The Start of the US Recession is NearCurrent economic, fundamental, and now technical data suggest that we are potentially nearing the start of the US Recession. Here are the technical factors that suggests the recession may have already begun⤵️
On the 1W chart, Price has rejected the $4.8k key resistance level
on the 1D chart, the price is overbought and the RSI is indicating a bearish divergence
And lastly, our momentum indicators have all turned bearish today, indicating that the downtrend has officially started, from a technical POV.
Usstocks
🔴 META PLATFORM: Daily Technical Analysis & SetupHi Traders!
From a technical point of view, NASDAQ:META is very interesting for Day Traders, but at the same time it could also give some opportunities to Aggressive Traders (Intraday) in short term. Having said that, if we look at Daily Chart the trend is bullish in mid-long term, but in the short term we do not exclude a bearish consolidation before another rally. For Day Traders Setup is very simple, wait for pullback to take long position as shown on the chart. Money Management also seems interesting, with a risk of 2% we get a Risk/Return Ratio > 1:8 (not bad).
🔴 INTRADAY ANALYSIS
How can we get to our Setup Area?
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Now we need to understand how META could reach our Setup Area, and it could do so simply in two ways: with a bullish scenario (Top and Impulsive Structure still in play) or with a bearish scenario (ABC Pattern in play), as shown on two chart below. Both of these two scenarios should be able to reach our setup area on the daily chart:
Trade with care
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Is Chevron ready to fire up? Trade_SetupThe world's third largest oil and gas company by market cap.- CHEVRON is ending a year long triple three correction.
The stock shows a good setup with high chances of moving from current levels of 144 towards the 170 mark(15% upside).
The stock is also standing at a crucial channel support that it has respected and reacted to on two different occasions in the past.
On the downside 140 is a crucial support for the stock.
Note*-Chart analysis and its conclusions are based on personal opinions/observations. Kindly do your own analysis before taking any financial positions
John Deere can move up 20% from current levelsThe latest impulse in this American agricultural machinery and heavy equipment manufacturer was spotted beginning in May 2023 and got over in July 2023.This impulse is marked wave i on chart.
Between late July and late Oct. the stock made a very deep 78.6% retracement of the advance (wave i).
The corrective counts now seems to be have come to an end in this stock as also it is slowly emerging out of the falling wedge pattern.
Wave iii target is projected around $460-475 zone(around 20% from CMP) and previous wave i high was at 450. Both these levels would be crucial levels towards which the stock will start marching going forward.
On the downside the swing lows of 358.8 and 363.01 are crucial supports for the stock.
Note*- This chart is for educational purpose only.
Can Alibaba double from here?The Chinese MNC had displayed its last big impulse move in Oct.2022.In this move(labeled wave 1) the Chinese giant gained 106% between Oct.2022 till Jan.2023.
Between Jan.2023 to May 2023 the stock got into wave 2 correction and corrected 61.8% of the wave 1 rally(the correction was an Elliot wave zigzag).
The stock displayed a bit of strength again on the completion of the Zigzag and managed to get a leading diagonal as the first leg of the bigger Third wave that is now anticipated of the stock.
The stock currently is at 80%retracement of the leading diagonal and 77.77$ level is a crucial support for the stock. The current corrective phase seems to lack one tiny leg to the downside(wave c of Z) and as soon as that is achieved the stock should only look North then from here all the way till 160$ mark.
Note*- The chart is based on personal observations/opinions. Kindly do your own research before taking up any trade.
A new wave up beginning in CAT World's largest manufacturer of construction equipment - Caterpillar(CAT), is all set to make a leap upwards of 30+% in the first half of 2024.
The stock of this company has been constantly making new ATH's and displays neat waves everywhere.
The move being discussed and anticipated shall be 1-2-i-ii-iii, Meaning the wave iii of 3.(you can imagine it as a smaller third wave inside of a bigger third wave.
The projected target zone for the anticipated wave is placed at 325-350$ zone.
A look at the support/resistance zones also shows the stock attempting to reverse off a major S/R zone.
