Nucor | NUE | Long at $120.17Nucor NYSE:NUE , a US manufacture of steel and steel products, will likely capitalize on reduced foreign competition as tariffs become reality. The CEO also recently stated that the steelmaker's order backlog is the largest in its history and is increasing prices. So, while there is a potential for short-term downside as tariff "unknowns" are negotiated, the longer-term upside may be there for those who are patient... but time will tell.
Basic Fundamentals:
Current P/E: 21x
Forward P/E: 15-16x
Earnings are forecast to grow 29.6% per year
Projected Revenue in 2025: $32.3 billion
[*} Projected Revenue in 2028: $39.4 billion
Debt-to-Equity: 0.4x (healthy)
Dividend Yield: 1.8%
Technical Analysis:
Riding below the historical simple moving average and there is risk the daily price gap near $109 will close before moving higher. If there is a "crash" in price, $70s is absolutely possible which will be a "steel" if fundamentals do not change.
Targets in 2027:
$142.00 (+18.2%)
$187.00 (+55.6%)
Value
VST Tillers Tractors Ltd: A Compelling Case for Value InvestingIn the dynamic Indian stock market, finding such opportunities requires diligent research and a keen eye for businesses with intrinsic value. One such stock that stands out as a potential value investment is VST Tillers Tractors Ltd. (VSTTILLERS), a leading player in India’s agricultural equipment sector. Based on an analysis of its profile on Screener.in, this blog explores why VST Tillers is an attractive pick for value investors.
Understanding VST Tillers Tractors Ltd.
Founded in 1967 by the VST Group, a century-old business house in South India, VST Tillers Tractors Ltd. has established itself as a pioneer in the agricultural machinery sector. The company is the largest manufacturer of power tillers in India, holding over 70% market share, and is a significant player in the compact tractor segment under its VST SHAKTI and FIELDTRAC brands. Initially a joint venture with Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan, VST Tillers is now independently operated, with the VST family holding a 51% promoter stake, signaling strong management confidence in its future. The company also exports to European, Asian, and African markets, aligning its products with stringent EU standards.
With a market capitalization of approximately ₹3,032.65 crore as of April 2025, VST Tillers operates in the automobile sector, specifically in the tractors and farm equipment industry. Its financials, operational efficiency, and strategic initiatives make it a compelling candidate for value investors seeking undervalued stocks with growth potential.
Why VST Tillers is Attractive for Value Investing
Value investing hinges on finding companies trading below their intrinsic value, with strong fundamentals, low debt, consistent dividends, and growth prospects. Here’s why VST Tillers aligns with these principles:
1. Strong Fundamentals and Financial Stability
Near Debt-Free Status: VST Tillers is virtually debt-free, a hallmark of a financially sound company. Low debt reduces financial risk and allows the company to reinvest profits into growth initiatives or reward shareholders.
Healthy Dividend Payout: The company maintains a consistent dividend payout ratio of around 19.9%, with a current dividend yield of 0.57%. This reflects a shareholder-friendly approach, providing steady income while retaining earnings for reinvestment.
Stable Promoter Holding: With a 55.6% promoter stake, there’s strong alignment between management and shareholders. The promoter holding has remained stable over recent quarters, indicating confidence in the company’s long-term prospects.
2. Undervaluation Relative to Peers
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: VST Tillers trades at a P/E ratio of 25.05, which is reasonable for a company with its market leadership and growth prospects. Compared to peers in the automobile and tractor industry, this P/E suggests the stock may be undervalued, especially given its niche dominance in power tillers.
Market Cap and Growth Potential: With a market cap of ₹3,032.65 crore, VST Tillers is a mid-cap stock with room for growth. Its focus on expanding into higher horsepower tractors and international markets (now 13% of revenue, with a target of 25-30%) positions it for future appreciation.
