers, Vaido
NYSE:WMT
by VaidoVeek
1
ISSC: A Key Investment Opportunity in Aerospace and Defense◉ Investment Advice 💡 Buy Innovative Solutions and Support NASDAQ:ISSC ● Buy Range - 11.5 - 11.8 ● Sell Target - 14.6 - 15 ● Potential Return - 25% - 30% ● Approx Holding Period - 08-12 months ◉ Company Overview Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc., founded in 1988 and based in Exton, Pennsylvania, is a systems integrator specializing in aviation technology. The company designs, manufactures, and services flight guidance systems, autothrottles, cockpit displays, and related products, including air data computing devices, flight management systems, GPS units, and inertial reference systems. It also provides magnetic variation software and operates manufacturer system software. Serving commercial airlines, corporate aviation, the U.S. Department of Defense, government agencies, foreign militaries, and OEMs, the company delivers advanced solutions for aviation and defense sectors globally. ◉ Market Capitalization - $207 M ◉ Other Key Players in the Same Industry 1. GE Aerospace NYSE:GE - $219.6 B GE Aerospace is a leading global provider of commercial and military aircraft engines, systems, and services. The company is a subsidiary of General Electric (GE) and has a rich history dating back to 1917. 2. Honeywell International NASDAQ:HON - $144.8 B Honeywell is a multinational conglomerate that produces a wide range of products, including aerospace systems, industrial control systems, and consumer products. The company's aerospace division is a leading provider of avionics, engines, and other aircraft systems. ◉ Key Drivers of Future Revenue and Profit Growth 1. Growth in Military Programs: New contracts, like the U.S. Army's adoption of the ThrustSense Autothrottle and multifunction displays for foreign military platforms, signal strong future revenue potential in defense markets. 2. ISSC Next Strategy: Focused on commercial growth, this strategy includes new OEM and retrofit programs, product acquisitions, and launches like UMS2, aiming to accelerate revenue growth and improve operating margins. 3. Manufacturing Expansion: Increased in-house production and capacity enhancements are expected to boost operating margins and EBITDA by reducing reliance on external suppliers and improving scale efficiencies. 4. Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions, particularly from Honeywell, provide revenue synergies and cross-selling opportunities, diversifying offerings and expanding customer bases to drive profitability. 5. Investment in Advanced Technologies: Innovations like AI-integrated cockpit automation position the company to meet future demand in both commercial and military sectors, supporting long-term earnings growth. ◉ Key Risks to Consider 1. Margin Pressure from Military Sales: The company's reliance on military contracts, which typically have lower gross margins than commercial contracts, may negatively impact overall profitability. 2. Integration Challenges from Acquisitions: The integration of recent acquisitions, such as those from Honeywell, is uncertain and may prove difficult, potentially affecting revenue growth and operating margins. 3. Debt-Related Financial Risks: The significant debt incurred from the Honeywell acquisitions poses a financial risk, which could lead to cash flow constraints or higher interest expenses, impacting net income. 4. Operating Expense Pressures: The planned increase in manufacturing capacity and R&D investment may add pressure on operating expenses. If not managed effectively, this may not translate to proportionate revenue growth, impacting net margins. 5. Revenue Realization Risks: The long sales cycle and complexities associated with military contracts may delay revenue realization. If anticipated backlogs do not convert as scheduled, this could affect short- to mid-term revenue expectations. ◉ Technical Analysis ➖ Following a record high of $14.6, the stock plummeted by nearly 90% and entered a prolonged period of consolidation. ➖ However, a bullish reversal pattern, known as an Inverted Head & Shoulder, has formed during this phase. ➖ With a decisive breakout, the stock has also cleared its long-term trendline resistance, indicating a potential trend reversal. ➖ We expect this upward momentum to persist, driving the stock price higher. ◉ Revenue and Profit Analysis ● Year-on-year ➖ FY24 sales soared 36% to $47.2 million, up from $27.7 million in FY23. ➖ EBITDA jumped to $12.6 million, a significant increase from $8.5 million in FY22. ➖ EBITDA margin expanded to 26.7%, up from 24.32% in the same period. ● Quarter-on-quarter ➖ Q4 sales reached a record high of $15.4 million, surging 30% from $11.8 million in Q3 and 18% from $13 million in Q4 2023. ➖ Q4 EBITDA climbed to $5.9 million, up from $2.6 million in Q3. ➖ Q4 diluted EPS rose to $0.40 (LTM) from $0.37 (LTM) in Q3 2024. ◉ Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ ISSC's P/E ratio stands at 29.8x, which is relatively in line with the industry average of 33.7x, indicating fair valuation. ● P/B Ratio ➖ With a P/B ratio of 3.3x, ISSC appears undervalued compared to the industry average of 4.5x. ● PEG Ratio ➖ ISSC's PEG ratio of 1.83 suggests the stock is fairly valued, considering its anticipated earnings growth. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ ISSC achieves remarkable growth in operational cash flow, rising 176% to $5.8 million in FY24 from $2.1 million in FY23. ◉ Debt Analysis ➖ ISSC's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.60, signalling that debt is not a significant concern for the company. ◉ Top Shareholders ➖ The Vanguard Group holds a significant 3% stake in the company, indicating institutional confidence in its growth prospects. ◉ Conclusion The U.S. aerospace and defense market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated $694.86 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.76%. This growth is fueled by rapid technological advancements, including innovations in artificial intelligence (AI), advanced materials, 3D printing, and autonomous systems, which are reshaping the industry landscape. Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. (ISSC) is strategically positioned to capitalize on this expanding market, leveraging its expertise in advanced aviation systems, strong military and commercial contracts, and ongoing investments in cutting-edge technologies. For investors seeking exposure to the aerospace and defense industry, ISSC represents a compelling opportunity, supported by its solid financial performance, favorable valuation metrics, and alignment with long-term market trends.
NASDAQ:ISSCLong
by NaranjCapital
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations. However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price. Technical Perspective The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone. For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth. Key criteria: 1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100 2. The round number itself $100 3. The trendline since 2018 4. Channel projection 5. Equal waves from the top For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website." Regards, Vaido Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VaidoVeek