The construction and manufacturing sectors have slowing started picking up and the US economy is better off than it was in 2022 and 2023. It is therefore expected of these sectors to do better in 2024 than they did in 2023 and increase their operations and output.
This in turn should point towards a good business year for CAT since manufacturing, construction and mining sectors form its major customer base.
Note*- This chart is based on personal observations/opinions. Please be cautious while making any financial decisions.
"THE DARK KNIGHT WILL RISE"_WARNER BROS to DOUBLE??The stock of the film and entertainment giant - Warner Bros set out in an impulsive Wave 1 in Dec of last year and had a 80% rally till Feb 2023. That was the end of Wave 1 for the stock and then since then the stock has only seen darkness. But darkness only makes the dark knight stronger (:P).
The stock has given up on almost all the gains it made during the Wave 1 rally and has retraced 90% of it!!! With where the stock is currently placed this is a long term bet that cannot be missed/ignored because of the unmatchable risk/reward it is offering at the moment.
The Wave 3 target for the stock is projected to be around 22-25$ mark.
BEHOLD!!
Note*- This analysis is based on personal observations/opinions. Kindly do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Trade setup_20% wave in GOOGLEGoogle is all set to move up in wave V of 3 towards the 150$ mark.
On the way up watch out for levels 131.9 and 134. If the stock surpasses them with ease that would reduce the probability of this bounce being an "X" wave and the stock will make it to the 150 mark.
Note*- do your own study/research before taking up any financial positions.
Time for a slight rebound?The S&P 500 Index bounced off the support near $4,103 on Friday. Then, today, the futures market opened up about 0.5%, bringing the index closer to $4,140 (by the way, on Friday, the futures market also opened up by approximately the same amount). Now, we will observe whether the index will overtake its Friday high; if yes, it will bolster the odds of a rebound in the short term (potentially up to somewhere between $4,200 and $4,300). For more clues about the rebound, we will also watch the Chinese stock market as we expect it to go through the relief ahead of the U.S. stocks (as a matter of fact, SSE has already been trending up in the last week, with HSI somewhat lagging). However, if SPX fails to take out its Friday high, accompanied by a spike in the VIX, it will alert us to more downside.
The list of some of the corporations reporting their earnings this week:
- Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD
- Airbnb NASDAQ:ABNB
- Apple NASDAQ:AAPL
- Caterpillar NYSE:CAT
- CVS Health Corp. NYSE:CVS
- HSBC Holdings NYSE:HSBC
- McDonalds NYSE:MCD
- Pfizer NYSE:PFE
- Pinterest NYSE:PINS
- Shopify NYSE:SHOP
- Stellantis N.V. NYSE:STLA
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NVDA Analysis — Stuck in Island AloneGreetings dear comminity!
In the vast sea of stock prices, NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shines distinctively.
💜 If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜
Presently priced at $408, it finds itself ensnared in an intriguing Island Pattern formation. This pattern implies an imminent pullback, with a likely destination being the gap level at $318.
For astute investors eyeing long-term positions, this impending dip could offer an enticing entry point. However, a word of caution hangs in the air – tread carefully. While potential gains loom, the risk is equally palpable.
Risk Management is Key:
Avoiding excessive risk is non-negotiable. Prudent investors should keenly observe the price action as it unfolds towards the $318 mark. Analyze each movement, gauge market sentiment, and only then consider making your move.
In the volatile realm of stocks, knowledge is power, and careful strategy is your shield. As NASDAQ:NVDA navigates this intriguing pattern, wise investors stand vigilant, ready to capitalize on opportunities while safeguarding their investments.
Happy investing!
SP500 Sets to trend lowerGreetings, traders!
Analyzing the Consolidation Phase of SP500's:
The SP500 has been locked in a substantial consolidation period spanning the last 24 months. This extended consolidation often signifies a period of market indecision, with buyers and sellers in a tight tug-of-war. Such phases are crucial for traders as they often precede significant price movements.