3. Consistent Operational Performance
Revenue and Profitability: In FY 2022-23, VST Tillers crossed the ₹1,000 crore revenue milestone, showcasing its ability to scale. In Q2 FY 2025, the company reported a modest revenue increase driven by stable demand for power tillers, with profits at ₹105 crore. While sales growth over the past five years has been modest at 9.50%, the company’s focus on operational efficiency and cost management supports profitability.
International Expansion: The company’s export business is growing, with products like FIELDTRAC tractors meeting EU standards. International revenue now accounts for 13% of total revenue, with plans to expand into the U.S. and European markets. This diversification reduces reliance on the domestic market and enhances growth prospects.
Sales Surge: In March 2025, VST Tillers reported a 142.09% sequential increase in total sales, with power tiller sales jumping 77.81% year-on-year to 7,221 units. While tractor sales dipped slightly, the overall sales momentum reflects strong demand and operational resilience.
4. Long-Term Growth Catalysts
Product Diversification: VST Tillers is expanding its portfolio beyond power tillers to include higher horsepower tractors, power weeders, and precision components. A recent joint venture has enabled the launch of advanced tractors, strengthening its competitive position.
Distribution Network Expansion: The company is investing in its dealer network to enhance market reach, particularly in rural India, where small farm mechanization is gaining traction. This aligns with favorable agricultural conditions and government support for farm mechanization.
Sustainability and Innovation: VST Tillers’ focus on fuel-efficient, reliable products like the VST 9054 tractor (praised by farmers in Tanzania for its performance) and multi-crop reapers positions it to meet evolving farmer needs. Its brush cutters and power reapers cater to modern farming demands, ensuring relevance in a changing agricultural landscape.
5. Resilience in a Cyclical Industry
The agricultural equipment sector is cyclical, influenced by monsoons, commodity prices, and government subsidies. However, VST Tillers has demonstrated resilience through:
Market Leadership: Its 70% share in the power tiller market provides a competitive moat, insulating it from new entrants.
Stable Demand: Small and marginal farmers, who form the bulk of India’s agricultural workforce, rely on affordable, efficient equipment like power tillers, ensuring steady demand.
Strategic Execution: The company’s focus on dealer profitability and retail financing aligns with shifting consumer behavior, reducing dependence on subsidies and enhancing sales stability.
6. Risks and Considerations
While VST Tillers is a strong value investment candidate, there are challenges to consider:
Modest Sales Growth: The company’s five-year sales growth of 9.50% is relatively low, reflecting challenges in scaling the tractor segment.
Low Return on Equity (ROE): An ROE of 13.3% over the past three years is below the ideal threshold for growth companies, indicating room for improvement in capital efficiency.
Working Capital Challenges: Debtor days have increased from 40.7 to 54.1 days, and working capital days have risen from 80.4 to 173 days, suggesting potential inefficiencies in cash flow management.
Commodity Price Volatility: Rising input costs have pressured operational EBITDA, which stands at 13.33% (excluding other income). Value investors should monitor cost management strategies.
Despite these risks, VST Tillers’ strong balance sheet, market leadership, and growth initiatives mitigate concerns, making it a compelling long-term investment.
Value Investing Perspective: Why VST Tillers Stands Out
Value investors seek stocks with a margin of safety, where the market price is below the intrinsic value. VST Tillers fits this mold due to:
Undervalued Stock Price: The stock’s 52-week range (₹3,082 to ₹5,429.95) and current price of ₹3,565.95 (as of April 2025) suggest it is trading at a discount relative to its growth potential and market leadership.
Long-Term Growth Story: The company’s focus on international markets, product diversification, and rural market penetration aligns with India’s agricultural mechanization trend, offering significant upside potential.
Patience Pays Off: VST Tillers is a case study in patient investing. Its consistent growth and market dominance reward investors willing to hold for the long term.
Conclusion:
VST Tillers Tractors Ltd. embodies the principles of value investing: a fundamentally strong company with low debt, consistent dividends, and a clear growth trajectory, trading at a reasonable valuation. Its leadership in the power tiller market, strategic expansion into tractors and international markets, and resilience in a cyclical industry make it an attractive pick for investors seeking undervalued opportunities in the Indian stock market.
