Value
$IGPK 70 Mil App Users / $7 Bil Rev Merger Possibly IncomingOTC:IGPK Has been on the hearts and minds of many OTC traders recently as it was apparently discovered to be doing a 1/1,000 R/S. I say apparently as it hasn't been confirmed yet by the company and many have raised suspicions on the "added" documents to the file that can be purchased from the Nevada SOS.
Apparently according to sources, 3 new pages that included the R/S verbiage was added to the NV file recently and anybody can add pages to the document so long as they identify as an officer of the company. I don't know how true that is, but it would make sense. Seeing that there are several dedicated bashers who have been trying their hardest for months to drop the stock, it wouldn't come as a surprise to me in this OTC sewer we take part in if one of them did just that.
Either way, if the R/S is in fact true it would take months for FINRA to approve and finalize it, so the "As soon as possible" verbiage won't be for several weeks at the absolute soonest, so there is plenty of time for this to break ATH into any major announcements that are coming up.
Also don't forget, if this was some ploy to drop the price, the company can remove the R/S off at any time, shooting the stock right back up past previous levels.
Speaking of which, on March 28th the company does have a meeting to announce the listing, which should see the stock start making major moves over the next few business days, as the solid DD connecting OTC:IGPK to a possible $7 Bil 70 Mil user App has been making the circles for weeks.
GL to all and happy trading! Here's to the next few weeks :-)
VEGAUSDT - SPOT - BUY1. Overview
- Vega Protocol has been invested by lots of famous ventures: Pantera, Hashed, Coinbase Ventures,... The ICO price was so high if we compare with current cheap price.
- More information: icodrops.com
2. Technical analysis
- Accummulative time during two years. It is coming to the end soon.
- Three bottoms.
- Exchange: Kucoin.
3. Plan
Entry: ~1$
TP: 3$ at least
SL: buy and hodl.
GAS primed for extreme run upA few months ago GAS made a run due to the new NEO sidechain announcement, NEO X. A Neo EVM chain with MEV resistance where GAS will be the currency. Consolidation now seems almost completed and a new run up could start these days when 7,756 is broken.
This in combination with NEO EVM chain news and altseason makes me think GAS could go even higher than previous high after that in the next few months.
Zalando could go up with low risk tradeThis isn't any advice, this is just how I see situation.
Zalando can break downtrend and go up to 30 per share. So watch it and when price break trendline there is possibility to trade with low stop loss and high reward
Moreover Zalando just releases news that they will buy a lot of it's own shares from the market. Good news then :)
Pattern in process with X Revenue Price and date range with 31 bars. Trend will follow the guidance of the white wave like it did before.
Short Long Short Long signals
G support wave using simple ATR
Keeping alert on date range with 31 bars while at the same time eyeballing the volume. As custom volume increases by the little, BTC increases.
MGLGETTEX:NSE : MGL Is a good fundamental stock. and latest Q. profit check out all-time-high
> According to my analysis company has good future growth and also there are multiple sigh
> On the chart pattern we can see there are multi-year breakouts and now testing all-time high
levels of re-test
* value buying stock on re-test levels *
VANRY aka TVK aka new ai layer one aka next 100xVANRY aka TVK is a name you might have heard of. Vanry has a limited 2.4 billion supply, largest whale holds 400 million leaving 2 billion to the masses and the mc is currently holding steady at $300m poised for a gigantic leap. The last play like this was performed by Chainlink. When Chainlink went on it's run from the .20's range it topped at out at nearly $20. It then found support around $7, went on a run up to $53 and is currently sitting at $20. Check out what they're doing over at Vanry. It's one of the most visually impressive web3 projects that I've seen yet. You can currently find this on Coinbase under TVK.
vanarchain.com
*disclaimer: it could also go to zero. This is for entertainment purposes only. Enjoy the ride.
Great opportunity to buy some more BTC - My take on the FED It is possible that BTC will go to 20 000 and maybe even below that, but chasing the bottom is not the smartest idea.
This is the opportunity that we've been waiting for. Everyone wanted to buy BTC if only it was a little cheaper. Well, now it is, but everyone is scared :)
The wise words of Peter Lynch are that NOBODY can predict the bottom, and nobody can predict anything within a year or two. What we can see is that Bitcoin demonstrated more than 2x higher demand than this.
Even though the Crypto market wasn't positively affected by inflation, you have to remember that in macroeconomics some trends require even years to settle even though the signs were obvious.
Everyone with some common sense could tell that inflation was going to be massive if we just looked at the money supply increase of 2020 and 2021, let alone 2022.
But what everyone forgot is that, according to Milton Friedman, real-world effects of inflation go in phases. In the first 6 months, there is some "positive" effect on the economy, due to the massive inflow of currency in the system.
Also, keep in mind that inflation is felt IMMEDIATELY in the stocks and bonds. The very second money printing starts.
But 18 months after that, the effects of inflation are first felt. Keep in mind that this statistic puts just the start of 2020 inflation at the beggining of 2022. So the inflation will keep at this pace for at least the next 2 years with yearly
inflation of 15-30%.
The fact that federal reserve is increasing interest rate will NOT get the inflation under control. Restraining inflation that way never worked long term. It can only create short term FUD and selling.
What happens with the money that people withdraw from their overinflated accounts after 2 years of 20+% gains on S&P500? They start to spend it, because inflation is not under control. What happens then? Inflation becomes even worse.
It takes some money fot the money to come back, usually a couple months to a year. The money in the system will just switch places from fictional (stocks, index and funds) into real life (food, housing, services).
90% of the money that FED has been "printing" for the past 2 years didn't even enter the real life. It was fictional. It was conserved in the markets. Real life effects therefore weren't noticable until recently, when people started cashing in.
Interest rates on bonds will NOT be enough for any average investor. Bonds are only used as a small percentage of portfolios for hedging some risks in the markets.
This text is also the reason why the FED should NEVER interfere with monetary policy, and shouldn't exist at all. All of these money printing and recession cycles are exploiting the human need to gamble. They will crash the system at random
intervals. They will overinflate it when nobody expects it. You will enter the trades even after it's been going up for too long. You probably got burned 5 times before that by trying to short it because it was rational. You can be 100% correct
and still lose money.
And you will lose money both ways.
MARA fell on a huge earnings beat LONGMARA fell a few days ago while Bitcoin is staging another leg higher along with other coins.
On the 30-minute chart, MARA is in undervalued territory below the mean-anchored VWAP
and near to the bottom of the high volume area on the volume profile but above the POC line.
This seems to be an obvious long trade for me to take. I will set a stop loss of $1.00 below
market price and a target of $31 halfway between the mean VWAP and the first upper VWAP
the line above it. A call option trade striking $30.00 expiring in three months will be
considered. MARA fell from excellent earnings which apparently disappointed some
traders /investors. The discount sale is hard to resist given the current fundamentals in the
crypto markets.
Cheap compounder unduly punished after dividend cutHot take: there's alpha in buying dividend cuts
Here's a contrarian belief I hold: dividend cuts are almost always good, because they extend the life and increase the terminal value of the company.
However, the market almost always punishes companies that cut dividends. There are two reasons for that:
1) A lot of investors don't read financial reports and don't know the financial situation of the company until the dividend cut acts as an information signal.
2) Income/dividend investing tends to be very rules-based, with the main rule being that you should only own "dividend aristocrats" that have steadily increased dividends without a cut.
Thus, there tends to be more sellers than buyers for a while after a dividend cut, because the income investors jump ship faster than the value investors catch on. A dividend cut can therefore present a good buying opportunity for value investors who can time it right.
And there's another factor to consider, too, which is that not every dividend cut is a sign of financial distress. There are two kinds of companies that cut dividends: those that couldn't sustain the payout, and those that see a market opportunity and want to pivot to growth. Uninformed investors often punish both types of dividend cuts identically, even though the meaning of the information signal is quite different in the two cases.
Medifast: an unduly punished compounder
And that brings me to the case of Medifast, a small-cap nutrition and weight-loss company that discontinued its $6.60/share dividend last month. Was this because of financial distress? Actually, no. Medifast had $11.01/share of earnings and $15.57/share of free cash flow over the last 12 months, so it easily could have sustained the dividend. Medifast's explanation for the cut is that it wants to free up capital to pursue a growth strategy. With the recent popularity of GLP-1 weight loss drugs like Ozempic, Medifast wants to add GLP-1s as a core part of its health coaching business and quickly scale the business out. The dividend cut is a sign of distress only in the sense that Medifast earnings and revenue have declined since mid 2022, and the company is moving to arrest that slump and return its trajectory to growth.
How cheap it it really?
Let's look at Medifast's multiples. According to its last financial report, Medifast has zero debt and just $17 million in lease obligations. With a $578 million market cap and $113 million in cash and cash equivalents, that puts Medifast's enterprise value at $482 million.
Over the last twelve months, Medifast generated about $1.2 billion in sales, $119 million in earnings, and $170 million in free cash flow, which gives it the following multiples:
EV/earnings: 4.1
EV/sales: 0.4
EV/FCF: 2.8
That's a 35% trailing twelve months free cash flow yield.
Now, Medifast is definitely more expensive on a price-to-book basis, about 3.0 P/B. But that's not necessarily a bad thing, as it indicates that Medifast is a capital-light business with a high return on invested capital. If it can get anywhere near the same return on its savings from the dividend cut, then there's a lot of growth potential here.
We do have to be a little cautious about the TTM multiples, because Medifast may have been over-earning during this period. But if we use linear-modeled rather than real numbers, the results aren't dramatically different. The EV/earnings and EV/sales multiples change only negligibly, though EV/FCF rises to 4.0 (free cash flow yield of 25%).
To be sure, analysts' forward estimates paint a more subdued picture, with a forward EV/earnings multiple of about 8.9 and forward EV/sales of about 0.6. But those are still good multiples, and it's important to note that Medifast has a long history of crushing analyst estimates. In the last fours quarters, it beat earnings forecasts by 99%, 92%, 53%, and 67%, with revenue beats ranging from about 1% to 10%. So the analysts may be underrating Medifast's prospects here, and I am looking for earnings at least 40% better than forecast.
Even if they fail to monetize GLP-1s, they can buy back stock
Even if I'm wrong, 8.9 and 0.6 are still really good multiples, making this an attractive value stock. And Medifast's dividend cut should free up capital not only for its growth strategy, but also for opportunistic buybacks while the stock is cheap.
Medifast is my largest single name, at about 5% of my portfolio. There is support at the March 2018 low of $50.11 and the March 2020 low of $41.53. I'm looking for a double, to about $107.
Gold Shines Brighter as Fed Eases and Recession Fears Loom LargeAs the Federal Reserve continues its aggressive monetary policy tightening measures and economic uncertainty mounts, investors are increasingly turning to gold as a safe haven asset. Gold's enduring appeal as a store of value and its ability to hedge against inflation/deflation and economic downturns make it a compelling investment option in today's volatile market conditions.
The Fed's ongoing quantitative tightening measures have caused treasury yields to skyrocket thus they have to print more money to pay for higher yields. Gold, on the other hand, shall be the main beneficiary of higher yields, making it a valuable hedge against the printer.
Furthermore, as fears of a recession deepen, investors are seeking assets that can provide stability and protection. Gold's historical resilience in times of economic hardship has made it a go-to investment for risk-averse investors.
In conclusion, gold's combination of scarcity, durability, and its ability to retain value over time makes it a powerful asset in a world of economic uncertainty. As the Fed's monetary policy tightening and recession fears continue to weigh on markets, gold is likely to remain a popular investment choice for those seeking a safe haven amidst the turbulence.
Please note that these are my personal opinions and they could be wrong.
A short setup for MATICUSDT (weekly TF)A clean confluence of fibonacci, VAL, horizontals on the price of 1.1930. The level can also be associated with a liquidity grab.
It is indeniable that this level is strong as Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson. High probability that this level presents a good short setup as invalidation is clear and downside is big.
Invalidation is if price come barging through the level with high amount of volume.
What is going on?The increase in total market capitalization volume, excluding the top ten cryptocurrencies, from an average of $27.59 billion over the past 30 days to $86.77 billion within just this week suggests a significant surge in trading activity and liquidity across the broader cryptocurrency market, beyond the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Overall, the surge in total market capitalization volume, excluding the top ten cryptocurrencies, reflects a period of increased activity and interest in the broader cryptocurrency market, driven by a combination of factors such as altcoin enthusiasm, new project launches, and positive market sentiment. It's essential for investors to stay informed and exercise caution when navigating these dynamic market conditions.
Can INTC breakout from a trinagle ? LONGINTC on a 180 minute chart is in a flat bottom triangle since before earnings. The earnings
report was a beat of 20% on earnings and 1.5 % on revenue but apparently disappointed greedy
traders expecting more. Price has been mostly sideways. I saw the dip on Tuesday to Thursday
as an opportunity to take a call option trade for Friday which had a great return. I see INTC
ready to gain price and break out of the triangle. It has a P/E ratio much lower than some of
the high flyers in its subsector making it attractive to value-seeking investors and traders
who like to buy at the lows. Price is now above the long-term POC line where buying pressure
should predominate. Having seen the rise on Friday, some short sellers may begin to buy to
cover and close their positionons especially those with put options from which the time to
realize profits is now.
IBM Bull Flag: LongPosition: Bought 80, 290 strike OTM January 17 2025 Calls at $0.08
TA:
Bull flag with a symmetrical triangle at the tail end of it.