Bearish Harmonic Pattern:
During this consolidation, a bearish harmonic pattern has emerged, casting shadows on the index’s future. Harmonic patterns, with their unique geometry, are potent indicators of potential trend reversals. Traders keen on technical analysis often scrutinize these patterns for hints on market direction.
August - September - October Decline: A Sign of Bearish Momentum?
A notable decline in August, followed by further lowering lows in September and October, underpins a growing bearish sentiment. These descending movements suggest a potential downward trend, capturing the attention of traders seeking short positions.
Key Levels: 4200, 4000, and 3880 - The Battle Ahead:
As the index hovers below the critical 4200 mark, traders are bracing for a challenging journey ahead. The next formidable support levels lie at 4000 and 3880. These levels, once breached, could trigger substantial market shifts, offering both peril and opportunity to astute traders.
RSI: A Guiding Star in the Storm:
Accompanying this price action, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) traces the market's movements. Notably, the RSI has carved a downward resistance line mirroring the index's descent. Savvy traders recognize this RSI trendline as a potential breakout signal, offering a glimmer of hope amidst the bearish landscape.
The SP500's current position demands a nuanced approach, with meticulous attention to patterns, support levels, and RSI signals. Arm yourself with knowledge and strategic insight to navigate these uncertain waters successfully.
As always, happy trading, and may your strategies be as resilient as the market itself!
Big corporations rolling over after months of relentless risingThe current earnings season in the United States brought forth intriguing results. Nevertheless, we have seen some adverse reactions to relatively good results. For example, Alphabet (Google) lost about 10% following its quarterly earnings on Tuesday, despite its revenues and net income soaring (YoY) in 3Q23 by a significant margin (though it is important to note that the company missed some of the analysts’ estimates).
Based on multiple observations, we might be at the brink of rollover in the highly capitalized corporations (following months of relentless climb higher). This potential rollover represents a significant danger to the performance of the U.S. stock market indices (which were driven to heights mainly by these large companies). Now, they might start being responsible for driving them down.
With that said, we want to bring attention to the small caps, particularly Russel 2000. Unlike SPX or NDX, this index has not gone through an immense rally over the past year (something many people chose to ignore, calling for a genuine bull market). In fact, RUT is down about 6.7% year-to-date, telling us a completely different story about the health of the economy than SPX or NDX. In addition, we would argue that a lot of economic data reflects a better picture of the economy than reality suggests. As a result, we want to raise a word of caution to market participants.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of Russel 2000. The index is hovering just slightly above the 2022 lows.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the chart of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and NVIDIA.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Oracle potential correction is ON 🚨#usstock :: NYSE:ORCL
#dyor :: ORACLE
Present I am bearish 📍 on it 👍
I belive top is completed 📌
Now 35-45% potential drop we will see
Based on drop and pump 📌 we can decide macro top completed 📌 or not 🚫
Present my target is :: $80-90
( be in follow article under this post update will be provided )
RIOT IT'S view before bitcoin halving According to wave 🌊 theory we move to $20-35 , I don't where they wanted to end wave 5 , later correction to $9 below main zone $6
Later back to $35 above
According to Bitcoin if it start correction it's done 👍
RIOT reach $6 later rise to $35 above with in halving time
Any information u have anything u want just msg me privately
Tesla $500 is bull run target 📌 It's very simple analysis based on supply and demand
Present micro 📌
it's clear move high and high 💰 with low and high slowly shifting it's pattern to bull side 😛
Present left side 102 BARS haven't broken yet
Even the last High and low was wasn't broken yet
But
Reach $325 sign ☢️ left side lowe high was broken
We will see selling and correction pressure when NASDAQ:TSLA reach $320-325
then I will update here what's the correction target was
Let's talk about macro analysis ⏰
It's completely going in p03
Already bull entered into left side distribution zone 📌 🙄 broken
Basically left side p01 easily broken 😂 but still PPL think $100-150 below it comes
Basic sence 6M close postive present price ( PA ) broken High level zone trading there any time easily broken
Expecting $500-530
Catch 🫴 time correction
Invalid 📌 when it back to 1st High lower below 📍 DYOR
Support and follow article so I will update you 😜
Anything keep comments and even more drop ur question ❓ to private box ☑️
SPX - Bear trend is still locked in!!!Stochastic's unlike nearly all indicator's
have the ability to flip from overbought/oversold to locked in to a continuation of TREND
#SP500 is still locked in a bear trend
after 3 days with both K&D lines above 80
or below 20
S and P 500 is locked into a bear trend still
which means all rallies should be faded until that locked in status is lost
AMZN BREAKOUT ON THE CHANNELAMZN confirms a bearish breakout on the bullish channel formed. Here we see the price respected the major resistance and followed up a bearish sentiment which has caused the price to show up a breakout on the structure formed. We expect a decent price decline back towards the daily support created on the bottom.