For value investors, VST Tillers offers a compelling mix of stability and growth. While challenges like modest sales growth and working capital inefficiencies warrant monitoring, the company’s strong fundamentals and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for long-term wealth creation. As with any investment, thorough due diligence is essential, but VST Tillers stands out as a hidden gem worth considering for a value-focused portfolio.
Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
Simpel illustration of altcoin potential (30x)Connected some dots and we don't have to make it harder, the altcoin markets is picking up use cases and wit mature faster then we think, next FOMO will not only pull in corporate but the amount of people in crypto increases daily. I don't think anybody is ready for the next explosion.
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals | IRWD | Long at $0.61Ironwood Pharma NASDAQ:IRWD stock dropped ~89% in the past year due to disappointing Phase 3 Apraglutide trial results, FDA requiring an additional trial, weak Q1 2025 earnings (-$0.14 EPS vs. -$0.04 expected), high debt ($599.48M), and analyst downgrades. So why would I be interested in swing trading this company? The chart. The price has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone, which often results in a reversal - even if temporary. Also, Linzess (GI drug) revenue is steady, and I thoroughly believe that alone pushes the fair value near $0.95, if not higher. Thus, at $0.61, NASDAQ:IRWD is in a personal buy zone with the potential for additional declines before future rise.
Target:
$0.95 (+55.7%)
Ethereum's Road to $7500 – Strategic Entries & Profit Optimizati🔵 Entry Zone: My first position is placed at $2225.5, aligning with a strong support level, while a secondary entry at $1857.5 serves as an additional safeguard against unexpected market swings—lowering my average purchase price and protecting capital.
💰 Profit-Taking Strategy: For low-risk traders, securing a 40% profit from the first entry is a prudent move to lock in gains early. However, my long-term target remains ambitious.
🚀 Main Target: Based on valuation models and fundamental news, Ethereum’s upside potential points toward $7500. However, I personally plan to secure 90% of my holdings at $6000, ensuring strong profit realization while leaving room for further upside.
This setup balances risk management, smart positioning, and strategic profit optimization. Let’s see how ETH’s trajectory unfolds!
Entry1: 2225.5
Entry 2: 1857.5
If your second entry is successful, you are required to withdraw 50 to 70 percent of your capital to maintain your capital. I will definitely update this setup.
Canadian Natural resources is undervaluedUsing my simple method of technical analysis and fundamental calculation of the intrinsic value of a stock for which the range of intrinsic value of CNQ is between $35-$55. Assuming oil can make a reversal at this pivotal time in history for the world the stock looks very cheap. It also pays good dividends soon which was a bonus I bought some at $31 dollars for the market price. It looks like a great addition to make a nicely diversified portfolio.
AES | Bounce in Motion from Multi-Decade Support – 75% Upside 📍 Ticker: NYSE:AES (AES Corporation)
📆 Timeframe: 1M (Monthly)
📉 Price: $11.48
📊 Volume: 109.4M
📈 RSI: 40.20 (Oversold rebound zone)
🔍 Technical Setup:
NYSE:AES has just bounced from the lower boundary of a 30-year ascending parallel channel, a zone that has historically marked major long-term bottoms.
🟢 Green arrow: Rebound from long-term trendline support
📏 Targeting reversion to the channel median
🔹 Pattern context: Mean-reversion strategy inside macro uptrend
🧠 Trade Plan & Price Target:
✅ Entry Zone: $11.00–$11.50
❌ Stop-Loss: Close below $9.50 (channel structure breakdown)
🎯 Target: $20.00
→ 📈 Return: +75.6% from current levels
⚠️ Key Insights:
RSI near historical bounce zone (40)
Major volume surge may signal capitulation
AES is historically cyclical within this macro structure — mean reversion is likely
Short interest elevated — potential for short-covering rally
💬 Will AES power a multi-quarter reversal like it did in 2002, 2009, and 2020?
📈 Add it to your radar if you’re watching for long-cycle rebounds.