Targeting underlying price of between $235 and $250 between May 2024 and November 2024.
FA:
Market Cap $170B with Revenue at GETTEX:61B annually as of 2023, with positive earnings. Deeply undervalued compared to other names like Microsoft, Tesla, and NVIDIA. Lots of enterprise solutions for the AI boom. IBM trading at 2.7x Revenue currently, meanwhile MSFT at 14x, NVNDA at 32x, and TSLA at 6x.
Watchout for Potential $IOT Short - target 21$Revenues are growing very slowly, and earnings are still slightly negative.
PB ratio of 19+ and eps of -86+ seems well disconnected from fair potential valuation.
Sensors are easy to disrupt, compete, and also it gets fairly easier to find significantly cheaper alternatives in low ambitious use-cases.
It's not like NVIDIA in AI where there's still no proper full-suite support right from h/w to s/w across all spaces.
Bitcoin's market cap is now nearly 2x TeslaThis chart caught my attention. I had to write about it. I am not sure what it means, but in terms of market risk, tech, and what assets have the mainstream's attention, I did not expect Tesla to underperform as much as it has.
Both Bitcoin and Tesla are remarkable assets in their own right, yet the recent divergence in their valuations is striking.
This divergence raises intriguing questions about how the market is pricing specific assets or favoriting for the long run. Will Bitcoin continue to outpace traditional high-growth stocks like Tesla? Are growth stocks now value stocks? Has Bitcoin become the new large cap player?
I'll be watching these two closely, but specifically Tesla, as it does strike me as a potential dip buy.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) 31% margin of safety NOW!!!Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) is a global technology leader that designs, manufactures, and sells networking equipment, software, and services. The company operates in four primary segments: Infrastructure Platforms, Applications, Security, and Other.
Price Analysis
Based on a 5.5% discount rate and a 10-year average growth rate of 3.83%, our DCF model suggests that Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) has an intrinsic value of approximately $70.25. With the current market price of $48.06, there appears to be a 31% margin of safety, indicating that the stock may be undervalued.
It appears that Cisco's Earnings Yield, which is a measure of how much profit a company is generating relative to its stock price, is currently 6.84%. This is higher than the current US Dollar fixed deposit rate of 5.5%. This indicates that, from a relative perspective, Cisco is offering a higher return on investment compared to a fixed deposit in US Dollars.
Quality Analysis
Cisco's operating margin of 27.25% (black line) is indeed significantly higher than the average operating margin of its competitors, which stands at 13.74% (red line). This indicates that Cisco is more efficient in generating profits from its operations compared to its competitors, which could be a positive sign for potential investors.
Cisco's ROE of 29.99% (black line) is indeed higher than the average ROE of its competitors, which stands at 23.86% (red line). This indicates that Cisco is generating a higher return on shareholders' equity compared to its competitors.
Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) exhibits a Free Cash Flow Margin of 33.40% (black line), which surpasses the average Free Cash Flow Margin of its competitors, standing at 15.49% (red line). This distinction underscores Cisco's superior ability to convert its revenue into free cash flow, signifying operational efficiency and robust cash generation relative to its peers.
Free Cash Flow Margin, a pivotal metric, delineates a company's capability to produce cash from its operations after accounting for capital expenditures. Cisco's notable performance in this area suggests a prudent allocation of resources, efficient management of working capital, and a focus on capital expenditure optimization.
Competitive Landscape
Cisco faces competition from both traditional networking players and newer entrants in the market. However, Cisco's strong brand reputation, extensive product portfolio, and global reach give it a competitive advantage in the market.
The stock appears to be undervalued based on current market prices and offers a higher return on investment compared to fixed deposit rates. However, investors should carefully consider the risks before making any investment decisions.
Remember Expensify!? I remember when this company had a Super Bowl commercial. I remember its IPO. I am also familiar with its platform, which I still use to this day and was surprised to see how far its fallen.
Can it ever make a come back?
A few things stand out to me:
The company has cleared its debt, a significant move that shifts its financial landscape from leveraged to liquidity-rich. With its balance sheet now boasting only cash, earning steady interest from 5% treasuries and CDs. Furthermore, the company still has an active $41 million stock buyback program that has not used. What are they waiting for?
Financially, Expensify projects a free cash flow (FCF) of $10-12 million this year. When you consider the current market price, the stock is trading at roughly 10 times its FCF, significantly lower than the industry standard for tech companies, which often hovers around 30 times FCF.
Decisions, decisions!
Always do your own research. Some of my trades are great, others are bad! This one has my attention.