Value
Boring Stock, Getting Close to a Potential Long-Term BreakoutWaiting for a monthly close above the 8-year downtrend line to get in. The chart is pretty messy but many other signals are converging around that area (200-month EMA, 50-month EMA, .382 Fib). Price had a false breakout early in the downtrend based on the trendline I drew but I drew it where it is because it had many hits along this line. If price breaks out here I think it's significant because it would also be breaking above the 200-month EMA after dipping below temporarily (which it hadn't done for a really long time). I'm waiting for a monthly close above the 200-month EMA to start a position, and will plan on adding more if it can get about the 50-month EMA. I don't have a stop loss, this is a long-term buy and hold and collect the dividends if it can breakout. If it has a false breakout and goes down, I'll just buy up more at certain intervals and will update this idea. I think from looking at this chart and reading/listening to some of the other ideas about this stock that it can surpass the highs it made about 8 years ago and my price target is $270-$300 where I would start to think about using a stop loss and protecting profit. I like using stop losses eventually because it can let a stock potentially run rather than just selling when it hits the target. Anyway, waiting for another week to make a decision. If price ends up failing here, I think I will probably be able to get in down around $100 or maybe even a bit lower and I would consider starting a position there but I like buying on breakouts rather than trying to catch a "falling knife". One more thing on this stock, it hasn't participated much in the market recovery since the March lows from the covid panic selloff and that makes me like it also (just look at a long-term chart of Microsoft after the tech bubble, for a long time it pretty much traded sideways and now look at it, I'm not saying IBM will do the same but it could, I'm not one to limit the potential of the stock market long-term, over long periods of time it goes up on average).
**These are just notes about what I am personally considering doing and are not recommendations to trade. If you decide to follow any of this, trade at your own risk and keep a long-term perspective, I'm talking this trade could take the better part of a decade to play out (not weeks or months, that would be a short-term trade which is usually not for me).**
Nike's Drop Will Offer a Great Dip... Soon!Nike's stock has dropped 30% this year and nearly 60% from its 2021 highs. It continues to drop, and now, I am worried that they will soon suspend their dividend to move cash flow into other areas that need to support the business.
I believe Nike may reach a low close to its COVID-19 crash levels, presenting a buying opportunity for patient investors as I've marked on the chart with the red circle. As Warren Buffett once said, "Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." I think that moment is coming with Nike.
Here are two tips for buying dips:
1. It can always go lower than you think so it's better to wait for some signs of a reversal rather than perfectly catching the bottom.
2. Set alerts so that you're ready and can get alerted with the time comes.
Now, why has Nike fallen like this? Several factors contribute to this decline:
1. Margin Pressures: Rising raw material and labor costs have strained Nike's profitability, causing investor concerns.
2. Product Control Issues: Expanding its product range has led to inconsistent quality and inventory management problems.
3. Excessive Product Range: The overwhelming number of products has confused customers and diluted the brand.
4. Increased Competition: New, agile brands are capturing market share, challenging Nike's dominance.
This one is on my watchlist! Let's see what happens next. I'll update you all rather soon.
Can Tesla Get Back to Even? What I'm WatchingI still can't believe that, back in April, Tesla was down 43% since the start of the year. It's been ages since we've seen a drop like that for Tesla. I circled that point on the chart with a red circle. Also, the yellow and orange lines are the 50 and 100 day moving averages, about to cross and seem to be turning upward.
Fast forward to now, and Tesla has bounced back, down just 6% since the year's start. If Tesla goes green on the year... watch out.
There are a number of reasons why Tesla might be turning the corner, and that especially seems to be its recent delivery numbers. But, before we go there, what really caught my eye is how quickly companies like NVIDIA have recently outpaced Tesla over the last 6+ months. I just can't remember such a hot stock becoming "left behind" in such a short period of time. Both TSM and Broadcom also passed Tesla rather quickly - also semiconductor stocks.
Now, why did Tesla pop recently? As many of you know, Tesla reported 443,956 deliveries in Q2, slightly above Wall Street's expectations of around 439,000 units. There's nothing quite like beating Wall Street and proving them wrong. But let's not forget that Wall Street can spin the numbers to fit their narrative. This delivery figure is still a 4.8% decrease from the same quarter last year, hinting at Tesla's resilience.
However, personally, I'm more intrigued by Tesla's product mix and the new projects they're working on. That's where the real story is. And I think this comeback is just the start of that.
Monthly chart and Stochastic RSI shows directionIn BTC USD, practically every time the monthly Stochastic RSI has reached 100 and the fast RSI crosses the slow RSI there is about a 45% to 75% drop in value as a correction.
The BTC low target would be $29,000 to $41,000 for the next 6 months prior to the post-halving bullrun going into 2025.
#NKE Oversold - price at Covid LevelsAnalysis Overview
Focus: Primarily on fundamental analysis.
Current Price Context:
Last time NYSE:NKE was at these price levels was in March 2020.
The stock has been significantly beaten down.
This year's growth estimate is gloomy (-14%).
Investment Rationale
Despite the recent challenges, Nike remains a solid company and is the world's most valuable apparel brand. P/E (TTM) is 19.74 which hints a kind of fair valuation. Moreover, analysts estimate an upside potential of +26.16% on average.
Investment Decision
I decided to buy 10 shares of $NKE.
Exit Strategy
I haven’t determined a specific sell price yet and might keep the shares indefinitely. My decision will be based on:
General market sentiment
Potential price increases in the near term
Long-Term Outlook
I believe Nike will perform well in the long term, but I’m also open to acting opportunistically and selling if there is a significant price increase in the near term.
2024 Historical Monthly Chart BTC USD Stochastic RSI DirectionIn BTC USD, practically every time the monthly Stochastic RSI has reached 100 and the fast RSI crosses the slow RSI there is about a 45% to 75% drop in value as a correction.
The BTC low target would be $29,000 to $41,000 for the next 6 months prior to the post-halving bullrun going into 2025.
Monthly chart and Stochastic RSI shows directionIn BTC USD, practically every time the monthly Stochastic RSI has reached 100 and the fast RSI crosses the slow RSI there is about a 45% to 75% drop in value as a correction.
The BTC low target would be $29,000 to $41,000 for the next 6 months prior to the post-halving bullrun going into 2025.
Traditional Gold traders could be making a huge mistake1000.00 usd forcast is easy to spot in the gold market before 2025.
The ever growing trend moving into the crypto currency market and blockchain technology is more favorable "profitable".
Larger capital gains and entertainment in the crypto industry is becoming more favorable in todays economy.
Change is happening gradually because the economy is still facing serious issues with stability.
There will be winners and losers in the future markets.
40% will fail with traditional trading and 40% will win big returns with the crypto industry.
20% of the world population will most likely stay away from investing all together because they
already have all the wealth they need.
This is my observation with gold and silver 50% loss for most investors 2022 - 2025
Most of the money leaving the gold market will transition into crypto currency next few years.
More gains, more rewards, more return...
XDC Network | XDC The price of XDC Network is $0.059 today with a 24hour trading volume of 19 million dollar. This represents a 24% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 72% price increase in the past 7 days. With a circulating supply of 14 Billion XDC, XDC Network is valued at a market cap of 822 million dollar.
As XDC, the digital token for XinFin Network, exhibits a powerful display of bullish momentum, the cryptocurrency market is humming enthusiastically. XDC has increased by an incredible 93% in just two weeks, impressing traders and investors with its massive rise.
The altcoin’s ascent over the past 30 days has been remarkable; it has seen a substantial 56% increase, solidifying its place as one of the market’s most exciting digital assets. The altcoin has demonstrated its strength by trading at a startling 100% premium over its January opening.
XDC Network is a blockchain platform for businesses and developers who want to build decentralized apps on an efficient and scalable blockchain infrastructure.
The platform is built on an enhanced Ethereum codebase and is compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine.In order to attain the target price of $1, analysts predict that the value of the XDC token will increase by a factor of about 24. This suggests a big potential for growth and offers a chance for investors looking for significant returns.
XDC has previously shown significant price appreciation. From its lowest price of $0.050 in June 2021, the token’s value increased by slightly more than three times in just two months.
In August 2021, XDC reached its highest recorded price of $0.18 thanks to this outstanding performance. Such a sharp price increase demonstrates the token’s intrinsic volatility and ability to provide substantial returns in a short amount of time.
A total of 37,705,012,600 XDC coins are available, with a circulating supply of 13,851,401,350 and a market cap of $812 million for XDC.This year, the token has boomed, reaching a high of $0.050 before turning erratic, with periodic upward and downward movements. A 10% increase would allow XDC to test its 2023 highs again.
Meanwhile, the blockchain project’s collaboration with the Japanese cryptocurrency trading firm SBI VC Trade to sponsor WebX 2023 coincides with the token’s price increase.
Users of the XDC network anxiously anticipate an upcoming event that will reveal cutting-edge innovations, open doors to exciting possibilities, and enable interactions with influential personalities in the business.
The XDC community is brimming with anticipation for the network’s bright future, and this excitement has driven the network’s price higher over the past week.
Attractive risk/reward in Lufthansa long position. Lufthansa has been struggling with strike, cancelled flights and increased tax by the German government resulting in weak Q1 results. There is support at around 5,6 EUR and even the slightest positive Q2 report by the end of July should result in a bull run lasting until December/Januar.
Build up position in PYPLGreat opportunity to build up a position in PYPL. Technically PYPL is definitely past the bottom, fundamentally it's much undervalued. There is an obvious uptrend is being formed. In anticipation of market adjustment to fair value one expects a significant upward price action.
SIZZLING-YINN-HANDLE!!!! There's been a global paradigm shift As Biden's re-election prospects diminish and recent events are raising concerns. While US and Europe valuations are within fair value range based on forward P/E ratios the tremendous laggard China has turned its corner in cracking the chip after Pres Xi spent about $2T equivalent in US dollar that is a lot but at least he accomplished what he intended when he came in office and announced the "common prosperity initiative" to solve demographic generational chasm from the one child policy before and thee are not enough producers to support the rest and to solve this make home affordable again as children live with their parents until age 55 on average and this is not ideal for starting a family they need their own home. Well fold housing down 95% mission accomplished lol Tech Sector crackdown and sanctions on top of a strong US dollar also beat down China tech index clubbed like a baby seal down 75% . many have contemplated is China investable. We ladies and gentlemen. Bottom Line = YES! .........PLAY BALL!
Notice: Think for yourself before comparing your analysis. Past does not equal future, same goes with price discovery. Leverage ETF products have additional risks and design for short term trading and speculation and someone who has a system with automations and watching the Bloomberg. This is not intended to be a recommendation in absolute. If you do not fully understand please consult an advisor, make sure you have adequate cash reserve and can afford to lose as invest like this leverage 3x so that is a notional value of 300% of a potential 25%83=74% in one handle (move). Remember to cut your losses because it takes a 100% return to break even from a 50% loss. I would expect this trade to take 2 weeks to mature but could take a month and it may be down at first, but the paradigm has changed, and this is the trade for now.
Would you still increase your holdings at this point?The the stock of social media company has risen by 8.06% in the past month, lagging the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 8.7% and overreaching the S&P 500's gain of 3.34%.
The stock is at an all-time high, but positions are not larger than ever, and traders are cautious and not rushing into the market.