AAPL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BELOW THE RESISTANCEAAPL showed up a fake rally above the resistance formed and the price moved back below the resistance once again confirming a fake out happened earlier. Here with the weekly pull back formed after the breakout, we believe that the price will continue to fall and go on a bearish momentum in the near future.
DELL, Massive BULLISH Price-Action Spikes, EXPANSION-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of DELL. In recent times I have spotted and analyzed important setups in the stock market that have the ability to emerge with a worthwhile hedge against the severe inflation, recession, and supply-chain events currently going on. In today's times, it is more than necessary to pick the gems that have the potential to be the primary hedge for the crucial transformational events going on. In this case, my main approach within the stock market is to only pick the top trading setup opportunities to move forward with a total-return approach to hedge against bearish liquidation events.
With DELL, it has to be mentioned that DELL had the ability to emerge with this momentous all-time-high breakout printing this over 30% bullish spike wave towards the upside. In this case, the volume is also an important factor here, because without the increased volume this would just be a huge bull trap and the bears are likely to turn the market again. However, this is not the case and DELL had the ability to confirm this important bullish price-action spike with the necessary volume confirming it as a legit breakout and establishing the base for further expansions.
Together with this major all-time-high breakout DELL also is trending in this gigantic expansional wave-count with the wave A and B already being completed and now the wave C is within the expansion phase. This means that with the bull-flag formation that completed wave B the DELL price-action already set a 350% wave expansion target within the 180-200 area. Especially when the volatility as it is currently doing increases 3x, 4x, 5x, or more this means that these targets will be reached at a much faster pace than is the case with other setups in the market.
Currently, DELL is already forming the continuation setup with the ascending triangle on the local term which will be completed within the next time, especially when this happens with a high volatility the increased momentum will be determined. Because of the significance of this important setup and because DELL has been approved as a major potential gem I am keeping the stock on my watchlist and elevating important changes, especially in terms of events that could trigger a huge demand rally here.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about DELL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”
VP
IBM, This is Huge, Massive BULL-Acceleration, BREAKOUT-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of IBM. In recent times I have analyzed the stock and I have detected major important historical determinations within the analytics backend that are actually indicating an epical breakout has a high potential to emerge within the next times. Not every stock within the market is bullish however with IBM there are clear signs that it already had the potential to rebound since the grievous corona market shock lows and now as digitization increases this is already building a bullish base for IBM.
Within my chart, I have detected this gigantic inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the paramount bull flag formation, both being two bullish formations that have the potential to be major bullish trend accelerants once the breakout above the boundary has shown up this is going to activate a major double confirmation here. The trend is supported by the major underlying demand structure as well as the EMAs and the main ascending trend line. Once the final breakout above the upper boundary of the inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the upper boundary of the bull flag has shown up this is going to accelerate the demand trend dynamics.
Taking all these factors into consideration here as digitization since the corona pullback lows have been completed increased massively this is increasing the actual digitization demand within the market and for a stock like IBM, this means that there is a main underlying demand base that is accelerating a bullish trend dynamic. Once the main breakouts as mentioned within the next times have shown up this is going to activate the minimum target of 250 and above further continuations have an increased potential once the main demand and momentum spread into the trend direction increases. Because of the importance of this setup forming here, I am keeping the stock in my current watchlist.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of IBM. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP