ADA | ALTS | Good Buy or WEAKNESS?ADA is one of a few altcoins that have not yet made a new ATH, or trading close to its previous ATH.
Considering Cardano is one of the "older" crypto's , you'd expect it to behave like the rest of the titans. But instead, when overlayed with the Solana chart we see a disappointing comparison:
Regardless of this, ADA trades in a range within a fairly reasonable timeframe, meaning it is ideal for short term profits (range trading). ADA can easily do + or - 30% in two weeks, ideal for swing traders.
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT
Value
MARI will not give upMari is giving a good opportunity to ride at current retracement phase. Currently it is at 23% Fibb Level where i made a good hammer candlestick with nice volumes on daily chart.
1st Buy Reason:
Great Management, Nice Fundamentals. Trading at Accummulative Level.
2nd Buy Reason:
Wanted to Buy many shares on 1st Buy. But Couln't did at that time. Invested again when money came in.
3rd Buy Reason (Will do on Friday Dt 24-01-2025:
I always buy good stocks if it goes down -9% within a week.
Trading at 23% of Fibb Retracement
Signalling a good hammer + volume increase.
4th potential Buy: Around 464 Level
5th potential Buy: Around 360 Level
Dogecoin: Trading What You See, Not What You Hope ForThe crypto world is buzzing about the acronym D.O.G.E., with many hoping this hype will ignite a massive price explosion for Dogecoin.
However, the market has repeatedly failed to deliver. In fact, every rally this year has been met with heavy selling.
As I often say, " trade what you see, not what you dream of ." And from a purely technical perspective, what I see for Dogecoin right now doesn’t look promising.
A Look Back: The Trump Pump and the Aftermath
Dogecoin experienced a massive pump last year, fueled by Trump’s presidential election win. But after the initial euphoria, the market cooled down, and Dogecoin entered a correction phase.
Leading up to Christmas, the price even temporarily dipped below the horizontal support level at $0.35. While the start of 2025 brought a recovery above this support, bulls have struggled to maintain their gains.
The Current State of Dogecoin
Even the brief spike two days ago, which initially looked promising, was quickly reversed. As of now, Dogecoin has returned to this critical $0.35 support line, showing continued weakness.
What’s Next?
Given the current price action, my expectation is that this support will eventually give way. If that happens, we could see Dogecoin drop to around $0.26, a level that might offer stronger support.
The Bottom Line
Dogecoin’s technicals suggest caution, not optimism. While the D.O.G.E. hype might tempt some into dreaming of another rally, the charts tell a different story. If you’re trading Dogecoin, stay focused on the reality of the price action and be prepared for potential downside.
As always, trade wisely and stick to the facts, not the fantasies.
BOJ interest rateBOJ interest rate decision tonight.
1/23/25 10pmEST
cons = .5%
prev = .25%
7/30/24
act = .25%
prev = .10%
3/18/24
act = .10%
prev = -10%
USD/JPY longer time frame 100 & 200 moving averages trajectory has moderated from a steep upward slope to a relatively neutral slope, ever since BOJ .25% interest rate decision in July. The faster time frame 20 & 50 moving averages appear to be oscillating above and below the fib50 of the past year high and low. I see this as a good short USD/JPY entry as the BOJ continues to raise interest rates to stabilize the Yen value, and the FOMC rates are going down.
Trade idea:
short = 157.08
stop = 158.88
profit = 150.77
20sma = 157.08
50sma = 154.83
100sma = 151.24
200sma = 152.79
1yrhigh = 161.95
fib50 = 150.77
1yrlow = 139.58
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months.
Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here.
AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
Since DOGE is pretty hot at the moment... It's also pretty in the middle of a longer range of price action range with no real reward and a lot of risk to be found at this price point.
You can look at it technical, you can say it's due to politics (like that has always been a solid in the past...), you can blame it on the fomo and the news...
You always have a choice when to act and what to do when you act. Just be smart about it ;-)
Cheers!
EUR/JPY - Preparation for the Interest Rate Hike on Friday - BOJHi guys , we would be looking in a shorter term trade on the GBP/JPY looking to chase at least 100 pips in a down turn , we have a positive expectation that the Bank of Japan would hike the interest rate on Friday from 0.25 to 0.50. I do agree that 25 basis points isnt a lot , but in a status that it took BOJ two years of sitting on negative interest rate to finally start balancing their sheets and looking to increase it, would give a positive approach into a better stability for the Japanese economy and more specifically the Japanese Yen!
Entry: 161.300
Target: 160.300
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
GBP/JPY - Preparation for the Interest Rate Hike on Friday - BOJHi guys , we would be looking in a shorter term trade on the GBP/JPY looking to chase at least 100 pips in a down turn , we have a positive expectation that the Bank of Japan would hike the interest rate on Friday from 0.25 to 0.50. I do agree that 25 basis points isnt a lot , but in a status that it took BOJ two years of sitting on negative interest rate to finally start balancing their sheets and looking to increase it, would give a positive approach into a better stability for the Japanese economy and more specifically the Japanese Yen!
Entry: 191.00
Target: 189.800
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Cup and Handle on COIN!!!!NASDAQ:COIN has formed a nice cup and handle formation on the weekly chart, signaling bullish momentum going into and through 2025…. with a president that 100% supports cryptocurrency, andthe previous week’s Bullish Engulfing candle with a significant increase in volume this confirms that we should see further bullish momentum!!!!
Adani Enterprise Is it going to Make it BIG/BAD??????Adani Enterprises Limited (AEL) has demonstrated notable financial performance recently. In the quarter ending September 30, 2024, the company reported a consolidated net profit of ₹1,742 crore, marking a substantial increase from ₹228 crore in the same period the previous year. This growth is attributed to strong earnings from its airports and new energy units, which offset declines in the coal trading sector.
Additionally, AEL has been expanding its operations. The company commenced operations at its copper smelter in Mundra, Gujarat, aiming to reduce India's reliance on refined copper imports. The smelter is expected to reach its full capacity of 500,000 metric tons by February-March 2025, with plans to scale up to 1 million tons by 2028-29.
Value
1)The intrinsic value of one ADANIENT stock under the base case scenario is 2 969.596 INR. Compared to the current market price of 2 399.8999 INR, Adani Enterprises Ltd is undervalued by 19%.
2) The Relative Value of one ADANIENT stock under the base case scenario is 4 832.4164 INR. Compared to the current market price of 2 399.8999 INR, Adani Enterprises Ltd is undervalued by 50%.
3)According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADANIENT is 4 340.1 INR with a low forecast of 3 838 INR and a high forecast of 4 945.5 INR.
Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.
Revenue and Profitability:
1)Revenue: In the fiscal year 2023-24 (FY24), AEL reported a revenue from operations of ₹96,421 crore, a 24.3% decrease from ₹127,540 crore in FY23.
2)EBITDA: Despite the revenue decline, EBITDA increased by 32% to ₹13,237 crore in FY24, up from ₹10,012 crore in FY23.
3)Net Profit: The net profit for FY24 rose by 39.6% to ₹3,955 crore, compared to ₹2,833 crore in the previous fiscal year.
Quarterly Performance (Q2 FY25):
For the quarter ending September 30, 2024, AEL's net profit surged to ₹1,742 crore, a significant increase from ₹228 crore in the same period the previous year.
Balance Sheet Highlights:
1)Assets: Total assets increased by 13.7% to ₹1,606 billion in FY24, up from ₹1,413 billion in FY23.
2)Liabilities: Total liabilities grew by 13.7% to ₹1,606 billion in FY24, with long-term debt rising by 42.2% to ₹463 billion.
3)Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.34 times in FY24 from 0.21 times in FY23, indicating higher leverage.
Cash Flow:
1)Operating Activities: Cash flow from operating activities stood at ₹103 billion in FY24.
Investing Activities: Cash outflow from investing activities was ₹191 billion in FY24, reflecting ongoing capital expenditures.
2)Financing Activities: Cash flow from financing activities improved significantly to ₹89 billion in FY24.
Operational Highlights:
The company's growth was driven by its airport operations and green energy business, with the new energy segment's pre-tax profits doubling to ₹9.41 billion, now comprising 39% of the overall profit.
Following the announcement of Hindenburg's disbandment, shares of Adani Group companies experienced a surge. For instance, Adani Enterprises' stock rose by 7.7%, reaching ₹2,569.85, and Adani Power's shares jumped 9% to ₹599.90 on the BSE.