#AES #MeanReversion #LongTermChannel #Utilities #ValueTrade #TargetTraders
PRMB | Breakdown in Progress – Setting Up for a 200% Swing Buy📍 Ticker: NYSE:PRMB (Primo Brands Corporation)
📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
📉 Price: $28.84
📊 Volume: 32.38M
📈 RSI: 40.95 (Bearish momentum, nearing bounce zone)
🔍 Technical Setup:
PRMB has broken below a steep sub-channel and is targeting the midline and base of a broader long-term ascending channel, offering a high-reward opportunity for medium-term traders.
📉 Short-term trend: Bearish correction
📈 Long-term trend: Still intact within rising channel
📍 Support zone: $20.70 – multi-year horizontal + lower channel convergence
📊 RSI: Oversold territory, potential for bullish divergence
🧠 Trade Plan & Price Targets:
📥 Wait for price to hit $20.70–21.00 zone (major confluence zone)
✅ Entry Range: $21.00–$22.00
❌ Stop-Loss: Below $19.00 (channel breakdown invalidation)
🎯 Target 1: $35.00
→ 📈 Return: +64.8%
🎯 Target 2: $72.00
→ 📈 Return: +229.3%
⚠️ Key Insights:
Volume spikes during selloff = panic selling, possible capitulation
RSI forming base near 40 → reversal often begins here historically
Macro trend channel still fully intact — just correcting within range
Steep reward potential if entry is timed at support
💬 Will PRMB complete the retest and deliver a massive swing?
🎯 Precision setups like this don't come often — add it to your watchlist now.
#PRMB #ChannelTrading #SwingSetup #LongTermReversal #HighReward #TechnicalSetup #TargetTraders
ADM | Inverse Head & Shoulders + Parallel Channel = Reversal📍 Ticker: NYSE:ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)
📆 Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
📉 Price: $48.74
📊 Volume: 2.82M
📈 RSI: 54.80 (Momentum building)
🔍 Technical Setup:
NYSE:ADM is completing a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders at the bottom of a rising channel, hinting at a structural reversal.
🟢 Green arrow signals current buying opportunity
🔺 Red arrows highlight expected resistance zones on the way up
🟣 Channel provides a clean roadmap for a stair-step recovery structure
Pattern Highlights:
Well-defined L–H–R shoulders
Price reclaiming the midline of the channel
RSI recovering above 50, signaling shift in momentum
🧠 Trade Plan & Price Targets:
✅ Entry Range: $48.50–$49.00
❌ Stop-Loss: Close below $46.00 (invalidation of channel + pattern)
🎯 Target 1: $52.50
→ 📈 Return: +7.7%
🎯 Target 2: $56.50
→ 📈 Return: +15.9%
🎯 Target 3: $63.00
→ 📈 Return: +29.3%
⚠️ Technical Notes:
Pattern is visible across multiple timeframes — weekly structure aligns with daily bullish reversal
RSI breakout + neckline test = potential breakout confirmation
Earnings volatility in rear-view mirror – momentum favored near-term
💬 Is ADM finally turning the corner after months of weakness?
📌 Like & Follow for more structured swing setups!
#TargetTraders #ADM #HeadAndShoulders #ChannelBreakout #SwingTrade #InverseHnS #TechnicalSetup
Japan’s Metaplanet to Invest $5.4 Billion in Bitcoin: A Bold StrAmid growing global interest in cryptocurrencies, Japanese investment firm Metaplanet has announced plans to invest $5.4 billion in Bitcoin. This strategic move places the company alongside the largest corporate Bitcoin holders and reflects Japan’s evolving financial stance, where digital assets are beginning to play a more prominent role.
According to Metaplanet, the firm intends to acquire approximately 210,000 BTC by 2027, representing nearly 1% of Bitcoin’s total supply, which is capped at 21 million coins. This initiative is aimed at hedging against inflation and the depreciation of the yen, while also strengthening the company’s position in global financial markets.
Unlike traditional funds, Metaplanet is committed to a long-term holding strategy (hodling) rather than speculative trading. This signals growing confidence in Bitcoin as a store of value comparable to gold. The company also anticipates increasing institutional demand and the potential recognition of Bitcoin as a reserve asset by central banks.
This move is also seen as a step toward legitimizing Bitcoin across Asia. Analysts suggest that other Japanese and South Korean companies may soon follow Metaplanet’s lead.
The $5.4 billion Bitcoin investment is more than a financial move—it’s a statement about the future. Metaplanet is showing that digital assets are becoming an integral part of modern macroeconomic strategy.
Rivian Kicking Off Potential UptrendHey, all. I'll get down to it. Obviously NASDAQ:RIVN has been an incredibly tough stock to own. Fake out after fake out. It has been brutal - unless you have been nimble enough to buy the dips and sell the rips.
I would like to posit, however, that NASDAQ:RIVN is going to start marching back higher here over time. In the signal system I have been taught via the T@M strategy, Rivian is putting in a range expansion to the upside on the weekly time frame. If you take the range of the past monthly consolidation period, attach it to the "mode" (or central zone of the consolidation range), it gives you a target of $25 over the next few months. Now, whether this is another fake out just to reverse on us... again... remains to be seen of course. It is early in the idea. But potentially offers a decent risk/reward position here.
I just do not see Rivian really going away at all and, if they can keep refining their business, they could see some success going forward. Anyway, hope you enjoy this idea! As always, position carefully as the market is risky business.
Including the Daily Chart below for your reference as well.
Pinex-Capital Trade IdeaThe chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Pinex-Capital Trade IdeaThe second chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Delta Airlines - Long Term FlyerHey, all. Pretty intense idea here, but I am a buyer of NYSE:DAL at these levels. Obviously, the chart looks awful from a recent performance perspective. However, if you take a long term view, we could actually be rebalancing after an initial range expansion to the upside. Just like NASDAQ:RIVN , airlines are/have been a pretty brutal investment. I guess I have a thing for pain. Ha.
I am certainly a believer that airlines are undervalued here and can reverse back to the upside. Of course, it goes against the current narrative that the economy is showing signs of weakness. But I am just willing to take the risk on this one. I believe the consumer and culture shift in the US to have more experiences in life will continue to hold.
Are we going to come in for a hard landing, or take off to cruising altitude? We'll see what kind of lift the market will give us. Right now the turbulence is pretty intense.
ETHEREUM is stacking up to fly! BINANCE:ETHUSDT ETHEREUM got a lot going for it right now. It's the backbone of a huge chunk of the crypto world, especially with all the DeFi and NFT stuff happening. Plus, there's always talk about big upgrades that could make it even better.
Right now, Ethereum's trading around $2,500, but some experts expect that it could climb way higher, maybe even past $8,000, if everything goes right.
That aside, I personally think $5,000 is achievable and to happen soon. It clearly broke out of the months long downtrend channel and with momentum. There's a lot of hate for ETH just for being expensive. But, let's be real, is not the 2nd biggest player in the market for nothing.
Let me know what you think? Open to counter ideas!
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Nvidia could be worth $220 by this time next yearThe amount of money this company is making is insane and it doesn't look like its going to slow down any time soon. There is strong demand for Nvidia products universally there is no limit to how far this thing will go. Over the past 5 years it has outperformed Bitcoin, need I say more?
I am abit late to be buying into the rally but I will keep accumulating should the market provide me with ample opportunities. I think this is a fantastic growth stock for a diversified portfolio and I think Nvidia is one of the top dogs of todays economic eco system.
Despite the fact it looks expensive the stock is actually still under valued. The range of the intrinsic value is between $110 - $240. I do not recommend going all in FOMO but this thing is going up, I have done some research and it is a fantastic company to work for everyone says they love working there and they pay their employees well.