Crude Oil -Can use the fundamentals to push the strong resitanceHi guys we are going to take a look into CL. The Black Gold has had some interesting fundamental events recently , with the Biden administration imposing a few important and key tarrifs over the Russian exports of OIL. Additionally on a technical preview as we visited this asset a few times, it has broken a few very key support levels, and the price started actually moving in a good direction.Previously we saw the price move sideweays for almost 2 months.
Entry: 77.50
Target 1: 78.50
Target 2: 79.50
Target 3. 80.50
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
BUY QUBT PUTS NOWWWW!!!!The quantum computing hype is real. Incredible short term gains and incredible mid to long term risk. Companies such as NASDAQ:RGTI and NYSE:IONQ have promising technological/industrial prospects that justify the excitement but NASDAQ:QUBT Quantum Computing Inc. is not one of those companies. They are not a quantum computing company as the name suggests. The same entity has changed their "business model" multiple times with each coming trend to no success. Before quantum computing they were involved with beverage distribution as "Innovative Beverage Group Holding, Inc.", selling printer ink, and they made a brief attempt at AI.
Notes :
- Iceberg Research discovered that the foundry Quantum Computing Inc. listed on their website and cited in a press release was actually just a small office building clearly incapable of producing TFLN wafers (or any sort of mass production for that matter).
"In September 2023, QUBT told investors that the location for its “new facility is on five acres within the extensive 320-acre research park hosted by ASU”. However, the entire entire 2050 building is barely more than an acre, let alone Suite 107 in the building. At that time, production was supposed to start in the first half of 2024."
I encourage you to read the full report (link below).
- QUBT's revenue for 2024 was only $300K. Their market cap is currently $1.5 Billion.
Technical Analysis
While the fundamental analysis was enough to convince me to enter a put position, the TA is also promising. The "pump" caused by recent quantum computing hype is not the only pump and dump in QUBTs recent history. There are two very similar patters that have occurred since Jan 2018.
Interestingly, the 50 SMA crossing above the 200 SMA on the weekly timeframe has signaled the peak of both movements. As for the current movement, the SMAs are expected to cross by next week at the latest.
As you can see in the chart, the cross (and peak) are followed by a drastic rejection and then a retracement to the 38.2 fib level. As of today, price is currently between the 50 and 38.2 retracement levels.
In the short term, it is possible that price will enter the volume gap created on 08 Jan and potentially fill up to $16.25. This break above the 38.2 fib level will be of key interest to anyone seeking entry into a short or put position. As you can see in the 2021 movement, price did indeed break above the level, fell short of retesting highs, and initiated a reversal and 78% drop. Only after this did QUBT retest and reject off of the 38.2 fib level and proceed to drop another 86%.
iceberg-research.com
www.globenewswire.com
$PCG - Did market just panic dumped the wrong stock?The recent wildfires in California, particularly the Palisades and Eaton Fires in Los Angeles County, have primarily affected Southern California.
This recent wildfire news caused NYSE:PCG to crash alongside NYSE:EIX (which bounced as well).
However, PG&E's service area is predominantly in Northern and Central California. PG&E will not have to pay back the wildfire fund if deemed prudent.
Furthermore, PG&E is a stable utility with monopoly-like dominance in California’s massive market. It benefits from regulated pricing, essential services, wildfire liability caps, and state support for clean energy and infrastructure upgrades. With strong cash flows, improving safety measures, and alignment with decarbonization trends, PG&E offers resilience, growth potential, and a compelling "buy the fake fear" opportunity. Don’t let short-term noise overshadow its solid fundamentals.
So, did market just panic dumped the wrong stock?
#USDT.D DOMINANCE ANALYContinuing the previous analysis of #USDT.D DOMINANCE
I sent you a chart again in a lower timeframe so that you can understand the trend well
It is currently moving towards a LEG D OF TRIANGLE .. The target for this move is 3.90%
The LEG D ends around 3.90% and completes the LEG E with a correction.
$PEP as a potential anti-cyclical buying opportunityFor conservative anti-cyclical investors seeking annual returns in the 8-12% range, PepsiCo NASDAQ:PEP is becoming very interesting
Bollinger Bands & RSI Signal (chart 1):
Late last week, the stock generated my favorite oversold signal at the weekly level
My personal Accumulation Strategy in three tranches:
- First Tranche: Buy at $144
- Second Tranche: Buy at $136 if price dips further
- Third Tranche: Consider buying at $132, supported by 2021 Order Block (Chart 2)
- Potential Crash Scenario: If a market crash occurs, I will buy at ~$110 for final position completion
Fundamental Insights (Chart 3):
- Current earnings yield: 4.7%; Dividend yield: 3.7%
- Dividend growth rate over last decade: 7.5% per year
- PE ratio around 21, low since the Rona crash
Reasons Recent Price Decline:
- Inflation impact: Consumers switching to cheaper alternatives
- USD Strength: Diminishing international profits
- Rising US Government Bond Yields: Competing with dividend stocks, though NASDAQ:TLT at 2007 Order Block support suggests possible reversal (Chart 4)
-> Political Influence:
- Trump's stance: High interest rates and inflation, aiming to address these issues could weaken USD, benefiting PepsiCo
Conclusion:
PepsiCo presents a compelling choice for steady, anti-cyclical investments, with technical support, dividend growth, and potential economic policy shifts
"Battle-Ready: Outsmarting Giants in the Trading Arena" Traders: Soon, I’ll be sharing some deep, insightful data with you. Before I do, there’s something you need to understand. Sure, I could explain every intricate detail behind it, but here’s the thing—if I expose the core mechanics openly, smart money intruders could turn around and use that very knowledge against us. And then, what’s the point of sharing at all?
Many of you already have your own ways of predicting where prices might head. I don’t fault you for keeping your methods under wraps. In fact, I respect it. After all, smart money never broadcasts its next move. Never. Why? Because the moment they reveal their hand, the game is over. Trading, my friends, is not merely about following charts—it’s about survival. It’s a battle. It’s warrior trading.
Picture yourself as a gladiator, thrust into the heart of a grand arena, standing alone against towering giants. Perhaps today, you're still learning, still sharpening your blade. But as time goes on, with skill and relentless practice, you’ll grow stronger. Strong enough to take on the greatest of challenges. Now imagine the king of Rome himself—symbolizing the whales and dark pools—giving a signal to unleash his might upon you. Around you, the coliseum roars with the fury of the crowd, representing the institutions—hungry to see your defeat.
Yet, despite the odds, you don’t back down. You raise your weapon and fight with skill and precision. With each passing battle, you grow more cunning, more adept, until the day comes when you can stand toe-to-toe with the king of Rome himself. And when that day arrives, the very institutions that once sought to crush you will tremble.
The game changes when you gain mastery. No longer are you just another target for the giants to feast on. Instead, you become someone they fear. Someone who follows the king’s every move, not as prey, but as a rival—a fellow predator in the vast market wilderness.
Let this be a call to arms. Let this vision of you rising through the ranks, becoming an unstoppable force, serve as your motivation. It’s not about hoping for fortune—it’s about fighting for it, step by step, battle by battle. You may not start as the champion, but with time, grit, and relentless drive, you can become one.
So, when the king of Rome moves, you’ll be ready—not to be defeated, but to conquer.
Flight Boarding - Grand Theft Auto 6Hey fellow gamers and number-crunchers, gather 'round! 🎮
Big news alert: Rockstar Games is dropping the first trailer for Grand Theft Auto 6 on December 5, 2023! twitter.com
Now, for those who live and breathe gaming, no further explanation needed. But hey, to the data lovers and boomers in the house, let me break it down for you.
Rockstar is the genius behind hits like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Bully, and La Noire. Flashback to 2013 when they unleashed Grand Theft Auto 5, which turned out to be the best-selling console/PC-only game EVER. Talk about a gaming legend!
Fast forward to now, and GTA 5 has racked up a mind-blowing 185 million units in sales by August 2023. That's across three console generations and PC, making it the cash cow of the entertainment world.
Hold on to your controllers because Grand Theft Auto 6 is gearing up for launch, and the prediction is a whopping $1 billion in sales from the get-go! 🤑 Experts are betting on at least 25 million copies flying off the shelves on release day.
For the financial gurus out there, I've got the deets on TTWO Rockstar Games history prices in my previous analysis. And if you're eyeing the market, the sweet spot for entering the trade seems to be at that red horizontal line at 146 - 150. But here's the cherry on top: I believe we're aiming for a new all-time high beyond 210! 🚀
So, who's ready for the next gaming revolution? 🌟 Share your thoughts below and let the positive vibes flow! 🚀🎉