They continue to innovate and pave the way forward for semi conductor tech. I love my Nvidia chip in my laptop I can only imagine what the more expensive chips are capable of. Nvidia and Broadcom make up about 15% of my portfolio. Thank you for reading my article and please comment if you want to talk about stocks. Have a great day.
Simple Coca Cola daily chart analysisCoca Cola, my favorite defensive stock seems to be at a price decision in time. I have found a single trend line that looks reasonable. There seems to be a lot of congestion in price over the last few days this leads me to believe a breakout is coming soon. 25% of my portfolio is Coca Cola, it pays great dividends and I love the history of the company. It is a solid choice for these economically uncertain times, I think they do soda better than anyone else I been drinking Coca Cola as long as I can remember its still my favorite.
I believe its possible to see a retracement down to cheaper prices but I also don't believe in waiting for such occurrences to happen so I have already been accumulating for the last few weeks. The range of the intrinsic value of Coca Cola is between $50 - $180. My prediction for the price is that it will go up over the next 12 months. Thank you for reading my article and best wishes, cheers.
6/5 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold surged above 3380 yesterday but faced strong resistance, pulling back before testing the critical 3400 level. Despite multiple attempts, price failed to break through, highlighting a clear lack of bullish momentum near historical highs.
From a technical perspective, a potential M-top (double top) pattern is forming on the 30-minute chart. If confirmed, we can expect a deeper retracement, with an initial target around 3330, and possibly 3300 in case of further downside. Under this structure, today’s primary trading bias should favor short positions.
That said, if gold breaks above 3400 with strength, the 3416–3438 target zone becomes viable. However, any such breakout is likely to be followed by a pullback. In that scenario, we’ll closely monitor the 3392–3368 support range before executing follow-up trades.
📉 Technical Notes:
Price remains near a historical resistance zone, and buyers are showing hesitancy at these levels;
While yesterday’s Beige Book report provided short-term bullish sentiment, we need to observe whether the Asian and European sessions digest and extend that move.
🗞 Fundamental Outlook:
The key event today is the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report, which may trigger volatility;
Gold remains supported by risk-aversion flows, but traders should be mindful of potential corrections at elevated levels.
💡 Risk Management Tip:
In such conditions, it is highly recommended to scale into positions with reduced lot size, and use tight risk controls to guard against unexpected reversals.
📌 Trading Recommendations for Today:
Sell near 3423–3436, targeting short-term pullbacks
Buy near 3312–3298, if deeper correction materializes
Pivot levels for tactical trades:
3416 / 3403 / 3392 / 3386 / 3367 / 3352 / 3343 / 3328
Strategy Summary:
Favor short setups on rallies unless 3400 is decisively broken. If support at 3362-3358 fails, expect the bearish trend to gain further momentum.
ETHUSD: Buying opportunityWarning, this is highly speculative!
Ethereum faced a gruesome decline since the peak of around 4000 back in december, reaching a bottom of ~$1400
Then, in may, we had a huge rally, boasting a nearly 100% bounce from bottom to top.
Now, this fact alone has many people holding off on buying short term, as they feel a drop could be just around the corner, however, i think for this exact reason, aswell as an inbound risk-on environment, it will continue the rally, and much faster and for much longer than anticipated, creating that FOMO wave people seem so desperate to try and catch.
The whole reason you end up with the feeling of FOMO, is because your past decisions seem stupid in hindsight, and recent price action makes it seem obvious.
Well let me tell you, its NOT obvious, and that is precisely why it runs and creates that FOMO wave.
Price targets are irrelevant, focus on recognizing when greed runs amok, and take profits accordingly.
EOY Would be an obvious point at which selling heavy might be smart, but then again, its never obvious... Goodluck!
Novo Nordisk: Massive buying opportunityNovo has been struggling big time, december and march hit especially hard.
American institutions have held large positions in Novo, and this was felt when they had to sell off due to risk management with the looming tariffs.
However, the sheer devaluation & importance of their export, is going to create a massive wave following a risk-on environment, which i firmly believe is coming.
One of the few large EU based firms worth investing heavy in.